Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 4 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2013, Man_City vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       25   62  +29      89.86     4.46    46.36    92.61    99.77    99.99   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      25   53  +26      79.73     4.53    40.78     7.24    88.49    97.87    99.64   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       25   46  +24      70.31     4.70    34.34     0.14     8.49    58.23    82.92    98.64     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     25   45  +13      66.43     4.92    18.52     0.00     1.90    20.68    49.42    91.82     0.00     0.00  
Everton       25   42  +10      60.56     4.72    10.74     0.00     0.11     2.74    10.54    58.43     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       25   41  +20      65.80     4.77    31.67     0.00     1.21    18.76    49.42    92.71     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     25   36  +12      59.33     4.91    20.24     0.00     0.04     1.73     7.89    52.10     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       25   34   +6      50.05     4.75     2.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     2.89     0.05R    0.00  
West_Brom     25   34   -1      49.48     4.73    -5.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.97     0.13R    0.00  
Stoke         25   30   -6      46.80     4.80    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.54     0.77R    0.01  
West_Ham      25   30   -8      43.94     4.67   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     3.45R    0.09  
Sunderland    25   29   -5      45.29     4.78    -7.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28     1.47R    0.03  
Fulham        25   28   -6      44.75     4.88    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32     2.19R    0.08  
Norwich       25   28  -15      42.43     4.63   -21.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     7.45R    0.38  
Newcastle     25   27  -11      43.62     4.91   -13.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     4.15R    0.23  
Southampton   25   24  -11      38.80     4.84   -16.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    21.59R    2.44  
Reading       25   23  -14      36.70     4.64   -21.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.27R    6.65  
Wigan         25   21  -18      33.72     4.50   -27.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.71R   18.58  
Aston_Villa   25   21  -26      33.84     4.52   -34.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.48R   19.55  
QPR           25   17  -19      29.82     4.54   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.29R   51.96  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, Birmingham vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          29   63  +21      92.59     5.78    30.52    83.50    95.77    99.98    96.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +27      82.12     5.83    35.74    10.74    53.64    97.11    68.37P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             29   53   +9      78.45     5.77    12.24     2.92    21.62    88.24    37.83P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          30   52  +18      76.40     5.73    21.68     1.80    14.82    83.09    32.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   30   51  +15      74.62     5.57    17.53     0.66     8.40    74.24    23.29P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    29   47   +4      72.39     5.85     7.13     0.32     4.20    56.85    15.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Burnley          30   43   +2      65.91     5.63     3.27     0.01     0.30    16.83     4.21P    0.13R    0.00  
Brighton         29   42   +8      66.15     5.78     9.28     0.02     0.43    19.60     4.82P    0.12R    0.00  
Derby            29   41   +4      63.43     5.76     2.45     0.00     0.13     9.10     1.98P    0.61R    0.03  
Millwall         30   41   -1      62.85     5.56    -1.16     0.00     0.06     6.73     1.51P    0.66R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    30   41   -2      62.41     5.55    -2.74     0.00     0.05     5.55     1.18P    0.79R    0.02  
Leeds_United     29   41   -6      63.01     5.81    -8.45     0.00     0.09     7.69     1.55P    0.82R    0.04  
Blackburn        29   40   +3      65.84     5.88     6.94     0.02     0.41    18.58     5.97P    0.18R    0.01  
Charlton         30   39   -2      60.09     5.61    -3.31     0.00     0.02     2.68     0.60P    2.30R    0.18  
Blackpool        30   37   +3      61.69     5.68     7.22     0.00     0.04     5.66     1.63P    1.17R    0.09  
Birmingham       30   37   -7      60.93     5.72    -4.04     0.00     0.01     3.88     1.07P    1.96R    0.16  
Huddersfield     30   36  -18      54.15     5.46   -23.99     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   19.46R    3.15  
Sheff_Wed        30   35   -9      53.58     5.58   -14.52     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   20.74R    3.43  
