Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 11 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 11 February 2013, Liverpool vs West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.76     4.25    47.16    98.01    99.94   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.19     4.33    36.92     1.86    76.00    93.46    98.62    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.93     4.55    35.56     0.13    16.54    59.50    84.45    99.40     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.42     4.72    18.45     0.01     4.32    23.06    52.16    95.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.09     4.50    32.15     0.00     3.09    22.24    56.09    96.88     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.92     4.56    10.09     0.00     0.10     1.43     6.51    59.58     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       26   37   +9      51.47     4.53     5.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     5.64     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     26   37   +1      52.02     4.57    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     5.41     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool     26   36  +10      56.97     4.71    16.71     0.00     0.01     0.30     1.93    35.67     0.00R    0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.04     4.54    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.98     0.23R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.47     4.39   -16.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.39R    0.12  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.40     4.64    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     2.23R    0.06  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.18     4.54    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     2.28R    0.05  
Norwich       26   29  -15      41.97     4.37   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.05R    0.22  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.64     4.70   -12.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     8.21R    0.37  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.84     4.68   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     5.11R    0.23  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.53     4.30   -33.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.43R    9.11  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.69     4.38   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.35R    7.39  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.27     4.43   -28.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.53R   19.34  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.65     4.30   -29.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.19R   63.12  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Blackburn vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          30   64  +21      91.64     5.56    29.61    87.07    96.71    99.98    97.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   53  +26      80.14     5.60    33.75     7.78    48.81    95.75    64.71P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   53  +18      75.73     5.49    21.26     1.77    16.78    83.48    33.07P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             30   53   +8      77.05     5.56    11.16     2.31    21.05    85.87    36.55P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   52  +15      74.50     5.41    17.91     0.81    11.02    76.92    25.85P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    30   47   +3      70.21     5.66     4.89     0.15     2.70    44.36    11.98P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton         30   45   +9      67.76     5.58    10.26     0.05     1.16    30.23     7.79P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn        30   43   +4      66.88     5.69     6.96     0.04     0.97    24.92     7.88P    0.09R    0.00  
Burnley          31   43   +1      64.56     5.39     2.33     0.01     0.22    12.50     3.01P    0.36R    0.03  
Derby            30   42   +4      62.91     5.54     2.24     0.00     0.14     8.43     1.94P    0.85R    0.08  
Leeds_United     30   42   -6      62.84     5.58    -8.10     0.00     0.11     7.60     1.63P    1.05R    0.07  
Millwall         31   41   -2      61.81     5.38    -1.60     0.00     0.05     5.12     1.17P    1.31R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest    31   41   -4      60.64     5.32    -5.35     0.00     0.02     3.07     0.68P    2.04R    0.18  
Blackpool        31   40   +4      63.06     5.45     7.83     0.00     0.12     9.33     2.75P    0.69R    0.07  
Charlton         31   40   -2      59.78     5.38    -3.23     0.00     0.02     2.46     0.49P    3.11R    0.28  
Birmingham       31   38   -7      60.63     5.45    -3.94     0.00     0.03     3.32     0.94P    2.54R    0.28  
Bolton           30   37   -1      61.67     5.70     3.11     0.00     0.08     6.08     1.86P    2.00R    0.20  
Huddersfield     31   37  -18      54.31     5.29   -23.10     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   22.08R    4.69  
Sheff_Wed        31   36   -9      53.22     5.33   -14.60     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   26.48R    6.12  
Ipswich          31   35  -19      51.75     5.33   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   39.11R   10.63  
Wolverhampton    31   34   -8      54.08     5.45    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.04P   20.06R    4.03  
Barnsley         31   34  -11      50.50     5.17   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   45.73R   13.37  
Bristol_City     31   31  -14      47.39     5.14   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.74R   31.87  
Peterborough     30   30  -12      47.99     5.49   -19.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.70R   28.01  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Bournemouth vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        31   56  +18      78.17     5.35    20.42    11.44    24.72    77.13    36.17P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       30   56  +15      81.08     5.68    19.67    24.92    43.49    87.12    54.25P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         31   55  +31      80.69     5.37    38.48    25.58    45.56    89.31    60.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     31   55  +16      78.63     5.42    20.54    12.78    27.63    79.66    39.69P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       30   51  +13      79.21     5.60    22.37    16.12    32.83    81.80    48.55P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       30   51  +11      74.91     5.61    13.95     3.95    10.32    53.96    20.43P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          30   51  +10      74.49     5.71    12.28     3.60     9.46    50.60    16.39P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        32   47  +11      70.08     5.24    16.78     0.40     1.67    22.98     7.77P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         32   47   -2      65.32     5.16    -3.37     0.02     0.12     4.14     0.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   31   46   -2      65.44     5.33    -3.62     0.02     0.14     4.61     0.83P    0.05R    0.00  
Notts_County    31   44   +9      66.35     5.42    11.69     0.10     0.44     8.54     2.36P    0.02R    0.00  
Crewe           30   44   -1      62.69     5.54    -5.99     0.02     0.08     2.14     0.37P    0.30R    0.00  
