Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 27 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 January 2013, Arsenal vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       23   56  +27      88.56     4.80    48.25    79.80    98.23    99.89    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      23   51  +26      82.18     4.88    43.57    19.14    86.14    98.37    99.75    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       23   45  +25      73.65     5.07    37.79     1.04    14.04    74.85    92.03    99.51     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     23   41  +12      65.84     5.38    18.54     0.00     0.83    11.53    41.73    87.97     0.00     0.00  
Everton       23   38   +9      60.66     5.13    11.82     0.00     0.05     1.83    10.88    58.44     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       23   37  +19      65.92     5.17    32.82     0.01     0.68    12.40    47.33    90.48     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     23   34  +12      58.92     5.31    18.37     0.00     0.04     1.08     7.49    47.25     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     23   34   +1      51.61     5.18    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.34     6.16     0.03R    0.00  
Swansea       23   33   +7      51.74     5.20     3.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37     6.55     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke         23   29   -5      48.28     5.18    -6.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.62     0.46R    0.02  
Sunderland    23   28   -4      47.48     5.26    -5.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.31     0.72R    0.02  
West_Ham      23   27   -7      43.44     5.11   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     4.61R    0.27  
Norwich       23   26  -15      42.56     5.06   -23.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     6.95R    0.53  
Fulham        23   25   -7      44.10     5.27    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37     3.48R    0.24  
Southampton   23   23  -10      39.18     5.18   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    18.82R    2.61  
Newcastle     23   21  -13      39.61     5.31   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    17.00R    2.30  
Aston_Villa   23   20  -25      34.85     4.93   -34.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.99R   13.90  
Reading       23   19  -15      34.42     5.01   -24.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.26R   14.10  
Wigan         23   19  -18      34.11     4.96   -27.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.96R   16.57  
QPR           23   15  -19      29.69     4.94   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.72R   49.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2013, Bristol_City vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      91.08     6.03    29.68    78.14    92.47    99.86    94.56P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26      81.18     6.01    35.70    11.53    47.01    94.16    62.99P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.66     6.01    11.03     2.69    15.46    76.28    29.62P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   49  +19      77.22     6.20    24.36     4.25    20.82    81.40    36.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      74.97     6.05    18.44     1.65    11.35    69.43    24.47P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.72     6.09    12.58     1.48     9.51    66.58    22.66P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         28   42  +10      68.07     6.01    12.08     0.12     1.21    26.15     7.21P    0.03R    0.00  
Burnley          29   42   +2      66.38     5.81     3.44     0.03     0.45    15.81     3.99P    0.08R    0.00  
Millwall         28   41   +2      66.56     6.01     3.31     0.06     0.68    17.26     4.47P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    29   41   -1      63.40     5.76    -2.29     0.00     0.12     6.54     1.35P    0.32R    0.00  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.23     6.03    -7.70     0.01     0.23     9.06     1.91P    0.33R    0.00  
Charlton         29   39   -1      61.32     5.80    -2.48     0.00     0.05     3.64     0.77P    0.79R    0.03  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.83     5.99    -0.50     0.00     0.08     4.77     1.03P    0.84R    0.04  
Blackpool        29   37   +4      64.22     5.84    10.05     0.01     0.20    10.25     3.13P    0.24R    0.00  
Blackburn        28   37   +1      64.54     6.12     5.38     0.02     0.30    11.58     3.47P    0.23R    0.01  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.40     6.18     3.07     0.00     0.04     4.82     1.46P    1.21R    0.06  
Birmingham       29   34   -8      59.35     5.90    -4.96     0.00     0.01     1.81     0.56P    2.13R    0.14  
Wolverhampton    29   33   -7      55.47     5.84    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.11P    7.26R    0.76  
Huddersfield     28   33  -16      53.60     5.96   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   15.90R    2.28  
Sheff_Wed        29   32  -11      51.44     5.72   -17.26     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   23.87R    3.78  
Ipswich          29   32  -22      49.92     5.63   -30.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.25R    6.29  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.84     5.91   -21.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    60.66R   19.66  
Barnsley         28   25  -15      43.31     5.63   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.35R   35.78  
Bristol_City     28   25  -16      43.98     5.73   -25.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.46R   31.15  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2013, Bournemouth vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      81.97     5.77    23.97    16.61    35.62    88.29    46.44P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.47     6.10    25.13    36.82    58.71    94.89    67.38P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   50  +14      77.88     6.05    18.77     5.64    14.93    67.61    26.76P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         27   49  +30      82.74     6.15    41.30    24.03    45.13    90.45    59.76P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     29   49  +11      74.63     5.81    14.47     1.70     5.49    46.32    13.73P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   48  +13      79.70     5.95    23.43     9.19    23.16    78.70    40.58P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        30   44  +11      70.09     5.70    17.25     0.19     1.02    20.82     6.32P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.64     6.43    21.23     5.07    12.94    60.82    26.67P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.79     6.25     4.35     0.15     0.65    11.80     2.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.34     6.15    -8.85     0.02     0.09     3.03     0.45P    0.30R    0.00  
Walsall         30   41   -5      61.29     5.53    -7.53     0.00     0.01     0.81     0.12P    0.39R    0.00  
