Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 26 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 January 2013, Arsenal vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       23   56  +27      88.60     4.81    48.33    79.59    98.19    99.92    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      23   51  +26      82.22     4.92    43.62    19.23    86.11    98.39    99.76   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       23   45  +25      73.63     5.11    37.80     1.14    14.11    74.96    92.11    99.46     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     23   41  +12      65.70     5.39    18.32     0.01     0.79    11.13    40.56    87.17     0.00     0.00  
Everton       23   38   +9      60.67     5.12    11.86     0.00     0.06     1.82    10.66    58.44     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       23   37  +19      65.95     5.20    32.88     0.02     0.71    12.58    48.32    90.45     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     23   34  +12      59.04     5.28    18.57     0.00     0.02     1.13     7.77    47.89     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     23   34   +1      51.62     5.16    -4.37     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.39     6.22     0.02R    0.00  
Swansea       23   33   +7      51.72     5.16     3.75     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.35     6.65     0.01R    0.00  
Stoke         23   29   -5      48.25     5.18    -6.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.65     0.48R    0.01  
Sunderland    23   28   -4      47.54     5.25    -5.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.34     0.65R    0.01  
West_Ham      23   27   -7      43.52     5.12   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     4.36R    0.25  
Norwich       23   26  -15      42.56     5.06   -23.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     6.97R    0.55  
Fulham        23   25   -7      44.08     5.29    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     3.36R    0.21  
Southampton   23   23  -10      39.16     5.16   -18.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    19.01R    2.56  
Newcastle     23   21  -13      39.55     5.29   -16.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    17.09R    2.50  
Aston_Villa   23   20  -25      34.71     4.89   -35.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.88R   14.60  
Reading       23   19  -15      34.38     5.02   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.37R   14.45  
Wigan         23   19  -18      34.20     4.96   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.28R   15.89  
QPR           23   15  -19      29.70     4.91   -28.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.51R   48.97  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2013, Bristol_City vs Ipswich; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      91.15     6.04    29.80    78.35    92.45    99.86    94.52P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26      81.24     6.00    35.83    11.81    47.62    94.36    63.44P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.68     5.94    11.06     2.53    15.21    76.41    29.42P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          28   49  +19      77.15     6.15    24.28     3.93    20.29    80.98    35.53P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      74.94     6.04    18.41     1.54    11.21    69.48    24.30P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.84     6.09    12.73     1.61     9.86    67.03    23.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         28   42  +10      67.91     5.98    11.86     0.09     1.11    25.19     6.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          29   42   +2      66.28     5.86     3.30     0.03     0.47    15.73     3.93P    0.07R    0.00  
Millwall         28   41   +2      66.55     6.02     3.25     0.04     0.63    17.27     4.29P    0.08R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    29   41   -1      63.42     5.70    -2.27     0.01     0.11     6.49     1.43P    0.28R    0.01  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.22     6.05    -7.70     0.02     0.28     9.24     1.93P    0.24R    0.01  
Charlton         29   39   -1      61.18     5.81    -2.71     0.01     0.07     3.46     0.81P    0.88R    0.02  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.69     5.99    -0.74     0.01     0.08     4.46     0.95P    0.83R    0.04  
Blackpool        29   37   +4      64.17     5.93     9.99     0.01     0.20    10.47     3.21P    0.28R    0.02  
Blackburn        28   37   +1      64.67     6.11     5.62     0.02     0.35    12.12     3.82P    0.25R    0.01  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.45     6.21     3.06     0.00     0.05     4.99     1.56P    1.16R    0.08  
Birmingham       29   34   -8      59.54     5.92    -4.70     0.00     0.01     1.84     0.54P    2.09R    0.14  
Wolverhampton    29   33   -7      55.49     5.87    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.10P    7.45R    0.79  
Huddersfield     28   33  -16      53.66     5.95   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   15.68R    2.14  
Sheff_Wed        29   32  -11      51.44     5.69   -17.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   23.52R    3.86  
Ipswich          29   32  -22      49.87     5.64   -30.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.75R    6.44  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.90     5.92   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.69R   19.30  
Barnsley         28   25  -15      43.32     5.65   -24.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.27R   35.55  
Bristol_City     28   25  -16      43.93     5.75   -25.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.46R   31.58  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2013, Bournemouth vs Crewe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      81.93     5.74    23.89    16.16    34.74    88.03    45.65P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.52     6.08    25.21    36.89    59.15    94.86    67.79P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   50  +14      77.86     6.02    18.73     5.44    14.42    67.29    26.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         27   49  +30      82.81     6.15    41.42    24.46    45.71    90.54    60.13P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     29   49  +11      74.63     5.90    14.44     1.72     5.69    46.12    13.84P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   48  +13      79.77     5.96    23.54     9.31    23.26    78.91    40.80P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        30   44  +11      70.15     5.67    17.25     0.20     0.94    20.87     6.35P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.68     6.42    21.25     5.09    13.14    61.26    27.02P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.78     6.28     4.39     0.14     0.66    11.82     2.32P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.31     6.19    -8.96     0.02     0.08     2.96     0.48P    0.27R    0.00  
Walsall         30   41   -5      61.33     5.52    -7.46     0.00     0.01     0.85     0.12P    0.39R    0.00  
