Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 19 February 2013 at 01:16:07 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 February 2013, Liverpool 5 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.78     4.25    47.26    97.84    99.93   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.21     4.32    36.94     2.04    76.44    93.56    98.60    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.90     4.52    35.57     0.11    16.12    58.99    84.09    99.13     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.40     4.70    18.41     0.01     4.07    22.73    51.78    95.10     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.09     4.53    32.16     0.00     3.33    22.65    55.22    96.07     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.92     4.54    10.07     0.00     0.10     1.45     6.37    55.35     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.52     4.51    21.68     0.00     0.01     0.62     3.80    46.49     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      50.12     4.31     0.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.95     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     26   37   +1      52.03     4.56    -1.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     4.58     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.07     4.54    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.24R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.41     4.36   -16.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.66R    0.14  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.38     4.61    -7.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     2.31R    0.05  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.16     4.56    -8.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     2.28R    0.04  
Norwich       26   29  -15      42.12     4.38   -21.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     7.82R    0.25  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.65     4.64   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.91R    0.36  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.85     4.67   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.16R    0.22  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.59     4.28   -33.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.82R    8.82  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.68     4.37   -22.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.87R    7.42  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.28     4.39   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.69R   18.75  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.59     4.30   -29.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.24R   63.94  


Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2013, Birmingham 0 4 Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          31   67  +22      92.41     5.41    29.22    86.47    96.33    99.99    97.29P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             32   59  +10      79.87     5.15    12.53     3.64    29.19    95.38    44.52P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   56  +22      78.17     5.30    26.58     2.84    22.29    92.91    40.59P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   55  +18      76.32     5.19    21.20     1.03    12.31    87.08    29.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   53  +26      80.12     5.56    33.71     5.92    37.85    95.88    57.41P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    32   50   +1      70.00     5.20     2.18     0.05     1.06    41.28     9.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton         31   46   +9      67.46     5.37    10.33     0.01     0.42    26.93     6.47P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn        31   44   +4      66.54     5.46     7.01     0.02     0.36    21.41     6.56P    0.09R    0.00  
Derby            32   43   +3      61.11     5.14     1.14     0.00     0.01     3.48     0.68P    1.30R    0.09  
Burnley          31   43   +1      64.66     5.40     2.48     0.01     0.10    12.56     2.91P    0.27R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    32   42   -4      60.29     5.08    -5.29     0.00     0.00     2.15     0.37P    2.10R    0.10  
Leeds_United     31   42   -7      61.76     5.38    -8.61     0.00     0.02     4.43     0.82P    1.59R    0.08  
Millwall         31   41   -2      61.92     5.36    -1.47     0.00     0.02     5.01     1.09P    1.29R    0.08  
Blackpool        32   40   +3      61.26     5.24     6.14     0.00     0.01     4.31     1.14P    1.31R    0.11  
Charlton         32   40   -3      58.66     5.19    -3.85     0.00     0.00     1.22     0.23P    4.33R    0.45  
Bolton           31   38   -1      61.16     5.49     2.92     0.00     0.01     4.45     1.26P    1.95R    0.19  
Birmingham       32   38  -11      58.40     5.24    -9.25     0.00     0.00     1.08     0.27P    5.52R    0.75  
Ipswich          32   38  -18      53.83     5.13   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   24.54R    4.65  
Huddersfield     31   37  -18      54.20     5.28   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   23.46R    4.86  
Sheff_Wed        31   36   -9      53.14     5.30   -14.66     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   27.58R    6.41  
Wolverhampton    32   35   -8      53.78     5.22    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.04P   20.97R    3.98  
Barnsley         31   34  -11      50.53     5.13   -17.11     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   46.05R   13.35  
Bristol_City     32   31  -15      46.86     5.01   -20.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.71R   35.97  
Peterborough     30   30  -12      47.88     5.50   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   64.89R   28.93  


League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 February 2013, Crawley_Town 1 1 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bournemouth     33   58  +15      78.33     5.00    18.75     9.52    22.08    76.38    34.24P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       32   58  +15      79.75     5.23    18.78    15.36    31.67    81.73    44.11P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       32   57  +18      81.90     5.08    26.47    29.54    50.81    92.12    64.53P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          32   57  +15      77.96     5.24    17.59     9.19    20.83    72.94    29.90P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        32   56  +16      76.04     5.12    17.36     4.94    12.47    59.95    22.78P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         31   55  +31      80.53     5.33    38.27    23.84    42.53    87.44    57.69P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   54  +13      76.67     5.34    16.18     6.37    14.87    63.69    26.12P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        33   50  +13      71.47     5.02    18.46     0.53     2.19    28.13     9.59P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         33   48   -2      64.93     4.93    -3.37     0.01     0.05     2.54     0.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   32   46   -3      63.75     5.08    -5.07     0.02     0.04     1.60     0.27P    0.08R    0.00  
Notts_County    32   45   +9      65.97     5.18    11.70     0.03     0.23     5.82     1.58P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         30   44   +6      70.13     5.63    12.16     0.61     1.96    20.73     7.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           31   44   -2      61.38     5.28    -6.91     0.00     0.02     0.82     0.14P    0.34R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    30   43   -4      62.07     5.58    -8.56     0.01     0.04     1.35     0.23P    0.39R    0.00  
Stevenage       30   43   -4      65.46     5.58    -3.10     0.04     0.20     4.71     1.15P    0.05R    0.00  
Carlisle        32   40  -15      56.54     5.11   -19.38     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     3.94R    0.01  
Preston         32   38   -1      56.27     5.08    -2.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.11R    0.02  
Shrewsbury      33   37   -4      53.73     4.94    -5.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     7.95R    0.06  
Scunthorpe      33   35  -19      49.52     4.80   -24.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.54R    0.95  
Colchester      32   32  -19      48.80     5.09   -22.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.46R    1.90  
Oldham          31   30  -13      47.83     5.23   -16.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.03R    2.83  
Bury            32   27  -17      43.35     5.06   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.25R   13.14  
Hartlepool      32   24  -25      39.23     4.89   -30.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.11R   40.48  
Portsmouth      33   23  -23      38.82     4.92   -25.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.70R   40.62  


