Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 17 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 February 2013, Liverpool vs Swansea; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.79     4.24    47.24    97.94    99.95   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.18     4.34    36.90     1.97    76.19    93.65    98.58    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.89     4.51    35.51     0.08    16.34    59.10    84.12    99.18     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.42     4.68    18.44     0.01     4.25    22.90    52.33    95.36     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.11     4.49    32.20     0.00     3.17    22.33    55.23    96.26     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.86     4.53     9.96     0.00     0.09     1.40     6.04    54.44     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     27   39  +15      58.54     4.49    21.74     0.00     0.02     0.60     3.52    46.88     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       27   37   +4      50.13     4.30     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     2.04     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     26   37   +1      52.07     4.55    -1.75     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     4.58     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.07     4.54    -6.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.18R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.45     4.36   -16.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.51R    0.11  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.41     4.59    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     2.23R    0.06  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.17     4.55    -8.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     2.21R    0.06  
Norwich       26   29  -15      42.07     4.37   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     7.60R    0.26  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.60     4.71   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.54R    0.38  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.90     4.69   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.08R    0.22  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.58     4.27   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.03R    8.98  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.71     4.36   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.36R    7.31  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.25     4.37   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.91R   18.86  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.63     4.27   -29.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.33R   63.78  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2013, Birmingham vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          31   67  +22      92.48     5.41    29.28    86.66    96.39   100.00    97.42P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             32   59  +10      79.93     5.15    12.61     3.68    29.68    95.56    45.08P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   56  +22      78.14     5.28    26.55     2.56    22.02    92.86    40.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   55  +18      76.28     5.18    21.15     0.92    11.94    86.91    28.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   53  +26      80.21     5.60    33.87     6.09    37.88    95.93    57.50P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    32   50   +1      70.06     5.23     2.26     0.06     1.12    42.09     9.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton         31   46   +9      67.32     5.38    10.17     0.02     0.42    26.10     6.25P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn        31   44   +4      66.50     5.45     6.97     0.02     0.36    21.34     6.42P    0.11R    0.00  
Derby            32   43   +3      61.25     5.15     1.35     0.00     0.01     3.81     0.83P    1.23R    0.07  
Burnley          31   43   +1      64.56     5.40     2.33     0.00     0.10    12.34     2.84P    0.36R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    32   42   -4      60.22     5.07    -5.40     0.00     0.01     2.13     0.43P    2.29R    0.16  
Leeds_United     31   42   -7      61.78     5.35    -8.59     0.00     0.03     4.54     0.88P    1.43R    0.11  
Millwall         31   41   -2      61.79     5.36    -1.64     0.00     0.02     4.66     1.01P    1.35R    0.11  
Blackpool        32   40   +3      61.25     5.27     6.18     0.00     0.01     4.43     1.26P    1.34R    0.11  
Charlton         32   40   -3      58.69     5.17    -3.81     0.00     0.01     1.25     0.32P    4.28R    0.46  
Bolton           31   38   -1      61.18     5.51     2.89     0.00     0.01     4.58     1.26P    2.05R    0.23  
Birmingham       32   38  -11      58.35     5.23    -9.29     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.25P    5.64R    0.74  
Ipswich          32   38  -18      53.81     5.11   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.75R    4.59  
Huddersfield     31   37  -18      54.30     5.24   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   22.75R    4.51  
Sheff_Wed        31   36   -9      53.29     5.30   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   26.46R    5.93  
Wolverhampton    32   35   -8      53.77     5.17    -8.57     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   20.89R    3.87  
Barnsley         31   34  -11      50.45     5.17   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   47.05R   13.93  
Bristol_City     32   31  -15      46.80     5.00   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.48R   36.34  
Peterborough     30   30  -12      47.91     5.53   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   64.50R   28.81  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2013, Bury vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bournemouth     33   58  +15      78.35     4.99    18.78     9.15    21.66    76.15    33.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       32   57  +18      81.91     5.15    26.48    28.60    49.98    91.43    63.69P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          32   57  +15      77.92     5.24    17.57     8.47    19.69    72.40    28.78P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       31   57  +15      80.54     5.41    19.41    19.07    36.40    84.37    48.24P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        32   56  +16      76.12     5.12    17.48     4.89    12.35    60.13    22.61P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         31   55  +31      80.50     5.32    38.22    22.84    41.31    87.29    57.02P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   54  +13      76.56     5.38    15.99     5.76    14.14    62.37    25.28P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        33   50  +13      71.56     5.03    18.54     0.63     2.21    28.44     9.76P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         33   48   -2      65.01     4.94    -3.28     0.01     0.04     2.65     0.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   32   46   -3      63.89     5.07    -4.91     0.00     0.03     1.61     0.29P    0.07R    0.00  
Notts_County    32   45   +9      65.99     5.20    11.74     0.04     0.19     5.82     1.57P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         30   44   +6      70.04     5.61    12.06     0.51     1.79    20.24     7.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           31   44   -2      61.46     5.34    -6.77     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.14P    0.38R    0.00  
