Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 21 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 February 2013, Liverpool 5 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 26 65 +31 90.75 4.24 47.20 97.86 99.92 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 53 +24 77.22 4.32 36.97 2.04 76.57 93.77 98.71 99.98 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 26 49 +27 70.88 4.51 35.51 0.09 16.19 59.32 84.36 99.22 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 48 +14 67.38 4.70 18.39 0.00 4.06 22.65 51.81 95.16 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 44 +21 67.07 4.51 32.10 0.01 3.15 22.28 55.18 96.17 0.00 0.00 Everton 26 42 +8 59.90 4.52 10.03 0.00 0.10 1.39 6.22 54.92 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 27 39 +15 58.54 4.47 21.72 0.00 0.01 0.58 3.60 46.49 0.00 0.00 Swansea 27 37 +4 50.09 4.31 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.85 0.01R 0.00 West_Brom 26 37 +1 52.12 4.60 -1.71 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 4.94 0.01R 0.00 Stoke 26 33 -5 48.13 4.55 -6.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.90 0.21R 0.00 West_Ham 26 30 -9 42.44 4.37 -16.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 5.56R 0.15 Fulham 26 29 -6 44.45 4.61 -7.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 2.27R 0.06 Sunderland 26 29 -6 44.08 4.54 -8.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 2.41R 0.04 Norwich 26 29 -15 42.08 4.36 -21.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 7.80R 0.22 Southampton 26 27 -9 41.65 4.69 -12.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 8.17R 0.39 Newcastle 26 27 -12 42.89 4.71 -13.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 5.00R 0.19 Aston_Villa 26 24 -25 35.62 4.31 -33.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.69R 8.90 Reading 26 23 -15 35.65 4.36 -22.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.96R 7.46 Wigan 26 21 -21 33.30 4.40 -28.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.37R 18.74 QPR 26 17 -22 28.58 4.28 -29.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.53R 63.85Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 20 February 2013, Leeds_United 2 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Cardiff 32 67 +20 90.11 5.20 25.84 77.69 92.20 99.98 94.41P 0.00 0.00 Hull 33 62 +12 81.61 4.92 14.67 9.27 40.61 98.08 53.90P 0.00 0.00 Watford 33 59 +24 79.75 5.05 28.49 6.43 30.08 96.25 47.30P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 33 58 +19 77.43 4.97 21.43 2.29 14.94 91.09 31.75P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 31 53 +25 77.94 5.41 31.53 4.20 20.46 91.45 44.37P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 33 51 +1 69.92 5.02 2.62 0.06 0.72 38.29 8.22P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 32 49 +11 69.70 5.22 13.24 0.07 0.84 41.20 9.91P 0.01R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 33 45 +1 62.21 4.90 0.14 0.00 0.01 4.07 0.78P 0.56R 0.02 Leeds_United 32 45 -5 63.70 5.14 -6.05 0.00 0.04 7.16 1.43P 0.41R 0.02 Derby 33 44 +3 60.89 4.90 1.39 0.00 0.01 2.24 0.52P 1.16R 0.08 Blackburn 32 44 +2 65.11 5.22 4.90 0.00 0.07 12.22 3.40P 0.18R 0.00 Burnley 32 44 +1 63.95 5.16 2.04 0.00 0.02 8.40 1.89P 0.30R 0.01 Charlton 33 43 -2 61.14 5.01 -1.57 0.00 0.00 2.79 0.51P 1.43R 0.11 Millwall 32 41 -6 59.41 5.14 -7.24 0.00 0.00 1.41 0.24P 3.43R 0.27 Blackpool 33 40 +1 59.42 5.04 3.36 0.00 0.00 1.56 0.37P 2.74R 0.22 Bolton 32 39 -1 60.89 5.29 3.10 0.00 0.01 3.16 0.84P 1.99R 0.18 Birmingham 33 39 -11 57.47 4.99 -10.08 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.12P 6.82R 0.93 Ipswich 33 38 -20 52.40 4.83 -25.39 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 