Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 5 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2013, Man_City vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       25   62  +29      89.83     4.47    46.30    92.59    99.82    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      25   53  +26      79.69     4.50    40.72     7.26    88.42    97.82    99.63    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       25   46  +24      70.25     4.66    34.24     0.14     8.47    57.92    82.65    98.64     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     25   45  +13      66.42     4.96    18.44     0.00     1.95    20.88    49.04    91.74     0.00     0.00  
Everton       25   42  +10      60.62     4.72    10.85     0.00     0.11     2.70    10.89    58.79     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       25   41  +20      65.83     4.80    31.69     0.01     1.19    18.96    49.61    92.47     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     25   36  +12      59.33     4.94    20.21     0.00     0.03     1.71     8.01    52.05     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       25   34   +6      50.01     4.72     2.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     2.78     0.04R    0.00  
West_Brom     25   34   -1      49.52     4.74    -5.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     2.03     0.09R    0.00  
Stoke         25   30   -6      46.77     4.78    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.81R    0.01  
West_Ham      25   30   -8      43.92     4.63   -14.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     3.41R    0.13  
Sunderland    25   29   -5      45.32     4.81    -7.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     1.48R    0.05  
Fulham        25   28   -6      44.81     4.88    -7.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.36     2.12R    0.09  
Norwich       25   28  -15      42.41     4.63   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     7.34R    0.37  
Newcastle     25   27  -11      43.60     4.89   -13.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     4.20R    0.23  
Southampton   25   24  -11      38.83     4.84   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    21.15R    2.46  
Reading       25   23  -14      36.73     4.61   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.25R    6.18  
Wigan         25   21  -18      33.78     4.52   -27.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.34R   18.24  
Aston_Villa   25   21  -26      33.80     4.53   -34.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.90R   19.97  
QPR           25   17  -19      29.74     4.54   -26.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.86R   52.28  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, Birmingham vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          29   63  +21      92.52     5.77    30.39    83.01    95.41    99.98    96.76P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +27      82.23     5.80    35.90    10.98    54.10    97.36    68.88P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             29   53   +9      78.64     5.77    12.49     3.09    22.17    89.07    38.76P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +18      76.45     5.73    21.76     1.83    14.80    83.46    31.85P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   51  +15      74.50     5.61    17.37     0.69     8.00    73.32    22.47P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    29   47   +4      72.41     5.84     7.15     0.34     3.99    56.92    15.91P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          30   43   +2      65.74     5.60     3.00     0.00     0.23    16.05     3.81P    0.13R    0.00  
Brighton         29   42   +8      66.20     5.77     9.36     0.02     0.42    20.05     5.11P    0.12R    0.00  
Derby            29   41   +4      63.23     5.75     2.21     0.01     0.13     8.50     1.82P    0.63R    0.04  
Millwall         30   41   -1      62.91     5.57    -1.05     0.00     0.06     6.85     1.54P    0.71R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    30   41   -2      62.32     5.53    -2.89     0.00     0.04     5.34     1.09P    0.87R    0.04  
Leeds_United     29   41   -6      63.04     5.79    -8.37     0.01     0.09     7.54     1.59P    0.91R    0.04  
Blackburn        29   40   +3      65.95     5.91     7.06     0.02     0.46    19.09     5.96P    0.16R    0.00  
Charlton         30   39   -2      60.08     5.62    -3.32     0.00     0.02     2.67     0.56P    2.46R    0.20  
Blackpool        30   37   +3      61.75     5.71     7.31     0.00     0.04     5.85     1.69P    1.18R    0.09  
Birmingham       30   37   -7      60.95     5.70    -4.03     0.00     0.02     3.70     0.98P    1.90R    0.16  
Huddersfield     30   36  -18      54.14     5.46   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   19.48R    3.18  
Sheff_Wed        30   35   -9      53.65     5.55   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   20.09R    3.37  
