Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 21 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 February 2013, Liverpool 5 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.75     4.24    47.20    97.86    99.92    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.22     4.32    36.97     2.04    76.57    93.77    98.71    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.88     4.51    35.51     0.09    16.19    59.32    84.36    99.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.38     4.70    18.39     0.00     4.06    22.65    51.81    95.16     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.07     4.51    32.10     0.01     3.15    22.28    55.18    96.17     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.90     4.52    10.03     0.00     0.10     1.39     6.22    54.92     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.54     4.47    21.72     0.00     0.01     0.58     3.60    46.49     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      50.09     4.31     0.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.85     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     26   37   +1      52.12     4.60    -1.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     4.94     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.13     4.55    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.90     0.21R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.44     4.37   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.56R    0.15  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.45     4.61    -7.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     2.27R    0.06  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.08     4.54    -8.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.41R    0.04  
Norwich       26   29  -15      42.08     4.36   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     7.80R    0.22  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.65     4.69   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.17R    0.39  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.89     4.71   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     5.00R    0.19  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.62     4.31   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.69R    8.90  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.65     4.36   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.96R    7.46  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.30     4.40   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.37R   18.74  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.58     4.28   -29.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.53R   63.85  


Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 20 February 2013, Leeds_United 2 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          32   67  +20      90.11     5.20    25.84    77.69    92.20    99.98    94.41P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   62  +12      81.61     4.92    14.67     9.27    40.61    98.08    53.90P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   59  +24      79.75     5.05    28.49     6.43    30.08    96.25    47.30P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   58  +19      77.43     4.97    21.43     2.29    14.94    91.09    31.75P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   53  +25      77.94     5.41    31.53     4.20    20.46    91.45    44.37P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    33   51   +1      69.92     5.02     2.62     0.06     0.72    38.29     8.22P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         32   49  +11      69.70     5.22    13.24     0.07     0.84    41.20     9.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    33   45   +1      62.21     4.90     0.14     0.00     0.01     4.07     0.78P    0.56R    0.02  
Leeds_United     32   45   -5      63.70     5.14    -6.05     0.00     0.04     7.16     1.43P    0.41R    0.02  
Derby            33   44   +3      60.89     4.90     1.39     0.00     0.01     2.24     0.52P    1.16R    0.08  
Blackburn        32   44   +2      65.11     5.22     4.90     0.00     0.07    12.22     3.40P    0.18R    0.00  
Burnley          32   44   +1      63.95     5.16     2.04     0.00     0.02     8.40     1.89P    0.30R    0.01  
Charlton         33   43   -2      61.14     5.01    -1.57     0.00     0.00     2.79     0.51P    1.43R    0.11  
Millwall         32   41   -6      59.41     5.14    -7.24     0.00     0.00     1.41     0.24P    3.43R    0.27  
Blackpool        33   40   +1      59.42     5.04     3.36     0.00     0.00     1.56     0.37P    2.74R    0.22  
Bolton           32   39   -1      60.89     5.29     3.10     0.00     0.01     3.16     0.84P    1.99R    0.18  
Birmingham       33   39  -11      57.47     4.99   -10.08     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.12P    6.82R    0.93  
Ipswich          33   38  -20      52.40     4.83   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   34.15R    7.53  
Sheff_Wed        32   37   -9      53.45     5.15   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   25.31R    5.69  
Barnsley         32   37  -10      52.22     4.98   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   33.46R    8.10  
Huddersfield     32   37  -23      52.49     5.03   -28.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   35.15R    9.00  
Wolverhampton    33   35   -9      52.28     4.98    -9.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   30.21R    6.86  
Peterborough     31   33   -8      50.68     5.37   -13.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    44.04R   13.84  
Bristol_City     33   31  -16      46.05     4.81   -20.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.66R   47.14  


League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, Stevenage 1 2 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Swindon         32   58  +33      82.39     5.12    40.61    33.86    55.61    94.22    68.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     33   58  +15      78.38     4.98    18.84     8.40    21.05    77.72    34.12P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       32   58  +15      79.77     5.23    18.81    14.24    30.26    82.38    43.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       32   57  +18      81.91     5.12    26.52    26.90    49.10    92.31    63.84P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          32   57  +15      78.05     5.24    17.71     8.14    19.90    74.68    29.27P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        33   56  +14      74.66     4.93    15.31     1.92     6.51    49.87    15.66P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   54  +13      76.55     5.37    15.98     5.49    13.51    63.59    25.22P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        33   50  +13      71.51     4.97    18.44     0.49     2.00    28.77     9.61P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         33   48   -2      64.94     4.91    -3.37     0.01     0.02     2.71     0.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   32   46   -3      63.73     5.11    -5.15     0.00     0.03     1.82     0.32P    0.10R    0.00  
Notts_County    32   45   +9      65.95     5.19    11.69     0.03     0.19     6.12     1.53P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         30   44   +6      70.10     5.62    12.16     0.51     1.71    21.52     7.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           31   44   -2      61.41     5.28    -6.87     0.00     0.02     0.90     0.13P    0.42R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    30   43   -4      62.07     5.54    -8.57     0.00     0.04     1.42     0.24P    0.36R    0.00  
Stevenage       31   43   -5      63.43     5.36    -5.09     0.00     0.04     1.90     0.38P    0.19R    0.00  
Carlisle        32   40  -15      56.58     5.12   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    4.36R    0.01  
Preston         32   38   -1      56.30     5.13    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    3.88R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      33   37   -4      53.72     4.94    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.21R    0.06  
Scunthorpe      33   35  -19      49.47     4.75   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.87R    1.02  
Oldham          32   33  -12      50.02     5.07   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.81R    1.13  
Colchester      32   32  -19      48.80     5.08   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.06R    1.86  
Bury            32   27  -17      43.26     5.04   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.08R   13.49  
Hartlepool      32   24  -25      39.22     4.92   -30.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.94R   41.17  
Portsmouth      33   23  -23      38.79     4.90   -25.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.68R   41.23  


