Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 1 February 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 January 2013, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       24   59  +28      88.77     4.70    46.27    85.88    99.09    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      24   52  +26      80.78     4.70    41.81    13.44    86.49    98.37    99.76   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       24   46  +25      72.37     4.89    36.42     0.67    12.80    73.29    90.88    99.30     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     24   42  +12      64.88     5.11    17.58     0.00     0.76    10.98    38.45    85.06     0.00     0.00  
Everton       24   41  +10      61.93     4.95    12.34     0.00     0.20     3.78    17.43    68.14     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       24   38  +19      65.03     4.97    32.07     0.01     0.63    12.20    44.72    88.99     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     24   35  +12      58.98     5.12    19.11     0.00     0.04     1.37     8.03    46.64     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       24   34   +7      51.51     4.99     4.02     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.39     5.63     0.03R    0.00  
West_Brom     24   34   +0      50.74     5.00    -4.56     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26     3.86     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke         24   30   -5      47.36     4.94    -7.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.87     0.52R    0.01  
Sunderland    24   29   -4      46.84     5.00    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.77     0.70R    0.01  
Fulham        24   28   -5      45.64     5.07    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.55     1.37R    0.07  
West_Ham      24   27   -9      42.12     4.89   -16.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     7.08R    0.49  
Norwich       24   27  -15      42.78     4.87   -21.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     5.96R    0.48  
Newcastle     24   24  -12      41.34     5.07   -15.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     9.26R    0.92  
Southampton   24   23  -11      39.06     5.06   -16.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    19.10R    2.52  
Reading       24   20  -15      34.94     4.86   -23.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.25R   12.51  
Wigan         24   20  -18      34.24     4.75   -27.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.10R   15.98  
Aston_Villa   24   20  -26      33.30     4.65   -36.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.69R   22.84  
QPR           24   16  -19      30.32     4.77   -26.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.92R   44.18  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 31 January 2013, Leicester vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      90.99     6.08    29.54    77.20    93.13    99.88    95.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +27      82.41     5.78    36.11    15.63    59.04    97.10    71.78P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.65     5.96    11.02     2.64    15.65    78.71    30.84P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   49  +17      75.06     5.96    21.13     1.97    12.26    73.69    27.53P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   48  +14      73.04     5.81    16.58     0.67     6.42    60.73    18.70P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.81     6.06    12.71     1.62    10.16    69.98    24.75P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         28   42  +10      67.88     6.04    11.81     0.15     1.30    27.88     7.54P    0.05R    0.00  
Burnley          29   42   +2      66.24     5.87     3.22     0.03     0.51    17.99     4.49P    0.11R    0.00  
Millwall         29   41   +0      64.53     5.79     0.28     0.01     0.25    10.96     2.54P    0.25R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    29   41   -1      63.46     5.76    -2.25     0.02     0.15     7.81     1.69P    0.40R    0.01  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.29     6.06    -7.62     0.01     0.25    10.75     2.27P    0.42R    0.01  
Charlton         29   39   -1      61.30     5.85    -2.49     0.00     0.06     4.37     0.98P    1.10R    0.08  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.71     5.94    -0.68     0.01     0.10     5.10     1.04P    1.16R    0.07  
Blackpool        29   37   +4      64.26     5.88    10.18     0.00     0.25    12.10     3.63P    0.37R    0.02  
Blackburn        28   37   +1      64.78     6.12     5.78     0.03     0.33    14.01     4.48P    0.36R    0.02  
Huddersfield     29   36  -15      55.63     5.71   -20.79     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P   10.86R    1.36  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.47     6.23     3.16     0.01     0.12     5.96     1.87P    1.53R    0.11  
Birmingham       29   34   -8      59.51     5.92    -4.75     0.00     0.02     2.26     0.68P    2.87R    0.24  
Wolverhampton    30   33   -8      54.59     5.66    -8.51     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   11.46R    1.51  
Sheff_Wed        29   32  -11      51.31     5.69   -17.46     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   29.43R    6.25  
Ipswich          29   32  -22      50.04     5.68   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   40.20R    9.57  
Barnsley         29   28  -13      45.45     5.46   -22.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.78R   29.12  
Bristol_City     29   28  -14      46.31     5.57   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.12R   24.15  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.87     5.93   -21.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.53R   27.48  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 February 2013, Sheff_Utd vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      82.05     5.74    24.07    18.98    39.62    88.11    50.01P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.48     6.07    25.14    41.05    62.47    94.75    70.12P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         28   50  +30      81.69     5.95    40.30    20.53    41.41    87.47    56.33P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   50  +14      77.96     6.02    18.85     6.55    16.86    67.48    28.47P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     29   49  +11      74.65     5.85    14.52     2.09     6.51    46.10    14.65P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       29   48  +12      78.00     5.72    21.96     5.95    16.89    70.03    33.28P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        31   47  +12      72.12     5.47    18.84     0.52     2.30    31.26    10.25P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          28   45   +6      69.98     6.11     6.28     0.43     1.56    18.67     4.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    28   43  +12      71.23     6.00    17.34     0.66     2.52    27.22     8.06P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         27   43  +11      74.69     6.21    19.35     2.98     8.69    48.37    19.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.34     6.20    -8.85     0.03     0.14     3.03     0.49P    0.30R    0.00  
Walsall         30   41   -5      61.20     5.51    -7.65     0.00     0.01     0.78     0.11P    0.37R    0.00  
