Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 9 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Chelsea vs Wigan; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       25   62  +29      89.92     4.42    46.46    96.78    99.84    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      26   53  +24      77.16     4.33    36.87     2.98    75.82    93.19    98.45    99.98     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       26   49  +27      70.95     4.51    35.61     0.21    16.56    58.96    83.43    99.04     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     26   48  +14      67.32     4.70    18.32     0.02     4.13    22.04    49.80    93.85     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       26   44  +21      67.10     4.53    32.16     0.01     3.38    22.34    54.10    95.37     0.00     0.00  
Everton       25   42  +10      60.64     4.73    10.87     0.00     0.19     2.24     8.35    56.57     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       26   37   +9      51.42     4.54     5.53     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     3.83     0.00R    0.00  
Liverpool     25   36  +12      59.29     4.92    20.18     0.00     0.08     1.24     5.74    48.68     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     25   34   -1      49.40     4.74    -5.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.60     0.09R    0.00  
Stoke         26   33   -5      48.07     4.54    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.19R    0.00  
West_Ham      25   30   -8      43.92     4.65   -14.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     3.25R    0.07  
Fulham        26   29   -6      44.37     4.64    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     1.87R    0.03  
Sunderland    26   29   -6      44.15     4.57    -8.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     2.03R    0.04  
Norwich       26   29  -15      42.03     4.37   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     6.90R    0.22  
Southampton   26   27   -9      41.58     4.70   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     7.44R    0.30  
Newcastle     26   27  -12      42.90     4.74   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     4.68R    0.20  
Reading       26   23  -15      35.70     4.38   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.38R    6.63  
Wigan         26   21  -21      33.29     4.43   -28.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.48R   17.62  
Aston_Villa   25   21  -26      33.98     4.50   -34.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.19R   15.41  
QPR           26   17  -22      28.64     4.28   -29.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.48R   59.48  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Blackburn vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          30   64  +21      91.70     5.59    29.71    86.76    96.60    99.97    97.61P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        30   53  +26      80.16     5.60    33.82     7.78    48.48    95.76    64.38P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   53  +18      75.65     5.51    21.14     1.80    16.31    82.96    32.76P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             30   53   +8      77.17     5.58    11.33     2.55    21.77    86.33    37.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   52  +15      74.51     5.42    17.96     0.83    11.30    76.97    26.20P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    30   47   +3      70.17     5.65     4.86     0.17     2.67    44.07    11.83P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton         30   45   +9      67.84     5.61    10.36     0.07     1.29    30.80     8.02P    0.05R    0.00  
Blackburn        30   43   +4      66.82     5.66     6.88     0.03     0.84    24.72     7.77P    0.14R    0.00  
Burnley          31   43   +1      64.61     5.40     2.45     0.00     0.17    12.99     3.14P    0.31R    0.02  
Derby            30   42   +4      62.92     5.53     2.26     0.00     0.14     8.18     1.69P    0.78R    0.06  
Leeds_United     30   42   -6      62.86     5.59    -8.07     0.00     0.14     7.61     1.64P    1.06R    0.07  
Millwall         31   41   -2      61.88     5.38    -1.52     0.00     0.07     5.13     1.18P    1.28R    0.10  
Nott'm_Forest    31   41   -4      60.61     5.30    -5.38     0.00     0.02     2.99     0.59P    2.08R    0.17  
Blackpool        31   40   +4      63.13     5.49     7.96     0.00     0.09     9.48     2.71P    0.65R    0.05  
Charlton         31   40   -2      59.84     5.40    -3.15     0.00     0.02     2.51     0.57P    3.04R    0.30  
Birmingham       31   38   -7      60.48     5.43    -4.16     0.00     0.02     3.10     0.88P    2.66R    0.32  
Bolton           30   37   -1      61.54     5.73     2.92     0.00     0.07     5.94     1.80P    2.07R    0.23  
Huddersfield     31   37  -18      54.10     5.25   -23.39     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   23.66R    4.95  
