Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 25 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 January 2013, Arsenal vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       23   56  +27      88.49     4.80    48.16    79.84    98.15    99.91    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      23   51  +26      82.16     4.86    43.51    18.95    86.20    98.36    99.76   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       23   45  +25      73.66     5.09    37.87     1.19    14.02    74.88    92.24    99.55     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     23   41  +12      65.77     5.36    18.41     0.01     0.84    11.47    41.52    87.73     0.00     0.00  
Everton       23   38   +9      60.72     5.10    11.96     0.00     0.05     1.83    11.19    59.23     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       23   37  +19      65.86     5.21    32.76     0.01     0.71    12.30    46.96    90.24     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     23   34  +12      58.87     5.32    18.32     0.00     0.03     1.19     7.47    46.64     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     23   34   +1      51.68     5.18    -4.30     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.39     6.18     0.01R    0.00  
Swansea       23   33   +7      51.72     5.17     3.72     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.39     6.73     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke         23   29   -5      48.37     5.18    -6.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.69     0.46R    0.01  
Sunderland    23   28   -4      47.49     5.32    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.31     0.69R    0.03  
West_Ham      23   27   -7      43.45     5.16   -14.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21     4.54R    0.30  
Norwich       23   26  -15      42.56     5.07   -23.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     7.28R    0.64  
Fulham        23   25   -7      44.18     5.29    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     3.18R    0.19  
Southampton   23   23  -10      39.15     5.17   -18.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    19.12R    2.60  
Newcastle     23   21  -13      39.58     5.28   -16.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    16.94R    2.49  
Aston_Villa   23   20  -25      34.79     4.89   -35.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.34R   14.34  
Reading       23   19  -15      34.33     4.99   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.05R   14.94  
Wigan         23   19  -18      34.22     4.95   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.86R   15.91  
QPR           23   15  -19      29.79     4.93   -28.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.49R   48.54  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Blackburn vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      91.08     6.05    29.74    79.30    93.19    99.85    95.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26      81.20     6.01    35.80    12.11    49.74    93.96    64.49P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.56     5.96    10.92     2.64    15.78    75.45    30.17P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      74.94     6.03    18.39     1.71    12.28    69.34    25.26P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.70     6.07    12.55     1.57    10.32    66.08    23.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          27   46  +16      74.98     6.40    20.40     2.31    13.79    69.03    27.63P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         28   42  +10      67.94     6.04    11.90     0.13     1.38    25.35     7.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Burnley          28   42   +3      68.01     6.07     4.87     0.09     1.24    24.40     6.67P    0.04R    0.00  
Millwall         28   41   +2      66.34     6.03     2.92     0.05     0.72    16.62     4.22P    0.07R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   41   +2      65.38     5.95     1.60     0.03     0.41    12.79     3.07P    0.10R    0.00  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.28     6.04    -7.63     0.01     0.28     9.39     2.02P    0.26R    0.00  
Charlton         28   39   +0      63.43     6.04    -0.39     0.01     0.19     7.78     1.87P    0.37R    0.01  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.73     6.02    -0.64     0.00     0.09     4.58     0.98P    0.74R    0.03  
Blackburn        28   37   +1      64.71     6.07     5.70     0.03     0.37    11.85     3.78P    0.22R    0.00  
Blackpool        28   34   +3      62.38     6.12     8.74     0.00     0.12     6.56     2.00P    0.63R    0.04  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.43     6.18     3.09     0.00     0.06     4.70     1.41P    0.98R    0.06  
Wolverhampton    28   33   -6      57.15     6.10    -6.79     0.00     0.01     1.01     0.22P    4.15R    0.28  
Huddersfield     28   33  -16      53.58     5.93   -22.53     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.03P   14.40R    1.72  
Ipswich          28   32  -21      51.37     5.86   -29.72     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   25.16R    3.63  
Birmingham       28   31   -9      57.55     6.09    -6.26     0.00     0.02     1.05     0.32P    4.13R    0.32  
Sheff_Wed        28   29  -12      49.15     5.88   -19.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.21R    7.32  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.89     5.92   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.51R   16.49  
Barnsley         28   25  -15      43.32     5.64   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   75.47R   30.98  
Bristol_City     27   22  -17      42.38     5.96   -26.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.53R   39.13  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      82.05     5.73    24.07    16.60    35.63    88.10    46.81P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.42     6.08    25.06    36.61    58.81    94.45    67.23P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   50  +14      77.81     6.01    18.66     5.36    14.32    66.52    25.86P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         27   49  +30      82.80     6.16    41.42    24.52    45.56    90.22    59.76P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   48  +13      79.59     5.93    23.32     8.98    22.68    77.68    39.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     28   46   +9      73.12     6.08    12.65     1.13     3.75    35.75    10.30P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.71     6.40    21.32     5.18    13.18    60.81    26.73P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        29   43  +11      70.69     5.92    17.55     0.35     1.51    23.86     7.59P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.72     6.25     4.29     0.17     0.63    11.49     2.31P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall         29   41   -3      63.17     5.72    -4.79     0.01     0.03     1.94     0.35P    0.19R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.32     6.18    -8.89     0.01     0.07     3.03     0.47P    0.29R    0.00  
