Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 31 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 January 2013, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       24   59  +28      88.80     4.67    46.38    86.36    99.19    99.96   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      24   52  +26      80.76     4.70    41.74    13.06    86.31    98.31    99.77    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       24   46  +25      72.34     4.93    36.35     0.57    12.98    72.84    90.46    99.27     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     24   42  +12      64.87     5.16    17.60     0.00     0.71    11.16    38.50    84.69     0.00     0.00  
Everton       24   41  +10      61.92     4.94    12.34     0.00     0.13     3.78    17.48    68.09     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       24   38  +19      65.07     4.94    32.13     0.01     0.64    12.46    45.17    89.04     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     24   35  +12      59.03     5.10    19.15     0.00     0.04     1.42     7.98    47.41     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       24   34   +7      51.51     4.97     4.03     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.36     5.34     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom     24   34   +0      50.70     4.98    -4.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22     3.70     0.06R    0.00  
Stoke         24   30   -5      47.43     4.97    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.93     0.55R    0.02  
Sunderland    24   29   -4      46.91     5.03    -6.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.82     0.75R    0.03  
Fulham        24   28   -5      45.57     5.08    -7.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.56     1.48R    0.05  
West_Ham      24   27   -9      42.14     4.90   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     6.90R    0.46  
Norwich       24   27  -15      42.72     4.85   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     6.21R    0.48  
Newcastle     24   24  -12      41.33     5.07   -15.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     9.24R    0.87  
Southampton   24   23  -11      39.11     5.09   -16.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    18.70R    2.61  
Reading       24   20  -15      34.90     4.85   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.56R   12.39  
Wigan         24   20  -18      34.26     4.76   -27.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.73R   15.94  
Aston_Villa   24   20  -26      33.29     4.65   -36.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.53R   22.75  
QPR           24   16  -19      30.29     4.74   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.27R   44.39  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 31 January 2013, Leicester vs Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      91.07     6.00    29.69    77.77    93.41    99.87    95.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        29   53  +27      82.41     5.83    36.17    15.46    59.02    96.98    71.73P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.64     6.00    11.00     2.56    15.55    78.73    30.74P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   49  +17      75.05     5.97    21.13     1.85    12.03    73.76    27.51P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   48  +14      73.09     5.81    16.68     0.67     6.48    61.70    19.09P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.75     6.05    12.63     1.50    10.26    69.87    24.47P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         28   42  +10      67.90     6.00    11.84     0.10     1.30    27.85     7.67P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          29   42   +2      66.25     5.82     3.22     0.02     0.42    17.74     4.30P    0.11R    0.00  
Millwall         29   41   +0      64.48     5.81     0.24     0.01     0.24    10.94     2.58P    0.29R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    29   41   -1      63.44     5.75    -2.24     0.01     0.14     7.67     1.63P    0.43R    0.01  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.31     6.02    -7.58     0.02     0.29    10.65     2.23P    0.39R    0.01  
Charlton         29   39   -1      61.24     5.82    -2.59     0.00     0.07     4.24     0.94P    1.21R    0.08  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.67     5.96    -0.76     0.00     0.09     5.12     1.11P    1.24R    0.07  
Blackpool        29   37   +4      64.24     5.89    10.07     0.00     0.24    12.10     3.75P    0.36R    0.02  
Blackburn        28   37   +1      64.73     6.08     5.70     0.02     0.36    13.81     4.43P    0.36R    0.02  
Huddersfield     29   36  -15      55.56     5.72   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.06P   11.20R    1.45  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.42     6.19     3.07     0.00     0.09     5.77     1.70P    1.62R    0.14  
Birmingham       29   34   -8      59.68     5.90    -4.52     0.00     0.02     2.50     0.70P    2.68R    0.23  
Wolverhampton    30   33   -8      54.55     5.64    -8.58     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P   11.71R    1.65  
Sheff_Wed        29   32  -11      51.38     5.72   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   29.00R    6.42  
Ipswich          29   32  -22      49.97     5.63   -30.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   40.62R    9.55  
Barnsley         29   28  -13      45.53     5.51   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.27R   28.82  
Bristol_City     29   28  -14      46.32     5.57   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.79R   24.22  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.88     5.93   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.67R   27.28  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2013, Leyton_Orient vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      81.89     5.78    23.86    17.52    37.07    87.38    47.63P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.58     6.10    25.32    40.22    61.32    94.79    69.26P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         28   50  +30      81.76     5.91    40.41    19.47    40.06    88.17    55.41P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   50  +14      77.87     6.03    18.74     5.98    15.67    67.32    27.57P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     29   49  +11      74.73     5.89    14.64     1.94     6.29    47.04    14.82P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   48  +13      79.85     5.95    23.63    10.52    25.65    79.15    42.70P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          28   45   +6      69.97     6.09     6.26     0.33     1.29    18.89     4.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Coventry        30   44  +11      70.06     5.70    17.15     0.25     1.12    20.25     6.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    28   43  +12      71.25     6.05    17.39     0.69     2.50    27.42     8.34P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         27   43  +11      74.63     6.21    19.24     2.78     7.80    48.20    19.06P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.28     6.21    -8.97     0.02     0.10     3.10     0.52P    0.24R    0.00  
Walsall         30   41   -5      61.31     5.54    -7.52     0.00     0.00     0.79     0.10P    0.35R    0.00  
