Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 20 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 February 2013, Liverpool 5 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.69     4.22    47.06    97.88    99.95   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.22     4.33    36.94     2.01    76.29    93.40    98.59    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.94     4.51    35.61     0.10    16.16    59.61    84.24    99.19     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.39     4.71    18.39     0.01     4.23    22.65    51.73    95.20     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.11     4.51    32.21     0.00     3.26    22.29    55.40    96.16     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.88     4.53    10.00     0.00     0.10     1.43     6.26    54.95     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.54     4.47    21.74     0.00     0.02     0.61     3.62    46.39     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      50.06     4.34     0.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     1.92     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     26   37   +1      52.08     4.57    -1.75     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     4.83     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.13     4.57    -6.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.21R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.40     4.38   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     5.68R    0.12  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.42     4.61    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     2.18R    0.05  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.18     4.54    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.28R    0.04  
Norwich       26   29  -15      42.14     4.40   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.71R    0.24  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.70     4.70   -12.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.94R    0.37  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.86     4.70   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.14R    0.24  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.56     4.27   -33.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.11R    8.74  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.68     4.40   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.75R    7.47  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.25     4.40   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.62R   19.10  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.59     4.29   -29.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.35R   63.62  


Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 20 February 2013, Leeds_United 2 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          32   67  +20      90.16     5.22    25.86    77.75    92.15    99.98    94.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   62  +12      81.58     4.92    14.64     9.11    40.33    98.01    53.95P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   59  +24      79.79     5.06    28.53     6.56    30.38    96.37    47.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   58  +19      77.36     4.99    21.34     2.21    14.73    90.78    31.76P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   53  +25      77.96     5.38    31.56     4.26    20.70    91.64    44.14P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    33   51   +1      69.94     4.99     2.67     0.06     0.65    38.16     8.20P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         32   49  +11      69.77     5.23    13.36     0.05     0.90    41.62    10.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    33   45   +1      62.22     4.87     0.16     0.00     0.01     3.93     0.75P    0.56R    0.02  
Leeds_United     32   45   -5      63.75     5.16    -5.96     0.00     0.03     7.38     1.42P    0.48R    0.02  
Derby            33   44   +3      60.91     4.91     1.43     0.00     0.00     2.39     0.43P    1.16R    0.07  
Blackburn        32   44   +2      65.03     5.24     4.75     0.00     0.08    12.25     3.39P    0.16R    0.00  
Burnley          32   44   +1      63.84     5.14     1.87     0.00     0.03     7.96     1.75P    0.38R    0.02  
Charlton         33   43   -2      61.09     5.03    -1.64     0.00     0.00     2.87     0.54P    1.37R    0.10  
Millwall         32   41   -6      59.30     5.13    -7.36     0.00     0.00     1.29     0.23P    3.53R    0.27  
Blackpool        33   40   +1      59.41     5.02     3.40     0.00     0.00     1.51     0.41P    2.62R    0.27  
Bolton           32   39   -1      60.87     5.29     3.05     0.00     0.01     3.29     0.96P    2.01R    0.22  
Birmingham       33   39  -11      57.48     5.01   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.11P    7.15R    1.01  
Ipswich          33   38  -20      52.46     4.84   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   34.02R    7.45  
Sheff_Wed        32   37   -9      53.33     5.11   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   26.02R    5.74  
Barnsley         32   37  -10      52.32     4.94   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    32.57R    7.72  
Huddersfield     32   37  -23      52.55     5.02   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   34.71R    8.94  
Wolverhampton    33   35   -9      52.25     4.97    -9.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   30.77R    7.12  
Peterborough     31   33   -8      50.81     5.39   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   43.47R   13.38  
Bristol_City     33   31  -16      45.99     4.82   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.03R   47.65  


League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, Stevenage 1 2 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Swindon         32   58  +33      82.26     5.13    40.39    33.28    54.31    93.77    67.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     33   58  +15      78.38     4.97    18.83     8.62    21.62    77.53    34.31P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       32   58  +15      79.71     5.21    18.74    14.00    29.97    82.35    42.96P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       32   57  +18      81.80     5.11    26.37    26.81    48.63    92.14    63.15P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          32   57  +15      77.97     5.25    17.61     8.40    19.78    73.76    29.12P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        33   56  +14      74.66     4.92    15.35     2.01     6.76    50.07    15.71P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   54  +13      76.70     5.34    16.20     5.81    14.53    64.64    26.34P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        33   50  +13      71.56     5.02    18.54     0.52     2.31    29.41    10.06P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         33   48   -2      64.93     4.93    -3.38     0.01     0.07     2.76     0.55P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   32   46   -3      63.81     5.08    -5.00     0.01     0.03     1.81     0.32P    0.09R    0.00  
Notts_County    32   45   +9      66.00     5.19    11.72     0.03     0.19     6.28     1.67P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         30   44   +6      70.10     5.58    12.12     0.49     1.69    21.02     7.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           31   44   -2      61.38     5.30    -6.90     0.00     0.02     0.89     0.16P    0.42R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    30   43   -4      62.09     5.58    -8.52     0.01     0.03     1.44     0.24P    0.40R    0.00  
Stevenage       31   43   -5      63.52     5.38    -4.96     0.01     0.05     2.03     0.50P    0.17R    0.00  
Carlisle        32   40  -15      56.54     5.12   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.63R    0.01  
Preston         32   38   -1      56.33     5.12    -2.36     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P    3.74R    0.02  
Shrewsbury      33   37   -4      53.77     4.94    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.93R    0.05  
Scunthorpe      33   35  -19      49.49     4.75   -24.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.79R    1.05  
Oldham          32   33  -12      49.97     5.00   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    30.89R    1.03  
Colchester      32   32  -19      48.74     5.10   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.52R    1.97  
Bury            32   27  -17      43.35     5.02   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.82R   13.41  
Hartlepool      32   24  -25      39.17     4.90   -30.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.96R   41.40  
Portsmouth      33   23  -23      38.80     4.90   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.59R   41.07  


