Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 12 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2013, Liverpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.69     4.26    47.04    97.82    99.90   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.15     4.33    36.81     2.05    75.87    93.55    98.57    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.90     4.53    35.51     0.12    16.64    59.33    84.38    99.41     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.36     4.68    18.36     0.01     4.14    22.64    52.11    95.89     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.08     4.54    32.14     0.00     3.32    22.71    56.25    96.72     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.89     4.55    10.04     0.00     0.12     1.42     6.35    59.71     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       26   37   +9      51.46     4.55     5.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.14     5.57     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     26   37   +1      52.01     4.59    -1.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     5.57     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool     26   36  +10      56.98     4.72    16.72     0.00     0.01     0.32     2.06    35.52     0.00     0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.12     4.56    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.05     0.22R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.52     4.41   -16.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     5.33R    0.16  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.39     4.61    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     2.31R    0.04  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.09     4.56    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     2.42R    0.06  
Norwich       26   29  -15      42.01     4.35   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.13R    0.30  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.64     4.71   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.29R    0.39  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.85     4.68   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     5.19R    0.24  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.66     4.30   -33.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.49R    8.69  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.67     4.41   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.19R    7.83  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.30     4.40   -28.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.30R   18.86  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.63     4.32   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.12R   63.42  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, Brighton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          30   64  +21      91.67     5.59    29.63    86.31    96.26    99.98    97.32P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             31   56   +9      78.46     5.32    11.85     3.16    26.40    91.48    41.84P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   53  +26      80.17     5.59    33.82     7.64    46.30    95.72    62.82P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   53  +18      75.72     5.49    21.24     1.78    15.59    83.13    32.38P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   52  +15      74.46     5.41    17.88     0.82    10.07    76.21    24.94P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    31   50   +4      71.57     5.43     5.49     0.23     3.56    53.62    14.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         31   46   +9      67.37     5.38    10.17     0.03     0.74    26.57     6.73P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn        31   44   +4      66.60     5.46     7.11     0.03     0.61    22.17     6.93P    0.09R    0.00  
Burnley          31   43   +1      64.57     5.39     2.35     0.01     0.18    12.53     3.09P    0.31R    0.00  
Derby            31   42   +3      61.81     5.37     1.62     0.00     0.05     5.20     1.10P    1.19R    0.10  
Leeds_United     31   42   -7      61.84     5.38    -8.49     0.00     0.05     4.76     1.00P    1.44R    0.10  
Millwall         31   41   -2      61.88     5.37    -1.54     0.00     0.03     5.07     1.11P    1.31R    0.07  
Nott'm_Forest    31   41   -4      60.59     5.27    -5.39     0.00     0.01     2.83     0.55P    2.09R    0.13  
Blackpool        31   40   +4      63.03     5.48     7.75     0.00     0.08     9.04     2.76P    0.76R    0.06  
Charlton         31   40   -2      59.75     5.35    -3.24     0.00     0.01     2.24     0.47P    3.07R    0.33  
Birmingham       31   38   -7      60.54     5.46    -4.06     0.00     0.03     3.21     0.93P    2.52R    0.28  
Bolton           30   37   -1      61.58     5.71     2.97     0.00     0.05     5.78     1.63P    1.95R    0.23  
Huddersfield     31   37  -18      54.19     5.27   -23.28     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   22.91R    4.99  
Sheff_Wed        31   36   -9      53.20     5.29   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   26.73R    6.10  
Ipswich          31   35  -19      51.89     5.30   -24.95     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   38.05R   10.02  
Wolverhampton    31   34   -8      53.96     5.48    -8.88     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.05P   20.67R    4.31  
Barnsley         31   34  -11      50.59     5.19   -17.01     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   44.81R   13.06  
Bristol_City     31   31  -14      47.38     5.17   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.64R   31.86  
Peterborough     30   30  -12      47.95     5.52   -19.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.41R   28.36  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, Brentford vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Bournemouth     32   58  +17      80.22     5.18    21.51    16.91    33.62    85.19    45.36P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       31   57  +15      80.47     5.41    19.30    18.49    35.25    83.77    46.82P    0.00     0.00  
Tranmere        31   56  +18      78.18     5.35    20.45    10.37    22.17    73.60    33.40P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         31   55  +31      80.63     5.32    38.39    22.62    41.00    87.37    56.48P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       31   54  +15      80.49     5.31    23.86    19.55    37.34    85.87    52.98P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       31   54  +13      76.66     5.39    16.17     5.61    13.96    62.68    25.34P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          31   54  +12      76.37     5.47    14.64     5.36    12.91    60.32    21.39P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        32   47  +11      70.06     5.25    16.74     0.32     1.31    19.51     6.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Walsall         32   47   -2      65.31     5.15    -3.39     0.02     0.09     3.47     0.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   31   46   -2      65.47     5.32    -3.56     0.03     0.13     3.66     0.68P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County    31   44   +9      66.40     5.42    11.80     0.07     0.29     7.30     1.97P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         30   44   +6      70.13     5.58    12.16     0.55     1.65    20.17     6.84P    0.00     0.00  
Crewe           31   44   -2      61.51     5.32    -6.73     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.14P    0.38R    0.00  
