Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 4 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 February 2013, Man_City vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 25 62 +29 89.86 4.46 46.36 92.61 99.77 99.99 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 53 +26 79.73 4.53 40.78 7.24 88.49 97.87 99.64 100.00 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 25 46 +24 70.31 4.70 34.34 0.14 8.49 58.23 82.92 98.64 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 25 45 +13 66.43 4.92 18.52 0.00 1.90 20.68 49.42 91.82 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 42 +10 60.56 4.72 10.74 0.00 0.11 2.74 10.54 58.43 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 25 41 +20 65.80 4.77 31.67 0.00 1.21 18.76 49.42 92.71 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 25 36 +12 59.33 4.91 20.24 0.00 0.04 1.73 7.89 52.10 0.00 0.00 Swansea 25 34 +6 50.05 4.75 2.88 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 2.89 0.05R 0.00 West_Brom 25 34 -1 49.48 4.73 -5.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.97 0.13R 0.00 Stoke 25 30 -6 46.80 4.80 -7.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.54 0.77R 0.01 West_Ham 25 30 -8 43.94 4.67 -14.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14 3.45R 0.09 Sunderland 25 29 -5 45.29 4.78 -7.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.28 1.47R 0.03 Fulham 25 28 -6 44.75 4.88 -7.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.32 2.19R 0.08 Norwich 25 28 -15 42.43 4.63 -21.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 7.45R 0.38 Newcastle 25 27 -11 43.62 4.91 -13.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 4.15R 0.23 Southampton 25 24 -11 38.80 4.84 -16.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 21.59R 2.44 Reading 25 23 -14 36.70 4.64 -21.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.27R 6.65 Wigan 25 21 -18 33.72 4.50 -27.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.71R 18.58 Aston_Villa 25 21 -26 33.84 4.52 -34.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.48R 19.55 QPR 25 17 -19 29.82 4.54 -26.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.29R 51.96Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, Birmingham vs Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Cardiff 29 63 +21 92.59 5.78 30.52 83.50 95.77 99.98 96.94P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 29 53 +27 82.12 5.83 35.74 10.74 53.64 97.11 68.37P 0.00 0.00 Hull 29 53 +9 78.45 5.77 12.24 2.92 21.62 88.24 37.83P 0.00 0.00 Watford 30 52 +18 76.40 5.73 21.68 1.80 14.82 83.09 32.07P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 30 51 +15 74.62 5.57 17.53 0.66 8.40 74.24 23.29P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 29 47 +4 72.39 5.85 7.13 0.32 4.20 56.85 15.77P 0.00R 0.00 Burnley 30 43 +2 65.91 5.63 3.27 0.01 0.30 16.83 4.21P 0.13R 0.00 Brighton 29 42 +8 66.15 5.78 9.28 0.02 0.43 19.60 4.82P 0.12R 0.00 Derby 29 41 +4 63.43 5.76 2.45 0.00 0.13 9.10 1.98P 0.61R 0.03 Millwall 30 41 -1 62.85 5.56 -1.16 0.00 0.06 6.73 1.51P 0.66R 0.03 Nott'm_Forest 30 41 -2 62.41 5.55 -2.74 0.00 0.05 5.55 1.18P 0.79R 0.02 Leeds_United 29 41 -6 63.01 5.81 -8.45 0.00 0.09 7.69 1.55P 0.82R 0.04 Blackburn 29 40 +3 65.84 5.88 6.94 0.02 0.41 18.58 5.97P 0.18R 0.01 Charlton 30 39 -2 60.09 5.61 -3.31 0.00 0.02 2.68 0.60P 2.30R 0.18 Blackpool 30 37 +3 61.69 5.68 7.22 0.00 0.04 5.66 1.63P 1.17R 0.09 Birmingham 30 37 -7 60.93 5.72 -4.04 0.00 0.01 3.88 1.07P 1.96R 0.16 Huddersfield 30 36 -18 54.15 5.46 -23.99 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 19.46R 3.15 Sheff_Wed 30 35 -9 53.58 5.58 -14.52 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 20.74R 3.43 Ipswich 30 35 -18 52.53 5.48 -25.25 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 28.17R 5.07 Bolton 29 34 -2 60.18 5.97 2.29 0.00 0.02 3.57 1.07P 2.93R 0.32 Wolverhampton 30 33 -8 54.66 5.65 -8.42 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.05P 14.36R 2.17 Barnsley 30 31 -12 48.15 5.31 -19.