Ipswich          30   35  -18      52.54     5.49   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   28.05R    5.01  
Bolton           29   34   -2      60.17     5.95     2.33     0.00     0.02     3.63     1.10P    2.86R    0.28  
Wolverhampton    30   33   -8      54.62     5.61    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.06P   14.20R    1.97  
Barnsley         30   31  -12      48.04     5.30   -19.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.35R   17.47  
Bristol_City     30   28  -16      45.47     5.36   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.15R   34.91  
Peterborough     29   27  -13      45.62     5.69   -21.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.76R   33.20  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2013, Colchester vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        30   56  +19      79.95     5.56    21.99    15.33    31.88    82.46    42.48P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       29   56  +16      82.99     5.91    21.48    31.90    52.47    90.76    61.40P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         30   54  +31      81.93     5.52    39.78    27.95    50.17    91.14    63.95P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     30   52  +14      77.22     5.64    18.90     6.79    17.12    67.68    28.13P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   50  +11      75.85     5.81    14.79     4.51    11.90    57.02    22.17P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       29   48  +12      77.90     5.76    21.81     8.92    21.36    72.14    37.64P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          29   48   +9      72.42     5.87    10.53     1.47     4.41    33.43     9.49P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry        31   47  +12      72.02     5.49    18.64     0.89     3.42    33.72    11.85P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         31   44   -3      63.04     5.34    -5.34     0.00     0.04     1.71     0.30P    0.13R    0.00  
Notts_County    30   43   +9      67.21     5.58    12.41     0.11     0.53    10.23     2.80P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         28   43   +8      72.54     6.02    15.17     1.75     5.18    36.67    14.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           29   43   -1      62.51     5.74    -6.89     0.01     0.09     2.06     0.39P    0.24R    0.00  
Stevenage       28   43   -1      68.68     6.04     0.57     0.31     1.22    14.92     4.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   30   43   -3      63.46     5.50    -5.11     0.01     0.05     2.20     0.37P    0.11R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    28   42   -3      63.63     6.01    -7.77     0.03     0.15     3.45     0.60P    0.24R    0.00  
Carlisle        29   36  -14      56.52     5.74   -18.56     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.04P    4.65R    0.06  
Preston         29   35   +0      57.34     5.78    -1.54     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.05P    2.66R    0.02  
Shrewsbury      31   34   -5      52.23     5.31    -8.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.32R    0.17  
Colchester      30   29  -17      48.02     5.46   -21.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.06R    2.53  
Scunthorpe      30   29  -19      47.34     5.45   -24.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.05R    3.40  
Oldham          30   27  -15      45.38     5.41   -20.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.27R    6.20  
Bury            29   26  -13      45.36     5.61   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.66R    6.63  
Portsmouth      30   21  -21      41.15     5.59   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.36R   21.28  
Hartlepool      29   19  -26      36.86     5.49   -34.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.22R   59.69  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 February 2013, Cheltenham vs Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            30   59  +32      87.28     5.59    41.62    63.12    97.10    99.94    98.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           29   55  +23      84.27     5.76    31.96    31.46    91.51    99.50    94.15P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           30   49   +4      71.53     5.56     4.87     0.65    15.56    65.49    26.79P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        31   47   +1      65.46     5.32    -2.33     0.04     1.85    23.90     5.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             29   46  +14      75.70     5.73    23.44     3.24    46.14    88.89    61.29P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   46   +5      71.76     6.04     6.50     0.83    18.62    66.12    30.00P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               30   46   +3      69.73     5.73     5.60     0.37     9.91    54.35    21.63P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          30   45   +5      66.98     5.61     4.70     0.07     4.11    36.02    10.41P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       29   44   +9      67.24     5.87     9.05     0.10     5.62    39.78    13.23P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             28   41   +5      64.87     5.98     3.86     0.05     2.72    25.18     7.46P    0.05R    0.01  