Notts_County    27   40  +10      69.50     6.26    15.18     0.33     1.33    19.59     5.54P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           28   40   -2      60.75     5.93    -8.17     0.00     0.02     1.11     0.17P    0.85R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.49     6.44    -0.34     0.22     0.84    14.18     3.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   28   39   -4      61.01     5.86    -7.90     0.00     0.01     0.99     0.17P    0.78R    0.00  
Preston         28   35   +1      59.16     5.98     0.18     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.12P    1.53R    0.01  
Carlisle        28   33  -15      54.20     5.93   -20.72     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.02P   10.45R    0.16  
Shrewsbury      30   31   -6      50.24     5.50    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.10R    0.42  
Oldham          29   27  -13      46.85     5.59   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.16R    2.73  
Colchester      28   26  -17      46.85     5.80   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.35R    3.60  
Scunthorpe      28   26  -19      46.83     5.89   -24.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.37R    3.78  
Bury            28   23  -15      42.82     5.80   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.88R   11.12  
Portsmouth      27   21  -17      46.41     6.30   -17.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.15R    4.70  
Hartlepool      28   16  -27      34.45     5.60   -36.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    97.64R   73.49  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2013, Burton_Albion vs Barnet; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            28   53  +26      85.10     6.00    37.43    46.68    92.10    99.48    94.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           27   52  +22      85.25     6.23    32.94    45.49    91.58    99.30    94.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          28   45   +9      69.35     5.98     8.09     0.54    10.27    50.29    18.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.64     6.19     8.37     1.93    22.53    69.14    35.18P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           28   45   +3      70.83     5.97     4.68     0.80    13.79    58.03    23.83P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        29   45   +1      65.92     5.77    -2.79     0.11     2.92    25.64     6.52P    0.03R    0.00  
Southend             28   43  +13      74.58     5.92    23.23     3.14    36.39    82.98    52.86P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       28   43   +9      67.79     6.06     9.30     0.25     6.81    40.75    14.45P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham            27   43   +3      70.07     6.23     4.41     0.73    12.38    53.37    21.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.09     6.18     3.67     0.10     3.00    25.34     7.70P    0.06R    0.01  
Chesterfield         29   39   +5      65.10     5.89     9.17     0.06     2.56    25.65     9.53P    0.09R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           27   38   -2      64.70     6.22    -1.09     0.08     2.42    22.20     6.83P    0.16R    0.03  
Rochdale             29   37   -1      61.88     6.00     1.16     0.01     0.69    11.69     3.77P    0.47R    0.11  
Dag_&_Red            30   37   -1      58.46     5.58    -1.84     0.00     0.12     3.36     0.75P    1.41R    0.40  
York                 29   37   -2      57.78     5.79    -5.71     0.00     0.10     2.93     0.64P    2.11R    0.54  
Morecambe            29   36   -2      59.14     5.75    -2.30     0.01     0.19     4.47     1.18P    1.29R    0.34  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      60.97     6.13    -6.76     0.01     0.50     8.49     2.43P    0.90R    0.21  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.74     6.40     2.90     0.04     1.63    16.38     5.70P    0.42R    0.10  
Accrington_Stanley   29   31  -15      50.65     5.60   -20.85     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   21.94R    9.19  
Barnet               29   29  -13      47.59     5.58   -20.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    40.64R   21.24  
Aldershot            28   29  -14      49.68     5.70   -19.67     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   26.85R   12.23  
Plymouth             29   28  -10      48.69     5.62   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   30.95R   14.93  
Bristol_Rovers       27   28  -16      50.80     6.15   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P   23.46R   10.80  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   27  -18      46.79     5.88   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   49.20R   29.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 26 January 2013, Cambridge_Utd vs Grimsby; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            28   52  +26      84.58     5.89    38.16    27.46    92.93    46.61P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.07     5.95    42.36    47.74    96.53    65.81P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.96     6.35    18.30     4.97    61.46    13.69P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       28   48  +17      77.58     6.05    24.46     4.52    61.98    16.68P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   44  +15      74.13     5.87    23.43     1.28    38.95    10.17P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.62     6.56    23.85    11.72    76.27    30.90P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.88     6.18     3.38     0.02     4.03     0.60P    0.19R    0.01  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.90     6.65    11.29     1.84    35.92     8.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      28   39   +6      65.45     5.99     8.71     0.03     4.76     0.94P    0.12R    0.00  
Macclesfield       27   39   -1      68.45     6.41     4.08     0.14    10.91     2.30P    0.08R    0.00  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.90     6.82     6.82     0.27    14.21     3.32P    0.10R    0.01  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.68     6.53   -20.45     0.00     0.26     0.03P    8.61R    1.34  
Braintree_Town     27   35  -10      57.92     6.19   -15.78     0.00     0.28     0.03P    5.05R    0.69  
Southport          27   34   -7      57.34     6.21   -12.11     0.00     0.23     0.03P    5.84R    0.81  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.10     6.10   -18.05     0.00     0.09     0.01P    8.83R    1.26  
Hyde_United        27   32   +0      56.50     6.43    -2.72     0.00     0.23     0.03P    7.65R    1.12  
Lincoln_City       28   32   -7      55.57     6.03    -9.17     0.00     0.07     0.01P    8.79R    1.22  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.36     6.61    -2.71     0.00     0.82     0.13P    3.40R    0.48  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.95     6.07   -14.46     0.00     0.02     0.00P   18.62R    3.76  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.45     6.11   -15.39     0.00     0.04     0.00P   16.57R    3.24  
AFC_Telford        29   29   -6      47.86     5.58   -12.94     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.28R   14.02  
Nuneaton           28   28  -15      47.57     5.99   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00P   51.29R   18.93  
Barrow             26   26  -20      47.21     6.16   -30.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.40R   22.62  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.67     6.22   -26.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.16R   30.49