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.65R 17.10 Bristol_City 30 28 -16 45.42 5.35 -23.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.54R 35.13 Peterborough 29 27 -13 45.65 5.68 -21.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.40R 33.06League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, Bury vs Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Tranmere 30 56 +19 79.90 5.53 21.98 16.20 32.91 82.50 43.41P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 29 56 +16 82.98 5.91 21.46 33.53 53.94 90.79 62.80P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 30 52 +14 77.27 5.66 18.98 7.70 18.60 68.16 29.59P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 29 51 +30 80.67 5.74 39.30 22.86 42.80 86.65 57.10P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 29 50 +11 75.84 5.77 14.77 4.81 12.43 56.95 22.42P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 29 48 +12 77.82 5.79 21.68 9.41 22.30 71.88 37.92P 0.00 0.00 Yeovil 29 48 +9 72.39 5.90 10.50 1.56 4.68 33.68 9.41P 0.00 0.00 Coventry 31 47 +12 72.11 5.45 18.74 1.02 3.74 34.51 12.38P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 31 44 -3 63.07 5.35 -5.27 0.01 0.06 1.93 0.39P 0.09R 0.00 Notts_County 29 43 +11 69.07 5.85 15.16 0.45 1.67 18.45 5.71P 0.01R 0.00 MK_Dons 28 43 +8 72.60 6.04 15.29 2.21 5.94 37.06 14.85P 0.00R 0.00 Crewe 29 43 -1 62.49 5.74 -6.94 0.02 0.07 2.12 0.35P 0.24R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 30 43 -3 63.31 5.50 -5.30 0.01 0.04 2.12 0.36P 0.15R 0.00 Crawley_Town 28 42 -3 63.69 6.04 -7.70 0.05 0.20 3.58 0.69P 0.20R 0.00 Stevenage 27 40 -3 66.62 6.16 -2.04 0.18 0.63 9.18 2.53P 0.08R 0.00 Carlisle 29 36 -14 56.61 5.77 -18.44 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 4.61R 0.05 Preston 29 35 +0 57.37 5.79 -1.46 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.06P 2.67R 0.02 Shrewsbury 31 34 -5 52.28 5.31 -8.07 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 12.13R 0.20 Colchester 29 29 -16 48.89 5.64 -21.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.55R 2.17 Oldham 30 27 -15 45.36 5.39 -20.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.62R 6.29 Bury 29 26 -13 45.29 5.62 -19.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.07R 7.33 Scunthorpe 29 26 -20 45.35 5.66 -26.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.72R 8.02 Portsmouth 29 21 -20 42.85 5.81 -22.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.91R 15.17 Hartlepool 29 19 -26 36.94 5.50 -33.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.95R 60.75League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 4 February 2013, Gillingham vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Port_Vale 29 56 +29 86.39 5.80 39.92 58.10 95.60 99.80 96.87P 0.00 0.00 Gillingham 29 55 +23 84.27 5.76 31.95 34.99 91.26 99.52 93.87P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 29 48 +4 72.43 5.78 5.71 1.19 20.01 70.15 31.46P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 31 47 +1 65.38 5.34 -2.42 0.04 1.92 23.22 5.62P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 29 46 +14 75.71 5.79 23.49 3.93 45.16 88.70 