Stevenage       30   43   -4      65.41     5.59    -3.17     0.07     0.20     4.54     1.12P    0.07R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    29   42   -4      62.14     5.77    -9.02     0.01     0.06     1.55     0.27P    0.43R    0.00  
Carlisle        31   39  -15      56.81     5.33   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    4.33R    0.01  
Preston         31   35   -3      54.18     5.31    -5.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    8.53R    0.08  
Scunthorpe      32   35  -16      50.79     4.98   -21.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.58R    0.49  
Shrewsbury      32   34   -6      51.23     5.09    -8.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.98R    0.27  
Colchester      31   32  -16      49.77     5.22   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.67R    1.14  
Oldham          31   30  -13      47.88     5.21   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.02R    2.42  
Bury            31   27  -15      44.40     5.26   -19.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.14R    8.52  
Portsmouth      32   22  -23      39.44     5.15   -25.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.80R   30.58  
Hartlepool      31   21  -26      37.19     5.12   -32.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.01R   56.50  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, Morecambe vs Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            31   60  +32      86.44     5.38    40.86    57.56    96.66    99.89    97.72P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           31   59  +24      85.04     5.32    32.17    38.63    94.18    99.77    95.93P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           32   52   +4      72.18     5.12     5.47     0.59    16.44    67.18    27.86P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       31   50  +11      71.16     5.41    11.94     0.41    14.74    62.10    25.03P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   50   +3      67.23     5.12    -0.03     0.05     3.16    30.17     7.77P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               31   49   +6      71.82     5.48     9.29     0.71    17.32    65.58    30.75P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            30   49   +5      72.16     5.61     6.76     0.78    18.79    66.38    30.15P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          31   48   +7      68.83     5.38     7.08     0.15     7.07    44.41    14.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             31   47  +13      72.82     5.36    20.78     1.02    24.11    75.55    42.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             30   44   +7      66.16     5.59     7.39     0.04     3.41    28.41     9.05P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         31   43   +7      65.79     5.47    10.29     0.04     2.69    26.79     9.98P    0.02R    0.00  
Morecambe            32   42   -1      61.01     5.16    -1.35     0.00     0.17     5.46     1.33P    0.16R    0.02  
Wycombe              31   42   -5      63.11     5.48    -4.28     0.00     0.73    11.64     3.33P    0.09R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            32   41   +0      59.90     5.14    -0.48     0.00     0.09     3.95     0.97P    0.28R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd           31   39   -6      59.18     5.37    -6.58     0.00     0.07     2.91     0.71P    0.64R    0.10  
Rochdale             31   38   -3      59.81     5.54    -1.29     0.00     0.18     4.47     1.38P    0.62R    0.13  
York                 32   38   -9      54.22     5.03   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    5.12R    1.26  
Torquay              30   37   -2      59.75     5.58    -0.81     0.00     0.17     4.54     1.41P    0.58R    0.10  
Bristol_Rovers       30   35  -13      54.72     5.54   -16.81     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.12P    5.44R    1.62  
Plymouth             31   32   -9      50.21     5.23   -12.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   17.92R    6.59  
Accrington_Stanley   31   32  -18      49.79     5.25   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   23.31R    9.27  
Barnet               31   30  -14      46.73     5.20   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.04R   21.08  
Aldershot            31   30  -16      47.00     5.11   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.69R   18.87  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   28  -23      44.70     5.33   -31.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.09R   40.92  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 February 2013, AFC_Telford vs Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            30   58  +29      86.30     5.50    38.92    36.17    96.23    53.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            31   58  +28      87.49     5.19    41.94    48.52    98.01    66.69P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       31   53  +20      78.79     5.41    27.91     4.05    69.85    18.63P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     29   53  +16      78.58     5.92    19.38     4.43    63.82    13.56P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   50  +17      76.70     5.48    24.48     2.16    54.41    14.84P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          28   47  +15      76.21     6.04    22.14     2.78    50.29    13.83P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              28   44   +8      75.39     5.98    18.41     1.76    43.73    13.52P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       30   44   +3      69.17     5.67     7.83     0.07     9.94     2.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           31   44   +0      63.83     5.50    -1.41     0.00     1.31     0.16P    0.08R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      31   42   +3      62.95     5.38     3.56     0.00     0.99     0.19P    0.11R    0.00  
Southport          31   42   -3      61.57     5.47    -5.02     0.00     0.57     0.07P    0.32R    0.01  
Woking             28   41   -6      61.16     6.09   -14.22     0.00     0.95     0.11P    0.85R    0.04  
Hereford           28   39   +0      68.40     6.15     7.20     0.06     9.59     2.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Stockport          30   37   -8      56.18     5.55   -12.84     0.00     0.04     0.00P    4.59R    0.31  
Alfreton_Town      30   37  -13      56.11     5.57   -18.17     0.00     0.02     0.00P    5.73R    0.48  
Hyde_United        30   36   +1      57.24     5.75    -0.33     0.00     0.11     0.02P    3.25R    0.25  
Tamworth           30   36   -6      54.97     5.50   -10.61     0.00     0.01     0.00P    6.93R    0.65  
Lincoln_City       30   35   -8      55.41     5.55   -10.79     0.00     0.02     0.00P    6.13R    0.62  
Braintree_Town     29   35  -15      55.32     5.76   -20.65     0.00     0.02     0.00     7.97R    0.83  
Gateshead          27   31   -6      55.51     6.16    -8.37     0.00     0.08     0.01P    7.57R    0.98  
AFC_Telford        33   29  -11      43.41     4.75   -16.37     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.90R   31.02  
Barrow             29   29  -29      46.51     5.53   -39.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.11R   18.39  
Nuneaton           30   28  -17      45.06     5.53   -25.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.61R   25.42  
Ebbsfleet_United   28   27  -18      46.13     5.81   -28.45     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.81R   20.99