34.15R 7.53 Sheff_Wed 32 37 -9 53.45 5.15 -13.53 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 25.31R 5.69 Barnsley 32 37 -10 52.22 4.98 -16.04 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 33.46R 8.10 Huddersfield 32 37 -23 52.49 5.03 -28.93 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 35.15R 9.00 Wolverhampton 33 35 -9 52.28 4.98 -9.74 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 30.21R 6.86 Peterborough 31 33 -8 50.68 5.37 -13.55 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 44.04R 13.84 Bristol_City 33 31 -16 46.05 4.81 -20.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.66R 47.14League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, Stevenage 1 2 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Swindon 32 58 +33 82.39 5.12 40.61 33.86 55.61 94.22 68.52P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 33 58 +15 78.38 4.98 18.84 8.40 21.05 77.72 34.12P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 32 58 +15 79.77 5.23 18.81 14.24 30.26 82.38 43.47P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 32 57 +18 81.91 5.12 26.52 26.90 49.10 92.31 63.84P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 32 57 +15 78.05 5.24 17.71 8.14 19.90 74.68 29.27P 0.00 0.00 Tranmere 33 56 +14 74.66 4.93 15.31 1.92 6.51 49.87 15.66P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 31 54 +13 76.55 5.37 15.98 5.49 13.51 63.59 25.22P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 33 50 +13 71.51 4.97 18.44 0.49 2.00 28.77 9.61P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 33 48 -2 64.94 4.91 -3.37 0.01 0.02 2.71 0.50P 0.02R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 32 46 -3 63.73 5.11 -5.15 0.00 0.03 1.82 0.32P 0.10R 0.00 Notts_County 32 45 +9 65.95 5.19 11.69 0.03 0.19 6.12 1.53P 0.01R 0.00 MK_Dons 30 44 +6 70.10 5.62 12.16 0.51 1.71 21.52 7.18P 0.01R 0.00 Crewe 31 44 -2 61.41 5.28 -6.87 0.00 0.02 0.90 0.13P 0.42R 0.00 Crawley_Town 30 43 -4 62.07 5.54 -8.57 0.00 0.04 1.42 0.24P 0.36R 0.00 Stevenage 31 43 -5 63.43 5.36 -5.09 0.00 0.04 1.90 0.38P 0.19R 0.00 Carlisle 32 40 -15 56.58 5.12 -19.30 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 4.36R 0.01 Preston 32 38 -1 56.30 5.13 -2.40 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 3.88R 0.01 Shrewsbury 33 37 -4 53.72 4.94 -5.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.21R 0.06 Scunthorpe 33 35 -19 49.47 4.75 -24.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.87R 1.02 Oldham 32 33 -12 50.02 5.07 -15.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.81R 1.13 Colchester 32 32 -19 48.80 5.08 -22.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.06R 1.86 Bury 32 27 -17 43.26 5.04 -21.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.08R 13.49 Hartlepool 32 24 -25 39.22 4.92 -30.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.94R 41.17 Portsmouth 33 23 -23 38.79 4.90 -25.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 95.68R 41.23League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Gillingham 32 62 +25 86.03 5.12 32.23 55.40 96.19 99.91 97.40P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 32 60 +31 84.04 5.19 38.25 39.10 92.65 99.71 94.92P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 32 55 +7 75.61 5.14 9.07 2.71 37.78 85.94 49.17P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 33 53 +7 69.79 4.95 5.33 0.24 7.00 49.34 14.54P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 33 53 +4 71.38 4.92 4.84 0.47 12.01 61.13 23.52P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 33 52 +8 70.61 4.92 9.00 0.26 9.69 58.02 19.58P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 32 52 +8 73.18 