Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 8 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2013, Man_City vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       25   62  +29      89.80     4.48    46.21    92.52    99.81    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      25   53  +26      79.73     4.50    40.82     7.33    88.51    97.83    99.62   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       25   46  +24      70.33     4.69    34.40     0.15     8.66    58.69    83.06    98.59     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     25   45  +13      66.45     4.89    18.47     0.00     1.80    20.59    49.72    92.25     0.00     0.00  
Everton       25   42  +10      60.59     4.74    10.80     0.00     0.08     2.77    10.83    59.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       25   41  +20      65.74     4.79    31.55     0.00     1.11    18.30    48.83    92.40     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     25   36  +12      59.26     4.92    20.14     0.00     0.03     1.80     7.76    51.33     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       25   34   +6      50.03     4.73     2.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.12     2.89     0.04R    0.00  
West_Brom     25   34   -1      49.51     4.76    -5.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     2.02     0.08R    0.00  
Stoke         25   30   -6      46.75     4.77    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.80R    0.01  
West_Ham      25   30   -8      43.81     4.62   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     3.53R    0.09  
Sunderland    25   29   -5      45.30     4.80    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32     1.55R    0.03  
Fulham        25   28   -6      44.79     4.86    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     2.13R    0.10  
Norwich       25   28  -15      42.48     4.67   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.25R    0.39  
Newcastle     25   27  -11      43.68     4.87   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     4.01R    0.23  
Southampton   25   24  -11      38.88     4.83   -16.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    21.06R    2.36  
Reading       25   23  -14      36.73     4.62   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.19R    6.27  
Wigan         25   21  -18      33.76     4.51   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.00R   18.53  
Aston_Villa   25   21  -26      33.83     4.51   -34.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.82R   19.78  
QPR           25   17  -19      29.77     4.53   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.56R   52.21  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 8 February 2013, Watford vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          29   63  +21      92.51     5.82    30.39    83.42    95.74    99.97    96.99P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +27      82.27     5.81    35.96    11.22    55.97    97.33    69.95P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          31   53  +18      75.71     5.53    21.24     1.30    11.98    81.35    28.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             29   53   +9      78.51     5.77    12.32     3.03    22.54    88.67    38.62P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   31   52  +15      74.54     5.38    18.01     0.57     7.74    75.05    23.16P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    29   47   +4      72.40     5.85     7.12     0.39     4.33    56.83    16.24P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          30   43   +2      65.78     5.63     3.06     0.02     0.30    16.41     4.08P    0.17R    0.01  
Brighton         29   42   +8      66.12     5.78     9.24     0.03     0.50    19.83     5.01P    0.14R    0.00  
Derby            29   41   +4      63.35     5.79     2.36     0.00     0.14     9.09     1.91P    0.65R    0.03  
Millwall         30   41   -1      62.93     5.59    -1.07     0.00     0.06     7.04     1.65P    0.64R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    30   41   -2      62.32     5.53    -2.87     0.00     0.03     5.29     1.18P    0.85R    0.06  
Leeds_United     29   41   -6      62.95     5.84    -8.49     0.01     0.10     7.58     1.47P    0.94R    0.03  
Blackburn        29   40   +3      65.83     5.88     6.89     0.00     0.47    18.85     6.00P    0.22R    0.01  
Charlton         30   39   -2      60.16     5.62    -3.17     0.00     0.01     2.83     0.60P    2.30R    0.18  
Blackpool        30   37   +3      61.77     5.69     7.33     0.00     0.05     5.96     1.81P    1.21R    0.08  
Birmingham       30   37   -7      60.95     5.68    -4.01     0.00     0.03     3.78     1.12P    1.77R    0.14  
Huddersfield     30   36  -18      54.11     5.49   -24.04     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   19.79R    3.17  
Sheff_Wed        30   35   -9      53.51     5.53   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   21.15R    3.46  
Ipswich          30   35  -18      52.59     5.52   -25.12     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   27.86R    5.06  
Bolton           29   34   -2      60.04     5.96     2.10     0.00     0.02     3.44     1.07P    3.16R    0.32  
Wolverhampton    30   33   -8      54.73     5.65    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.08P   14.11R    1.97  
Barnsley         30   31  -12      48.21     5.36   -19.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.95R   16.91  
Bristol_City     30   28  -16      45.46     5.36   -23.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.37R   34.98  
Peterborough     29   27  -13      45.66     5.73   -21.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.72R   33.57  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2013, Colchester vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        30   56  +19      79.87     5.55    21.92    14.86    31.37    82.30    42.45P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       29   56  +16      83.14     5.91    21.69    32.74    53.56    91.12    62.63P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         30   54  +31      81.87     5.55    39.66    27.59    49.58    90.81    62.89P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     30   52  +14      77.15     5.64    18.77     6.66    16.94    67.15    28.09P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   50  +11      75.74     5.83    14.64     4.48    11.59    56.21    21.43P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       29   48  +12      77.98     5.75    21.91     9.00    21.64    72.92    38.44P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          29   48   +9      72.38     5.87    10.50     1.41     4.26    33.29     9.10P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        31   47  +12      72.16     5.45    18.86     1.00     3.37    34.33    12.00P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         31   44   -3      63.00     5.29    -5.40     0.01     0.03     1.60     0.28P    0.10R    0.00  
Notts_County    30   43   +9      67.29     5.63    12.54     0.12     0.61    10.72     2.97P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         28   43   +8      72.54     5.99    15.21     1.78     5.48    36.28    14.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           29   43   -1      62.56     5.73    -6.82     0.02     0.08     2.17     0.38P    0.23R    0.00  
