Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 14 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2013, Liverpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.75     4.26    47.11    97.86    99.92   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.14     4.34    36.79     2.02    75.82    93.50    98.66    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.94     4.51    35.57     0.11    16.68    59.65    84.58    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.41     4.69    18.42     0.01     4.25    22.89    52.54    95.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.03     4.55    32.04     0.01     3.20    22.19    55.45    96.71     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.97     4.55    10.13     0.00     0.11     1.43     6.54    60.64     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       26   37   +9      51.45     4.54     5.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     5.43     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     26   37   +1      52.05     4.59    -1.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     5.64     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool     26   36  +10      56.85     4.77    16.55     0.00     0.01     0.30     1.95    34.63     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.12     4.55    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.20R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.47     4.40   -16.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     5.44R    0.13  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.41     4.64    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28     2.30R    0.04  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.09     4.55    -8.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.40R    0.07  
Norwich       26   29  -15      42.01     4.37   -21.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.10R    0.25  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.60     4.68   -12.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.38R    0.40  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.87     4.68   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     5.29R    0.18  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.64     4.28   -33.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.64R    8.67  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.79     4.41   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.69R    7.28  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.21     4.41   -28.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.24R   19.74  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.63     4.29   -29.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.32R   63.25  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, Brighton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Cardiff          30   64  +21      91.73     5.56    29.67    86.59    96.47    99.98    97.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             31   56   +9      78.49     5.35    11.88     3.30    27.04    91.44    42.31P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   53  +26      80.09     5.56    33.69     7.37    45.30    95.66    62.17P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   53  +18      75.75     5.47    21.29     1.64    15.43    83.39    32.50P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   52  +15      74.41     5.38    17.80     0.80    10.07    76.19    24.82P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    31   50   +4      71.44     5.45     5.29     0.22     3.66    52.43    14.26P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         31   46   +9      67.36     5.39    10.20     0.04     0.84    26.70     6.88P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn        31   44   +4      66.54     5.48     7.05     0.03     0.67    22.04     6.91P    0.09R    0.00  
Burnley          31   43   +1      64.55     5.43     2.32     0.01     0.17    12.48     2.92P    0.37R    0.03  
Derby            31   42   +3      61.79     5.38     1.56     0.00     0.05     5.30     1.13P    1.17R    0.10  
Leeds_United     31   42   -7      61.85     5.41    -8.47     0.00     0.04     4.80     0.90P    1.45R    0.10  
Millwall         31   41   -2      61.86     5.39    -1.53     0.00     0.05     5.17     1.14P    1.21R    0.08  
Nott'm_Forest    31   41   -4      60.63     5.31    -5.33     0.00     0.01     2.96     0.57P    2.13R    0.14  
Blackpool        31   40   +4      63.11     5.49     7.91     0.00     0.10     9.35     2.74P    0.70R    0.05  
Charlton         31   40   -2      59.72     5.38    -3.27     0.00     0.02     2.40     0.53P    3.11R    0.30  
Birmingham       31   38   -7      60.57     5.45    -4.00     0.00     0.02     3.23     0.88P    2.54R    0.30  
Bolton           30   37   -1      61.62     5.71     3.01     0.00     0.06     6.05     1.75P    1.93R    0.23  
Huddersfield     31   37  -18      54.15     5.25   -23.31     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   23.37R    4.97  
Sheff_Wed        31   36   -9      53.20     5.31   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   26.47R    6.36  
Ipswich          31   35  -19      51.81     5.27   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   38.62R   10.32  
Wolverhampton    31   34   -8      54.00     5.41    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   20.59R    4.13  
Barnsley         31   34  -11      50.60     5.18   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   44.55R   13.02  
Bristol_City     31   31  -14      47.42     5.16   -20.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.60R   31.73  
Peterborough     30   30  -12      48.03     5.52   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.07R   28.16  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, Brentford vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Bournemouth     32   58  +17      80.04     5.24    21.27    16.34    33.02    84.16    44.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       31   57  +15      80.46     5.43    19.32    18.53    35.33    83.91    47.22P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        31   56  +18      78.31     5.34    20.63    10.70    22.88    74.61    34.42P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         31   55  +31      80.47     5.35    38.17    22.14    40.26    86.76    55.93P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       31   54  +15      80.55     5.32    23.91    20.16    37.90    86.04    53.73P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   54  +13      76.71     5.37    16.21     5.77    13.98    63.13    25.42P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          31   54  +12      76.40     5.45    14.68     5.37    12.90    60.55    20.88P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        32   47  +11      70.14     5.23    16.81     0.35     1.32    20.23     6.72P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         32   47   -2      65.30     5.14    -3.42     0.01     0.05     3.33     0.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   31   46   -2      65.50     5.31    -3.51     0.02     0.11     3.65     0.65P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County    31   44   +9      66.27     5.39    11.58     0.08     0.34     6.75     1.83P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         30   44   +6      70.00     5.60    12.00     0.49     1.69    19.80     6.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           31   44   -2      61.53     5.28    -6.65     0.00     0.02     0.86     0.15P    0.35R    0.00  