60.25P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 28 46 +5 71.62 6.05 6.27 0.95 17.66 65.10 28.89P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 30 46 +3 69.70 5.72 5.57 0.39 9.55 53.83 21.08P 0.00 0.00 Northampton 30 45 +5 66.85 5.60 4.53 0.08 3.91 34.63 9.91P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 29 44 +9 67.24 5.87 9.02 0.15 5.43 39.17 13.14P 0.01R 0.00 Bradford 28 41 +5 64.93 5.98 3.92 0.06 2.67 25.21 7.46P 0.06R 0.00 Chesterfield 30 40 +5 64.82 5.66 9.32 0.03 2.00 25.11 9.01P 0.05R 0.01 Morecambe 30 39 +1 61.40 5.63 1.60 0.01 0.54 9.68 2.65P 0.31R 0.08 Oxford_Utd 29 39 -3 62.93 5.82 -2.11 0.02 0.89 14.54 3.92P 0.20R 0.04 Wycombe 29 39 -6 63.56 5.99 -4.24 0.03 1.32 17.53 5.57P 0.18R 0.02 Rochdale 30 38 -1 61.39 5.77 1.00 0.00 0.45 10.23 3.10P 0.44R 0.09 Dag_&_Red 31 38 -1 58.22 5.34 -1.58 0.00 0.08 3.00 0.69P 1.05R 0.22 Torquay 28 37 +1 63.59 5.94 3.82 0.02 1.51 19.04 6.17P 0.15R 0.03 York 30 37 -5 55.66 5.48 -9.90 0.00 0.02 1.03 0.21P 3.79R 1.09 Bristol_Rovers 28 31 -15 52.23 5.92 -20.89 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.08P 14.86R 5.76 Accrington_Stanley 30 31 -18 49.71 5.40 -23.05 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 25.89R 11.46 Aldershot 29 30 -14 49.80 5.53 -18.85 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 23.99R 10.26 Plymouth 30 29 -10 48.23 5.43 -13.83 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 32.09R 15.14 Barnet 30 29 -14 46.30 5.38 -20.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 48.23R 26.85 AFC_Wimbledon 28 28 -18 46.62 5.67 -28.39 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 48.70R 28.95Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 February 2013, AFC_Telford vs Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Grimsby 29 55 +28 85.38 5.72 38.94 38.71 94.51 54.53P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 29 52 +25 85.00 5.58 40.13 36.24 94.12 57.39P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 29 49 +17 77.44 5.81 24.70 4.46 60.09 16.31P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 27 49 +14 77.88 6.35 18.22 6.15 59.69 14.41P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 29 47 +16 75.40 5.69 23.91 2.32 45.98 12.82P 0.00 0.00 Mansfield 26 44 +10 75.93 6.46 17.02 4.18 47.30 13.52P 0.00R 0.00 Luton 26 43 +9 78.17 6.43 21.12 7.34 62.29 22.91P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 29 42 +7 66.77 5.80 9.28 0.06 6.26 1.29P 0.04R 0.00 Macclesfield 28 42 +3 70.56 6.12 8.82 0.36 16.70 3.85P 0.01R 0.00 Dartford 29 41 +0 62.95 5.97 -2.49 0.01 1.51 0.22P 0.49R 0.03 Woking 27 38 -9 58.37 6.26 -19.28 0.00 0.40 0.05P 4.16R 0.37 Hereford 26 36 -1 67.93 6.57 5.85 0.16 10.16 2.56P 0.11R 0.01 Southport 29 36 -7 58.36 5.90 -8.99 0.00 0.18 0.02P 3.27R 0.27 Braintree_Town 27 35 -10 58.16 6.18 -15.38 0.00 0.30 0.04P 4.51R 0.48 Tamworth 28 34 -6 55.09 5.88 -11.67 0.00 0.05 0.01P 9.54R 1.23 Stockport 28 34 -8 54.84 5.89 -14.75 0.00 0.02 0.00P 10.36R 1.31 Alfreton_Town 28 34 -13 55.30 5.96 -19.11 0.00 0.03 0.01P 10.40R 1.39 Hyde_United 28 32 -1 54.96 6.20 -3.94 0.00 0.07 0.01P 10.47R 1.61 Lincoln_City 28 32 -7 55.43 6.05 -9.42 0.00 0.07 0.02P 9.15R 1.23 Gateshead 26 31 -4 57.63 6.38 -5.21 0.00 0.27 0.05P 5.28R 0.77 AFC_Telford 31 29 -8 45.84 5.15 -13.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.27R 20.18 Barrow 27 29 -19 49.67 5.95 -28.33 0.00 0.00 0.00P 38.42R 9.92 Nuneaton 29 28 -16 46.53 5.81 -24.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.13R 21.14 Ebbsfleet_United 27 24 -20 43.89 5.89 -31.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.40R 40.08