Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 19 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 February 2013, Liverpool 5 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.78     4.23    47.25    98.00    99.92   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.17     4.31    36.92     1.89    76.32    93.51    98.66    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.93     4.50    35.61     0.10    16.24    59.35    84.18    99.24     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.43     4.67    18.46     0.00     4.10    22.84    52.38    95.38     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.06     4.52    32.08     0.01     3.28    22.22    54.69    95.91     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.91     4.54    10.08     0.00     0.11     1.44     6.31    54.89     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.55     4.48    21.73     0.00     0.01     0.62     3.61    46.52     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      50.07     4.32     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.05     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     26   37   +1      52.09     4.58    -1.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     4.79     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.07     4.53    -6.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.77     0.22R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.44     4.40   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.70R    0.12  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.38     4.62    -7.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     2.29R    0.06  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.07     4.53    -8.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.36R    0.05  
Norwich       26   29  -15      42.12     4.37   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.66R    0.25  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.67     4.69   -12.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.09R    0.38  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.93     4.69   -13.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     4.98R    0.23  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.62     4.29   -33.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.66R    8.87  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.64     4.40   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.91R    7.68  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.27     4.40   -28.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.71R   19.10  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.61     4.29   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.39R   63.26  


Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, Barnsley 2 1 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          32   67  +20      90.18     5.16    25.93    78.00    92.54    99.98    94.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             33   62  +12      81.57     4.95    14.63     9.23    40.35    98.01    53.72P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          33   59  +24      79.76     5.03    28.50     6.39    30.25    96.41    47.31P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   33   58  +19      77.35     4.98    21.34     2.24    14.40    90.95    31.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        31   53  +25      77.93     5.40    31.52     4.03    20.71    91.51    44.40P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    33   51   +1      69.90     5.00     2.60     0.07     0.70    38.55     8.22P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         32   49  +11      69.76     5.21    13.28     0.04     0.89    41.82     9.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    33   45   +1      62.19     4.86     0.08     0.00     0.00     3.86     0.84P    0.55R    0.02  
Derby            33   44   +3      60.83     4.88     1.32     0.00     0.00     2.34     0.43P    1.10R    0.04  
Blackburn        32   44   +2      65.15     5.22     4.92     0.01     0.10    12.54     3.56P    0.18R    0.01  
Burnley          32   44   +1      63.96     5.13     2.00     0.00     0.03     8.22     1.81P    0.34R    0.02  
Charlton         33   43   -2      61.10     5.03    -1.60     0.00     0.00     2.73     0.59P    1.41R    0.11  
Leeds_United     31   42   -7      61.85     5.37    -8.48     0.00     0.01     4.06     0.74P    1.55R    0.11  
Millwall         32   41   -6      59.45     5.14    -7.17     0.00     0.00     1.46     0.31P    3.28R    0.27  
Blackpool        32   40   +3      61.15     5.22     5.97     0.00     0.01     3.72     1.03P    1.36R    0.13  
Bolton           32   39   -1      60.85     5.30     3.02     0.00     0.00     3.18     0.83P    2.05R    0.21  
Birmingham       33   39  -11      57.48     5.00   -10.06     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.12P    7.04R    0.89  
Ipswich          33   38  -20      52.46     4.88   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   34.20R    7.36  
Sheff_Wed        32   37   -9      53.31     5.09   -13.74     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   26.01R    5.65  
Barnsley         32   37  -10      52.31     5.00   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   32.80R    7.90  
Huddersfield     32   37  -23      52.54     5.06   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   34.60R    8.78  
Wolverhampton    33   35   -9      52.22     4.97    -9.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   30.68R    6.98  
Peterborough     31   33   -8      50.74     5.40   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   43.89R   13.64  
Bristol_City     33   31  -16      45.96     4.83   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.98R   47.88  


League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, Stevenage 1 2 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Swindon         32   58  +33      82.31     5.12    40.50    33.33    54.75    93.88    68.00P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     33   58  +15      78.44     4.99    18.85     8.59    21.66    77.69    34.44P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       32   58  +15      79.73     5.22    18.75    14.16    30.07    82.42    43.16P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       32   57  +18      81.80     5.11    26.38    26.70    48.40    92.12    63.14P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          32   57  +15      78.04     5.26    17.72     8.34    20.04    74.20    29.40P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        33   56  +14      74.63     4.92    15.29     2.06     6.58    49.64    15.38P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   54  +13      76.62     5.38    16.07     5.71    14.20    64.04    25.95P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        33   50  +13      71.49     5.02    18.41     0.54     2.14    29.07     9.74P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         33   48   -2      64.98     4.95    -3.33     0.00     0.04     2.74     0.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   32   46   -3      63.78     5.10    -5.02     0.00     0.01     1.68     0.28P    0.08R    0.00  
Notts_County    32   45   +9      66.00     5.16    11.74     0.03     0.19     6.22     1.74P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         30   44   +6      70.18     5.61    12.24     0.52     1.79    22.02     7.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           31   44   -2      61.35     5.31    -6.95     0.01     0.01     0.88     0.13P    0.38R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    30   43   -4      62.06     5.55    -8.56     0.01     0.05     1.38     0.23P    0.43R    0.00  
Stevenage       31   43   -5      63.53     5.35    -4.94     0.01     0.05     1.93     0.43P    0.20R    0.00  
Carlisle        32   40  -15      56.56     5.11   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    4.51R    0.02  
Preston         32   38   -1      56.33     5.10    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P    3.72R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      33   37   -4      53.63     4.93    -5.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.22R    0.07  
Scunthorpe      33   35  -19      49.49     4.78   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.87R    1.02  
Oldham          32   33  -12      49.95     5.04   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    31.24R    1.05  
Colchester      32   32  -19      48.78     5.07   -22.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.16R    1.89  
Bury            32   27  -17      43.30     5.02   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.86R   13.32  
Hartlepool      32   24  -25      39.19     4.91   -30.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.96R   41.81  
Portsmouth      33   23  -23      38.87     4.93   -25.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.34R   40.81  


