Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 29 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2013, Aston_Villa vs Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       23   56  +27      88.58     4.80    48.29    84.90    98.41    99.90    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      24   52  +26      80.74     4.72    41.73    13.63    81.61    97.54    99.63    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       23   45  +25      73.66     5.10    37.82     1.43    17.84    75.20    92.15    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     23   41  +12      65.73     5.37    18.33     0.02     1.09    11.56    41.16    87.87     0.00     0.00  
Everton       23   38   +9      60.72     5.12    11.92     0.00     0.09     1.89    11.03    59.86     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       23   37  +19      65.93     5.19    32.89     0.01     0.91    12.80    47.88    90.77     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     23   34  +12      58.91     5.28    18.37     0.00     0.06     1.08     7.49    47.71     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       24   34   +7      51.52     4.92     4.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.25     5.64     0.01R    0.00  
West_Brom     23   34   +1      51.63     5.15    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.35     6.14     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke         24   30   -5      47.43     4.96    -7.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.95     0.52R    0.01  
Sunderland    24   29   -4      46.84     5.02    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.83     0.73R    0.02  
West_Ham      23   27   -7      43.43     5.09   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.24     4.33R    0.25  
Norwich       23   26  -15      42.63     5.07   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     6.90R    0.61  
Fulham        23   25   -7      44.18     5.30    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     3.17R    0.24  
Newcastle     24   24  -12      41.28     5.07   -15.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     8.96R    0.85  
Southampton   23   23  -10      39.17     5.16   -18.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    18.85R    2.62  
Wigan         24   20  -18      34.19     4.78   -27.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.03R   15.81  
Aston_Villa   24   20  -26      33.36     4.65   -36.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.33R   21.89  
Reading       23   19  -15      34.36     4.96   -24.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.37R   15.05  
QPR           24   16  -19      30.36     4.77   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.78R   42.65  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2013, Barnsley vs Millwall; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      91.08     6.05    29.68    79.48    93.31    99.90    95.21P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26      81.22     6.02    35.75    12.26    50.54    94.80    65.31P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.58     6.00    10.92     2.70    16.54    77.61    30.82P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          29   49  +17      75.09     5.99    21.20     2.04    13.11    73.00    28.15P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      74.84     6.03    18.25     1.63    12.18    70.77    25.29P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.72     6.07    12.58     1.63    10.67    68.74    24.36P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         28   42  +10      67.93     6.00    11.88     0.12     1.38    27.20     7.67P    0.03R    0.00  
Burnley          29   42   +2      66.34     5.88     3.38     0.05     0.56    17.89     4.60P    0.12R    0.00  
Millwall         29   41   +0      64.48     5.80     0.25     0.02     0.30    10.56     2.52P    0.24R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    29   41   -1      63.42     5.72    -2.27     0.01     0.16     7.12     1.55P    0.39R    0.02  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.24     6.05    -7.68     0.01     0.31    10.04     2.23P    0.46R    0.03  
Charlton         29   39   -1      61.33     5.83    -2.45     0.00     0.06     4.17     0.90P    1.02R    0.06  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.68     5.92    -0.75     0.00     0.08     4.90     1.05P    1.11R    0.06  
Blackpool        29   37   +4      64.31     5.90    10.26     0.01     0.27    11.83     3.66P    0.34R    0.03  
Blackburn        28   37   +1      64.73     6.14     5.72     0.03     0.42    13.41     4.25P    0.37R    0.01  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.38     6.17     2.99     0.00     0.10     5.25     1.65P    1.53R    0.14  
Birmingham       29   34   -8      59.57     5.90    -4.67     0.00     0.01     2.12     0.64P    2.56R    0.23  
Wolverhampton    29   33   -7      55.45     5.89    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.10P    9.45R    1.23  
Huddersfield     28   33  -16      53.51     5.88   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   19.23R    3.49  
Sheff_Wed        29   32  -11      51.45     5.70   -17.24     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   27.70R    5.99  
Ipswich          29   32  -22      50.00     5.64   -30.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   39.69R    9.70  
Barnsley         29   28  -13      45.53     5.46   -21.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.37R   28.32  
Bristol_City     29   28  -14      46.31     5.54   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.93R   23.77  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.94     5.93   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.45R   26.90  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2013, Leyton_Orient vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      81.99     5.76    23.99    17.86    37.42    88.17    48.26P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.61     6.10    25.31    40.26    61.67    94.83    69.60P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         28   50  +30      81.62     5.97    40.18    19.14    39.41    87.56    54.99P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   50  +14      77.89     5.99    18.77     6.17    15.81    67.44    27.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     29   49  +11      74.71     5.88    14.58     2.10     6.22    46.62    14.66P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   48  +13      79.70     5.96    23.43    10.07    25.07    78.60    41.91P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          28   45   +6      70.05     6.07     6.36     0.39     1.41    18.95     4.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry        30   44  +11      70.13     5.70    17.26     0.25     1.17    20.78     6.47P    0.00R    0.00  
Notts_County    28   43  +12      71.25     6.01    17.38     0.66     2.45    27.32     8.41P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         27   43  +11      74.69     6.21    19.35     2.83     8.17    48.56    19.64P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.38     6.18    -8.81     0.02     0.12     3.16     0.51P    0.24R    0.00  
Walsall         30   41   -5      61.24     5.51    -7.56     0.00     0.01     0.79     0.12P    0.37R    0.00  