Stevenage       28   43   -1      68.69     5.99     0.61     0.32     1.30    14.96     4.07P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   30   43   -3      63.49     5.52    -5.06     0.00     0.05     2.32     0.42P    0.15R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    28   42   -3      63.66     6.03    -7.78     0.02     0.14     3.44     0.60P    0.19R    0.00  
Carlisle        29   36  -14      56.60     5.77   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P    4.46R    0.04  
Preston         29   35   +0      57.41     5.75    -1.41     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    2.43R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      31   34   -5      52.22     5.32    -8.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   12.15R    0.18  
Colchester      30   29  -17      47.92     5.46   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.64R    2.61  
Scunthorpe      30   29  -19      47.19     5.43   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.80R    3.50  
Oldham          30   27  -15      45.33     5.40   -20.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.19R    6.28  
Bury            29   26  -13      45.36     5.60   -19.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.33R    6.66  
Portsmouth      30   21  -21      41.16     5.59   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.04R   21.36  
Hartlepool      29   19  -26      36.86     5.48   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.27R   59.36  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2013, Cheltenham vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            30   59  +32      87.28     5.58    41.63    63.00    97.30    99.92    98.17P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           29   55  +23      84.29     5.77    32.02    31.66    91.53    99.57    94.15P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           30   49   +4      71.45     5.55     4.77     0.58    15.14    65.22    26.62P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        31   47   +1      65.42     5.34    -2.38     0.05     1.93    24.00     5.61P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             29   46  +14      75.70     5.75    23.46     3.22    46.17    88.99    61.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   46   +5      71.66     6.06     6.34     0.81    18.21    65.65    29.26P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               30   46   +3      69.74     5.76     5.60     0.34    10.28    54.53    22.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          30   45   +5      66.98     5.58     4.73     0.08     4.10    35.84    10.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       29   44   +9      67.28     5.85     9.08     0.13     5.55    40.03    13.42P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             28   41   +5      64.96     5.98     3.96     0.06     2.90    25.75     7.82P    0.06R    0.00  
Chesterfield         30   40   +5      64.79     5.66     9.26     0.02     2.06    25.07     8.98P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe            30   39   +1      61.38     5.62     1.58     0.00     0.48     9.88     2.64P    0.30R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd           29   39   -3      62.91     5.82    -2.15     0.01     0.92    14.48     4.02P    0.20R    0.04  
Wycombe              29   39   -6      63.38     5.95    -4.49     0.01     1.33    16.72     5.05P    0.17R    0.03  
Rochdale             30   38   -1      61.46     5.77     1.10     0.01     0.53    10.64     3.23P    0.38R    0.08  
Dag_&_Red            31   38   -1      58.31     5.32    -1.44     0.00     0.06     3.31     0.80P    0.85R    0.20  
Torquay              28   37   +1      63.47     5.98     3.65     0.02     1.50    18.76     6.25P    0.14R    0.01  
York                 30   37   -5      55.70     5.52    -9.87     0.00     0.02     1.23     0.23P    3.83R    1.13  
Bristol_Rovers       29   32  -15      52.37     5.70   -20.01     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P   12.91R    4.66  
Accrington_Stanley   30   31  -18      49.77     5.43   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   24.85R   10.40  
Aldershot            29   30  -14      49.83     5.49   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   23.00R    9.45  
Plymouth             30   29  -10      48.25     5.39   -13.80     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   31.03R   14.34  
Barnet               30   29  -14      46.30     5.39   -20.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   47.61R   26.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   28  -21      45.73     5.48   -30.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   54.61R   33.61  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, AFC_Telford vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            29   55  +28      85.45     5.71    39.03    39.25    94.64    55.20P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   52  +25      84.96     5.58    40.07    35.87    94.18    57.43P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       29   49  +17      77.50     5.83    24.82     4.56    60.40    16.67P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.85     6.37    18.13     6.04    59.58    14.04P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   47  +16      75.28     5.70    23.75     2.21    45.09    12.41P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   44  +10      75.92     6.49    16.96     4.21    47.60    13.60P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   43   +9      78.17     6.37    21.06     7.16    62.40    22.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      29   42   +7      66.81     5.80     9.38     0.08     6.19     1.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield       28   42   +3      70.50     6.15     8.74     0.43    16.66     3.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           29   41   +0      62.97     5.95    -2.48     0.01     1.64     0.23P    0.51R    0.03  
Woking             27   38   -9      58.27     6.26   -19.42     0.00     0.40     0.04P    4.55R    0.38  
Hereford           26   36   -1      67.93     6.58     5.86     0.19    10.11     2.34P    0.12R    0.01  
Southport          29   36   -7      58.37     5.88    -8.95     0.00     0.20     0.02P    3.36R    0.32  
Braintree_Town     27   35  -10      58.14     6.19   -15.38     0.00     0.31     0.05P    4.48R    0.47  
Tamworth           28   34   -6      55.05     5.85   -11.73     0.00     0.05     0.00     9.52R    1.19  
Stockport          28   34   -8      54.97     5.89   -14.51     0.00     0.06     0.01P    9.80R    1.18  
Alfreton_Town      28   34  -13      55.31     5.93   -19.12     0.00     0.05     0.00P   10.30R    1.41  
Hyde_United        28   32   -1      54.97     6.19    -3.89     0.00     0.06     0.01P   10.62R    1.63  
Lincoln_City       28   32   -7      55.47     6.02    -9.37     0.00     0.06     0.00P    8.86R    1.18  
Gateshead          26   31   -4      57.73     6.43    -5.13     0.00     0.32     0.07P    5.07R    0.69  
AFC_Telford        31   29   -8      45.83     5.19   -13.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.53R   20.30  
Barrow             27   29  -19      49.66     5.97   -28.28     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.54R    9.86  
Nuneaton           29   28  -16      46.53     5.80   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.13R   21.12  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   24  -20      43.85     5.91   -31.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.59R   40.24