Stevenage       30   43   -4      65.48     5.56    -3.10     0.02     0.15     4.61     1.02P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    29   42   -4      61.95     5.77    -9.35     0.01     0.06     1.51     0.26P    0.48R    0.00  
Carlisle        32   40  -15      56.57     5.10   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    3.69R    0.01  
Preston         32   38   -1      56.31     5.10    -2.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.07R    0.02  
Shrewsbury      33   37   -4      53.76     4.95    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.77R    0.07  
Scunthorpe      33   35  -19      49.50     4.76   -24.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.08R    0.95  
Colchester      32   32  -19      48.71     5.08   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.10R    1.87  
Oldham          31   30  -13      47.82     5.21   -16.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.86R    2.82  
Bury            32   27  -17      43.31     5.02   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.52R   12.84  
Hartlepool      32   24  -25      39.20     4.93   -30.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.98R   40.55  
Portsmouth      33   23  -23      38.74     4.90   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.91R   40.88  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2013, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           32   62  +25      86.08     5.14    32.28    55.90    96.61    99.94    97.65P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   60  +31      84.06     5.19    38.28    39.39    93.07    99.68    95.20P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   53   +7      69.79     4.93     5.37     0.23     7.70    49.86    15.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           33   53   +4      71.40     4.95     4.89     0.41    13.35    61.42    24.56P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               32   52   +8      73.08     5.30    10.79     1.31    24.27    73.69    38.06P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   52   +6      73.90     5.40     7.92     1.77    27.83    77.36    39.71P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          32   51   +8      71.23     5.19     9.34     0.42    13.68    62.60    23.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       32   50   +7      68.82     5.22     6.54     0.18     6.77    43.66    14.76P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   47  +12      70.79     5.14    18.78     0.36    13.04    62.78    30.64P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   45   +0      63.24     4.97     0.63     0.00     0.45    10.59     2.88P    0.02R    0.01  
Bradford             31   44   +6      64.22     5.35     5.55     0.01     1.35    17.33     5.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         32   43   +6      64.24     5.24     9.02     0.02     1.14    17.37     6.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   42   -5      61.04     5.14    -5.23     0.00     0.17     4.93     1.26P    0.20R    0.04  
Wycombe              32   42   -6      61.54     5.27    -5.52     0.00     0.24     6.59     1.82P    0.21R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red            33   41   -1      59.03     4.94    -0.67     0.00     0.04     2.34     0.55P    0.44R    0.09  
Rochdale             32   41   -2      61.39     5.27    -0.38     0.00     0.25     6.47     1.94P    0.27R    0.06  
York                 33   38  -10      52.52     4.80   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    9.53R    3.05  
Bristol_Rovers       31   38  -12      56.55     5.37   -15.37     0.00     0.02     1.08     0.24P    2.84R    0.78  
Torquay              31   37   -3      58.44     5.32    -1.64     0.00     0.04     2.26     0.67P    0.99R    0.23  
Barnet               32   33  -13      48.75     5.02   -17.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   30.54R   14.40  
Plymouth             32   32  -10      48.71     4.98   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   28.78R   13.13  
Accrington_Stanley   32   32  -20      48.70     5.06   -23.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.09R   15.85  
Aldershot            32   31  -16      47.13     4.94   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.13R   22.21  
AFC_Wimbledon        31   31  -22      46.77     5.12   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.92R   30.13  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2013, AFC_Telford vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Grimsby            30   58  +29      86.37     5.51    39.00    34.55    94.48    52.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   58  +28      87.50     5.17    41.96    45.42    97.06    64.36P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       32   56  +21      79.96     5.17    28.23     4.88    70.08    19.46P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   56  +18      80.46     5.68    21.81     6.59    69.21    16.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   53  +21      78.53     5.26    28.85     3.29    60.27    17.26P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   50  +17      77.85     5.82    24.18     3.66    53.51    15.09P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       31   47   +4      70.64     5.47     8.63     0.07     9.87     2.28P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   44   +8      75.22     6.00    18.12     1.45    34.80    10.50P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.80     5.49    -1.47     0.00     0.76     0.10P    0.10R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      32   42   +1      61.71     5.16     1.81     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.15R    0.01  
Hereford           29   42   +1      69.86     5.89     7.99     0.07     9.20     2.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Southport          31   42   -3      61.59     5.46    -4.96     0.00     0.29     0.03P    0.27R    0.00  
Woking             29   41   -8      59.44     5.82   -16.74     0.00     0.18     0.01P    1.32R    0.06  
Stockport          31   38   -8      55.73     5.29   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.77R    0.23  
Tamworth           31   37   -6      54.96     5.31   -10.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.31R    0.41  
Alfreton_Town      31   37  -14      54.88     5.27   -18.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.73R    0.64  
Hyde_United        31   36   -3      55.17     5.49    -5.50     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.57R    0.56  
Lincoln_City       31   35   -9      54.60     5.37   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.71R    0.66  
Braintree_Town     29   35  -15      55.38     5.77   -20.53     0.00     0.02     0.00P    7.11R    0.75  
Gateshead          28   31   -7      54.43     5.98    -8.93     0.00     0.02     0.00P    8.76R    1.16  
Nuneaton           31   31  -16      46.94     5.27   -23.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.25R   13.49  
AFC_Telford        34   30  -11      42.90     4.53   -16.67     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.20R   34.25  
Barrow             30   29  -30      44.89     5.29   -40.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.96R   26.02  
Ebbsfleet_United   29   28  -18      45.72     5.56   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.75R   21.75