Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 7 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2013, Man_City vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       25   62  +29      89.86     4.46    46.31    92.69    99.81    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      25   53  +26      79.68     4.52    40.73     7.16    88.21    97.82    99.61   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       25   46  +24      70.32     4.70    34.37     0.13     8.81    58.58    82.78    98.65     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     25   45  +13      66.44     4.92    18.48     0.01     1.84    20.53    49.29    91.84     0.00     0.00  
Everton       25   42  +10      60.60     4.75    10.83     0.00     0.11     2.78    10.87    58.59     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       25   41  +20      65.80     4.78    31.64     0.00     1.18    18.47    49.18    92.49     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     25   36  +12      59.36     4.95    20.27     0.00     0.03     1.81     8.12    52.19     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       25   34   +6      50.02     4.70     2.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     2.84     0.06R    0.00  
West_Brom     25   34   -1      49.49     4.76    -5.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     2.04     0.09R    0.00  
Stoke         25   30   -6      46.77     4.76    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.53     0.84R    0.02  
West_Ham      25   30   -8      43.88     4.64   -14.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     3.33R    0.09  
Sunderland    25   29   -5      45.31     4.78    -7.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     1.42R    0.05  
Fulham        25   28   -6      44.76     4.86    -7.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     2.13R    0.08  
Norwich       25   28  -15      42.46     4.63   -21.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     7.16R    0.35  
Newcastle     25   27  -11      43.67     4.88   -13.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     4.03R    0.23  
Southampton   25   24  -11      38.78     4.85   -16.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.77R    2.34  
Reading       25   23  -14      36.69     4.59   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.21R    6.56  
Wigan         25   21  -18      33.75     4.52   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.55R   18.45  
Aston_Villa   25   21  -26      33.85     4.52   -34.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.65R   19.43  
QPR           25   17  -19      29.73     4.50   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.76R   52.39  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, Birmingham vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          29   63  +21      92.54     5.78    30.46    83.44    95.62    99.98    96.85P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +27      82.19     5.78    35.83    10.77    53.95    97.23    68.56P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             29   53   +9      78.50     5.76    12.32     2.91    21.44    88.58    37.93P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +18      76.48     5.72    21.80     1.77    15.10    83.51    32.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   51  +15      74.51     5.62    17.38     0.68     8.25    73.20    22.73P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    29   47   +4      72.46     5.84     7.19     0.35     4.06    57.26    15.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          30   43   +2      65.73     5.61     3.02     0.02     0.26    16.30     3.90P    0.13R    0.01  
Brighton         29   42   +8      66.17     5.82     9.27     0.03     0.44    20.25     5.36P    0.13R    0.00  
Derby            29   41   +4      63.29     5.77     2.32     0.00     0.13     8.72     1.91P    0.68R    0.03  
Millwall         30   41   -1      62.81     5.56    -1.24     0.00     0.06     6.63     1.52P    0.66R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    30   41   -2      62.40     5.52    -2.78     0.00     0.04     5.36     1.08P    0.83R    0.03  
Leeds_United     29   41   -6      63.04     5.80    -8.37     0.01     0.11     7.61     1.61P    0.90R    0.04  
Blackburn        29   40   +3      65.90     5.88     6.99     0.02     0.46    18.91     5.97P    0.19R    0.00  
Charlton         30   39   -2      60.22     5.61    -3.11     0.00     0.01     2.89     0.62P    2.31R    0.21  
Blackpool        30   37   +3      61.70     5.69     7.24     0.00     0.03     5.72     1.65P    1.23R    0.09  
Birmingham       30   37   -7      60.89     5.67    -4.11     0.00     0.02     3.60     1.06P    1.91R    0.12  
Huddersfield     30   36  -18      54.09     5.48   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   19.76R    3.02  
Sheff_Wed        30   35   -9      53.63     5.56   -14.46     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   20.55R    3.42  