League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           32   62  +25      86.03     5.12    32.23    55.40    96.19    99.91    97.40P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   60  +31      84.04     5.19    38.25    39.10    92.65    99.71    94.92P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   55   +7      75.61     5.14     9.07     2.71    37.78    85.94    49.17P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   53   +7      69.79     4.95     5.33     0.24     7.00    49.34    14.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           33   53   +4      71.38     4.92     4.84     0.47    12.01    61.13    23.52P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          33   52   +8      70.61     4.92     9.00     0.26     9.69    58.02    19.58P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               32   52   +8      73.18     5.29    10.90     1.30    23.16    74.32    37.74P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       32   50   +7      68.81     5.20     6.53     0.14     6.02    42.76    13.81P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   47  +12      70.76     5.13    18.73     0.34    12.04    62.46    29.71P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   45   +0      63.27     5.00     0.70     0.00     0.47    10.53     2.87P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford             31   44   +6      64.26     5.33     5.62     0.02     1.26    17.16     4.78P    0.03R    0.00  
Chesterfield         32   43   +6      64.36     5.23     9.20     0.01     1.12    17.65     6.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   42   -5      60.98     5.16    -5.31     0.00     0.12     4.66     1.18P    0.24R    0.02  
Wycombe              32   42   -6      61.55     5.27    -5.60     0.00     0.24     6.37     1.76P    0.22R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red            33   41   -1      58.96     4.95    -0.81     0.00     0.05     2.20     0.54P    0.54R    0.11  
Rochdale             32   41   -2      61.44     5.27    -0.26     0.00     0.20     6.51     1.94P    0.23R    0.05  
York                 33   38  -10      52.49     4.83   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   10.65R    3.55  
Bristol_Rovers       32   38  -13      55.14     5.10   -16.43     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P    4.78R    1.43  
Torquay              32   37   -4      56.86     5.14    -3.01     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.25P    1.89R    0.50  
Aldershot            33   34  -15      49.02     4.73   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    29.15R   12.74  
Barnet               32   33  -13      48.70     5.01   -18.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.61R   15.87  
Plymouth             32   32  -10      48.63     4.99   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   31.20R   15.03  
Accrington_Stanley   32   32  -20      48.77     5.06   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.62R   17.13  
AFC_Wimbledon        32   32  -22      46.55     4.92   -29.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.77R   33.55  


Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, Barrow 2 0 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            32   61  +29      88.66     4.97    42.24    59.73    98.43    73.91P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   58  +27      83.98     5.33    35.37    18.77    89.23    38.98P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      32   56  +22      80.38     5.02    30.13     6.14    74.22    23.25P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       33   56  +20      78.41     4.96    26.92     2.33    59.75    15.18P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   56  +18      80.38     5.69    21.64     6.53    68.83    16.34P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   53  +18      79.30     5.60    24.90     5.47    63.60    19.52P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       32   48   +4      70.53     5.24     8.98     0.05     8.47     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              29   45   +8      74.85     5.78    18.13     0.98    31.97     9.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.96     5.49    -1.21     0.00     0.82     0.10P    0.12R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      32   42   +1      61.82     5.16     1.94     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.21R    0.00  
Hereford           30   42   +0      67.57     5.66     5.54     0.00     4.04     0.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Southport          31   42   -3      61.57     5.46    -4.96     0.00     0.29     0.05P    0.41R    0.01  
Woking             30   41  -10      57.57     5.54   -19.55     0.00     0.05     0.00     3.23R    0.20  
Tamworth           32   40   -5      57.06     5.11    -8.38     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.87R    0.16  
Stockport          32   38   -9      53.90     5.04   -14.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.48R    0.95  
Braintree_Town     30   38  -13      57.93     5.59   -16.96     0.00     0.05     0.01P    3.44R    0.25  
Alfreton_Town      32   37  -15      53.35     5.08   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.24R    1.49  
Hyde_United        32   36   -4      53.90     5.25    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.38R    1.27  
Lincoln_City       31   35   -9      54.50     5.37   -11.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.98R    1.29  
Nuneaton           32   34  -15      48.66     5.08   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.08R   10.65  
Barrow             31   32  -28      46.75     5.02   -38.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.85R   19.71  
Gateshead          29   31   -8      53.47     5.79    -9.32     0.00     0.01     0.00P   13.93R    2.56  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   31  -17      47.96     5.37   -26.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.56R   15.34  
AFC_Telford        34   30  -11      42.91     4.51   -16.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.20R   46.10