League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           32   62  +25      86.00     5.10    32.21    55.11    96.26    99.91    97.43P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   60  +31      84.07     5.23    38.28    39.48    92.57    99.67    94.83P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            32   55   +7      75.61     5.19     9.06     2.61    37.73    85.95    49.37P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   53   +7      69.83     4.96     5.41     0.25     7.11    49.90    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           33   53   +4      71.27     4.96     4.70     0.50    11.79    60.33    23.09P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          33   52   +8      70.60     4.93     8.94     0.24     9.59    57.63    19.27P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               32   52   +8      73.13     5.26    10.85     1.24    22.76    74.03    37.56P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       32   50   +7      68.90     5.23     6.66     0.17     6.40    43.76    14.41P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   47  +12      70.82     5.17    18.78     0.37    12.34    62.77    29.74P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   45   +0      63.21     5.00     0.59     0.01     0.43    10.42     2.59P    0.04R    0.01  
Bradford             31   44   +6      64.25     5.32     5.60     0.01     1.31    17.09     4.98P    0.03R    0.01  
Chesterfield         32   43   +6      64.38     5.21     9.21     0.02     1.06    17.53     6.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   42   -5      61.03     5.12    -5.26     0.00     0.11     4.56     1.15P    0.22R    0.03  
Wycombe              32   42   -6      61.53     5.25    -5.57     0.00     0.25     6.29     1.83P    0.19R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red            33   41   -1      58.97     4.92    -0.79     0.00     0.03     2.17     0.50P    0.54R    0.12  
Rochdale             32   41   -2      61.45     5.31    -0.26     0.00     0.23     6.72     1.99P    0.29R    0.04  
York                 33   38  -10      52.48     4.83   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.63R    3.63  
Bristol_Rovers       32   38  -13      55.10     5.10   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.08P    4.84R    1.36  
Torquay              32   37   -4      56.81     5.10    -3.03     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.21P    1.84R    0.46  
Aldershot            33   34  -15      49.04     4.74   -18.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    29.16R   12.66  
Barnet               32   33  -13      48.68     5.01   -18.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.77R   15.95  
Plymouth             32   32  -10      48.62     4.98   -13.67     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.30R   14.91  
Accrington_Stanley   32   32  -20      48.75     5.05   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.84R   17.35  
AFC_Wimbledon        32   32  -22      46.63     4.91   -29.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.29R   33.43  


Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 19 February 2013, Barrow 2 0 Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Wrexham            32   61  +29      88.64     4.98    42.17    59.76    98.41    73.66P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            31   58  +27      84.03     5.32    35.43    18.84    89.49    38.85P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      32   56  +22      80.43     5.02    30.23     6.23    74.82    24.03P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       33   56  +20      78.40     4.96    26.90     2.12    59.61    14.80P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   56  +18      80.42     5.71    21.79     6.47    68.92    16.57P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          30   53  +18      79.24     5.58    24.80     5.44    63.09    19.36P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       32   48   +4      70.42     5.26     8.83     0.06     8.20     1.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              29   45   +8      74.82     5.82    18.09     1.07    31.96     9.75P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.93     5.49    -1.23     0.00     0.81     0.09P    0.10R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      32   42   +1      61.91     5.16     2.06     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.25R    0.01  
Hereford           30   42   +0      67.59     5.67     5.56     0.02     4.04     0.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Southport          31   42   -3      61.62     5.46    -4.92     0.00     0.34     0.06P    0.34R    0.01  
Woking             30   41  -10      57.55     5.54   -19.59     0.00     0.06     0.01P    3.32R    0.23  
Tamworth           32   40   -5      56.97     5.07    -8.52     0.00     0.01     0.00     2.90R    0.19  
Stockport          32   38   -9      53.85     5.07   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.57R    1.00  
Braintree_Town     30   38  -13      57.87     5.57   -17.07     0.00     0.04     0.00P    3.52R    0.27  
Alfreton_Town      32   37  -15      53.45     5.08   -20.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.99R    1.50  
Hyde_United        32   36   -4      53.91     5.27    -6.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.24R    1.31  
Lincoln_City       31   35   -9      54.53     5.37   -11.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.99R    1.17  
Nuneaton           32   34  -15      48.68     5.10   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.98R   10.64  
Barrow             31   32  -28      46.84     5.05   -37.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.29R   19.46  
Gateshead          29   31   -8      53.57     5.77    -9.18     0.00     0.01     0.00    13.58R    2.35  
Ebbsfleet_United   30   31  -17      47.82     5.33   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.43R   15.78  
AFC_Telford        34   30  -11      42.90     4.52   -16.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.48R   46.09