Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 16 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2013, Liverpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.66     4.27    47.00    97.89    99.91   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.17     4.31    36.85     1.98    75.65    93.52    98.56    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.97     4.52    35.61     0.12    16.85    59.91    84.80    99.38     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.39     4.68    18.42     0.00     4.16    22.65    52.20    96.16     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.09     4.52    32.19     0.00     3.27    22.16    55.74    96.76     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.95     4.57    10.10     0.00     0.13     1.46     6.54    60.83     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       26   37   +9      51.43     4.54     5.54     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     5.50     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     26   37   +1      52.04     4.56    -1.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.13     5.50     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool     26   36  +10      56.81     4.72    16.52     0.00     0.01     0.26     1.88    34.22     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.07     4.54    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.21R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.45     4.36   -16.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     5.51R    0.13  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.39     4.63    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     2.26R    0.07  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.15     4.55    -8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.39R    0.07  
Norwich       26   29  -15      41.95     4.37   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.49R    0.28  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.71     4.68   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.02R    0.39  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.85     4.71   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     5.41R    0.24  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.65     4.32   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.35R    8.80  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.70     4.40   -22.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.80R    7.64  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.34     4.43   -28.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.24R   18.91  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.63     4.30   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.29R   63.48  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2013, Birmingham vs Watford; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          31   67  +22      92.42     5.41    29.23    86.74    96.44    99.99    97.43P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             32   59  +10      79.69     5.13    12.33     3.34    27.95    95.14    43.94P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          32   56  +22      78.12     5.30    26.50     2.63    22.24    92.78    40.09P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   55  +18      76.38     5.17    21.30     0.97    12.35    87.28    29.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   53  +26      80.23     5.59    33.88     6.23    38.86    95.81    58.04P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    32   50   +1      70.13     5.22     2.32     0.05     1.11    42.44     9.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         31   46   +9      67.31     5.38    10.13     0.02     0.49    25.83     6.12P    0.06R    0.00  
Blackburn        31   44   +4      66.58     5.44     7.08     0.01     0.41    21.64     6.42P    0.08R    0.00  
Derby            32   43   +3      61.15     5.14     1.20     0.00     0.01     3.54     0.67P    1.29R    0.08  
Burnley          31   43   +1      64.62     5.40     2.43     0.00     0.09    12.51     2.92P    0.30R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    32   42   -4      60.32     5.07    -5.22     0.00     0.00     2.20     0.42P    2.08R    0.14  
Leeds_United     31   42   -7      61.70     5.39    -8.73     0.00     0.01     4.58     0.83P    1.59R    0.11  
Millwall         31   41   -2      61.84     5.39    -1.58     0.00     0.02     4.92     1.03P    1.31R    0.10  
Blackpool        32   40   +3      61.21     5.21     6.05     0.00     0.01     4.09     1.16P    1.30R    0.12  
Charlton         32   40   -3      58.71     5.17    -3.78     0.00     0.00     1.21     0.25P    4.20R    0.46  
Bolton           31   38   -1      61.27     5.49     3.05     0.00     0.01     4.56     1.28P    1.89R    0.20  
Birmingham       32   38  -11      58.45     5.21    -9.19     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.26P    5.47R    0.68  
Ipswich          32   38  -18      53.77     5.08   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.74R    4.37  
Huddersfield     31   37  -18      54.14     5.29   -23.31     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   23.86R    5.03  
Sheff_Wed        31   36   -9      53.18     5.31   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P   27.25R    6.49  
Wolverhampton    32   35   -8      53.79     5.21    -8.53     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   21.07R    3.97  
Barnsley         31   34  -11      50.44     5.18   -17.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   46.83R   14.12  
Bristol_City     32   31  -15      46.84     5.02   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.78R   36.07  
Peterborough     30   30  -12      48.02     5.52   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.89R   28.03  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2013, Bury vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bournemouth     33   58  +15      78.32     4.97    18.73     8.85    21.15    76.13    33.23P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       32   57  +18      81.86     5.12    26.42    28.11    49.02    91.79    63.43P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          32   57  +15      77.92     5.24    17.56     8.53    19.72    72.52    28.88P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       31   57  +15      80.53     5.42    19.39    18.95    36.76    84.43    48.26P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        32   56  +16      76.14     5.14    17.48     5.00    12.57    60.13    22.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         31   55  +31      80.59     5.36    38.35    23.37    41.88    87.30    57.35P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   54  +13      76.62     5.39    16.06     5.98    14.42    62.51    25.85P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        33   50  +13      71.56     5.02    18.56     0.55     2.12    28.30     9.57P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         33   48   -2      64.97     4.91    -3.30     0.01     0.05     2.50     0.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   32   46   -3      63.83     5.10    -4.98     0.01     0.03     1.61     0.27P    0.07R    0.00  
Notts_County    32   45   +9      65.99     5.17    11.70     0.04     0.15     5.73     1.47P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         30   44   +6      70.06     5.61    12.10     0.54     1.86    20.19     6.95P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           31   44   -2      61.35     5.29    -6.92     0.01     0.02     0.82     0.14P    0.32R    0.00  