Stevenage       30   43   -4      65.46     5.59    -3.13     0.04     0.18     4.52     1.07P    0.09R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    29   42   -4      62.12     5.79    -8.99     0.01     0.04     1.60     0.26P    0.51R    0.00  
Carlisle        31   39  -15      56.86     5.33   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    4.27R    0.01  
Preston         31   35   -3      54.12     5.35    -5.19     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.98R    0.08  
Scunthorpe      32   35  -16      50.88     4.98   -21.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.43R    0.50  
Shrewsbury      32   34   -6      51.23     5.10    -8.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   20.07R    0.28  
Colchester      31   32  -16      49.86     5.26   -20.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.18R    1.11  
Oldham          31   30  -13      47.84     5.19   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.28R    2.36  
Bury            31   27  -15      44.48     5.26   -19.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.95R    8.11  
Portsmouth      32   22  -23      39.40     5.17   -25.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.78R   30.83  
Hartlepool      31   21  -26      37.19     5.11   -32.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.03R   56.73  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, Morecambe vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Port_Vale            31   60  +32      86.37     5.40    40.73    56.57    96.68    99.91    97.69P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           31   59  +24      85.10     5.33    32.24    39.61    94.36    99.79    96.06P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           32   52   +4      72.03     5.17     5.29     0.61    15.76    65.97    27.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       31   50  +11      71.27     5.44    12.14     0.48    15.31    63.31    26.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   50   +3      67.22     5.10    -0.05     0.08     3.02    30.20     7.59P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               31   49   +6      71.76     5.49     9.22     0.73    17.01    65.06    30.34P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            30   49   +5      72.15     5.64     6.74     0.77    19.16    66.02    29.97P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          31   48   +7      68.89     5.39     7.18     0.16     6.89    45.00    14.46P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             31   47  +13      72.89     5.33    20.89     0.89    24.26    76.13    42.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             30   44   +7      66.15     5.57     7.35     0.05     3.37    28.36     8.79P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         31   43   +7      65.80     5.46    10.30     0.05     2.75    26.59    10.11P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            32   42   -1      60.93     5.22    -1.45     0.00     0.19     5.60     1.38P    0.17R    0.03  
Wycombe              31   42   -5      63.17     5.50    -4.21     0.00     0.76    11.95     3.51P    0.10R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            32   41   +0      59.91     5.11    -0.46     0.00     0.11     3.78     0.89P    0.24R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd           31   39   -6      59.07     5.38    -6.74     0.00     0.07     2.78     0.66P    0.69R    0.14  
Rochdale             31   38   -3      59.91     5.55    -1.19     0.00     0.16     4.61     1.38P    0.59R    0.13  
York                 32   38   -9      54.26     5.06   -13.36     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P    4.88R    1.30  
Torquay              30   37   -2      59.65     5.51    -0.91     0.00     0.14     4.10     1.16P    0.59R    0.11  
Bristol_Rovers       30   35  -13      54.79     5.55   -16.67     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.11P    5.34R    1.50  
Plymouth             31   32   -9      50.20     5.24   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   17.80R    6.58  
Accrington_Stanley   31   32  -18      49.83     5.26   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   23.08R    9.06  
Barnet               31   30  -14      46.62     5.20   -19.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.78R   21.62  
Aldershot            31   30  -16      47.00     5.12   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   40.84R   19.16  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   28  -23      44.72     5.32   -31.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   61.89R   40.33  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, AFC_Telford vs Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Grimsby            30   58  +29      86.31     5.56    38.95    36.42    96.04    53.95P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   58  +28      87.48     5.18    41.94    48.05    98.05    66.51P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       31   53  +20      78.91     5.42    28.06     4.17    70.69    19.26P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   53  +16      78.74     5.97    19.64     4.68    65.02    14.07P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   50  +17      76.52     5.47    24.17     2.02    53.09    14.05P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          28   47  +15      76.23     6.08    22.13     2.91    50.34    13.90P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   44   +8      75.31     5.98    18.26     1.61    43.28    13.28P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       30   44   +3      69.16     5.72     7.83     0.07    10.04     2.22P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.73     5.47    -1.57     0.00     1.21     0.17P    0.10R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      31   42   +3      62.90     5.38     3.50     0.00     0.95     0.20P    0.15R    0.01  
Southport          31   42   -3      61.59     5.47    -5.02     0.00     0.57     0.07P    0.28R    0.01  
Woking             28   41   -6      61.10     6.12   -14.29     0.00     0.98     0.13P    0.97R    0.06  
Hereford           28   39   +0      68.37     6.14     7.15     0.07     9.43     2.18P    0.03R    0.00  
Stockport          30   37   -8      56.11     5.55   -12.99     0.00     0.05     0.00P    4.73R    0.39  
Alfreton_Town      30   37  -13      56.04     5.49   -18.31     0.00     0.02     0.00     5.59R    0.40  
Hyde_United        30   36   +1      57.13     5.75    -0.45     0.00     0.10     0.01P    3.39R    0.23  
Tamworth           30   36   -6      55.08     5.50   -10.45     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.66R    0.57  
Lincoln_City       30   35   -8      55.60     5.58   -10.46     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.96R    0.61  
Braintree_Town     29   35  -15      55.40     5.76   -20.49     0.00     0.04     0.00P    7.75R    0.78  
Gateshead          27   31   -6      55.56     6.15    -8.30     0.00     0.05     0.00P    7.52R    0.97  
AFC_Telford        33   29  -11      43.38     4.74   -16.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.31R   31.33  
Barrow             29   29  -29      46.60     5.55   -39.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.55R   18.08  
Nuneaton           30   28  -17      44.95     5.53   -25.35     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.32R   26.13  
Ebbsfleet_United   28   27  -18      46.17     5.78   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.71R   20.43