Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 22 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 February 2013, Liverpool 5 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.75     4.24    47.18    97.96    99.92    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.22     4.33    36.97     1.92    76.29    93.51    98.59   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.92     4.49    35.58     0.10    16.22    59.04    84.14    99.26     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.39     4.70    18.39     0.01     4.09    22.56    51.95    95.13     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.14     4.53    32.24     0.01     3.35    22.82    55.49    96.14     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.89     4.56     9.98     0.00     0.10     1.45     6.18    54.96     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.54     4.51    21.73     0.00     0.02     0.61     3.48    46.54     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      50.10     4.34     0.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.93     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom     26   37   +1      52.03     4.57    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     4.68     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.07     4.56    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.88     0.23R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.44     4.40   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.71R    0.14  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.41     4.62    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     2.29R    0.07  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.18     4.56    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     2.24R    0.05  
Norwich       26   29  -15      42.07     4.38   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.75R    0.23  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.67     4.68   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.16R    0.40  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.85     4.70   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     5.10R    0.22  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.59     4.30   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.85R    8.82  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.65     4.38   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.66R    7.57  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.28     4.39   -28.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.56R   18.75  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.60     4.29   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.44R   63.74  


Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 20 February 2013, Leeds_United 2 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          32   67  +20      90.07     5.22    25.76    77.44    91.96    99.98    94.14P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   62  +12      81.59     4.90    14.64     9.24    40.64    98.17    54.03P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   59  +24      79.74     5.06    28.50     6.55    30.18    96.24    47.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   58  +19      77.46     4.95    21.47     2.45    14.74    91.22    31.80P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   53  +25      77.95     5.40    31.53     4.21    20.71    91.48    44.33P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    33   51   +1      69.88     4.99     2.59     0.05     0.72    37.79     8.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         32   49  +11      69.69     5.20    13.24     0.06     0.87    40.99    10.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    33   45   +1      62.25     4.89     0.18     0.00     0.01     4.08     0.82P    0.52R    0.02  
Leeds_United     32   45   -5      63.71     5.17    -6.04     0.00     0.04     7.20     1.33P    0.50R    0.02  
Derby            33   44   +3      60.94     4.91     1.45     0.00     0.00     2.39     0.46P    1.14R    0.08  
Blackburn        32   44   +2      65.15     5.27     4.96     0.01     0.08    12.72     3.62P    0.17R    0.01  
Burnley          32   44   +1      63.96     5.13     2.05     0.00     0.05     8.29     1.87P    0.33R    0.02  
Charlton         33   43   -2      61.20     5.04    -1.50     0.00     0.00     2.91     0.62P    1.33R    0.09  
Millwall         32   41   -6      59.36     5.15    -7.28     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.31P    3.40R    0.30  
Blackpool        33   40   +1      59.31     5.02     3.23     0.00     0.00     1.40     0.37P    2.76R    0.29  
Bolton           32   39   -1      60.91     5.28     3.10     0.00     0.01     3.14     0.89P    1.92R    0.21  
Birmingham       33   39  -11      57.50     5.00   -10.00     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.09P    7.12R    0.90  
Ipswich          33   38  -20      52.46     4.89   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    33.86R    7.46  
Sheff_Wed        32   37   -9      53.33     5.11   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   25.92R    5.98  
Barnsley         32   37  -10      52.26     4.97   -15.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   33.06R    7.95  
Huddersfield     32   37  -23      52.52     5.05   -28.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   34.83R    8.83  
Wolverhampton    33   35   -9      52.23     4.99    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.45R    7.05  
Peterborough     31   33   -8      50.74     5.36   -13.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   43.81R   13.40  
Bristol_City     33   31  -16      45.98     4.82   -20.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.88R   47.40  


League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 February 2013, Notts_County 4 1 Bury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Swindon         32   58  +33      82.28     5.13    40.46    33.46    54.82    93.78    67.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     33   58  +15      78.40     4.99    18.82     8.56    21.15    77.34    33.83P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       32   58  +15      79.80     5.24    18.85    14.54    30.89    82.61    43.96P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       32   57  +18      81.75     5.13    26.28    26.24    48.10    91.76    62.56P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          32   57  +15      77.96     5.25    17.58     8.26    19.61    73.28    29.06P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        33   56  +14      74.71     4.92    15.36     2.20     6.86    50.03    15.68P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   54  +13      76.64     5.37    16.10     5.68    14.21    64.04    25.90P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        33   50  +13      71.45     5.02    18.35     0.50     2.05    28.50     9.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    33   48  +12      67.37     4.99    14.40     0.07     0.41     9.18     2.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall         33   48   -2      65.00     4.93    -3.29     0.00     0.05     2.66     0.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   32   46   -3      63.72     5.05    -5.16     0.00     0.03     1.58     0.27P    0.09R    0.00  
MK_Dons         30   44   +6      70.05     5.61    12.09     0.46     1.70    20.75     7.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           31   44   -2      61.37     5.27    -6.92     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.13P    0.39R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    30   43   -4      62.17     5.60    -8.42     0.01     0.05     1.51     0.27P    0.35R    0.00  
Stevenage       31   43   -5      63.52     5.38    -4.94     0.01     0.06     2.05     0.48P    0.13R    0.00  
Carlisle        32   40  -15      56.52     5.07   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    4.13R    0.01  
Preston         32   38   -1      56.23     5.08    -2.48     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    3.49R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      33   37   -4      53.78     4.94    -5.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    8.41R    0.04  
Scunthorpe      33   35  -19      49.54     4.74   -24.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.22R    0.89  
Oldham          32   33  -12      50.00     5.04   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.98R    0.93  
Colchester      32   32  -19      48.75     5.07   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.37R    1.73  
Bury            33   27  -20      42.19     4.84   -24.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.46R   17.32  
Hartlepool      32   24  -25      39.25     4.90   -30.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.69R   39.68  
Portsmouth      33   23  -23      38.86     4.88   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.25R   39.40  