Ipswich          30   35  -18      52.53     5.48   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   28.17R    5.07  
Bolton           29   34   -2      60.18     5.97     2.29     0.00     0.02     3.57     1.07P    2.93R    0.32  
Wolverhampton    30   33   -8      54.66     5.65    -8.42     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   14.36R    2.17  
Barnsley         30   31  -12      48.15     5.31   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.65R   17.10  
Bristol_City     30   28  -16      45.42     5.35   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.54R   35.13  
Peterborough     29   27  -13      45.65     5.68   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.40R   33.06  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, Bury vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        30   56  +19      79.90     5.53    21.98    16.20    32.91    82.50    43.41P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       29   56  +16      82.98     5.91    21.46    33.53    53.94    90.79    62.80P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     30   52  +14      77.27     5.66    18.98     7.70    18.60    68.16    29.59P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         29   51  +30      80.67     5.74    39.30    22.86    42.80    86.65    57.10P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       29   50  +11      75.84     5.77    14.77     4.81    12.43    56.95    22.42P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       29   48  +12      77.82     5.79    21.68     9.41    22.30    71.88    37.92P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          29   48   +9      72.39     5.90    10.50     1.56     4.68    33.68     9.41P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        31   47  +12      72.11     5.45    18.74     1.02     3.74    34.51    12.38P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         31   44   -3      63.07     5.35    -5.27     0.01     0.06     1.93     0.39P    0.09R    0.00  
Notts_County    29   43  +11      69.07     5.85    15.16     0.45     1.67    18.45     5.71P    0.01R    0.00  
MK_Dons         28   43   +8      72.60     6.04    15.29     2.21     5.94    37.06    14.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           29   43   -1      62.49     5.74    -6.94     0.02     0.07     2.12     0.35P    0.24R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   30   43   -3      63.31     5.50    -5.30     0.01     0.04     2.12     0.36P    0.15R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    28   42   -3      63.69     6.04    -7.70     0.05     0.20     3.58     0.69P    0.20R    0.00  
Stevenage       27   40   -3      66.62     6.16    -2.04     0.18     0.63     9.18     2.53P    0.08R    0.00  
Carlisle        29   36  -14      56.61     5.77   -18.44     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    4.61R    0.05  
Preston         29   35   +0      57.37     5.79    -1.46     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.06P    2.67R    0.02  
Shrewsbury      31   34   -5      52.28     5.31    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   12.13R    0.20  
Colchester      29   29  -16      48.89     5.64   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.55R    2.17  
Oldham          30   27  -15      45.36     5.39   -20.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.62R    6.29  
Bury            29   26  -13      45.29     5.62   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.07R    7.33  
Scunthorpe      29   26  -20      45.35     5.66   -26.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.72R    8.02  
Portsmouth      29   21  -20      42.85     5.81   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.91R   15.17  
Hartlepool      29   19  -26      36.94     5.50   -33.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.95R   60.75  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 February 2013, Gillingham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            29   56  +29      86.39     5.80    39.92    58.10    95.60    99.80    96.87P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           29   55  +23      84.27     5.76    31.95    34.99    91.26    99.52    93.87P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           29   48   +4      72.43     5.78     5.71     1.19    20.01    70.15    31.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        31   47   +1      65.38     5.34    -2.42     0.04     1.92    23.22     5.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             29   46  +14      75.71     5.79    23.49     3.93    45.16    88.70    60.25P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            28   46   +5      71.62     6.05     6.27     0.95    17.66    65.10    28.89P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               30   46   +3      69.70     5.72     5.57     0.39     9.55    53.83    21.08P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          30   45   +5      66.85     5.60     4.53     0.08     3.91    34.63     9.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       29   44   +9      67.24     5.87     9.02     0.15     5.43    39.17    13.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             28   41   +5      64.93     5.98     3.92     0.06     2.67    25.21     7.46P    0.06R    0.00  
