Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 13 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2013, Liverpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.73     4.28    47.07    97.81    99.91   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.21     4.33    36.92     2.07    76.27    93.67    98.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.87     4.52    35.47     0.11    16.24    59.15    84.48    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.44     4.72    18.46     0.02     4.36    23.34    52.89    96.01     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.01     4.52    32.06     0.00     3.09    22.05    55.19    96.70     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.99     4.54    10.18     0.00     0.12     1.47     6.61    60.94     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       26   37   +9      51.43     4.54     5.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     5.31     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     26   37   +1      52.10     4.56    -1.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.10     5.31     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool     26   36  +10      56.87     4.74    16.56     0.00     0.01     0.30     1.95    34.81     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.02     4.56    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.29R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.39     4.38   -16.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     5.81R    0.14  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.45     4.63    -7.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     2.20R    0.05  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.14     4.55    -8.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     2.39R    0.04  
Norwich       26   29  -15      41.97     4.34   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.71R    0.28  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.74     4.67   -12.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.87R    0.39  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.87     4.69   -13.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.14R    0.20  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.56     4.29   -33.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.32R    9.16  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.70     4.38   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.53R    7.40  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.30     4.42   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.45R   19.19  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.64     4.30   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.29R   63.14  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, Brighton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          30   64  +21      91.62     5.61    29.59    85.98    96.10    99.97    97.34P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             31   56   +9      78.47     5.33    11.86     3.25    26.59    91.22    42.02P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   53  +26      80.18     5.61    33.83     7.87    46.05    95.70    62.45P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   53  +18      75.71     5.49    21.21     1.76    15.72    83.19    32.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   52  +15      74.46     5.39    17.87     0.83    10.20    76.44    25.38P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    31   50   +4      71.54     5.45     5.42     0.22     3.46    53.52    14.26P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         31   46   +9      67.32     5.39    10.12     0.05     0.78    26.34     6.73P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn        31   44   +4      66.68     5.46     7.26     0.04     0.64    22.61     7.23P    0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          31   43   +1      64.67     5.40     2.51     0.00     0.19    12.63     2.95P    0.31R    0.01  
Derby            31   42   +3      61.80     5.36     1.57     0.00     0.03     5.24     1.06P    1.19R    0.09  
Leeds_United     31   42   -7      61.71     5.40    -8.67     0.00     0.04     4.58     0.86P    1.55R    0.13  
Millwall         31   41   -2      61.80     5.38    -1.65     0.00     0.03     4.97     1.14P    1.26R    0.08  
Nott'm_Forest    31   41   -4      60.66     5.28    -5.26     0.00     0.01     2.88     0.64P    2.05R    0.15  
Blackpool        31   40   +4      63.00     5.46     7.77     0.00     0.08     8.89     2.52P    0.75R    0.06  
Charlton         31   40   -2      59.74     5.39    -3.26     0.00     0.01     2.24     0.51P    3.10R    0.30  
Birmingham       31   38   -7      60.60     5.47    -3.99     0.00     0.02     3.33     1.02P    2.56R    0.28  
Bolton           30   37   -1      61.54     5.71     2.93     0.00     0.04     5.74     1.72P    1.96R    0.24  
Huddersfield     31   37  -18      54.23     5.31   -23.19     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   23.22R    4.82  
Sheff_Wed        31   36   -9      53.26     5.32   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   26.02R    5.98  
Ipswich          31   35  -19      51.81     5.28   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.51R   10.18  
Wolverhampton    31   34   -8      54.03     5.42    -8.83     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   20.13R    3.95  
Barnsley         31   34  -11      50.55     5.21   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   45.43R   13.27  
Bristol_City     31   31  -14      47.39     5.16   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   68.41R   31.90  
Peterborough     30   30  -12      47.96     5.54   -19.43     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.43R   28.57  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, Brentford vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Bournemouth     32   58  +17      80.11     5.20    21.34    16.36    33.17    84.68    44.75P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       31   57  +15      80.56     5.43    19.45    18.98    35.79    84.43    47.66P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        31   56  +18      78.08     5.36    20.28     9.75    21.47    73.39    32.68P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         31   55  +31      80.64     5.36    38.38    23.01    41.35    87.44    56.95P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       31   54  +15      80.59     5.33    23.97    20.09    38.02    86.32    54.16P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   54  +13      76.68     5.37    16.18     5.77    13.86    63.14    25.22P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          31   54  +12      76.31     5.45    14.57     5.12    12.76    59.82    20.68P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        32   47  +11      70.04     5.23    16.68     0.31     1.26    19.28     6.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall         32   47   -2      65.18     5.17    -3.58     0.01     0.08     3.37     0.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   31   46   -2      65.45     5.34    -3.60     0.02     0.11     3.67     0.62P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County    31   44   +9      66.49     5.40    11.89     0.08     0.29     7.47     2.03P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         30   44   +6      70.00     5.60    12.01     0.44     1.61    19.91     6.81P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           31   44   -2      61.47     5.32    -6.71     0.00     0.02     0.90     0.12P    0.37R    0.00  
