Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 23 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 23 January 2013, Arsenal vs West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       23   56  +27      88.52     4.81    48.18    79.75    98.15    99.92    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      23   51  +26      82.16     4.90    43.50    19.08    86.22    98.27    99.74   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       23   45  +25      73.62     5.11    37.79     1.13    13.91    74.75    92.05    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     23   41  +12      65.84     5.36    18.51     0.02     0.91    11.75    41.78    88.05     0.00     0.00  
Everton       23   38   +9      60.73     5.16    11.90     0.00     0.08     1.98    11.10    58.98     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       23   37  +19      65.86     5.19    32.77     0.02     0.70    12.18    47.16    90.29     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     23   34  +12      58.85     5.32    18.27     0.00     0.03     1.08     7.25    46.51     0.00R    0.00  
West_Brom     23   34   +1      51.71     5.17    -4.27     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.42     6.45     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea       23   33   +7      51.69     5.18     3.69     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.38     6.68     0.03R    0.00  
Stoke         23   29   -5      48.26     5.18    -6.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.56     0.52R    0.02  
Sunderland    23   28   -4      47.49     5.26    -5.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.32     0.62R    0.02  
West_Ham      23   27   -7      43.45     5.15   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     4.56R    0.27  
Norwich       23   26  -15      42.55     5.04   -23.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     7.04R    0.56  
Fulham        23   25   -7      44.17     5.29    -9.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.34     3.23R    0.24  
Southampton   23   23  -10      39.15     5.17   -18.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    19.07R    2.67  
Newcastle     23   21  -13      39.54     5.29   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    17.24R    2.57  
Aston_Villa   23   20  -25      34.81     4.92   -34.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.18R   14.30  
Reading       23   19  -15      34.39     5.03   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.54R   14.74  
Wigan         23   19  -18      34.21     4.96   -27.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.44R   15.94  
QPR           23   15  -19      29.78     4.92   -28.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.47R   48.67  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Blackburn vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      91.02     6.03    29.62    79.07    93.10    99.85    94.99P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26      81.13     6.01    35.63    12.11    49.39    93.89    64.14P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.55     5.95    10.92     2.61    15.83    75.36    29.90P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      75.04     6.05    18.55     1.76    12.54    69.45    25.70P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.83     6.03    12.75     1.65    10.58    66.97    24.25P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   46  +16      75.00     6.39    20.42     2.43    13.75    68.91    27.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Brighton         28   42  +10      67.96     5.98    11.95     0.13     1.41    25.27     7.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          28   42   +3      67.98     6.03     4.78     0.09     1.15    23.97     6.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         28   41   +2      66.42     5.97     3.08     0.04     0.65    16.42     4.17P    0.07R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   41   +2      65.46     5.97     1.73     0.04     0.42    13.06     3.15P    0.08R    0.00  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.18     6.01    -7.76     0.02     0.28     8.91     1.95P    0.26R    0.00  
Charlton         28   39   +0      63.33     6.02    -0.52     0.02     0.19     7.47     1.78P    0.36R    0.01  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.73     5.99    -0.64     0.00     0.09     4.46     0.96P    0.78R    0.04  
Blackburn        28   37   +1      64.86     6.11     5.92     0.02     0.40    12.34     4.03P    0.23R    0.01  
Blackpool        28   34   +3      62.54     6.12     8.98     0.00     0.14     6.89     2.18P    0.66R    0.04  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.36     6.18     2.98     0.00     0.06     4.63     1.35P    1.04R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    28   33   -6      57.15     6.05    -6.81     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.22P    4.07R    0.30  
Huddersfield     28   33  -16      53.60     5.96   -22.48     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   14.39R    1.72  
Ipswich          28   32  -21      51.36     5.85   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   24.48R    3.57  
Birmingham       28   31   -9      57.59     6.13    -6.22     0.00     0.02     1.05     0.34P    3.94R    0.31  
Sheff_Wed        28   29  -12      49.11     5.90   -19.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.92R    7.20  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.77     5.91   -22.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.94R   16.67  
Barnsley         28   25  -15      43.28     5.64   -24.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.47R   30.68  
Bristol_City     27   22  -17      42.25     5.94   -26.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.25R   39.40  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      82.01     5.77    23.97    16.46    35.41    87.82    46.37P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.50     6.11    25.19    37.22    58.98    94.51    67.51P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   50  +14      77.75     6.00    18.58     5.35    14.11    66.23    25.80P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         27   49  +30      82.90     6.15    41.53    24.35    45.91    90.55    60.57P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   48  +13      79.67     5.94    23.40     8.82    22.67    78.23    40.06P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     28   46   +9      73.07     6.04    12.61     1.08     3.67    35.49    10.12P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.66     6.41    21.26     5.04    13.02    60.27    26.38P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        29   43  +11      70.61     5.91    17.43     0.39     1.53    23.58     7.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.82     6.27     4.44     0.16     0.66    11.97     2.39P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall         29   41   -3      63.24     5.80    -4.70     0.01     0.05     2.20     0.37P    0.25R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.26     6.17    -9.02     0.02     0.09     2.88     0.42P    0.27R    0.00  