5.29 10.90 1.30 23.16 74.32 37.74P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 32 50 +7 68.81 5.20 6.53 0.14 6.02 42.76 13.81P 0.00 0.00 Southend 32 47 +12 70.76 5.13 18.73 0.34 12.04 62.46 29.71P 0.00 0.00 Morecambe 33 45 +0 63.27 5.00 0.70 0.00 0.47 10.53 2.87P 0.03R 0.00 Bradford 31 44 +6 64.26 5.33 5.62 0.02 1.26 17.16 4.78P 0.03R 0.00 Chesterfield 32 43 +6 64.36 5.23 9.20 0.01 1.12 17.65 6.19P 0.02R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 32 42 -5 60.98 5.16 -5.31 0.00 0.12 4.66 1.18P 0.24R 0.02 Wycombe 32 42 -6 61.55 5.27 -5.60 0.00 0.24 6.37 1.76P 0.22R 0.03 Dag_&_Red 33 41 -1 58.96 4.95 -0.81 0.00 0.05 2.20 0.54P 0.54R 0.11 Rochdale 32 41 -2 61.44 5.27 -0.26 0.00 0.20 6.51 1.94P 0.23R 0.05 York 33 38 -10 52.49 4.83 -14.95 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 10.65R 3.55 Bristol_Rovers 32 38 -13 55.14 5.10 -16.43 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.07P 4.78R 1.43 Torquay 32 37 -4 56.86 5.14 -3.01 0.00 0.01 0.89 0.25P 1.89R 0.50 Aldershot 33 34 -15 49.02 4.73 -18.89 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 29.15R 12.74 Barnet 32 33 -13 48.70 5.01 -18.06 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 32.61R 15.87 Plymouth 32 32 -10 48.63 4.99 -13.63 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 31.20R 15.03 Accrington_Stanley 32 32 -20 48.77 5.06 -23.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.62R 17.13 AFC_Wimbledon 32 32 -22 46.55 4.92 -29.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.77R 33.55Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, Barrow 2 0 Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 32 61 +29 88.66 4.97 42.24 59.73 98.43 73.91P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 31 58 +27 83.98 5.33 35.37 18.77 89.23 38.98P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 32 56 +22 80.38 5.02 30.13 6.14 74.22 23.25P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 33 56 +20 78.41 4.96 26.92 2.33 59.75 15.18P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 30 56 +18 80.38 5.69 21.64 6.53 68.83 16.34P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 30 53 +18 79.30 5.60 24.90 5.47 63.60 19.52P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 32 48 +4 70.53 5.24 8.98 0.05 8.47 1.90P 0.00 0.00 Luton 29 45 +8 74.85 5.78 18.13 0.98 31.97 9.78P 0.00 0.00 Dartford 31 44 +0 63.96 5.49 -1.21 0.00 0.82 0.10P 0.12R 0.01 Cambridge_Utd 32 42 +1 61.82 5.16 1.94 0.00 0.21 0.04P 0.21R 0.00 Hereford 30 42 +0 67.57 5.66 5.54 0.00 4.04 0.93P 0.02R 0.00 Southport 31 42 -3 61.57 5.46 -4.96 0.00 0.29 0.05P 0.41R 0.01 Woking 30 41 -10 57.57 5.54 -19.55 0.00 0.05 0.00 3.23R 0.20 Tamworth 32 40 -5 57.06 5.11 -8.38 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.87R 0.16 Stockport 32 38 -9 53.90 5.04 -14.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.48R 0.95 Braintree_Town 30 38 -13 57.93 5.59 -16.96 0.00 0.05 0.01P 3.44R 0.25 Alfreton_Town 32 37 -15 53.35 5.08 -20.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.24R 1.49 Hyde_United 32 36 -4 53.90 5.25 -6.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.38R 1.27 Lincoln_City 31 35 -9 54.50 5.37 -11.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.98R 1.29 Nuneaton 32 34 -15 48.66 5.08 -22.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.08R 10.65 Barrow 31 32 -28 46.75 5.02 -38.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.85R 19.71 Gateshead 29 31 -8 53.47 5.79 -9.32 0.00 0.01 0.00P 13.93R 2.56 Ebbsfleet_United 30 31 -17 47.96 5.37 -26.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.56R 15.34 AFC_Telford 34 30 -11 42.91 4.51 -16.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.20R 46.10