MK_Dons         29   43   +6      70.36     5.81    11.99     0.88     2.88    25.53     9.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Stevenage       29   43   -2      66.98     5.78    -0.91     0.16     0.58    10.04     2.61P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    29   42   -4      62.13     5.77    -9.01     0.01     0.07     2.00     0.33P    0.53R    0.00  
Carlisle        30   39  -13      58.53     5.59   -16.95     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.05P    2.82R    0.01  
Preston         30   35   -1      55.66     5.53    -2.90     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    5.64R    0.05  
Shrewsbury      32   34   -6      51.33     5.12    -8.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.86R    0.28  
Colchester      31   32  -16      49.72     5.27   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.35R    1.26  
Scunthorpe      31   32  -18      49.04     5.22   -23.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.76R    1.71  
Oldham          31   30  -13      47.78     5.19   -16.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.76R    2.85  
Bury            30   27  -13      45.60     5.43   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.51R    6.25  
Portsmouth      31   21  -23      39.76     5.40   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.24R   31.68  
Hartlepool      30   20  -26      37.49     5.36   -32.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.09R   55.90  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Accrington_Stanley vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            31   60  +32      86.15     5.38    40.44    51.17    96.60    99.92    97.67P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           30   58  +24      85.94     5.51    33.02    44.90    95.65    99.82    97.04P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   50   +3      67.28     5.11     0.02     0.06     3.43    33.43     8.50P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               31   49   +6      71.99     5.50     9.59     0.76    18.13    69.23    32.52P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           31   49   +3      69.99     5.32     3.66     0.26     9.85    54.11    19.87P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          31   48   +7      68.81     5.34     7.08     0.14     6.92    47.45    15.02P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             30   47  +14      74.95     5.52    22.88     2.06    40.86    86.79    56.56P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       30   47  +10      69.32     5.66    10.68     0.24     9.78    52.24    19.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            29   46   +3      69.78     5.80     3.58     0.30    10.81    52.56    20.16P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         31   43   +7      65.71     5.48    10.19     0.04     2.69    28.86    10.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Wycombe              30   42   -2      65.47     5.76     0.20     0.05     2.52    25.71     8.49P    0.03R    0.01  
Bradford             29   41   +4      63.56     5.74     2.94     0.02     1.46    17.54     4.98P    0.08R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            32   41   +0      59.93     5.10    -0.47     0.00     0.10     4.58     1.05P    0.29R    0.04  
Morecambe            31   39   -2      59.43     5.36    -2.26     0.00     0.13     4.10     1.05P    0.64R    0.14  
Oxford_Utd           30   39   -5      60.82     5.59    -5.20     0.00     0.30     6.99     1.76P    0.45R    0.08  
Rochdale             31   38   -3      59.73     5.50    -1.40     0.00     0.16     4.94     1.51P    0.66R    0.14  
Torquay              29   37   +0      61.71     5.73     2.08     0.00     0.60    10.63     3.27P    0.25R    0.04  
York                 31   37   -9      54.09     5.26   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    6.51R    1.89  
Bristol_Rovers       30   35  -13      54.87     5.56   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.13P    5.66R    1.60  
Plymouth             31   32   -9      50.28     5.22   -12.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   18.57R    6.83  
Accrington_Stanley   31   32  -18      49.80     5.25   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   24.64R    9.82  
Barnet               31   30  -14      46.58     5.16   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.70R   22.93  
Aldershot            30   30  -15      48.21     5.34   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   33.56R   14.74  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   28  -23      44.81     5.31   -31.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.92R   41.71  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Alfreton_Town vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            30   58  +29      86.41     5.54    39.07    41.71    95.93    57.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   55  +27      85.84     5.37    40.95    38.09    95.56    58.90P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       30   50  +17      77.49     5.62    25.37     3.43    58.64    15.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   50  +17      76.68     5.51    24.42     2.62    52.53    14.03P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     28   50  +14      76.75     6.18    16.94     3.27    50.01    10.37P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   47  +17      78.04     6.29    24.85     6.29    60.64    18.94P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   44   +9      77.33     6.17    20.42     4.17    55.43    18.40P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       29   43   +3      69.87     5.93     8.31     0.17    12.41     2.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   42   +6      65.56     5.56     8.47     0.02     3.21     0.67P    0.03R    0.00  
Dartford           30   41   -1      61.69     5.71    -3.29     0.00     0.62     0.07P    0.52R    0.02  
Woking             28   41   -6      60.96     6.12   -14.53     0.01     0.85     0.09P    1.02R    0.06  
Hereford           27   39   +1      69.73     6.35     8.14     0.22    13.55     3.20P    0.03R    0.00  
Southport          30   39   -6      60.07     5.63    -7.77     0.00     0.30     0.04P    1.06R    0.06  
Lincoln_City       29   35   -6      57.11     5.83    -8.32     0.00     0.08     0.01P    4.31R    0.43  
Tamworth           29   35   -6      55.14     5.75   -10.98     0.00     0.04     0.00P    7.79R    0.99  
Braintree_Town     28   35  -12      56.53     5.91   -17.84     0.00     0.08     0.00P    5.88R    0.71  
Stockport          29   34  -10      54.31     5.79   -15.35     0.00     0.03     0.01P   10.50R    1.39  
Alfreton_Town      29   34  -16      53.24     5.71   -23.31     0.00     0.01     0.00    15.35R    2.40  
Hyde_United        29   33   -1      54.86     5.96    -3.46     0.00     0.04     0.01P    8.85R    1.42  
Gateshead          27   31   -6      55.57     6.13    -8.32     0.00     0.06     0.00P    7.63R    1.09  
AFC_Telford        32   29   -9      45.01     5.01   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.91R   24.07  
Barrow             28   29  -26      47.87     5.74   -36.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.64R   15.56  
Nuneaton           30   28  -17      45.02     5.53   -25.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.66R   28.94  
Ebbsfleet_United   28   27  -18      46.25     5.80   -28.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.80R   22.85