Ipswich          30   35  -18      52.60     5.51   -25.13     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   27.77R    4.79  
Bolton           29   34   -2      60.14     6.00     2.21     0.00     0.02     3.58     1.07P    3.03R    0.29  
Wolverhampton    30   33   -8      54.73     5.66    -8.27     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.07P   14.02R    1.99  
Barnsley         30   31  -12      48.13     5.36   -19.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.87R   17.47  
Bristol_City     30   28  -16      45.43     5.39   -23.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.22R   35.13  
Peterborough     29   27  -13      45.64     5.70   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.83R   33.33  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2013, Colchester vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        30   56  +19      79.94     5.57    22.01    15.01    31.79    82.55    42.67P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       29   56  +16      83.17     5.88    21.73    32.88    53.54    91.43    62.63P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         30   54  +31      81.87     5.57    39.68    27.75    49.40    90.76    62.97P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     30   52  +14      77.14     5.66    18.75     6.59    16.92    67.06    27.77P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   50  +11      75.84     5.82    14.75     4.62    11.84    56.83    22.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       29   48  +12      77.93     5.73    21.84     8.51    21.45    72.55    38.08P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          29   48   +9      72.32     5.89    10.38     1.36     4.35    32.93     9.00P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        31   47  +12      72.09     5.49    18.74     0.94     3.38    34.25    12.12P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         31   44   -3      63.00     5.35    -5.38     0.01     0.04     1.80     0.33P    0.10R    0.00  
Notts_County    30   43   +9      67.28     5.63    12.53     0.14     0.60    10.91     3.08P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         28   43   +8      72.42     6.05    15.02     1.86     5.30    36.07    13.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           29   43   -1      62.52     5.70    -6.88     0.01     0.07     2.07     0.38P    0.23R    0.00  
Stevenage       28   43   -1      68.66     6.01     0.60     0.27     1.11    14.80     3.95P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   30   43   -3      63.51     5.50    -5.03     0.01     0.03     2.19     0.40P    0.12R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    28   42   -3      63.60     6.02    -7.84     0.03     0.16     3.40     0.60P    0.21R    0.00  
Carlisle        29   36  -14      56.64     5.78   -18.40     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    4.52R    0.06  
Preston         29   35   +0      57.35     5.80    -1.49     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P    2.65R    0.02  
Shrewsbury      31   34   -5      52.32     5.33    -8.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.93R    0.21  
Colchester      30   29  -17      48.01     5.46   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.95R    2.58  
Scunthorpe      30   29  -19      47.25     5.38   -24.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.42R    3.21  
Oldham          30   27  -15      45.33     5.35   -20.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.42R    6.03  
Bury            29   26  -13      45.32     5.60   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.80R    6.77  
Portsmouth      30   21  -21      41.11     5.61   -23.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.27R   21.70  
Hartlepool      29   19  -26      36.88     5.44   -33.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.33R   59.42  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2013, Cheltenham vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            30   59  +32      87.33     5.60    41.68    63.38    97.19    99.91    98.07P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           29   55  +23      84.27     5.75    31.97    31.24    91.58    99.53    94.05P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           30   49   +4      71.53     5.58     4.88     0.69    15.60    65.57    26.96P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        31   47   +1      65.40     5.32    -2.40     0.03     1.89    23.70     5.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             29   46  +14      75.67     5.74    23.43     3.27    45.95    88.88    60.47P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   46   +5      71.68     6.06     6.37     0.80    18.34    65.77    29.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               30   46   +3      69.73     5.68     5.57     0.29     9.80    54.41    21.65P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          30   45   +5      66.77     5.60     4.41     0.06     3.95    34.82     9.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       29   44   +9      67.29     5.85     9.09     0.09     5.67    40.00    13.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             28   41   +5      64.98     5.95     4.00     0.07     2.81    25.46     7.67P    0.05R    0.01  