League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           32   62  +25      86.12     5.12    32.36    55.68    96.26    99.93    97.50P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   60  +31      84.07     5.22    38.28    39.02    92.60    99.69    94.84P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   55   +7      75.58     5.20     9.01     2.57    37.66    85.84    49.19P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   53   +7      69.80     4.94     5.35     0.21     7.11    49.42    14.49P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           33   53   +4      71.24     4.93     4.67     0.40    11.50    59.95    22.47P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          33   52   +8      70.65     4.93     9.04     0.27     9.89    58.20    19.68P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               32   52   +8      73.16     5.29    10.87     1.33    23.21    73.89    38.08P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       32   50   +7      68.85     5.23     6.60     0.17     6.21    43.41    13.98P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   47  +12      70.80     5.12    18.75     0.33    12.03    62.97    30.08P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   45   +0      63.24     4.99     0.65     0.00     0.42    10.60     2.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford             31   44   +6      64.38     5.36     5.78     0.01     1.40    17.85     5.10P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         32   43   +6      64.31     5.22     9.12     0.01     1.02    17.23     6.11P    0.02R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           32   42   -5      61.05     5.17    -5.21     0.00     0.15     4.78     1.18P    0.25R    0.03  
Wycombe              32   42   -6      61.48     5.28    -5.65     0.00     0.24     6.30     1.76P    0.24R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red            33   41   -1      59.00     4.92    -0.76     0.00     0.05     2.05     0.50P    0.48R    0.09  
Rochdale             32   41   -2      61.42     5.28    -0.30     0.00     0.22     6.62     1.89P    0.25R    0.05  
York                 33   38  -10      52.47     4.82   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   10.47R    3.48  
Bristol_Rovers       32   38  -13      55.12     5.12   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.07P    4.73R    1.38  
Torquay              32   37   -4      56.83     5.14    -3.02     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.26P    1.85R    0.46  
Aldershot            33   34  -15      48.97     4.75   -18.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.45R   12.81  
Barnet               32   33  -13      48.78     5.04   -17.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.32R   15.70  
Plymouth             32   32  -10      48.54     5.00   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   32.01R   15.40  
Accrington_Stanley   32   32  -20      48.78     5.04   -23.72     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.24R   16.96  
AFC_Wimbledon        32   32  -22      46.55     4.90   -29.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.63R   33.58  


Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, Barrow 2 0 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            32   61  +29      88.62     4.97    42.13    59.78    98.30    73.87P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   58  +27      83.96     5.34    35.37    18.84    88.93    38.41P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      32   56  +22      80.44     5.00    30.25     6.10    74.70    23.72P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       33   56  +20      78.46     4.99    26.99     2.36    60.28    15.32P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   56  +18      80.42     5.68    21.76     6.42    68.90    16.63P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   53  +18      79.30     5.54    24.92     5.40    63.59    19.31P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       32   48   +4      70.46     5.23     8.89     0.05     8.15     1.81P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              29   45   +8      74.83     5.79    18.06     1.04    31.73     9.81P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.85     5.50    -1.38     0.00     0.83     0.13P    0.10R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      32   42   +1      61.82     5.14     1.95     0.00     0.17     0.04P    0.22R    0.00  
Hereford           30   42   +0      67.65     5.64     5.65     0.01     3.96     0.90P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport          31   42   -3      61.58     5.43    -4.96     0.00     0.34     0.04P    0.42R    0.02  
Woking             30   41  -10      57.55     5.50   -19.60     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.19R    0.19  
Tamworth           32   40   -5      56.97     5.10    -8.54     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.91R    0.16  
Stockport          32   38   -9      53.84     5.05   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.76R    0.91  
Braintree_Town     30   38  -13      58.02     5.61   -16.79     0.00     0.05     0.00P    3.59R    0.29  
Alfreton_Town      32   37  -15      53.34     5.03   -20.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.91R    1.50  
Hyde_United        32   36   -4      53.80     5.23    -6.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.63R    1.29  
Lincoln_City       31   35   -9      54.54     5.39   -11.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.99R    1.28  
Nuneaton           32   34  -15      48.73     5.03   -22.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.75R   10.38  
Barrow             31   32  -28      46.82     5.03   -38.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.24R   19.51  
Gateshead          29   31   -8      53.59     5.76    -9.14     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.29R    2.43  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   31  -17      47.82     5.34   -26.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.83R   16.24  
AFC_Telford        34   30  -11      42.98     4.52   -16.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.12R   45.80