Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 10 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 February 2013, Aston_Villa vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       26   65  +31      90.72     4.27    47.09    97.73    99.91   100.00   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.19     4.35    36.94     2.14    75.98    93.58    98.55    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.93     4.56    35.57     0.12    16.57    59.05    83.33    99.12     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.41     4.71    18.44     0.00     4.20    22.56    51.20    94.51     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.06     4.50    32.12     0.01     3.15    21.98    54.53    95.68     0.00     0.00  
Everton       26   42   +8      59.96     4.55    10.11     0.00     0.11     1.53     6.36    51.99     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       26   37   +9      51.47     4.51     5.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     4.24     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool     25   36  +12      59.32     4.93    20.24     0.00     0.07     1.29     5.88    51.65     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     25   34   -1      49.46     4.76    -5.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.69     0.14R    0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.10     4.54    -6.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.20R    0.00  
West_Ham      26   30   -9      42.43     4.38   -16.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.40R    0.11  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.34     4.61    -7.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     2.32R    0.05  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.13     4.52    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     2.27R    0.05  
Norwich       26   29  -15      42.02     4.36   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     8.06R    0.25  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.64     4.71   -12.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     8.15R    0.40  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.87     4.69   -13.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     5.22R    0.23  
Aston_Villa   26   24  -25      35.61     4.26   -33.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.02R    8.85  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.71     4.38   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.55R    7.45  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.29     4.42   -28.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.43R   19.28  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.65     4.30   -29.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.22R   63.33  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Blackburn vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          30   64  +21      91.64     5.58    29.57    86.97    96.63    99.99    97.66P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   53  +26      80.13     5.59    33.80     7.77    48.88    95.69    64.86P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   53  +18      75.79     5.50    21.34     1.92    16.88    83.56    33.42P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             30   53   +8      77.08     5.54    11.20     2.24    20.90    86.10    36.43P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   52  +15      74.49     5.39    17.92     0.83    11.20    76.88    25.73P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    30   47   +3      70.13     5.66     4.80     0.15     2.63    43.84    11.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton         30   45   +9      67.79     5.57    10.28     0.06     1.14    30.13     7.88P    0.04R    0.00  
Blackburn        30   43   +4      66.90     5.68     7.00     0.04     0.93    24.91     8.10P    0.12R    0.00  
Burnley          31   43   +1      64.62     5.39     2.43     0.01     0.19    12.80     2.99P    0.31R    0.01  
Derby            30   42   +4      62.91     5.56     2.21     0.00     0.13     8.22     1.78P    0.90R    0.06  
Leeds_United     30   42   -6      63.00     5.63    -7.87     0.01     0.16     8.20     1.67P    1.02R    0.06  
Millwall         31   41   -2      61.84     5.39    -1.56     0.00     0.08     5.15     1.17P    1.27R    0.09  
Nott'm_Forest    31   41   -4      60.61     5.31    -5.38     0.00     0.02     2.94     0.57P    2.17R    0.17  
Blackpool        31   40   +4      63.03     5.47     7.77     0.00     0.13     9.27     2.72P    0.73R    0.04  
Charlton         31   40   -2      59.75     5.39    -3.23     0.00     0.01     2.49     0.55P    3.14R    0.31  
Birmingham       31   38   -7      60.54     5.43    -4.07     0.00     0.03     3.18     0.88P    2.55R    0.24  
Bolton           30   37   -1      61.64     5.72     3.06     0.00     0.06     6.12     1.88P    2.04R    0.22  
Huddersfield     31   37  -18      54.22     5.29   -23.24     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   22.93R    4.80  
Sheff_Wed        31   36   -9      53.15     5.29   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   26.85R    6.12  
Ipswich          31   35  -19      51.77     5.34   -25.15     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   39.06R   10.66  
Wolverhampton    31   34   -8      54.02     5.45    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.06P   20.41R    4.23  
Barnsley         31   34  -11      50.64     5.19   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   44.40R   12.81  
Bristol_City     31   31  -14      47.39     5.14   -21.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.40R   31.58  
Peterborough     30   30  -12      47.95     5.55   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    63.66R   28.59  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Bournemouth vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        31   56  +18      78.16     5.35    20.41    11.46    24.75    77.00    36.06P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       30   56  +15      81.07     5.67    19.66    24.78    43.41    87.24    53.88P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         31   55  +31      80.72     5.36    38.46    25.39    45.56    89.50    60.48P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     31   55  +16      78.74     5.43    20.72    13.18    28.33    80.00    40.25P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       30   51  +13      79.23     5.53    22.39    15.89    32.30    81.89    48.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       30   51  +11      74.91     5.61    13.95     4.04    10.40    53.74    20.37P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          30   51  +10      74.53     5.68    12.34     3.65     9.45    50.70    16.38P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        32   47  +11      70.03     5.25    16.70     0.37     1.60    22.81     7.48P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         32   47   -2      65.31     5.18    -3.37     0.02     0.12     4.32     0.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   31   46   -2      65.46     5.34    -3.56     0.01     0.10     4.59     0.78P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    31   44   +9      66.31     5.40    11.65     0.07     0.34     8.43     2.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           30   44   -1      62.70     5.52    -6.00     0.02     0.08     2.18     0.38P    0.23R    0.00  