League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           32   62  +25      86.05     5.13    32.25    55.21    96.64    99.90    97.70P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   60  +31      84.12     5.20    38.35    40.17    93.33    99.69    95.51P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   53   +7      69.79     4.93     5.38     0.18     7.56    49.68    15.37P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           33   53   +4      71.33     4.96     4.79     0.50    12.73    61.11    23.74P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               32   52   +8      73.07     5.27    10.75     1.33    23.90    73.89    38.29P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   52   +6      73.95     5.43     7.98     1.65    28.68    77.06    40.17P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          32   51   +8      71.19     5.18     9.29     0.45    13.67    62.31    23.66P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       32   50   +7      68.86     5.19     6.63     0.16     6.75    43.77    14.74P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   47  +12      70.71     5.12    18.67     0.31    12.77    62.30    29.93P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   45   +0      63.27     5.00     0.67     0.00     0.50    11.03     2.96P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford             31   44   +6      64.33     5.34     5.68     0.01     1.48    17.83     5.04P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         32   43   +6      64.38     5.23     9.22     0.01     1.17    17.99     6.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   42   -5      60.95     5.13    -5.40     0.00     0.16     4.57     1.14P    0.22R    0.04  
Wycombe              32   42   -6      61.53     5.26    -5.55     0.00     0.26     6.56     1.92P    0.20R    0.04  
Dag_&_Red            33   41   -1      58.98     4.94    -0.76     0.00     0.03     2.19     0.53P    0.47R    0.10  
Rochdale             32   41   -2      61.48     5.31    -0.22     0.00     0.30     6.86     2.12P    0.27R    0.05  
York                 33   38  -10      52.48     4.82   -14.98     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.04R    3.22  
Bristol_Rovers       31   38  -12      56.46     5.34   -15.51     0.00     0.02     0.85     0.21P    2.93R    0.89  
Torquay              31   37   -3      58.44     5.33    -1.67     0.00     0.06     2.35     0.67P    1.03R    0.23  
Barnet               32   33  -13      48.75     5.01   -18.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   30.51R   14.28  
Plymouth             32   32  -10      48.63     5.01   -13.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.39R   13.71  
Accrington_Stanley   32   32  -20      48.69     5.02   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.25R   15.78  
Aldershot            32   31  -16      47.25     4.95   -20.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.95R   21.29  
AFC_Wimbledon        31   31  -22      46.80     5.15   -29.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.66R   30.36  


Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2013, AFC_Telford 3 3 Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Grimsby            30   58  +29      86.42     5.52    39.09    34.88    94.55    52.32P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   58  +28      87.55     5.16    42.05    45.48    97.03    64.51P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       32   56  +21      80.03     5.21    28.32     4.79    70.63    19.42P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   56  +18      80.37     5.69    21.64     6.29    68.59    15.90P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   53  +21      78.56     5.29    28.87     3.48    60.78    17.77P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   50  +17      77.82     5.79    24.13     3.55    53.30    15.18P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       31   47   +4      70.64     5.49     8.61     0.07     9.89     2.20P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   44   +8      75.21     5.98    18.15     1.37    34.42    10.46P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.85     5.48    -1.38     0.00     0.78     0.12P    0.06R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      32   42   +1      61.73     5.18     1.83     0.00     0.19     0.02P    0.17R    0.01  
Hereford           29   42   +1      69.77     5.95     7.82     0.08     9.23     2.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Southport          31   42   -3      61.62     5.48    -4.91     0.00     0.33     0.04P    0.26R    0.00  
Woking             29   41   -8      59.37     5.80   -16.86     0.00     0.20     0.02P    1.33R    0.05  
Stockport          31   38   -8      55.62     5.33   -13.05     0.00     0.01     0.00P    4.09R    0.31  
Tamworth           31   37   -6      54.95     5.31   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.44R    0.39  
Alfreton_Town      31   37  -14      54.93     5.35   -18.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.04R    0.57  
Hyde_United        31   36   -3      55.22     5.50    -5.44     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.59R    0.47  
Lincoln_City       31   35   -9      54.57     5.38   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.90R    0.74  
Braintree_Town     29   35  -15      55.31     5.73   -20.62     0.00     0.02     0.00P    7.12R    0.66  
Gateshead          28   31   -7      54.57     5.95    -8.76     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.47R    1.12  
Nuneaton           31   31  -16      46.94     5.29   -23.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.27R   13.41  
AFC_Telford        34   30  -11      42.90     4.56   -16.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.95R   34.63  
Barrow             30   29  -30      44.90     5.29   -40.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.68R   25.89  
Ebbsfleet_United   29   28  -18      45.74     5.57   -28.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.64R   21.74