Crewe           28   40   -2      60.82     5.91    -8.08     0.00     0.02     1.06     0.16P    0.64R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.51     6.43    -0.32     0.26     1.04    14.39     3.71P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   29   40   -4      61.38     5.70    -6.79     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.13P    0.47R    0.00  
Preston         28   35   +1      59.16     6.01     0.19     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.17P    1.38R    0.00  
Carlisle        28   33  -15      54.17     5.92   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    9.65R    0.15  
Shrewsbury      30   31   -6      50.17     5.48    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.98R    0.42  
Oldham          29   27  -13      46.94     5.61   -17.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.58R    2.74  
Colchester      28   26  -17      46.80     5.82   -22.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.79R    3.48  
Scunthorpe      28   26  -19      46.74     5.84   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.85R    3.68  
Bury            28   23  -15      42.80     5.76   -22.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.38R   10.78  
Portsmouth      28   21  -19      44.66     6.06   -20.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.20R    7.07  
Hartlepool      28   16  -27      34.52     5.60   -36.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.44R   71.67  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2013, Gillingham vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           28   55  +24      86.45     5.94    34.22    51.62    95.33    99.77    96.76P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            28   53  +26      85.08     6.03    37.39    42.84    92.81    99.54    94.86P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        30   46   +1      65.92     5.58    -2.21     0.07     2.84    26.48     6.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          29   45   +7      68.25     5.79     6.58     0.20     7.35    43.97    14.56P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               29   45   +3      70.67     5.95     6.41     0.73    14.14    59.16    25.91P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           28   45   +3      70.71     5.97     4.57     0.71    14.38    58.74    24.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             28   43  +13      74.58     5.93    23.20     2.78    38.90    83.54    54.49P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       28   43   +9      67.94     6.07     9.50     0.24     7.83    43.16    16.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            27   43   +3      70.03     6.25     4.33     0.54    13.39    54.08    22.80P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.11     6.13     3.71     0.07     3.27    26.01     8.18P    0.08R    0.02  
Chesterfield         29   39   +5      65.15     5.90     9.26     0.05     2.86    27.05    10.05P    0.07R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           28   39   -2      63.88     6.03    -1.77     0.06     1.76    18.69     5.60P    0.18R    0.03  
Torquay              27   37   +2      64.97     6.18     4.82     0.07     3.22    25.83     9.53P    0.11R    0.01  
Rochdale             29   37   -1      61.90     6.01     1.21     0.01     0.82    12.26     3.90P    0.52R    0.12  
Dag_&_Red            30   37   -1      58.46     5.57    -1.81     0.00     0.11     3.77     0.94P    1.34R    0.34  
York                 29   37   -2      57.69     5.75    -5.85     0.00     0.11     2.92     0.61P    2.25R    0.61  
Morecambe            29   36   -2      59.21     5.81    -2.18     0.00     0.25     5.10     1.37P    1.26R    0.29  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      61.04     6.14    -6.62     0.01     0.61     9.41     2.80P    0.87R    0.25  
Accrington_Stanley   29   31  -15      50.71     5.63   -20.70     0.00     0.01     0.11     0.02P   21.77R    9.37  
Barnet               29   29  -13      47.50     5.60   -20.13     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.25R   21.52  
Aldershot            28   29  -14      49.65     5.71   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   26.98R   12.26  
Plymouth             29   28  -10      48.68     5.66   -13.82     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   30.92R   14.81  
Bristol_Rovers       27   28  -16      50.77     6.17   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   23.43R   10.86  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   27  -18      46.81     5.88   -28.78     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   48.94R   29.51  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 29 January 2013, Kidderminster vs AFC_Telford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            28   52  +26      84.52     5.91    38.09    31.07    92.62    48.88P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            28   51  +25      85.58     5.82    40.50    39.65    94.82    59.68P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.81     6.35    18.10     5.52    60.28    13.91P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       28   48  +17      77.57     6.07    24.43     5.13    61.22    16.92P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      29   47  +16      75.20     5.71    23.59     2.08    45.33    12.40P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.65     6.59    23.88    13.67    75.65    31.55P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.85     6.19     3.39     0.04     3.90     0.65P    0.21R    0.00  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.78     6.71    11.06     2.24    34.85     8.99P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   39   +6      65.52     6.00     8.78     0.04     4.76     0.99P    0.11R    0.01  
Macclesfield       27   39   -1      68.47     6.39     4.13     0.20    10.65     2.31P    0.06R    0.00  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.93     6.83     6.85     0.35    13.88     3.44P    0.10R    0.00  
Southport          28   35   -7      58.07     6.05   -10.17     0.00     0.25     0.03P    4.11R    0.49  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.81     6.49   -20.23     0.01     0.27     0.04P    7.86R    1.14  
Braintree_Town     27   35  -10      57.95     6.18   -15.77     0.00     0.29     0.04P    4.86R    0.56  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.11     6.13   -18.05     0.00     0.09     0.01P    8.90R    1.36  
Hyde_United        27   32   +0      56.41     6.45    -2.84     0.00     0.21     0.04P    7.72R    1.16  
Lincoln_City       28   32   -7      55.52     6.05    -9.29     0.00     0.05     0.00P    8.69R    1.30  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.34     6.58    -2.67     0.00     0.83     0.12P    3.32R    0.44  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      53.02     6.08   -14.35     0.00     0.01     0.00    18.04R    3.53  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.42     6.11   -15.35     0.00     0.03     0.00    16.20R    3.16  
AFC_Telford        30   29   -7      47.14     5.39   -12.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.57R   15.90  
Nuneaton           28   28  -15      47.58     6.06   -23.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.95R   18.66  
Barrow             26   26  -20      47.15     6.17   -30.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.18R   22.11  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.61     6.22   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.12R   30.19