Notts_County    26   40  +11      71.35     6.47    16.87     0.88     2.94    28.70     8.85P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      62.08     6.16    -6.20     0.00     0.05     2.11     0.29P    0.51R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.53     6.40    -0.26     0.22     0.88    14.06     3.38P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   27   36   -5      58.97     6.03    -9.48     0.00     0.01     0.49     0.09P    2.24R    0.01  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.27     6.18    -0.21     0.00     0.01     0.80     0.16P    1.85R    0.00  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.75     6.18   -20.46     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   10.25R    0.08  
Shrewsbury      29   30   -6      50.73     5.76    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.22R    0.22  
Oldham          29   27  -13      46.89     5.60   -17.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.75R    1.49  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      46.97     6.09   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.08R    2.30  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.73     6.02   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.07R    4.61  
Bury            27   22  -15      43.06     5.98   -22.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.38R    6.86  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.94     6.56   -14.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.08R    1.61  
Hartlepool      27   13  -29      31.82     5.72   -39.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.95R   82.82  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Aldershot vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            27   52  +26      86.19     6.18    38.57    47.20    93.17    99.56    95.08P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.47     6.39    34.20    46.88    92.95    99.47    94.92P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          28   45   +9      69.28     5.99     7.93     0.41     9.13    48.36    16.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.67     6.19     8.38     1.28    21.15    68.42    33.82P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           27   44   +3      71.31     6.23     4.85     0.92    15.51    59.20    25.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.64     6.54     8.25     1.45    22.33    67.17    33.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   +0      64.63     6.00    -3.36     0.05     2.02    19.50     4.96P    0.13R    0.02  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.73     6.17    21.98     1.30    24.17    72.51    41.10P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.59     6.29     5.49     0.09     3.66    27.24     8.94P    0.08R    0.02  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.17     6.15     3.79     0.08     2.94    24.45     7.53P    0.06R    0.01  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.62     6.11    10.39     0.11     4.75    33.45    13.23P    0.05R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.66     6.39     2.79     0.18     4.59    32.31    10.85P    0.06R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            29   37   +0      60.14     5.81    -0.36     0.01     0.30     6.19     1.53P    0.81R    0.19  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      62.19     6.24     1.06     0.02     1.07    12.92     4.24P    0.49R    0.11  
York                 28   36   -2      57.16     5.87    -7.29     0.00     0.09     2.17     0.47P    2.71R    0.78  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      60.98     6.10    -6.74     0.01     0.42     8.15     2.17P    0.76R    0.17  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.81     6.43     3.06     0.03     1.63    15.94     5.35P    0.38R    0.09  
Morecambe            28   33   -3      57.17     6.02    -3.84     0.00     0.11     2.51     0.67P    2.95R    0.87  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.84     5.80   -21.19     0.00     0.01     0.14     0.04P   20.97R    8.76  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.68     5.80   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   31.99R   15.59  
Aldershot            28   29  -14      49.63     5.72   -19.79     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   25.47R   11.11  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.45     5.87   -13.34     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   25.70R   11.74  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   26  -18      46.64     6.11   -29.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   48.61R   29.60  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.02     6.28   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   38.77R   20.91  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Grimsby vs Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            27   51  +26      85.11     6.13    38.49    30.38    93.57    48.79P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.14     5.97    42.47    46.89    96.75    65.40P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.79     6.35    17.99     4.55    62.03    13.20P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       27   45  +16      76.10     6.26    23.64     3.04    53.69    13.78P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   44  +15      74.18     5.90    23.44     1.26    41.08    10.79P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.62     6.60    23.85    11.54    76.92    30.71P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.77     6.18     3.22     0.04     4.10     0.58P    0.25R    0.01  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.75     6.71    11.03     1.80    36.38     8.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       27   39   -1      68.40     6.43     3.99     0.16    11.93     2.73P    0.06R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      27   38   +6      65.69     6.26     8.50     0.05     6.27     1.30P    0.18R    0.00  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.87     6.84     6.73     0.29    14.90     3.47P    0.12R    0.00  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.64     6.49   -20.48     0.00     0.31     0.04P    9.24R    1.37  
Southport          27   34   -7      57.38     6.22   -12.05     0.00     0.26     0.03P    6.13R    0.89  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.25     6.13   -17.85     0.00     0.12     0.02P    9.02R    1.51  
Hyde_United        27   32   +0      56.53     6.43    -2.65     0.00     0.29     0.06P    8.01R    1.36  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.81     6.29    -8.38     0.00     0.22     0.04P    7.27R    1.02  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      55.93     6.34   -18.36     0.00     0.19     0.03P   10.59R    1.75  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.34     6.61    -2.71     0.00     0.94     0.16P    3.70R    0.51  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      53.02     6.09   -14.33     0.00     0.03     0.01P   19.14R    3.94  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.34     6.11   -15.58     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.93R    3.72  
AFC_Telford        29   29   -6      47.88     5.59   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.65R   14.95  
Nuneaton           27   28  -13      49.69     6.30   -20.25     0.00     0.01     0.00P   38.83R   12.41  
Barrow             26   26  -20      47.14     6.19   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.13R   24.00  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.55     6.21   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.75R   32.54