Chesterfield         30   40   +5      64.82     5.66     9.32     0.03     2.00    25.11     9.01P    0.05R    0.01  
Morecambe            30   39   +1      61.40     5.63     1.60     0.01     0.54     9.68     2.65P    0.31R    0.08  
Oxford_Utd           29   39   -3      62.93     5.82    -2.11     0.02     0.89    14.54     3.92P    0.20R    0.04  
Wycombe              29   39   -6      63.56     5.99    -4.24     0.03     1.32    17.53     5.57P    0.18R    0.02  
Rochdale             30   38   -1      61.39     5.77     1.00     0.00     0.45    10.23     3.10P    0.44R    0.09  
Dag_&_Red            31   38   -1      58.22     5.34    -1.58     0.00     0.08     3.00     0.69P    1.05R    0.22  
Torquay              28   37   +1      63.59     5.94     3.82     0.02     1.51    19.04     6.17P    0.15R    0.03  
York                 30   37   -5      55.66     5.48    -9.90     0.00     0.02     1.03     0.21P    3.79R    1.09  
Bristol_Rovers       28   31  -15      52.23     5.92   -20.89     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.08P   14.86R    5.76  
Accrington_Stanley   30   31  -18      49.71     5.40   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   25.89R   11.46  
Aldershot            29   30  -14      49.80     5.53   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   23.99R   10.26  
Plymouth             30   29  -10      48.23     5.43   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   32.09R   15.14  
Barnet               30   29  -14      46.30     5.38   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   48.23R   26.85  
AFC_Wimbledon        28   28  -18      46.62     5.67   -28.39     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   48.70R   28.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, AFC_Telford vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            29   55  +28      85.38     5.72    38.94    38.71    94.51    54.53P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            29   52  +25      85.00     5.58    40.13    36.24    94.12    57.39P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       29   49  +17      77.44     5.81    24.70     4.46    60.09    16.31P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.88     6.35    18.22     6.15    59.69    14.41P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   47  +16      75.40     5.69    23.91     2.32    45.98    12.82P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield          26   44  +10      75.93     6.46    17.02     4.18    47.30    13.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              26   43   +9      78.17     6.43    21.12     7.34    62.29    22.91P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      29   42   +7      66.77     5.80     9.28     0.06     6.26     1.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield       28   42   +3      70.56     6.12     8.82     0.36    16.70     3.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           29   41   +0      62.95     5.97    -2.49     0.01     1.51     0.22P    0.49R    0.03  
Woking             27   38   -9      58.37     6.26   -19.28     0.00     0.40     0.05P    4.16R    0.37  
Hereford           26   36   -1      67.93     6.57     5.85     0.16    10.16     2.56P    0.11R    0.01  
Southport          29   36   -7      58.36     5.90    -8.99     0.00     0.18     0.02P    3.27R    0.27  
Braintree_Town     27   35  -10      58.16     6.18   -15.38     0.00     0.30     0.04P    4.51R    0.48  
Tamworth           28   34   -6      55.09     5.88   -11.67     0.00     0.05     0.01P    9.54R    1.23  
Stockport          28   34   -8      54.84     5.89   -14.75     0.00     0.02     0.00P   10.36R    1.31  
Alfreton_Town      28   34  -13      55.30     5.96   -19.11     0.00     0.03     0.01P   10.40R    1.39  
Hyde_United        28   32   -1      54.96     6.20    -3.94     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.47R    1.61  
Lincoln_City       28   32   -7      55.43     6.05    -9.42     0.00     0.07     0.02P    9.15R    1.23  
Gateshead          26   31   -4      57.63     6.38    -5.21     0.00     0.27     0.05P    5.28R    0.77  
AFC_Telford        31   29   -8      45.84     5.15   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.27R   20.18  
Barrow             27   29  -19      49.67     5.95   -28.33     0.00     0.00     0.00P   38.42R    9.92  
Nuneaton           29   28  -16      46.53     5.81   -24.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.13R   21.14  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   24  -20      43.89     5.89   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.40R   40.08