Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 6 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2013, Man_City vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       25   62  +29      89.79     4.49    46.22    92.43    99.80    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      25   53  +26      79.75     4.49    40.85     7.43    88.52    97.88    99.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       25   46  +24      70.31     4.69    34.31     0.13     8.48    58.48    82.93    98.59     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     25   45  +13      66.40     4.89    18.42     0.01     1.87    20.24    49.27    91.84     0.00     0.00  
Everton       25   42  +10      60.65     4.72    10.89     0.00     0.13     2.75    10.56    58.81     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       25   41  +20      65.85     4.78    31.72     0.01     1.16    18.77    49.37    92.70     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     25   36  +12      59.36     4.92    20.26     0.00     0.03     1.88     8.08    51.92     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       25   34   +6      50.00     4.72     2.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     2.72     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom     25   34   -1      49.49     4.77    -5.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     2.01     0.11R    0.00  
Stoke         25   30   -6      46.77     4.79    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.77R    0.01  
West_Ham      25   30   -8      43.86     4.66   -15.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     3.47R    0.11  
Sunderland    25   29   -5      45.30     4.76    -7.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     1.40R    0.04  
Fulham        25   28   -6      44.78     4.90    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     2.14R    0.09  
Norwich       25   28  -15      42.42     4.64   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     7.26R    0.39  
Newcastle     25   27  -11      43.63     4.90   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     4.11R    0.22  
Southampton   25   24  -11      38.85     4.85   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.01R    2.45  
Reading       25   23  -14      36.67     4.64   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.94R    6.61  
Wigan         25   21  -18      33.82     4.55   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.01R   18.21  
Aston_Villa   25   21  -26      33.85     4.51   -34.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.70R   19.55  
QPR           25   17  -19      29.73     4.50   -26.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.04R   52.30  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, Birmingham vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          29   63  +21      92.35     5.80    30.14    82.24    95.15    99.98    96.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +27      82.35     5.78    36.06    11.68    55.37    97.46    69.77P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             29   53   +9      78.53     5.71    12.36     3.04    21.45    88.92    37.93P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +18      76.42     5.73    21.74     1.86    14.66    83.38    31.75P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   51  +15      74.49     5.60    17.34     0.73     8.01    73.27    22.89P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    29   47   +4      72.41     5.85     7.15     0.40     3.86    57.05    15.88P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          30   43   +2      65.85     5.61     3.21     0.01     0.24    16.52     3.97P    0.11R    0.00  
Brighton         29   42   +8      66.13     5.80     9.25     0.02     0.47    19.69     4.89P    0.16R    0.00  
Derby            29   41   +4      63.32     5.72     2.28     0.00     0.14     8.62     1.85P    0.57R    0.04  
Millwall         30   41   -1      62.91     5.57    -1.10     0.00     0.06     6.94     1.64P    0.60R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    30   41   -2      62.36     5.54    -2.82     0.00     0.05     5.38     1.13P    0.86R    0.03  
Leeds_United     29   41   -6      63.04     5.80    -8.34     0.00     0.07     7.66     1.48P    0.89R    0.03  
Blackburn        29   40   +3      65.87     5.92     6.96     0.02     0.39    18.66     5.82P    0.22R    0.01  
Charlton         30   39   -2      60.23     5.61    -3.05     0.00     0.01     2.73     0.63P    2.25R    0.18  
Blackpool        30   37   +3      61.71     5.70     7.27     0.00     0.03     5.80     1.59P    1.16R    0.10  
Birmingham       30   37   -7      60.83     5.68    -4.20     0.00     0.01     3.60     0.95P    2.08R    0.16  
Huddersfield     30   36  -18      54.10     5.44   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   19.59R    3.14  
Sheff_Wed        30   35   -9      53.64     5.53   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   20.23R    3.32  
Ipswich          30   35  -18      52.62     5.53   -25.10     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   27.77R    4.85  
Bolton           29   34   -2      60.13     5.98     2.25     0.00     0.02     3.66     1.12P    3.09R    0.29  
Wolverhampton    30   33   -8      54.71     5.66    -8.34     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   14.41R    2.03  
Barnsley         30   31  -12      48.11     5.33   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    57.74R   17.53  
Bristol_City     30   28  -16      45.39     5.34   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.81R   35.20  
Peterborough     29   27  -13      45.66     5.72   -21.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    72.47R   33.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2013, Colchester vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        30   56  +19      79.99     5.53    22.08    15.04    32.08    83.05    43.23P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       29   56  +16      83.01     5.88    21.49    31.85    52.81    90.78    61.52P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         30   54  +31      81.97     5.52    39.78    28.20    50.11    91.24    63.56P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     30   52  +14      77.30     5.64    19.02     7.00    17.51    68.08    28.75P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   50  +11      75.74     5.77    14.61     4.34    11.32    56.15    21.40P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       29   48  +12      77.88     5.77    21.71     8.80    21.35    71.84    37.92P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          29   48   +9      72.35     5.88    10.43     1.39     4.17    33.17     8.96P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        31   47  +12      72.20     5.49    18.94     1.07     3.56    34.85    12.34P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         31   44   -3      63.08     5.32    -5.24     0.00     0.03     1.76     0.30P    0.10R    0.00  
Notts_County    30   43   +9      67.26     5.62    12.48     0.12     0.54    10.63     2.83P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         28   43   +8      72.51     5.99    15.13     1.80     5.14    35.99    13.90P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           29   43   -1      62.55     5.70    -6.84     0.02     0.07     2.00     0.33P    0.23R    0.00  