Chesterfield         30   40   +5      64.73     5.64     9.20     0.02     2.00    24.55     8.79P    0.05R    0.01  
Morecambe            30   39   +1      61.40     5.63     1.63     0.00     0.55     9.84     2.66P    0.27R    0.05  
Oxford_Utd           29   39   -3      62.95     5.82    -2.04     0.01     0.99    14.87     4.13P    0.15R    0.02  
Wycombe              29   39   -6      63.50     5.92    -4.34     0.02     1.26    17.32     5.25P    0.15R    0.02  
Rochdale             30   38   -1      61.42     5.75     1.01     0.00     0.46    10.43     3.28P    0.36R    0.09  
Dag_&_Red            31   38   -1      58.15     5.35    -1.70     0.00     0.07     3.02     0.68P    1.00R    0.22  
Torquay              28   37   +1      63.49     6.01     3.70     0.01     1.55    19.18     6.39P    0.15R    0.04  
York                 30   37   -5      55.72     5.52    -9.85     0.00     0.01     1.14     0.20P    3.66R    0.96  
Bristol_Rovers       29   32  -15      52.41     5.71   -19.93     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   12.75R    4.80  
Accrington_Stanley   30   31  -18      49.70     5.44   -23.03     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   25.24R   10.90  
Aldershot            29   30  -14      49.82     5.54   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   22.94R    9.47  
Plymouth             30   29  -10      48.29     5.42   -13.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.81R   14.16  
Barnet               30   29  -14      46.31     5.35   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   47.31R   25.64  
AFC_Wimbledon        29   28  -21      45.73     5.49   -30.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    55.10R   33.62  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, AFC_Telford vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            29   55  +28      85.42     5.74    39.05    38.85    94.52    54.74P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   52  +25      85.02     5.56    40.16    35.97    94.25    57.42P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       29   49  +17      77.50     5.81    24.83     4.45    60.27    16.57P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.91     6.40    18.22     6.16    59.51    14.52P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   47  +16      75.35     5.72    23.84     2.26    45.63    12.55P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   44  +10      75.95     6.46    16.99     4.15    47.61    13.38P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              26   43   +9      78.31     6.42    21.35     7.50    63.14    23.10P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      29   42   +7      66.78     5.79     9.32     0.07     6.02     1.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield       28   42   +3      70.53     6.16     8.79     0.41    16.65     3.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           29   41   +0      62.88     5.94    -2.65     0.00     1.33     0.14P    0.45R    0.02  
Woking             27   38   -9      58.52     6.29   -19.05     0.01     0.41     0.04P    4.05R    0.37  
Hereford           26   36   -1      67.84     6.61     5.78     0.17     9.64     2.27P    0.11R    0.01  
Southport          29   36   -7      58.30     5.85    -9.08     0.00     0.18     0.03P    3.23R    0.27  
Braintree_Town     27   35  -10      58.21     6.17   -15.32     0.00     0.26     0.03P    4.41R    0.48  
Tamworth           28   34   -6      54.96     5.87   -11.85     0.00     0.05     0.00P    9.84R    1.19  
Stockport          28   34   -8      54.91     5.91   -14.65     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.06R    1.27  
Alfreton_Town      28   34  -13      55.41     5.93   -19.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    9.93R    1.25  
Hyde_United        28   32   -1      54.84     6.21    -4.12     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.97R    1.63  
Lincoln_City       28   32   -7      55.45     6.03    -9.35     0.00     0.06     0.01P    8.95R    1.09  
Gateshead          26   31   -4      57.70     6.41    -5.12     0.00     0.32     0.05P    5.14R    0.75  
AFC_Telford        31   29   -8      45.79     5.19   -13.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.46R   20.27  
Barrow             27   29  -19      49.59     5.97   -28.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.90R   10.11  
Nuneaton           29   28  -16      46.48     5.80   -24.24     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.14R   21.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   24  -20      43.81     5.97   -31.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.29R   40.28