Sheff_Wed        31   36   -9      53.15     5.31   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   26.66R    6.38  
Ipswich          31   35  -19      51.86     5.35   -25.02     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   38.59R   10.35  
Wolverhampton    31   34   -8      53.98     5.43    -8.86     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.05P   20.48R    4.30  
Barnsley         31   34  -11      50.63     5.18   -16.98     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   44.46R   12.93  
Bristol_City     31   31  -14      47.47     5.14   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   68.39R   31.35  
Peterborough     30   30  -12      47.94     5.50   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.64R   28.41  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Bournemouth vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        31   56  +18      78.29     5.35    20.60    11.84    25.46    77.56    36.79P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       30   56  +15      81.13     5.66    19.79    24.95    43.62    87.48    54.32P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         31   55  +31      80.59     5.34    38.29    24.53    44.62    89.11    59.35P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     31   55  +16      78.73     5.44    20.68    13.34    28.27    79.67    40.12P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       30   51  +13      79.25     5.58    22.39    16.12    32.53    81.85    48.48P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       30   51  +11      74.90     5.63    13.96     4.02    10.42    53.24    20.08P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          30   51  +10      74.43     5.68    12.20     3.50     9.06    49.66    15.87P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        32   47  +11      70.22     5.23    16.98     0.45     1.64    23.82     7.98P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         32   47   -2      65.26     5.14    -3.47     0.03     0.11     4.16     0.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   31   46   -2      65.48     5.31    -3.57     0.03     0.17     4.52     0.86P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    31   44   +9      66.38     5.39    11.75     0.09     0.42     8.54     2.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Crewe           30   44   -1      62.72     5.57    -5.96     0.01     0.07     2.33     0.39P    0.28R    0.00  
MK_Dons         29   43   +6      70.37     5.81    12.03     0.88     2.82    25.38     9.43P    0.00R    0.00  
Stevenage       29   43   -2      67.07     5.82    -0.79     0.20     0.73    10.28     2.78P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    29   42   -4      62.06     5.80    -9.16     0.01     0.07     1.93     0.32P    0.53R    0.00  
Carlisle        30   39  -13      58.53     5.64   -16.99     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.05P    2.81R    0.01  
Preston         30   35   -1      55.65     5.56    -2.95     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    5.70R    0.04  
Shrewsbury      32   34   -6      51.22     5.12    -8.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.10R    0.31  
Colchester      31   32  -16      49.73     5.24   -20.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.81R    1.17  
Scunthorpe      31   32  -18      48.98     5.25   -23.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.12R    1.68  
Oldham          31   30  -13      47.79     5.20   -16.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.41R    2.66  
Bury            30   27  -13      45.49     5.44   -18.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.05R    6.59  
Portsmouth      31   21  -23      39.82     5.44   -25.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.87R   31.50  
Hartlepool      30   20  -26      37.42     5.35   -32.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.20R   56.05  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Accrington_Stanley vs Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            31   60  +32      86.27     5.38    40.60    52.01    96.64    99.91    97.65P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           30   58  +24      85.90     5.52    32.95    44.22    95.66    99.83    96.95P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        32   50   +3      67.21     5.12    -0.08     0.05     3.18    32.89     8.07P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               31   49   +6      71.92     5.47     9.45     0.60    17.81    69.07    32.08P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           31   49   +3      69.95     5.34     3.61     0.24     9.72    53.79    19.50P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          31   48   +7      68.72     5.37     6.96     0.12     7.04    47.03    14.92P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             30   47  +14      74.95     5.52    22.91     2.13    41.02    86.76    56.63P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       30   47  +10      69.31     5.63    10.66     0.23     9.66    52.29    19.63P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            29   46   +3      69.89     5.78     3.73     0.31    10.95    53.33    20.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         31   43   +7      65.82     5.46    10.33     0.03     2.92    29.28    11.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Wycombe              30   42   -2      65.42     5.77     0.11     0.03     2.60    25.54     8.61P    0.03R    0.01  