Stevenage       30   43   -4      65.44     5.57    -3.12     0.05     0.20     4.48     1.13P    0.06R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    29   42   -4      62.00     5.76    -9.26     0.01     0.05     1.51     0.23P    0.47R    0.00  
Carlisle        32   40  -15      56.59     5.08   -19.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    3.71R    0.01  
Preston         32   38   -1      56.38     5.09    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    2.83R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      33   37   -4      53.71     4.95    -5.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.85R    0.05  
Scunthorpe      33   35  -19      49.41     4.75   -24.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.92R    1.02  
Colchester      32   32  -19      48.75     5.08   -22.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.93R    1.82  
Oldham          31   30  -13      47.77     5.21   -16.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.04R    2.90  
Bury            32   27  -17      43.41     5.05   -21.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.89R   12.71  
Hartlepool      32   24  -25      39.21     4.91   -30.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.15R   40.60  
Portsmouth      33   23  -23      38.78     4.91   -25.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.73R   40.88  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2013, AFC_Wimbledon vs Bradford; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Gillingham           32   62  +25      86.03     5.11    32.21    55.38    96.58    99.92    97.59P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            32   60  +31      84.15     5.20    38.41    40.01    93.19    99.68    95.29P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        33   53   +7      69.76     4.95     5.29     0.21     7.52    49.71    14.97P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           33   53   +4      71.34     4.95     4.82     0.44    12.74    61.11    23.88P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               32   52   +8      73.10     5.31    10.81     1.31    24.31    73.73    38.40P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            31   52   +6      73.97     5.39     8.05     1.65    28.37    77.78    40.38P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          32   51   +8      71.26     5.19     9.36     0.46    13.85    62.67    23.75P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       32   50   +7      68.84     5.20     6.55     0.17     6.67    43.36    14.31P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             32   47  +12      70.79     5.10    18.76     0.32    12.87    63.20    30.79P    0.00     0.00  
Morecambe            33   45   +0      63.25     4.98     0.68     0.00     0.46    10.58     2.77P    0.03R    0.00  
Bradford             31   44   +6      64.17     5.33     5.50     0.01     1.43    17.01     4.95P    0.03R    0.00  
Chesterfield         32   43   +6      64.34     5.22     9.17     0.02     1.20    17.75     6.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           32   42   -5      61.03     5.13    -5.26     0.00     0.16     4.79     1.24P    0.18R    0.02  
Wycombe              32   42   -6      61.50     5.27    -5.62     0.00     0.26     6.49     1.80P    0.19R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red            33   41   -1      58.99     4.95    -0.77     0.00     0.05     2.26     0.49P    0.45R    0.09  
Rochdale             32   41   -2      61.45     5.29    -0.25     0.00     0.25     6.67     2.05P    0.24R    0.07  
York                 33   38  -10      52.49     4.82   -15.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    9.78R    3.19  
Bristol_Rovers       31   38  -12      56.48     5.33   -15.46     0.00     0.02     0.98     0.21P    2.81R    0.75  
Torquay              31   37   -3      58.51     5.31    -1.56     0.00     0.06     2.25     0.70P    0.96R    0.23  
Barnet               32   33  -13      48.67     5.00   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.28R   14.66  
Plymouth             32   32  -10      48.68     5.00   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   29.17R   13.28  
Accrington_Stanley   32   32  -20      48.69     5.04   -23.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.99R   16.07  
Aldershot            32   31  -16      47.21     4.92   -20.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.13R   21.55  
AFC_Wimbledon        31   31  -22      46.81     5.14   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.75R   30.08  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 February 2013, AFC_Telford vs Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Grimsby            30   58  +29      86.31     5.54    38.91    34.71    94.32    51.93P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   58  +28      87.44     5.17    41.83    44.98    96.92    63.48P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       32   56  +21      79.96     5.21    28.25     4.90    69.92    19.34P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     30   56  +18      80.40     5.69    21.71     6.51    68.90    16.45P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      31   53  +21      78.59     5.23    28.93     3.49    60.91    17.75P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          29   50  +17      77.94     5.82    24.36     3.85    54.14    15.76P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       31   47   +4      70.62     5.47     8.58     0.08    10.01     2.25P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   44   +8      75.25     5.98    18.19     1.38    34.59    10.70P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.95     5.52    -1.21     0.00     0.77     0.11P    0.10R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      32   42   +1      61.90     5.15     2.06     0.00     0.21     0.04P    0.13R    0.00  
Hereford           29   42   +1      69.65     5.92     7.61     0.10     8.82     2.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Southport          31   42   -3      61.45     5.47    -5.19     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.29R    0.01  
Woking             29   41   -8      59.42     5.81   -16.81     0.00     0.15     0.01P    1.32R    0.05  
Stockport          31   38   -8      55.64     5.28   -13.06     0.00     0.01     0.00     3.98R    0.26  
Tamworth           31   37   -6      55.00     5.32   -10.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.31R    0.39  
Alfreton_Town      31   37  -14      54.92     5.29   -18.94     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.72R    0.60  
Hyde_United        31   36   -3      55.16     5.51    -5.51     0.00     0.01     0.00     5.88R    0.49  
Lincoln_City       31   35   -9      54.57     5.40   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00P    6.87R    0.74  
Braintree_Town     29   35  -15      55.41     5.74   -20.47     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.94R    0.70  
Gateshead          28   31   -7      54.50     5.98    -8.83     0.00     0.02     0.00P    8.65R    1.20  
Nuneaton           31   31  -16      47.02     5.28   -23.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.92R   13.37  
AFC_Telford        34   30  -11      42.95     4.52   -16.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.12R   34.06  
Barrow             30   29  -30      44.85     5.26   -40.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.46R   26.37  
Ebbsfleet_United   29   28  -18      45.74     5.57   -28.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.33R   21.76