Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 30 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 January 2013, Arsenal vs Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       24   59  +28      88.83     4.71    46.43    86.43    99.05    99.95   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      24   52  +26      80.73     4.73    41.75    12.89    86.27    98.21    99.69    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       24   46  +25      72.32     4.95    36.35     0.66    12.99    72.86    90.50    99.27     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     24   42  +12      64.87     5.14    17.62     0.01     0.87    11.40    38.80    84.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton       24   41  +10      61.95     4.93    12.37     0.00     0.18     3.87    17.50    67.88     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       24   38  +19      65.04     4.97    32.09     0.01     0.60    12.19    44.76    88.82     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     24   35  +12      59.08     5.11    19.24     0.00     0.04     1.48     8.09    47.34     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       24   34   +7      51.53     4.98     4.06     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.36     5.42     0.02R    0.00  
West_Brom     24   34   +0      50.73     5.02    -4.62     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.21     3.89     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke         24   30   -5      47.34     4.95    -7.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.91     0.62R    0.02  
Sunderland    24   29   -4      46.92     5.01    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.79     0.64R    0.02  
Fulham        24   28   -5      45.57     5.08    -7.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.52     1.47R    0.06  
West_Ham      24   27   -9      42.17     4.92   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     7.05R    0.48  
Norwich       24   27  -15      42.69     4.85   -22.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     6.37R    0.48  
Newcastle     24   24  -12      41.27     5.08   -15.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     9.60R    0.89  
Southampton   24   23  -11      39.08     5.07   -16.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    18.75R    2.58  
Reading       24   20  -15      35.04     4.86   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.38R   11.76  
Wigan         24   20  -18      34.20     4.79   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.16R   16.24  
Aston_Villa   24   20  -26      33.29     4.65   -36.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.66R   22.88  
QPR           24   16  -19      30.28     4.75   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.25R   44.60  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 30 January 2013, Huddersfield vs Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      91.03     5.99    29.60    79.97    93.73    99.89    95.55P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26      81.22     6.02    35.81    12.57    52.77    95.14    67.47P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.58     5.95    10.96     2.73    17.29    78.85    31.73P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   49  +17      75.03     5.94    21.07     2.00    13.49    73.94    28.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   29   48  +14      73.09     5.79    16.67     0.74     7.32    61.83    19.57P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.82     6.06    12.70     1.75    11.60    70.19    25.55P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         28   42  +10      67.92     6.03    11.87     0.12     1.48    28.61     7.89P    0.04R    0.00  
Burnley          29   42   +2      66.20     5.84     3.14     0.03     0.57    17.72     4.53P    0.12R    0.00  
Millwall         29   41   +0      64.49     5.78     0.25     0.01     0.27    10.96     2.55P    0.27R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    29   41   -1      63.43     5.75    -2.25     0.01     0.19     7.77     1.70P    0.37R    0.01  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.25     6.01    -7.68     0.02     0.27    10.40     2.18P    0.47R    0.02  
Charlton         29   39   -1      61.24     5.84    -2.60     0.00     0.06     4.27     0.98P    1.26R    0.10  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.60     5.97    -0.84     0.01     0.11     5.11     1.09P    1.27R    0.10  
Blackpool        29   37   +4      64.30     5.89    10.21     0.01     0.27    12.42     3.81P    0.33R    0.02  
Blackburn        28   37   +1      64.76     6.09     5.76     0.03     0.45    13.81     4.58P    0.39R    0.02  
Huddersfield     29   36  -15      55.67     5.74   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.07P   10.97R    1.49  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.47     6.18     3.11     0.00     0.10     5.85     1.75P    1.62R    0.15  
Birmingham       29   34   -8      59.57     5.91    -4.66     0.00     0.03     2.34     0.67P    2.86R    0.23  
Wolverhampton    29   33   -7      55.50     5.87    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.11P    9.80R    1.22  
Sheff_Wed        29   32  -11      51.33     5.71   -17.44     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   29.71R    6.62  
Ipswich          29   32  -22      49.99     5.59   -30.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.91R    9.58  
Barnsley         29   28  -13      45.55     5.47   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.67R   28.62  
Bristol_City     29   28  -14      46.34     5.58   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.14R   24.33  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.87     5.89   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.79R   27.49  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2013, Leyton_Orient vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      81.98     5.77    23.96    17.94    37.41    87.95    48.15P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.54     6.08    25.25    39.67    61.45    94.82    69.25P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         28   50  +30      81.75     5.97    40.35    19.95    40.41    87.72    55.74P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   50  +14      77.89     6.00    18.77     6.04    15.66    67.76    27.54P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     29   49  +11      74.72     5.86    14.59     2.07     6.28    46.78    14.69P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   48  +13      79.68     5.96    23.35    10.07    24.79    78.53    41.64P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          28   45   +6      70.09     6.07     6.42     0.40     1.40    19.23     4.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry        30   44  +11      70.02     5.67    17.13     0.23     1.14    20.14     6.34P    0.00     0.00  
Notts_County    28   43  +12      71.24     6.03    17.34     0.65     2.40    27.27     8.15P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         27   43  +11      74.74     6.18    19.41     2.71     7.98    48.83    19.71P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.26     6.19    -8.97     0.02     0.10     3.09     0.48P    0.31R    0.00  
Walsall         30   41   -5      61.29     5.54    -7.50     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.14P    0.37R    0.00  