Notts_County    26   40  +11      71.41     6.45    16.98     0.90     2.95    28.60     8.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      62.08     6.17    -6.22     0.01     0.06     2.27     0.39P    0.54R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.51     6.37    -0.30     0.18     0.81    13.82     3.43P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   27   36   -5      58.87     6.05    -9.66     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.09P    2.26R    0.00  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.31     6.16    -0.15     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.17P    1.84R    0.00  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.77     6.18   -20.41     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P   10.24R    0.10  
Shrewsbury      29   30   -6      50.66     5.71    -9.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.44R    0.26  
Oldham          29   27  -13      46.96     5.59   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.46R    1.46  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      46.93     6.07   -25.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.23R    2.40  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.74     5.98   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.06R    4.43  
Bury            27   22  -15      43.09     5.98   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.51R    6.84  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.96     6.54   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.86R    1.68  
Hartlepool      27   13  -29      31.84     5.75   -39.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.99R   82.84  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 25 January 2013, Cheltenham vs Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            28   53  +26      85.14     5.98    37.54    42.42    91.90    99.46    94.18P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.36     6.32    34.06    50.83    93.42    99.54    95.30P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          28   45   +9      69.28     5.98     7.95     0.45     9.57    48.61    17.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.71     6.16     8.42     1.58    22.12    68.98    34.53P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           28   45   +3      70.80     5.98     4.66     0.73    13.23    56.75    23.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.65     6.47     8.27     1.70    23.08    67.45    33.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   +0      64.61     6.00    -3.39     0.07     2.07    19.67     5.02P    0.10R    0.02  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.59     6.16    21.73     1.56    23.97    71.86    40.60P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.50     6.28     5.35     0.09     3.70    26.90     8.67P    0.07R    0.01  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.24     6.16     3.83     0.10     3.18    24.96     7.83P    0.04R    0.01  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.81     6.13    10.69     0.16     5.28    35.23    14.29P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.69     6.41     2.84     0.24     5.12    32.80    11.42P    0.06R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            29   37   +0      60.11     5.76    -0.42     0.00     0.30     6.10     1.46P    0.80R    0.20  
Rochdale             29   37   -1      61.97     6.03     1.29     0.02     0.76    11.73     3.72P    0.44R    0.11  
York                 28   36   -2      57.21     5.91    -7.19     0.00     0.09     2.42     0.53P    2.73R    0.78  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      61.03     6.16    -6.68     0.01     0.56     8.70     2.46P    0.79R    0.18  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.76     6.40     2.98     0.04     1.56    15.95     5.33P    0.36R    0.05  
Morecambe            28   33   -3      57.12     6.01    -3.90     0.00     0.09     2.47     0.66P    3.08R    0.91  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.93     5.79   -21.04     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   20.53R    8.92  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.66     5.76   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   32.31R   15.69  
Aldershot            28   29  -14      49.73     5.77   -19.63     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   25.66R   11.28  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.30     5.84   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   27.02R   12.40  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   27  -18      46.81     5.90   -28.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   47.40R   28.49  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.07     6.27   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   38.58R   20.94  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Grimsby vs Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            27   51  +26      85.08     6.16    38.41    30.55    93.45    48.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.10     5.98    42.38    46.66    96.72    65.27P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.78     6.35    18.03     4.66    61.70    13.14P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       27   45  +16      76.20     6.22    23.77     3.10    54.53    14.26P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   44  +15      74.13     5.90    23.42     1.33    40.38    10.55P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.61     6.60    23.87    11.35    76.94    30.71P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.83     6.19     3.34     0.02     4.39     0.66P    0.27R    0.01  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.89     6.70    11.24     1.83    37.33     8.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield       27   39   -1      68.39     6.39     3.96     0.17    11.43     2.51P    0.08R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      27   38   +6      65.68     6.22     8.50     0.06     6.13     1.27P    0.17R    0.01  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.75     6.83     6.56     0.27    14.52     3.48P    0.11R    0.00  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.63     6.53   -20.50     0.00     0.32     0.03P    9.31R    1.48  
Southport          27   34   -7      57.38     6.21   -12.08     0.00     0.25     0.03P    6.07R    0.89  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.21     6.09   -17.93     0.00     0.12     0.01P    9.09R    1.31  
Hyde_United        27   32   +0      56.53     6.44    -2.66     0.00     0.27     0.03P    7.87R    1.27  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      57.02     6.28    -8.06     0.00     0.23     0.05P    6.87R    0.92  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      55.94     6.38   -18.39     0.00     0.16     0.03P   10.73R    1.87  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.55     6.62    -2.39     0.00     1.05     0.18P    3.47R    0.47  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.98     6.06   -14.45     0.00     0.02     0.00P   19.00R    3.95  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.37     6.12   -15.49     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.69R    3.54  
AFC_Telford        29   29   -6      47.92     5.59   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.09R   14.27  
Nuneaton           27   28  -13      49.53     6.27   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.46R   12.71  
Barrow             26   26  -20      47.05     6.18   -31.05     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.05R   24.25  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.47     6.18   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.65R   33.05