MK_Dons         29   43   +6      70.44     5.81    12.13     0.95     2.90    25.73     9.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       29   43   -2      66.95     5.77    -0.95     0.15     0.59     9.58     2.50P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    29   42   -4      62.13     5.75    -9.00     0.01     0.07     1.91     0.33P    0.49R    0.00  
Carlisle        30   39  -13      58.48     5.56   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.05P    2.79R    0.02  
Preston         30   35   -1      55.62     5.53    -3.04     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    5.82R    0.05  
Shrewsbury      32   34   -6      51.22     5.10    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.53R    0.30  
Colchester      31   32  -16      49.85     5.23   -20.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.95R    1.18  
Scunthorpe      31   32  -18      49.07     5.24   -23.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.54R    1.60  
Oldham          31   30  -13      47.81     5.24   -16.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.65R    2.68  
Bury            30   27  -13      45.44     5.47   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.78R    6.85  
Portsmouth      31   21  -23      39.88     5.40   -25.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.87R   31.01  
Hartlepool      30   20  -26      37.43     5.32   -32.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.19R   56.32  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Accrington_Stanley vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            31   60  +32      86.28     5.39    40.62    51.81    96.75    99.89    97.68P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           30   58  +24      85.95     5.53    33.02    44.30    95.65    99.83    96.90P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   50   +3      67.21     5.12    -0.08     0.06     3.18    33.18     8.27P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               31   49   +6      71.89     5.50     9.41     0.70    17.71    68.60    32.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           31   49   +3      69.91     5.34     3.56     0.26     9.56    53.55    19.45P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          31   48   +7      68.79     5.33     7.04     0.14     7.06    47.32    15.09P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             30   47  +14      74.96     5.49    22.90     2.09    41.42    86.95    57.38P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       30   47  +10      69.44     5.61    10.83     0.21     9.99    52.94    19.79P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   46   +3      69.85     5.79     3.70     0.36    10.80    53.31    20.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         31   43   +7      65.80     5.44    10.29     0.03     2.69    29.34    10.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Wycombe              30   42   -2      65.34     5.71     0.01     0.03     2.33    24.64     8.03P    0.05R    0.00  
Bradford             29   41   +4      63.57     5.73     2.96     0.00     1.52    17.73     4.97P    0.08R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            32   41   +0      59.96     5.13    -0.39     0.00     0.12     4.62     1.01P    0.40R    0.07  
Morecambe            31   39   -2      59.51     5.36    -2.19     0.00     0.14     4.15     1.02P    0.63R    0.12  
Oxford_Utd           30   39   -5      60.83     5.58    -5.15     0.00     0.29     7.14     1.88P    0.36R    0.06  
Rochdale             31   38   -3      59.57     5.50    -1.65     0.00     0.15     4.74     1.38P    0.67R    0.12  
Torquay              29   37   +0      61.70     5.78     2.07     0.01     0.61    10.89     3.32P    0.31R    0.05  
York                 31   37   -9      54.20     5.27   -14.10     0.00     0.01     0.38     0.06P    6.23R    1.66  
Bristol_Rovers       30   35  -13      54.81     5.57   -16.63     0.00     0.02     0.72     0.16P    5.95R    1.69  
Plymouth             31   32   -9      50.32     5.21   -12.24     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.27R    6.95  
Accrington_Stanley   31   32  -18      49.82     5.22   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   24.26R    9.68  
Barnet               31   30  -14      46.57     5.19   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.15R   23.09  
Aldershot            30   30  -15      48.17     5.31   -20.24     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.48R   14.76  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   28  -23      44.79     5.31   -31.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.12R   41.74  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Alfreton_Town vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            30   58  +29      86.40     5.52    39.02    41.66    95.88    57.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   55  +27      85.84     5.42    40.90    38.26    95.53    59.06P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       30   50  +17      77.40     5.61    25.26     3.18    58.10    14.94P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   50  +17      76.66     5.51    24.39     2.52    52.67    14.01P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     28   50  +14      76.68     6.17    16.83     3.07    49.52     9.99P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   47  +17      78.11     6.26    24.99     6.38    61.16    19.26P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   44   +9      77.43     6.22    20.56     4.54    56.02    18.67P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       29   43   +3      69.78     5.96     8.17     0.19    12.39     2.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   42   +6      65.52     5.58     8.42     0.02     3.14     0.61P    0.03R    0.00  
Dartford           30   41   -1      61.73     5.71    -3.21     0.00     0.65     0.07P    0.47R    0.03  
Woking             28   41   -6      60.91     6.07   -14.61     0.00     0.77     0.08P    1.04R    0.06  
Hereford           27   39   +1      69.66     6.37     8.04     0.18    13.54     3.24P    0.02R    0.00  
Southport          30   39   -6      60.17     5.66    -7.61     0.00     0.29     0.03P    0.99R    0.06  
Lincoln_City       29   35   -6      56.99     5.82    -8.50     0.00     0.07     0.02P    4.30R    0.44  
Tamworth           29   35   -6      55.33     5.74   -10.73     0.00     0.03     0.00P    7.27R    0.82  
Braintree_Town     28   35  -12      56.63     5.93   -17.70     0.00     0.09     0.01P    5.88R    0.68  
Stockport          29   34  -10      54.35     5.78   -15.33     0.00     0.03     0.00    10.21R    1.38  
Alfreton_Town      29   34  -16      53.31     5.69   -23.17     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.83R    2.36  
Hyde_United        29   33   -1      54.84     5.96    -3.55     0.00     0.03     0.00P    9.06R    1.31  
Gateshead          27   31   -6      55.61     6.19    -8.25     0.00     0.09     0.01P    7.83R    1.22  
AFC_Telford        32   29   -9      44.99     5.00   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.95R   23.88  
Barrow             28   29  -26      47.81     5.73   -36.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.06R   15.53  
Nuneaton           30   28  -17      44.98     5.53   -25.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.67R   29.09  
Ebbsfleet_United   28   27  -18      46.21     5.78   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.38R   23.15