Crewe           28   40   -2      60.86     5.98    -7.99     0.01     0.02     1.27     0.21P    0.65R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.56     6.43    -0.23     0.22     0.92    14.26     3.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   29   40   -4      61.24     5.68    -6.98     0.00     0.02     0.90     0.17P    0.48R    0.00  
Preston         28   35   +1      59.15     5.99     0.14     0.00     0.01     0.61     0.13P    1.35R    0.01  
Carlisle        28   33  -15      54.17     5.93   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    9.96R    0.15  
Shrewsbury      30   31   -6      50.20     5.52    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.07R    0.45  
Oldham          29   27  -13      46.91     5.60   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.93R    2.70  
Colchester      28   26  -17      46.83     5.85   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.76R    3.42  
Scunthorpe      28   26  -19      46.86     5.84   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.06R    3.70  
Bury            28   23  -15      42.80     5.75   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.56R   10.48  
Portsmouth      28   21  -19      44.66     6.10   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.03R    7.08  
Hartlepool      28   16  -27      34.49     5.62   -36.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.42R   72.02  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2013, Gillingham vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           28   55  +24      86.56     5.96    34.40    52.63    95.27    99.76    96.68P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   53  +26      85.08     6.01    37.39    42.03    92.84    99.48    94.81P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        30   46   +1      66.01     5.57    -2.10     0.04     2.81    27.01     6.87P    0.02R    0.00  
Northampton          29   45   +7      68.35     5.79     6.68     0.20     7.46    44.56    14.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               29   45   +3      70.63     5.94     6.35     0.61    14.04    58.79    25.79P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           28   45   +3      70.77     6.00     4.62     0.70    14.94    58.64    25.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             28   43  +13      74.52     5.96    23.14     2.61    38.52    83.31    54.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       28   43   +9      67.92     6.10     9.49     0.23     7.70    43.14    15.84P    0.02R    0.00  
Rotherham            27   43   +3      70.04     6.29     4.33     0.71    13.34    54.28    22.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.09     6.17     3.67     0.08     3.32    26.12     8.10P    0.08R    0.01  
Chesterfield         29   39   +5      65.13     5.91     9.18     0.04     2.85    26.87     9.96P    0.07R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           28   39   -2      63.96     5.99    -1.68     0.03     1.77    18.86     5.75P    0.17R    0.03  
Torquay              27   37   +2      64.93     6.19     4.81     0.07     3.21    25.52     9.38P    0.12R    0.03  
Rochdale             29   37   -1      61.89     5.98     1.22     0.01     0.82    12.37     4.04P    0.44R    0.10  
Dag_&_Red            30   37   -1      58.46     5.58    -1.80     0.00     0.12     3.66     0.92P    1.39R    0.36  
York                 29   37   -2      57.74     5.75    -5.74     0.00     0.12     2.86     0.64P    2.19R    0.53  
Morecambe            29   36   -2      59.13     5.83    -2.29     0.00     0.22     5.07     1.29P    1.32R    0.36  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      60.98     6.13    -6.72     0.01     0.64     9.24     2.77P    0.78R    0.19  
Accrington_Stanley   29   31  -15      50.70     5.61   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   21.68R    9.15  
Barnet               29   29  -13      47.46     5.59   -20.22     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.41R   21.87  
Aldershot            28   29  -14      49.61     5.71   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   27.18R   12.14  
Plymouth             29   28  -10      48.63     5.64   -13.89     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   31.19R   15.01  
Bristol_Rovers       27   28  -16      50.78     6.10   -21.60     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.06P   23.09R   10.58  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   27  -18      46.84     5.95   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   48.83R   29.63  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2013, Kidderminster vs AFC_Telford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            28   52  +26      84.47     5.91    37.97    30.71    92.43    48.30P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            28   51  +25      85.50     5.81    40.38    39.49    94.43    59.44P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.87     6.35    18.18     5.86    60.03    14.27P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       28   48  +17      77.58     6.00    24.42     5.20    61.04    17.20P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   47  +16      75.28     5.70    23.72     2.13    45.93    12.43P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.57     6.62    23.75    13.58    74.92    31.42P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.92     6.18     3.52     0.04     3.84     0.61P    0.21R    0.01  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.96     6.66    11.36     2.35    35.73     9.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   39   +6      65.50     6.00     8.81     0.05     4.71     0.99P    0.09R    0.00  
Macclesfield       27   39   -1      68.55     6.37     4.22     0.23    10.70     2.48P    0.07R    0.00  
Hereford           25   35   -1      69.04     6.84     7.02     0.35    14.20     3.44P    0.10R    0.00  
Southport          28   35   -7      57.97     6.09   -10.28     0.00     0.23     0.04P    4.17R    0.49  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.58     6.48   -20.60     0.00     0.25     0.04P    8.35R    1.26  
Braintree_Town     27   35  -10      57.97     6.18   -15.76     0.00     0.31     0.02P    4.73R    0.55  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.04     6.08   -18.15     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.58R    1.34  
Hyde_United        27   32   +0      56.57     6.44    -2.60     0.00     0.24     0.02P    7.23R    1.13  
Lincoln_City       28   32   -7      55.63     6.04    -9.11     0.00     0.07     0.00P    8.57R    1.15  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.42     6.61    -2.56     0.01     0.83     0.14P    3.28R    0.41  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.94     6.06   -14.47     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.03R    3.50  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.39     6.09   -15.46     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.29R    3.17  
AFC_Telford        30   29   -7      47.02     5.39   -13.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.44R   16.27  
Nuneaton           28   28  -15      47.68     5.96   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.76R   17.94  
Barrow             26   26  -20      47.14     6.11   -30.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.33R   21.88  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.46     6.20   -27.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.76R   30.90