Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 15 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2013, Liverpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.69     4.24    47.01    97.97    99.92    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.14     4.32    36.81     1.88    75.74    93.40    98.56    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.89     4.55    35.51     0.13    16.50    58.94    84.36    99.34     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.50     4.69    18.55     0.01     4.44    23.64    53.52    96.17     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.04     4.51    32.03     0.00     3.28    22.15    54.82    96.92     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.93     4.55    10.07     0.00     0.10     1.50     6.43    60.25     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       26   37   +9      51.41     4.53     5.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     5.38     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     26   37   +1      51.99     4.58    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     5.45     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool     26   36  +10      56.91     4.74    16.65     0.00     0.01     0.34     2.00    34.94     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.07     4.55    -6.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.27R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.49     4.39   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.55R    0.09  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.35     4.61    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     2.24R    0.04  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.10     4.58    -8.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.56R    0.05  
Norwich       26   29  -15      42.05     4.39   -21.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.06R    0.28  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.66     4.69   -12.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.15R    0.39  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.94     4.71   -13.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     5.06R    0.24  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.60     4.30   -33.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.03R    8.90  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.77     4.41   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.86R    7.52  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.24     4.42   -28.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.01R   19.46  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.66     4.28   -29.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.19R   63.01  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, Brighton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          30   64  +21      91.62     5.56    29.57    86.13    96.29    99.98    97.37P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             31   56   +9      78.51     5.33    11.92     3.33    26.77    91.61    42.45P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   53  +26      80.14     5.61    33.78     7.73    45.88    95.65    62.78P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   53  +18      75.71     5.49    21.24     1.71    15.35    83.27    32.26P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   52  +15      74.46     5.39    17.91     0.75    10.32    76.43    24.97P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    31   50   +4      71.49     5.41     5.36     0.26     3.51    52.79    13.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         31   46   +9      67.42     5.38    10.30     0.04     0.72    27.08     6.72P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn        31   44   +4      66.63     5.47     7.16     0.03     0.65    22.28     6.99P    0.07R    0.00  
Burnley          31   43   +1      64.59     5.39     2.36     0.02     0.21    12.50     2.98P    0.35R    0.02  
Derby            31   42   +3      61.81     5.34     1.59     0.00     0.04     5.20     1.08P    1.17R    0.09  
Leeds_United     31   42   -7      61.78     5.37    -8.58     0.00     0.04     4.67     0.89P    1.45R    0.14  
Millwall         31   41   -2      61.77     5.36    -1.70     0.00     0.04     4.86     1.03P    1.30R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest    31   41   -4      60.60     5.27    -5.36     0.00     0.00     2.87     0.58P    2.07R    0.13  
Blackpool        31   40   +4      63.05     5.49     7.81     0.00     0.09     9.16     2.71P    0.74R    0.05  
Charlton         31   40   -2      59.83     5.38    -3.11     0.00     0.00     2.31     0.46P    2.95R    0.32  
Birmingham       31   38   -7      60.64     5.44    -3.89     0.00     0.03     3.22     0.93P    2.40R    0.26  
Bolton           30   37   -1      61.52     5.71     2.88     0.00     0.05     5.64     1.81P    2.01R    0.21  
Huddersfield     31   37  -18      54.23     5.28   -23.21     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   23.10R    4.86  
Sheff_Wed        31   36   -9      53.30     5.29   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   25.73R    5.84  
Ipswich          31   35  -19      51.78     5.29   -25.14     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   38.82R   10.22  
Wolverhampton    31   34   -8      53.96     5.42    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   20.52R    4.21  
Barnsley         31   34  -11      50.59     5.17   -17.03     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   44.72R   12.98  
Bristol_City     31   31  -14      47.32     5.13   -21.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.35R   32.39  
Peterborough     30   30  -12      47.99     5.53   -19.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.20R   28.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 15 February 2013, Tranmere vs Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bournemouth     32   58  +17      80.08     5.22    21.30    17.30    34.47    85.62    46.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       31   57  +15      80.55     5.44    19.45    19.82    37.31    85.16    49.27P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        32   56  +16      76.07     5.14    17.43     4.91    12.63    61.81    22.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         31   55  +31      80.65     5.35    38.42    23.97    43.07    88.41    58.49P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       31   54  +15      80.57     5.32    23.97    20.89    39.84    87.14    55.44P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   54  +13      76.67     5.38    16.12     6.27    14.90    64.74    26.54P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          31   54  +12      76.35     5.48    14.61     5.74    13.63    61.90    21.82P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        32   47  +11      70.02     5.25    16.67     0.35     1.47    20.92     6.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall         32   47   -2      65.26     5.14    -3.46     0.02     0.11     3.62     0.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   31   46   -2      65.41     5.31    -3.66     0.02     0.10     3.87     0.69P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    31   44   +9      66.37     5.40    11.71     0.08     0.35     7.84     2.09P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         30   44   +6      70.06     5.62    12.09     0.58     1.90    21.27     7.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           31   44   -2      61.55     5.30    -6.66     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.15P    0.43R    0.00  