Chesterfield         30   40   +5      64.85     5.66     9.34     0.02     2.05    25.54     9.22P    0.04R    0.01  
Morecambe            30   39   +1      61.46     5.62     1.69     0.01     0.55    10.14     2.82P    0.28R    0.04  
Oxford_Utd           29   39   -3      63.01     5.85    -1.97     0.01     0.99    15.29     4.33P    0.17R    0.02  
Wycombe              29   39   -6      63.47     5.95    -4.37     0.01     1.31    17.20     5.20P    0.19R    0.03  
Rochdale             30   38   -1      61.40     5.77     0.98     0.00     0.58    10.57     3.36P    0.36R    0.08  
Dag_&_Red            31   38   -1      58.15     5.35    -1.71     0.00     0.06     2.86     0.61P    1.06R    0.25  
Torquay              28   37   +1      63.46     5.99     3.61     0.03     1.67    18.75     6.39P    0.12R    0.03  
York                 30   37   -5      55.66     5.50    -9.87     0.00     0.02     1.13     0.23P    3.85R    1.03  
Bristol_Rovers       29   32  -15      52.34     5.72   -20.02     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.08P   12.94R    4.69  
Accrington_Stanley   30   31  -18      49.80     5.42   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   24.56R   10.43  
Aldershot            29   30  -14      49.83     5.55   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   22.92R    9.86  
Plymouth             30   29  -10      48.33     5.41   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   30.77R   14.33  
Barnet               30   29  -14      46.32     5.36   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   47.34R   25.52  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   28  -21      45.71     5.50   -30.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.32R   33.69  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, AFC_Telford vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            29   55  +28      85.47     5.71    39.11    39.44    94.66    55.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   52  +25      84.95     5.59    40.04    35.61    94.02    57.07P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       29   49  +17      77.50     5.81    24.86     4.63    60.32    16.45P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.78     6.31    18.03     5.90    58.64    13.88P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   47  +16      75.38     5.69    23.88     2.31    45.94    12.57P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   44  +10      75.96     6.47    17.00     4.10    47.76    13.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              26   43   +9      78.26     6.38    21.25     7.33    62.74    23.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      29   42   +7      66.78     5.79     9.30     0.04     6.10     1.19P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield       28   42   +3      70.54     6.17     8.79     0.45    16.75     4.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           29   41   +0      62.81     5.90    -2.70     0.01     1.33     0.17P    0.51R    0.03  
Woking             27   38   -9      58.53     6.24   -19.01     0.00     0.47     0.04P    3.84R    0.31  
Hereford           26   36   -1      67.99     6.60     5.95     0.17    10.24     2.41P    0.12R    0.01  
Southport          29   36   -7      58.29     5.88    -9.12     0.00     0.22     0.03P    3.24R    0.32  
Braintree_Town     27   35  -10      58.06     6.16   -15.55     0.00     0.27     0.03P    4.62R    0.50  
Tamworth           28   34   -6      55.02     5.87   -11.74     0.00     0.06     0.01P    9.73R    1.26  
Stockport          28   34   -8      54.83     5.89   -14.77     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.42R    1.33  
Alfreton_Town      28   34  -13      55.34     5.89   -19.07     0.00     0.03     0.00P    9.99R    1.33  
Hyde_United        28   32   -1      54.89     6.14    -4.01     0.00     0.05     0.00P   10.54R    1.59  
Lincoln_City       28   32   -7      55.50     6.01    -9.29     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.95R    1.12  
Gateshead          26   31   -4      57.70     6.43    -5.12     0.00     0.31     0.07P    5.32R    0.78  
AFC_Telford        31   29   -8      45.80     5.18   -13.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.53R   20.43  
Barrow             27   29  -19      49.68     6.00   -28.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.57R    9.89  
Nuneaton           29   28  -16      46.53     5.79   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.18R   20.89  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   24  -20      43.87     5.91   -31.49     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.37R   40.21