Notts_County    27   40  +10      69.47     6.22    15.12     0.32     1.29    19.30     5.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           28   40   -2      60.68     5.93    -8.29     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.15P    0.82R    0.01  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.56     6.42    -0.24     0.25     0.93    14.38     3.55P    0.05R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   28   39   -4      61.07     5.86    -7.83     0.00     0.01     1.06     0.14P    0.77R    0.00  
Preston         28   35   +1      59.20     5.98     0.20     0.00     0.01     0.60     0.14P    1.53R    0.01  
Carlisle        28   33  -15      54.26     5.93   -20.60     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   10.30R    0.14  
Shrewsbury      30   31   -6      50.24     5.50    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.01R    0.40  
Oldham          29   27  -13      46.85     5.59   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.18R    2.99  
Colchester      28   26  -17      46.92     5.85   -22.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.17R    3.44  
Scunthorpe      28   26  -19      46.82     5.86   -24.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.17R    3.75  
Bury            28   23  -15      42.79     5.77   -22.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.13R   11.12  
Portsmouth      27   21  -17      46.34     6.29   -18.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.55R    4.96  
Hartlepool      28   16  -27      34.51     5.61   -36.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.59R   73.19  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2013, Burton_Albion vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            28   53  +26      84.99     5.99    37.23    46.66    91.90    99.47    94.28P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           27   52  +22      85.15     6.20    32.80    45.36    91.37    99.28    93.69P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          28   45   +9      69.44     6.00     8.22     0.59    10.12    50.42    18.14P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.66     6.19     8.37     1.76    22.18    69.36    34.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           28   45   +3      70.80     5.97     4.67     0.88    13.75    57.89    23.89P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        29   45   +1      65.97     5.78    -2.74     0.11     2.95    26.13     6.63P    0.03R    0.01  
Southend             28   43  +13      74.61     5.94    23.25     3.28    36.76    82.92    53.12P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       28   43   +9      67.98     6.10     9.56     0.29     7.26    41.94    15.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            27   43   +3      69.96     6.27     4.18     0.70    12.15    52.26    21.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.13     6.15     3.69     0.13     3.08    25.01     7.71P    0.07R    0.01  
Chesterfield         29   39   +5      65.04     5.90     9.08     0.06     2.54    25.24     9.43P    0.07R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           27   38   -2      64.70     6.25    -1.09     0.08     2.45    22.41     6.97P    0.14R    0.03  
Rochdale             29   37   -1      61.79     5.97     1.01     0.01     0.74    11.19     3.54P    0.46R    0.10  
Dag_&_Red            30   37   -1      58.49     5.56    -1.81     0.00     0.11     3.39     0.78P    1.32R    0.37  
York                 29   37   -2      57.57     5.76    -6.02     0.00     0.08     2.53     0.52P    2.28R    0.61  
Morecambe            29   36   -2      59.13     5.81    -2.29     0.00     0.20     4.68     1.23P    1.32R    0.29  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      61.04     6.15    -6.63     0.01     0.62     8.90     2.72P    0.86R    0.21  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.82     6.42     3.01     0.06     1.76    16.51     5.78P    0.43R    0.10  
Accrington_Stanley   29   31  -15      50.72     5.60   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   21.74R    9.13  
Barnet               29   29  -13      47.49     5.56   -20.19     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   41.30R   21.82  
Aldershot            28   29  -14      49.78     5.73   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   26.57R   11.96  
Plymouth             29   28  -10      48.69     5.60   -13.79     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    30.86R   14.87  
Bristol_Rovers       27   28  -16      50.89     6.15   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   23.11R   10.58  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   27  -18      46.79     5.88   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   49.43R   29.89  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2013, Cambridge_Utd vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            28   52  +26      84.50     5.87    38.02    27.01    92.76    46.37P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.09     5.99    42.35    48.30    96.40    65.87P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.93     6.36    18.30     4.93    61.60    13.70P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       28   48  +17      77.63     6.04    24.54     4.48    62.15    16.71P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   44  +15      74.16     5.91    23.46     1.27    39.48    10.43P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.55     6.60    23.72    11.57    75.74    30.40P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.87     6.22     3.39     0.03     4.08     0.61P    0.28R    0.01  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.89     6.69    11.23     1.98    35.96     8.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   39   +6      65.40     6.00     8.65     0.03     4.68     1.09P    0.14R    0.01  
Macclesfield       27   39   -1      68.45     6.38     4.07     0.12    11.01     2.32P    0.06R    0.00  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.89     6.78     6.80     0.27    13.94     3.26P    0.12R    0.01  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.72     6.49   -20.38     0.00     0.26     0.03P    8.39R    1.24  
Braintree_Town     27   35  -10      57.95     6.17   -15.73     0.00     0.33     0.04P    4.95R    0.62  
Southport          27   34   -7      57.36     6.19   -12.10     0.00     0.25     0.03P    5.66R    0.82  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.19     6.11   -17.92     0.00     0.10     0.01P    8.82R    1.33  
Hyde_United        27   32   +0      56.48     6.43    -2.78     0.00     0.24     0.03P    7.57R    1.30  
Lincoln_City       28   32   -7      55.75     6.04    -8.87     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.43R    1.24  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.36     6.66    -2.64     0.00     0.91     0.15P    3.53R    0.53  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.99     6.05   -14.34     0.00     0.03     0.00P   18.20R    3.56  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.44     6.13   -15.34     0.00     0.04     0.00P   16.54R    3.19  
AFC_Telford        29   29   -6      47.81     5.55   -13.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.61R   13.98  
Nuneaton           28   28  -15      47.52     5.98   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.50R   18.96  
Barrow             26   26  -20      47.05     6.14   -31.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.15R   22.84  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.67     6.22   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.06R   30.35