Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 24 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 January 2013, Arsenal vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       23   56  +27      88.55     4.85    48.23    79.70    98.11    99.88    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      23   51  +26      82.16     4.89    43.52    19.04    85.96    98.31    99.76   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       23   45  +25      73.63     5.11    37.78     1.21    14.21    74.65    92.16    99.52     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     23   41  +12      65.83     5.39    18.51     0.02     0.89    11.60    41.39    87.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton       23   38   +9      60.77     5.15    12.02     0.00     0.04     1.91    11.13    59.12     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       23   37  +19      65.93     5.18    32.86     0.02     0.76    12.47    47.29    90.45     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     23   34  +12      58.89     5.35    18.30     0.00     0.03     1.12     7.45    46.61     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     23   34   +1      51.70     5.20    -4.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.35     6.31     0.04R    0.00  
Swansea       23   33   +7      51.72     5.20     3.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.38     6.66     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke         23   29   -5      48.25     5.17    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.63     0.47R    0.01  
Sunderland    23   28   -4      47.49     5.27    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.26     0.71R    0.02  
West_Ham      23   27   -7      43.44     5.10   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     4.51R    0.26  
Norwich       23   26  -15      42.54     5.06   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09     7.21R    0.60  
Fulham        23   25   -7      44.05     5.27    -9.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29     3.54R    0.22  
Southampton   23   23  -10      39.16     5.20   -18.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    19.23R    2.60  
Newcastle     23   21  -13      39.55     5.29   -16.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    17.18R    2.56  
Aston_Villa   23   20  -25      34.83     4.87   -35.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.08R   14.10  
Reading       23   19  -15      34.41     5.00   -24.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.82R   14.73  
Wigan         23   19  -18      34.15     4.96   -27.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.66R   16.24  
QPR           23   15  -19      29.77     4.92   -28.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.52R   48.65  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Blackburn vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      91.13     5.97    29.78    79.40    93.23    99.87    95.13P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26      81.14     6.01    35.70    12.06    49.37    93.99    64.53P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.63     5.96    11.02     2.63    16.16    75.63    30.10P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      75.02     6.00    18.49     1.57    12.20    69.67    25.20P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.75     6.08    12.61     1.60    10.53    66.26    23.86P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   46  +16      74.95     6.41    20.34     2.35    13.77    68.81    27.29P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         28   42  +10      68.00     5.99    11.98     0.13     1.41    25.44     7.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          28   42   +3      68.11     6.04     4.99     0.12     1.19    24.48     6.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         28   41   +2      66.49     6.02     3.16     0.04     0.71    17.13     4.60P    0.09R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   41   +2      65.38     5.94     1.58     0.03     0.37    12.68     2.99P    0.10R    0.00  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.20     6.04    -7.69     0.02     0.26     8.84     1.94P    0.26R    0.00  
Charlton         28   39   +0      63.28     6.01    -0.62     0.01     0.17     7.16     1.79P    0.34R    0.01  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.79     6.01    -0.57     0.01     0.09     4.53     0.95P    0.77R    0.03  
Blackburn        28   37   +1      64.70     6.12     5.69     0.01     0.36    11.88     3.79P    0.26R    0.01  
Blackpool        28   34   +3      62.56     6.08     9.01     0.00     0.10     6.87     2.09P    0.60R    0.03  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.39     6.17     3.05     0.00     0.08     4.66     1.44P    1.04R    0.05  
Wolverhampton    28   33   -6      57.11     6.04    -6.86     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.20P    4.23R    0.33  
Huddersfield     28   33  -16      53.42     5.88   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   14.70R    1.71  
Ipswich          28   32  -21      51.30     5.88   -29.79     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   25.23R    3.56  
Birmingham       28   31   -9      57.52     6.06    -6.32     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.30P    4.01R    0.28  
Sheff_Wed        28   29  -12      49.19     5.88   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   35.48R    7.04  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.92     5.94   -21.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.13R   16.04  
Barnsley         28   25  -15      43.19     5.67   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.97R   31.63  
Bristol_City     27   22  -17      42.33     5.98   -26.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.75R   39.27  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      82.05     5.75    24.08    16.88    35.66    88.13    46.52P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.45     6.09    25.11    36.75    58.56    94.61    66.99P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   50  +14      77.76     6.01    18.59     5.22    14.28    66.17    25.68P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         27   49  +30      82.78     6.15    41.39    24.00    45.28    90.10    59.72P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   48  +13      79.73     5.95    23.47     9.36    23.38    78.32    40.63P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     28   46   +9      73.08     6.06    12.58     1.08     3.73    35.42    10.05P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.77     6.39    21.38     5.21    13.14    61.31    27.00P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        29   43  +11      70.64     5.90    17.47     0.34     1.50    23.54     7.34P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.78     6.28     4.39     0.15     0.64    11.42     2.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Walsall         29   41   -3      63.13     5.76    -4.79     0.00     0.03     2.05     0.35P    0.25R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.30     6.19    -8.92     0.01     0.09     2.93     0.48P    0.35R    0.00  