Bradford             29   41   +4      63.58     5.74     2.99     0.02     1.51    17.71     5.09P    0.08R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            32   41   +0      59.90     5.09    -0.47     0.00     0.11     4.51     1.02P    0.30R    0.05  
Morecambe            31   39   -2      59.48     5.39    -2.23     0.00     0.13     4.27     1.09P    0.65R    0.12  
Oxford_Utd           30   39   -5      60.82     5.56    -5.17     0.00     0.30     6.84     1.71P    0.38R    0.05  
Rochdale             31   38   -3      59.69     5.51    -1.48     0.00     0.14     4.93     1.42P    0.71R    0.12  
Torquay              29   37   +0      61.67     5.79     2.03     0.00     0.59    10.89     3.38P    0.30R    0.05  
York                 31   37   -9      54.10     5.26   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.05P    6.59R    1.94  
Bristol_Rovers       30   35  -13      54.84     5.56   -16.61     0.00     0.02     0.71     0.14P    5.62R    1.62  
Plymouth             31   32   -9      50.33     5.23   -12.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.41R    6.84  
Accrington_Stanley   31   32  -18      49.84     5.23   -22.29     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   24.34R    9.69  
Barnet               31   30  -14      46.70     5.21   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.29R   22.64  
Aldershot            30   30  -15      48.18     5.32   -20.25     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.01R   15.02  
AFC_Wimbledon        30   28  -23      44.76     5.32   -31.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.26R   41.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 February 2013, Alfreton_Town vs Woking; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            30   58  +29      86.28     5.54    38.82    41.20    95.72    56.75P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            30   55  +27      85.78     5.38    40.81    38.27    95.51    58.81P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       30   50  +17      77.35     5.61    25.19     3.23    57.46    14.88P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      30   50  +17      76.81     5.45    24.61     2.67    53.75    14.53P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     28   50  +14      76.73     6.13    16.94     3.34    49.90    10.47P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          27   47  +17      78.02     6.26    24.81     6.28    60.49    19.03P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              27   44   +9      77.43     6.21    20.53     4.60    55.91    18.75P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       29   43   +3      69.88     5.91     8.33     0.18    12.26     2.75P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      30   42   +6      65.58     5.59     8.56     0.01     3.31     0.63P    0.03R    0.00  
Dartford           30   41   -1      61.65     5.71    -3.35     0.00     0.63     0.08P    0.49R    0.03  
Woking             28   41   -6      60.83     6.08   -14.77     0.00     0.76     0.07P    1.06R    0.05  
Hereford           27   39   +1      69.78     6.30     8.22     0.22    13.69     3.17P    0.02R    0.00  
Southport          30   39   -6      60.21     5.64    -7.53     0.00     0.30     0.04P    0.99R    0.07  
Lincoln_City       29   35   -6      56.94     5.80    -8.59     0.00     0.08     0.00P    4.30R    0.47  
Tamworth           29   35   -6      55.15     5.69   -10.97     0.00     0.02     0.00P    7.64R    0.92  
Braintree_Town     28   35  -12      56.65     5.94   -17.63     0.00     0.09     0.02P    5.81R    0.68  
Stockport          29   34  -10      54.33     5.78   -15.33     0.00     0.02     0.00P   10.39R    1.39  
Alfreton_Town      29   34  -16      53.32     5.67   -23.19     0.00     0.01     0.00    14.82R    2.22  
Hyde_United        29   33   -1      54.89     5.90    -3.43     0.00     0.03     0.00     8.61R    1.26  
Gateshead          27   31   -6      55.60     6.17    -8.27     0.00     0.07     0.01P    7.95R    1.19  
AFC_Telford        32   29   -9      45.05     5.01   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.58R   23.85  
Barrow             28   29  -26      47.84     5.77   -36.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.21R   15.84  
Nuneaton           30   28  -17      45.10     5.52   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.46R   28.45  
Ebbsfleet_United   28   27  -18      46.13     5.74   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.65R   23.57