Stevenage       28   43   -1      68.66     6.00     0.57     0.30     1.13    14.49     3.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   30   43   -3      63.30     5.50    -5.31     0.01     0.05     1.99     0.37P    0.15R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    28   42   -3      63.69     6.02    -7.72     0.05     0.15     3.58     0.65P    0.21R    0.00  
Carlisle        29   36  -14      56.52     5.75   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    4.64R    0.05  
Preston         29   35   +0      57.32     5.80    -1.54     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.06P    2.67R    0.02  
Shrewsbury      31   34   -5      52.32     5.30    -7.97     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    11.86R    0.15  
Colchester      30   29  -17      47.86     5.47   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.89R    2.68  
Scunthorpe      30   29  -19      47.28     5.43   -24.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.24R    3.29  
Oldham          30   27  -15      45.28     5.35   -20.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.89R    6.36  
Bury            29   26  -13      45.43     5.63   -19.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.03R    6.64  
Portsmouth      30   21  -21      41.21     5.63   -23.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.73R   21.37  
Hartlepool      29   19  -26      36.88     5.48   -33.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.34R   59.43  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2013, Cheltenham vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            30   59  +32      87.31     5.61    41.68    63.27    97.17    99.95    98.06P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           29   55  +23      84.20     5.80    31.85    31.28    91.13    99.52    93.83P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           30   49   +4      71.50     5.57     4.84     0.64    15.43    65.35    26.54P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        31   47   +1      65.43     5.35    -2.36     0.02     1.90    23.95     5.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             29   46  +14      75.69     5.74    23.44     3.25    46.35    88.94    61.08P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   46   +5      71.73     6.01     6.42     0.84    18.40    66.12    29.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               30   46   +3      69.73     5.74     5.60     0.35     9.90    54.18    21.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          30   45   +5      66.95     5.61     4.71     0.11     4.22    35.75    10.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       29   44   +9      67.35     5.89     9.18     0.11     5.88    40.08    13.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             28   41   +5      65.05     5.97     4.12     0.05     2.84    26.13     7.87P    0.05R    0.01  
Chesterfield         30   40   +5      64.83     5.64     9.32     0.02     2.10    25.21     9.20P    0.04R    0.00  
Morecambe            30   39   +1      61.37     5.61     1.55     0.00     0.41     9.81     2.62P    0.29R    0.06  
Oxford_Utd           29   39   -3      62.93     5.78    -2.08     0.02     0.87    14.50     3.90P    0.19R    0.03  
Wycombe              29   39   -6      63.41     5.90    -4.48     0.02     1.22    16.65     4.98P    0.16R    0.02  
Rochdale             30   38   -1      61.33     5.74     0.92     0.01     0.50     9.98     3.05P    0.39R    0.07  
Dag_&_Red            31   38   -1      58.16     5.36    -1.70     0.00     0.08     2.98     0.70P    1.04R    0.20  
Torquay              28   37   +1      63.57     6.00     3.84     0.03     1.58    19.36     6.54P    0.18R    0.02  
York                 30   37   -5      55.68     5.50    -9.89     0.00     0.02     1.03     0.23P    3.77R    1.05  
Bristol_Rovers       29   32  -15      52.31     5.70   -20.11     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P   13.21R    4.86  
Accrington_Stanley   30   31  -18      49.77     5.43   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   24.81R   10.59  
Aldershot            29   30  -14      49.83     5.52   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   23.11R    9.56  
Plymouth             30   29  -10      48.21     5.39   -13.87     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   31.28R   14.50  
Barnet               30   29  -14      46.36     5.36   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.71R   25.14  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   28  -21      45.73     5.48   -30.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   54.74R   33.88  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, AFC_Telford vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            29   55  +28      85.37     5.73    38.96    39.05    94.47    55.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   52  +25      84.91     5.61    39.94    35.73    94.08    56.82P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       29   49  +17      77.41     5.81    24.72     4.45    60.15    16.40P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.93     6.42    18.27     6.47    60.09    14.59P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   47  +16      75.30     5.73    23.75     2.33    45.47    12.86P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   44  +10      75.88     6.48    16.92     4.07    47.59    13.45P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   43   +9      78.16     6.41    21.06     7.22    62.32    22.82P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      29   42   +7      66.81     5.79     9.35     0.07     6.15     1.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield       28   42   +3      70.38     6.18     8.53     0.40    16.47     3.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           29   41   +0      62.89     5.92    -2.60     0.01     1.43     0.22P    0.50R    0.02  
Woking             27   38   -9      58.39     6.27   -19.22     0.00     0.38     0.05P    4.45R    0.39  
Hereford           26   36   -1      68.04     6.55     6.04     0.18    10.35     2.50P    0.10R    0.01  
Southport          29   36   -7      58.38     5.89    -9.01     0.00     0.18     0.02P    3.25R    0.30  
Braintree_Town     27   35  -10      58.20     6.19   -15.32     0.00     0.29     0.04P    4.54R    0.44  
Tamworth           28   34   -6      55.14     5.88   -11.56     0.00     0.05     0.00     9.58R    1.17  
Stockport          28   34   -8      54.84     5.90   -14.75     0.00     0.04     0.01P   10.45R    1.28  
Alfreton_Town      28   34  -13      55.39     5.93   -18.98     0.00     0.04     0.00P   10.24R    1.27  
Hyde_United        28   32   -1      54.93     6.20    -3.97     0.00     0.09     0.02P   10.46R    1.55  
Lincoln_City       28   32   -7      55.50     6.01    -9.27     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.74R    1.11  
Gateshead          26   31   -4      57.59     6.38    -5.27     0.00     0.28     0.04P    5.27R    0.76  
AFC_Telford        31   29   -8      45.90     5.19   -13.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.74R   19.86  
Barrow             27   29  -19      49.76     6.01   -28.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.27R    9.78  
Nuneaton           29   28  -16      46.48     5.79   -24.21     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.63R   21.33  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   24  -20      43.83     5.94   -31.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.74R   40.73