League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           32   62  +25      86.04     5.12    32.23    55.06    96.26    99.90    97.38P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   60  +31      84.06     5.24    38.25    39.29    92.54    99.66    94.88P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   55   +7      75.60     5.21     9.06     2.87    37.77    85.72    49.13P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   53   +7      69.82     4.94     5.40     0.21     7.18    49.47    14.92P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           33   53   +4      71.33     4.96     4.81     0.48    11.81    60.66    23.14P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          33   52   +8      70.63     4.95     9.01     0.23     9.60    57.97    19.51P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               32   52   +8      73.14     5.27    10.84     1.26    23.04    74.03    37.61P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       32   50   +7      68.90     5.20     6.66     0.19     6.34    43.78    14.44P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   47  +12      70.74     5.14    18.69     0.38    11.96    62.10    29.42P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   45   +0      63.29     5.01     0.70     0.00     0.41    10.59     2.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford             31   44   +6      64.27     5.33     5.62     0.02     1.31    17.20     4.88P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         32   43   +6      64.40     5.24     9.26     0.01     1.08    17.61     6.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   42   -5      61.00     5.14    -5.31     0.00     0.12     4.74     1.19P    0.23R    0.05  
Wycombe              32   42   -6      61.52     5.27    -5.60     0.00     0.28     6.35     1.75P    0.21R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red            33   41   -1      58.96     4.92    -0.79     0.00     0.03     2.16     0.49P    0.58R    0.12  
Rochdale             32   41   -2      61.39     5.34    -0.38     0.00     0.26     6.73     1.97P    0.28R    0.07  
York                 33   38  -10      52.47     4.80   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.59R    3.50  
Bristol_Rovers       32   38  -13      55.08     5.12   -16.55     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.09P    4.87R    1.41  
Torquay              32   37   -4      56.87     5.11    -2.94     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.27P    1.71R    0.42  
Aldershot            33   34  -15      49.00     4.72   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.29R   12.77  
Barnet               32   33  -13      48.69     5.02   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.85R   16.07  
Plymouth             32   32  -10      48.66     5.00   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.00R   14.80  
Accrington_Stanley   32   32  -20      48.80     5.06   -23.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.16R   16.99  
AFC_Wimbledon        32   32  -22      46.54     4.86   -29.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.14R   33.78  


Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 22 February 2013, Macclesfield 0 4 Gateshead; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            32   61  +29      88.64     4.95    42.17    59.64    98.39    73.63P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   58  +27      84.03     5.33    35.45    18.95    89.89    39.12P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      32   56  +22      80.43     5.02    30.20     6.09    75.27    24.06P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       33   56  +20      78.36     4.97    26.87     2.37    60.69    15.54P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   56  +18      80.40     5.71    21.77     6.45    69.98    16.55P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   53  +18      79.28     5.60    24.88     5.48    64.50    19.43P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       33   48   +0      67.93     5.04     3.12     0.00     3.06     0.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              29   45   +8      74.86     5.79    18.13     1.01    32.77     9.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.97     5.51    -1.16     0.00     0.87     0.13P    0.15R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      32   42   +1      61.86     5.12     2.01     0.00     0.22     0.05P    0.23R    0.00  
Hereford           30   42   +0      67.44     5.71     5.30     0.00     3.83     0.89P    0.02R    0.00  
Southport          31   42   -3      61.52     5.46    -5.04     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.41R    0.01  
Woking             30   41  -10      57.75     5.52   -19.27     0.00     0.07     0.01P    3.13R    0.19  
Tamworth           32   40   -5      56.96     5.05    -8.51     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.12R    0.22  
Stockport          32   38   -9      53.77     5.03   -14.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.62R    1.03  
Braintree_Town     30   38  -13      57.85     5.57   -17.09     0.00     0.04     0.00     3.95R    0.33  
Alfreton_Town      32   37  -15      53.34     5.06   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.87R    1.66  
Hyde_United        32   36   -4      53.94     5.29    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.90R    1.38  
Lincoln_City       31   35   -9      54.55     5.35   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00P    9.49R    1.27  
Gateshead          30   34   -4      56.41     5.65    -3.34     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.41R    0.66  
Nuneaton           32   34  -15      48.62     5.06   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.91R   11.02  
Barrow             31   32  -28      46.87     5.09   -37.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.24R   19.75  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   31  -17      47.87     5.34   -26.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.39R   16.03  
AFC_Telford        34   30  -11      42.96     4.54   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.17R   46.44