Stevenage       30   43   -4      65.44     5.60    -3.16     0.04     0.19     4.88     1.17P    0.10R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    29   42   -4      62.16     5.77    -8.97     0.01     0.05     1.81     0.29P    0.58R    0.00  
Carlisle        31   39  -15      56.79     5.33   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    5.07R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      33   37   -4      53.66     4.95    -5.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     9.67R    0.04  
Preston         31   35   -3      54.17     5.32    -5.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    9.61R    0.06  
Scunthorpe      32   35  -16      50.93     5.01   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.57R    0.55  
Colchester      31   32  -16      49.84     5.29   -20.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.18R    1.11  
Oldham          31   30  -13      47.93     5.21   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.13R    2.43  
Bury            31   27  -15      44.35     5.26   -19.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.46R    8.52  
Portsmouth      32   22  -23      39.39     5.20   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.66R   31.17  
Hartlepool      31   21  -26      37.17     5.12   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.42R   56.12  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 15 February 2013, Exeter vs Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Port_Vale            31   60  +32      86.32     5.38    40.65    56.44    96.30    99.91    97.53P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           31   59  +24      85.04     5.30    32.20    39.44    94.12    99.75    95.85P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               32   52   +8      73.09     5.27    10.77     0.97    22.13    73.45    36.30P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           32   52   +4      72.12     5.14     5.41     0.63    15.49    65.79    26.77P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       31   50  +11      71.38     5.45    12.25     0.50    15.15    62.93    25.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   50   +3      67.24     5.11    -0.03     0.08     2.94    29.77     7.44P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            30   49   +5      72.08     5.60     6.63     0.80    17.72    64.82    28.85P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          31   48   +7      68.84     5.35     7.09     0.14     6.50    43.75    13.85P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             31   47  +13      72.80     5.34    20.74     0.91    22.92    74.95    41.08P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             30   44   +7      65.96     5.55     7.08     0.05     2.81    26.33     7.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         31   43   +7      65.80     5.47    10.30     0.04     2.58    26.19     9.65P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            32   42   -1      60.95     5.16    -1.41     0.00     0.15     5.20     1.26P    0.15R    0.03  
Wycombe              31   42   -5      63.28     5.52    -4.07     0.00     0.74    12.07     3.54P    0.08R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            32   41   +0      59.89     5.14    -0.48     0.00     0.11     3.68     0.88P    0.29R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd           31   39   -6      59.19     5.36    -6.56     0.00     0.07     2.62     0.67P    0.59R    0.10  
Rochdale             31   38   -3      59.72     5.49    -1.46     0.00     0.12     3.80     1.09P    0.52R    0.10  
York                 32   38   -9      54.31     5.08   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P    4.72R    1.17  
Torquay              30   37   -2      59.77     5.55    -0.74     0.00     0.15     4.19     1.22P    0.53R    0.11  
Bristol_Rovers       30   35  -13      54.78     5.56   -16.72     0.00     0.00     0.52     0.09P    5.19R    1.49  
Plymouth             31   32   -9      50.25     5.25   -12.29     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.17R    6.33  
Accrington_Stanley   32   32  -20      48.79     5.06   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.33R   11.93  
Barnet               31   30  -14      46.58     5.18   -19.77     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.93R   21.36  
Aldershot            31   30  -16      47.09     5.07   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   38.86R   17.56  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   28  -23      44.72     5.33   -31.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.61R   39.77  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, AFC_Telford vs Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Grimsby            30   58  +29      86.34     5.55    38.99    36.50    96.22    54.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   58  +28      87.45     5.17    41.87    47.85    98.00    66.52P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       31   53  +20      78.82     5.43    27.96     4.20    69.91    19.08P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   53  +16      78.62     5.91    19.47     4.61    64.21    13.79P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   50  +17      76.52     5.50    24.16     2.05    53.29    13.95P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          28   47  +15      76.38     6.03    22.39     2.92    51.41    14.09P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   44   +8      75.36     6.03    18.36     1.71    43.42    13.31P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       30   44   +3      69.20     5.66     7.87     0.08     9.95     2.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.98     5.48    -1.21     0.00     1.39     0.21P    0.09R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      31   42   +3      62.91     5.37     3.50     0.00     1.04     0.19P    0.12R    0.00  
Southport          31   42   -3      61.47     5.46    -5.17     0.00     0.52     0.08P    0.33R    0.00  
Woking             28   41   -6      61.05     6.08   -14.39     0.01     0.90     0.11P    0.91R    0.05  
Hereford           28   39   +0      68.44     6.11     7.28     0.05     9.41     2.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Stockport          30   37   -8      56.05     5.52   -13.06     0.00     0.06     0.00P    4.86R    0.37  
Alfreton_Town      30   37  -13      56.15     5.51   -18.13     0.00     0.02     0.01P    5.40R    0.41  
Hyde_United        30   36   +1      57.08     5.73    -0.58     0.00     0.09     0.01P    3.46R    0.25  
Tamworth           30   36   -6      55.11     5.48   -10.43     0.00     0.03     0.01P    6.25R    0.52  
Lincoln_City       30   35   -8      55.51     5.53   -10.61     0.00     0.01     0.00P    5.83R    0.57  
Braintree_Town     29   35  -15      55.42     5.80   -20.47     0.00     0.04     0.01P    7.82R    0.84  
Gateshead          27   31   -6      55.56     6.19    -8.30     0.00     0.09     0.01P    7.48R    0.97  
AFC_Telford        33   29  -11      43.41     4.75   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.89R   31.12  
Barrow             29   29  -29      46.44     5.51   -39.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.57R   18.63  
Nuneaton           30   28  -17      45.00     5.48   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.00R   25.41  
Ebbsfleet_United   28   27  -18      46.14     5.77   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.98R   20.86