Stevenage       30   43   -4      65.36     5.57    -3.29     0.04     0.16     4.41     1.06P    0.08R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    29   42   -4      62.16     5.78    -8.99     0.01     0.06     1.70     0.27P    0.50R    0.00  
Carlisle        31   39  -15      56.80     5.34   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P    4.49R    0.02  
Preston         31   35   -3      54.25     5.34    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     8.37R    0.05  
Scunthorpe      32   35  -16      50.83     5.00   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.05R    0.50  
Shrewsbury      32   34   -6      51.28     5.11    -8.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.10R    0.32  
Colchester      31   32  -16      49.85     5.27   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.49R    1.10  
Oldham          31   30  -13      47.97     5.23   -16.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.25R    2.38  
Bury            31   27  -15      44.43     5.27   -19.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.07R    8.40  
Portsmouth      32   22  -23      39.38     5.15   -25.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.09R   31.30  
Hartlepool      31   21  -26      37.24     5.12   -32.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.08R   55.94  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, Morecambe vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            31   60  +32      86.22     5.42    40.53    56.09    96.28    99.86    97.42P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           31   59  +24      85.03     5.28    32.18    39.85    94.45    99.80    96.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           32   52   +4      72.15     5.14     5.41     0.66    16.45    67.11    27.98P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       31   50  +11      71.32     5.43    12.23     0.51    15.62    63.28    26.22P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   50   +3      67.25     5.11    -0.06     0.09     3.23    30.25     7.76P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               31   49   +6      71.77     5.51     9.25     0.81    17.26    65.05    30.66P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            30   49   +5      72.10     5.62     6.67     0.80    18.53    65.71    29.44P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          31   48   +7      68.81     5.37     7.03     0.12     6.71    44.21    13.99P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             31   47  +13      72.90     5.31    20.89     0.98    24.28    76.40    42.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             30   44   +7      66.14     5.52     7.35     0.05     3.14    28.08     8.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         31   43   +7      65.83     5.45    10.31     0.03     2.71    26.82    10.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Morecambe            32   42   -1      60.91     5.20    -1.45     0.00     0.19     5.39     1.37P    0.16R    0.03  
Wycombe              31   42   -5      63.14     5.50    -4.23     0.00     0.72    11.95     3.53P    0.08R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            32   41   +0      59.83     5.10    -0.58     0.00     0.09     3.64     0.84P    0.30R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd           31   39   -6      59.13     5.33    -6.64     0.00     0.08     2.68     0.64P    0.72R    0.12  
Rochdale             31   38   -3      59.87     5.53    -1.20     0.00     0.15     4.52     1.34P    0.60R    0.12  
York                 32   38   -9      54.16     5.04   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P    5.24R    1.37  
Torquay              30   37   -2      59.77     5.54    -0.73     0.00     0.11     4.39     1.19P    0.48R    0.09  
Bristol_Rovers       30   35  -13      54.85     5.58   -16.58     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.14P    5.27R    1.51  
Plymouth             31   32   -9      50.30     5.21   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   17.22R    6.46  
Accrington_Stanley   31   32  -18      49.81     5.26   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    23.52R    9.17  
Barnet               31   30  -14      46.73     5.21   -19.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.13R   21.14  
Aldershot            31   30  -16      47.03     5.09   -20.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   40.54R   18.72  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   28  -23      44.66     5.27   -31.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.70R   41.20  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, AFC_Telford vs Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            30   58  +29      86.35     5.50    38.96    36.89    96.26    54.18P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   58  +28      87.46     5.19    41.90    47.76    97.90    66.32P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       31   53  +20      78.79     5.42    27.91     3.99    70.03    18.77P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   53  +16      78.70     5.93    19.56     4.57    64.87    13.94P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   50  +17      76.57     5.50    24.24     2.11    53.25    14.18P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          28   47  +15      76.33     6.03    22.35     2.93    50.91    14.19P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   44   +8      75.30     6.01    18.27     1.62    43.25    13.37P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       30   44   +3      69.21     5.70     7.88     0.06    10.12     2.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.85     5.47    -1.38     0.00     1.29     0.18P    0.10R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      31   42   +3      62.91     5.35     3.49     0.00     0.98     0.17P    0.08R    0.00  
Southport          31   42   -3      61.56     5.46    -5.01     0.00     0.57     0.10P    0.34R    0.01  
Woking             28   41   -6      61.07     6.07   -14.30     0.00     0.89     0.10P    0.88R    0.04  
Hereford           28   39   +0      68.37     6.12     7.12     0.06     9.37     2.13P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport          30   37   -8      56.13     5.54   -12.93     0.00     0.05     0.02P    4.53R    0.37  
Alfreton_Town      30   37  -13      56.18     5.56   -18.09     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.39R    0.44  
Hyde_United        30   36   +1      57.10     5.74    -0.56     0.00     0.10     0.01P    3.45R    0.29  
Tamworth           30   36   -6      55.05     5.50   -10.48     0.00     0.01     0.00     6.78R    0.63  
Lincoln_City       30   35   -8      55.46     5.56   -10.71     0.00     0.02     0.00P    6.16R    0.62  
Braintree_Town     29   35  -15      55.39     5.78   -20.52     0.00     0.03     0.00P    7.88R    0.80  
Gateshead          27   31   -6      55.56     6.15    -8.31     0.00     0.08     0.00P    7.35R    0.93  
AFC_Telford        33   29  -11      43.41     4.73   -16.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.92R   31.20  
Barrow             29   29  -29      46.53     5.53   -39.23     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.79R   18.17  
Nuneaton           30   28  -17      45.00     5.52   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.16R   25.62  
Ebbsfleet_United   28   27  -18      46.10     5.78   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.15R   20.87