Notts_County    26   40  +11      71.30     6.45    16.83     0.77     2.76    28.31     8.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      62.02     6.20    -6.29     0.02     0.07     2.20     0.38P    0.58R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.58     6.42    -0.19     0.22     0.87    14.02     3.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   27   36   -5      59.01     6.07    -9.41     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.09P    2.14R    0.00  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.21     6.20    -0.32     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.17P    1.85R    0.01  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.75     6.14   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.22R    0.08  
Shrewsbury      29   30   -6      50.85     5.74    -9.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.63R    0.22  
Oldham          29   27  -13      46.98     5.56   -17.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.92R    1.52  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      47.07     6.10   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.36R    2.28  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.63     6.03   -25.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.04R    4.84  
Bury            27   22  -15      42.99     5.96   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.66R    6.95  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.78     6.54   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   35.00R    1.80  
Hartlepool      27   13  -29      31.94     5.74   -39.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.94R   82.30  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 24 January 2013, AFC_Wimbledon vs Port_Vale; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            28   53  +26      85.12     6.00    37.51    41.16    91.56    99.44    94.00P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.56     6.33    34.35    51.81    93.36    99.50    95.27P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          28   45   +9      69.31     5.99     7.99     0.44     9.48    48.81    17.32P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.65     6.18     8.34     1.55    21.25    68.24    33.74P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           27   44   +3      71.38     6.22     4.93     1.07    16.00    59.72    25.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.68     6.46     8.35     1.71    22.85    67.53    33.33P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   +0      64.52     5.98    -3.55     0.04     1.89    18.91     4.69P    0.13R    0.02  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.72     6.15    21.92     1.62    24.14    72.36    41.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.50     6.27     5.37     0.10     3.44    26.75     8.50P    0.06R    0.01  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.16     6.13     3.74     0.09     2.93    24.21     7.32P    0.06R    0.01  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.74     6.08    10.56     0.16     4.85    34.42    13.56P    0.04R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.73     6.40     2.90     0.19     4.88    32.53    11.25P    0.08R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            29   37   +0      60.09     5.79    -0.42     0.00     0.26     6.20     1.47P    0.69R    0.15  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      62.08     6.21     0.88     0.02     0.94    12.53     4.08P    0.52R    0.10  
York                 28   36   -2      57.14     5.92    -7.32     0.00     0.08     2.30     0.51P    2.88R    0.83  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      61.00     6.10    -6.77     0.01     0.52     8.07     2.33P    0.77R    0.19  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.81     6.39     3.00     0.03     1.52    15.62     5.39P    0.33R    0.07  
Morecambe            28   33   -3      57.15     5.96    -3.83     0.00     0.05     2.44     0.58P    2.92R    0.97  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.87     5.80   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   21.20R    9.05  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.76     5.79   -19.45     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   31.82R   15.60  
Aldershot            28   29  -14      49.74     5.71   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.21R   11.01  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.31     5.84   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   26.86R   12.48  
AFC_Wimbledon        27   27  -18      46.87     5.88   -28.76     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   47.62R   28.34  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.06     6.30   -25.44     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   38.79R   21.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Grimsby vs Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            27   51  +26      85.13     6.20    38.50    30.16    93.51    49.02P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.18     6.01    42.53    46.87    96.70    65.18P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.85     6.37    18.11     4.57    62.36    13.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       27   45  +16      76.07     6.23    23.57     2.88    53.69    13.83P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   44  +15      74.12     5.90    23.37     1.19    40.49    10.37P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.79     6.58    24.08    11.91    77.71    31.49P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.82     6.19     3.29     0.05     4.29     0.66P    0.26R    0.01  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.84     6.68    11.15     1.90    36.82     8.87P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield       27   39   -1      68.35     6.39     3.90     0.15    11.34     2.48P    0.08R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      27   38   +6      65.56     6.21     8.36     0.04     5.92     1.27P    0.17R    0.01  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.87     6.81     6.78     0.28    14.81     3.53P    0.10R    0.01  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.74     6.50   -20.32     0.00     0.31     0.03P    8.86R    1.41  
Southport          27   34   -7      57.38     6.18   -12.05     0.00     0.31     0.02P    6.08R    0.83  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.21     6.06   -17.91     0.00     0.12     0.01P    8.96R    1.36  
Hyde_United        27   32   +0      56.62     6.48    -2.58     0.00     0.30     0.03P    7.86R    1.37  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.96     6.23    -8.11     0.00     0.22     0.03P    6.57R    1.00  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      55.82     6.37   -18.56     0.00     0.15     0.01P   11.01R    2.00  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.36     6.63    -2.69     0.01     0.89     0.16P    3.57R    0.56  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.96     6.04   -14.46     0.00     0.04     0.01P   19.08R    3.92  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.29     6.11   -15.66     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.02R    3.79  
AFC_Telford        29   29   -6      47.87     5.55   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.54R   14.64  
Nuneaton           27   28  -13      49.47     6.29   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00P   40.20R   12.98  
Barrow             26   26  -20      47.10     6.13   -30.98     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.16R   23.83  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.62     6.21   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.46R   32.27