Crewe           28   40   -2      60.86     5.93    -8.04     0.00     0.02     1.04     0.17P    0.61R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.67     6.38    -0.06     0.28     1.10    14.76     3.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   29   40   -4      61.39     5.67    -6.75     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.15P    0.42R    0.00  
Preston         28   35   +1      59.00     6.03    -0.08     0.00     0.01     0.63     0.11P    1.50R    0.01  
Carlisle        28   33  -15      54.18     5.96   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    9.96R    0.14  
Shrewsbury      30   31   -6      50.23     5.43    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.59R    0.40  
Oldham          29   27  -13      46.88     5.60   -17.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.05R    2.62  
Colchester      28   26  -17      46.88     5.82   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.24R    3.44  
Scunthorpe      28   26  -19      46.84     5.87   -24.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.43R    3.67  
Bury            28   23  -15      42.70     5.77   -22.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.25R   10.96  
Portsmouth      28   21  -19      44.65     6.07   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.99R    7.02  
Hartlepool      28   16  -27      34.50     5.64   -36.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.34R   71.76  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2013, Gillingham vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           28   55  +24      86.48     5.99    34.27    52.20    95.19    99.71    96.53P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   53  +26      85.08     5.98    37.42    42.35    92.87    99.55    95.01P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        30   46   +1      65.95     5.59    -2.19     0.05     2.85    26.64     6.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Northampton          29   45   +7      68.28     5.79     6.60     0.22     7.37    44.26    14.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               29   45   +3      70.82     5.98     6.61     0.67    14.96    60.45    27.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           28   45   +3      70.76     5.98     4.61     0.76    14.52    58.94    24.61P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             28   43  +13      74.53     5.92    23.15     2.62    38.59    83.52    54.36P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       28   43   +9      67.78     6.08     9.26     0.21     7.43    41.83    15.35P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            27   43   +3      70.03     6.26     4.34     0.64    13.32    54.32    22.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.03     6.14     3.61     0.07     3.25    25.72     8.08P    0.09R    0.01  
Chesterfield         29   39   +5      65.08     5.92     9.18     0.04     3.00    26.73    10.26P    0.08R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           28   39   -2      64.02     6.01    -1.55     0.03     1.79    19.35     5.73P    0.16R    0.02  
Torquay              27   37   +2      64.84     6.20     4.66     0.10     3.09    25.40     9.04P    0.12R    0.02  
Rochdale             29   37   -1      61.83     6.01     1.08     0.01     0.80    12.28     3.85P    0.51R    0.10  
Dag_&_Red            30   37   -1      58.38     5.52    -1.94     0.00     0.11     3.48     0.76P    1.38R    0.33  
York                 29   37   -2      57.73     5.76    -5.76     0.00     0.09     2.96     0.68P    2.14R    0.50  
Morecambe            29   36   -2      59.22     5.78    -2.17     0.00     0.18     5.03     1.37P    1.22R    0.32  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      60.98     6.12    -6.74     0.02     0.60     9.25     2.64P    0.86R    0.18  
Accrington_Stanley   29   31  -15      50.69     5.62   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.04P   22.09R    9.56  
Barnet               29   29  -13      47.48     5.58   -20.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.74R   22.05  
Aldershot            28   29  -14      49.76     5.71   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   26.61R   11.83  
Plymouth             29   28  -10      48.76     5.63   -13.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   30.80R   14.63  
Bristol_Rovers       27   28  -16      50.83     6.14   -21.53     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.06P   23.33R   10.77  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   27  -18      46.84     5.87   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    48.81R   29.66  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2013, Kidderminster vs AFC_Telford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            28   52  +26      84.35     5.92    37.82    29.91    92.26    48.19P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            28   51  +25      85.71     5.79    40.72    40.83    94.93    60.74P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.93     6.32    18.27     5.68    60.88    13.99P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       28   48  +17      77.58     6.03    24.43     5.12    61.46    17.26P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   47  +16      75.24     5.71    23.63     2.15    45.74    12.36P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.67     6.57    23.87    13.57    75.77    31.64P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.87     6.16     3.42     0.02     3.69     0.57P    0.22R    0.01  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.81     6.67    11.13     2.21    34.72     8.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   39   +6      65.43     6.02     8.69     0.05     4.46     0.96P    0.11R    0.01  
Macclesfield       27   39   -1      68.36     6.39     3.92     0.17    10.42     2.31P    0.06R    0.00  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.83     6.82     6.68     0.29    13.54     3.13P    0.15R    0.02  
Southport          28   35   -7      57.96     6.08   -10.33     0.00     0.29     0.03P    4.30R    0.45  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.68     6.49   -20.44     0.00     0.26     0.01P    8.19R    1.11  
Braintree_Town     27   35  -10      58.15     6.20   -15.46     0.00     0.35     0.05P    4.45R    0.62  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.05     6.07   -18.18     0.00     0.09     0.01P    8.62R    1.23  
Hyde_United        27   32   +0      56.62     6.44    -2.56     0.00     0.24     0.02P    7.23R    1.11  
Lincoln_City       28   32   -7      55.53     6.03    -9.25     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.68R    1.31  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.43     6.65    -2.56     0.00     0.78     0.14P    3.44R    0.47  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      53.09     6.09   -14.22     0.00     0.03     0.00    17.67R    3.28  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.41     6.07   -15.42     0.00     0.04     0.00P   16.37R    3.22  
AFC_Telford        30   29   -7      47.10     5.40   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.92R   16.10  
Nuneaton           28   28  -15      47.58     6.04   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.75R   18.69  
Barrow             26   26  -20      47.16     6.18   -30.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.31R   22.05  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.54     6.19   -26.87     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.54R   30.33