Crewe           28   40   -2      60.82     5.92    -8.07     0.00     0.03     1.10     0.17P    0.67R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.46     6.38    -0.38     0.23     0.96    13.89     3.55P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   29   40   -4      61.30     5.74    -6.89     0.00     0.01     1.03     0.18P    0.51R    0.00  
Preston         28   35   +1      59.13     6.01     0.09     0.00     0.01     0.65     0.12P    1.48R    0.01  
Carlisle        28   33  -15      54.19     5.94   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.06R    0.14  
Shrewsbury      30   31   -6      50.14     5.48    -9.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.34R    0.40  
Oldham          29   27  -13      46.89     5.58   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.48R    2.72  
Colchester      28   26  -17      46.87     5.84   -22.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.48R    3.42  
Scunthorpe      28   26  -19      46.91     5.88   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.92R    3.59  
Bury            28   23  -15      42.83     5.78   -22.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.52R   10.73  
Portsmouth      28   21  -19      44.76     6.06   -20.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.43R    6.83  
Hartlepool      28   16  -27      34.48     5.61   -36.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.42R   72.15  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 February 2013, Bristol_Rovers vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           28   55  +24      86.45     6.00    34.24    51.75    95.25    99.78    96.67P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   53  +26      85.15     5.94    37.53    42.88    93.16    99.53    95.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        30   46   +1      65.95     5.57    -2.19     0.08     2.82    26.58     6.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          29   45   +7      68.31     5.83     6.69     0.20     7.74    44.54    15.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               29   45   +3      70.65     5.98     6.42     0.59    14.44    59.19    26.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           28   45   +3      70.78     5.97     4.63     0.72    14.65    59.19    24.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             28   43  +13      74.51     5.95    23.10     2.73    38.49    83.46    53.97P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       28   43   +9      67.88     6.06     9.44     0.18     7.58    42.88    15.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            27   43   +3      69.97     6.25     4.22     0.59    12.88    54.01    22.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.03     6.13     3.56     0.09     3.31    25.83     8.14P    0.09R    0.02  
Chesterfield         29   39   +5      65.06     5.89     9.12     0.04     2.71    26.62     9.97P    0.07R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           28   39   -2      63.99     5.96    -1.61     0.04     1.80    18.83     5.75P    0.15R    0.03  
Torquay              27   37   +2      64.91     6.19     4.77     0.08     3.17    25.77     9.36P    0.11R    0.03  
Rochdale             29   37   -1      61.90     6.01     1.21     0.00     0.89    12.37     4.05P    0.49R    0.09  
Dag_&_Red            30   37   -1      58.42     5.56    -1.89     0.00     0.12     3.55     0.87P    1.40R    0.35  
York                 29   37   -2      57.67     5.75    -5.85     0.00     0.10     2.85     0.62P    2.15R    0.60  
Morecambe            29   36   -2      59.19     5.80    -2.21     0.01     0.21     5.06     1.29P    1.23R    0.31  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      61.05     6.13    -6.63     0.00     0.65     9.30     2.88P    0.84R    0.19  
Bristol_Rovers       28   31  -15      52.25     5.92   -20.82     0.00     0.01     0.35     0.09P   15.64R    6.09  
Accrington_Stanley   29   31  -15      50.63     5.60   -20.82     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   21.82R    9.26  
Barnet               30   29  -14      46.38     5.39   -20.78     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.27R   26.98  
Aldershot            28   29  -14      49.69     5.72   -19.66     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   26.95R   12.00  
Plymouth             29   28  -10      48.76     5.67   -13.68     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   30.68R   14.55  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   27  -18      46.80     5.91   -28.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.08R   29.50  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 1 February 2013, Ebbsfleet_United vs Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            28   52  +26      84.46     5.89    38.00    30.85    92.08    48.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            28   51  +25      85.58     5.78    40.51    39.65    94.51    59.45P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.98     6.40    18.36     5.94    59.71    14.15P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       28   48  +17      77.66     6.06    24.57     5.38    60.54    17.21P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   47  +16      75.26     5.73    23.64     2.09    44.57    11.86P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.50     6.61    23.65    13.16    74.14    30.67P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield       28   42   +3      70.65     6.13     8.93     0.34    16.93     4.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.90     6.18     3.46     0.05     3.78     0.61P    0.22R    0.00  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.85     6.71    11.21     2.22    34.36     8.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   39   +6      65.33     6.02     8.54     0.04     4.25     0.89P    0.13R    0.00  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.91     6.78     6.79     0.29    13.18     3.21P    0.09R    0.01  
Southport          28   35   -7      58.10     6.08   -10.09     0.00     0.26     0.03P    3.60R    0.36  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.57     6.47   -20.58     0.00     0.26     0.03P    7.89R    1.02  
Braintree_Town     27   35  -10      58.11     6.15   -15.49     0.00     0.24     0.03P    4.21R    0.47  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.12     6.11   -18.03     0.00     0.11     0.01P    7.97R    1.16  
Hyde_United        27   32   +0      56.51     6.38    -2.69     0.00     0.21     0.03P    6.52R    0.89  
Lincoln_City       28   32   -7      55.50     6.05    -9.28     0.00     0.07     0.02P    8.23R    1.07  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.34     6.62    -2.70     0.00     0.75     0.14P    3.21R    0.41  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.94     6.07   -14.44     0.00     0.02     0.00    17.13R    2.97  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.42     6.10   -15.40     0.00     0.03     0.00    15.16R    2.73  
AFC_Telford        30   29   -7      47.04     5.38   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.83R   14.11  
Nuneaton           28   28  -15      47.60     5.98   -23.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.73R   16.02  
Barrow             26   26  -20      46.99     6.13   -31.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.75R   20.38  
Ebbsfleet_United   27   24  -20      43.95     5.94   -31.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.33R   38.39