Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 22 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2013, Southampton vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       23   56  +27      88.53     4.82    48.16    79.55    98.23    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      23   51  +26      82.21     4.90    43.51    19.17    86.47    98.49    99.81   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       23   45  +25      73.60     5.12    37.74     1.24    13.85    76.59    92.91    99.55     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     23   41  +12      65.79     5.40    18.44     0.02     0.86    12.23    45.09    88.04     0.00     0.00  
Everton       23   38   +9      60.73     5.17    11.95     0.00     0.07     2.11    12.59    60.14     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       22   34  +15      64.68     5.42    29.29     0.00     0.50     9.41    40.23    85.88     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     23   34  +12      58.89     5.29    18.34     0.00     0.02     1.18     8.36    48.40     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     23   34   +1      51.64     5.17    -4.31     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.44     6.67     0.03R    0.00  
Swansea       23   33   +7      51.71     5.17     3.76     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.43     7.16     0.04R    0.00  
Stoke         23   29   -5      48.26     5.15    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.75     0.50R    0.01  
Sunderland    23   28   -4      47.48     5.27    -5.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.40     0.72R    0.03  
West_Ham      22   27   -3      44.43     5.29   -10.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.51     3.15R    0.15  
Norwich       23   26  -15      42.69     5.06   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11     6.77R    0.54  
Fulham        23   25   -7      44.11     5.28    -9.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.35     3.47R    0.22  
Southampton   23   23  -10      39.10     5.19   -18.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    19.54R    2.65  
Newcastle     23   21  -13      39.61     5.30   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    17.04R    2.29  
Aston_Villa   23   20  -25      34.75     4.90   -35.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.76R   14.42  
Reading       23   19  -15      34.30     5.04   -24.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.15R   15.19  
Wigan         23   19  -18      34.13     4.96   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.69R   16.55  
QPR           23   15  -19      29.84     4.96   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.14R   47.93  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Blackburn vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      90.92     6.03    29.47    78.63    92.64    99.86    94.66P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26      81.22     6.00    35.81    12.40    49.73    94.08    65.17P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.50     5.96    10.88     2.66    15.76    75.06    29.80P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      75.00     6.02    18.42     1.71    12.34    69.25    25.21P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.83     6.10    12.76     1.75    10.93    66.51    24.45P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          27   46  +16      75.02     6.35    20.48     2.43    13.78    69.07    27.17P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton         28   42  +10      67.98     6.00    11.97     0.12     1.33    25.36     7.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Burnley          28   42   +3      68.11     6.07     4.95     0.14     1.20    24.46     6.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Millwall         28   41   +2      66.45     6.03     3.12     0.03     0.66    16.77     4.19P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   41   +2      65.41     5.98     1.63     0.05     0.47    12.75     3.04P    0.09R    0.00  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.20     6.03    -7.71     0.02     0.29     8.99     1.98P    0.25R    0.00  
Charlton         28   39   +0      63.37     6.04    -0.45     0.01     0.18     7.53     1.75P    0.34R    0.01  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.86     5.97    -0.42     0.01     0.11     4.66     0.98P    0.68R    0.03  
Blackburn        28   37   +1      64.73     6.13     5.73     0.02     0.35    11.98     3.75P    0.19R    0.01  
Blackpool        28   34   +3      62.41     6.13     8.81     0.01     0.14     6.72     2.10P    0.67R    0.03  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.40     6.19     3.01     0.01     0.09     4.76     1.48P    0.93R    0.04  
Wolverhampton    28   33   -6      57.11     6.11    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.24P    4.40R    0.39  
Huddersfield     28   33  -16      53.47     5.96   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   15.00R    1.91  
Ipswich          28   32  -21      51.38     5.88   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   24.67R    3.64  
Birmingham       28   31   -9      57.54     6.09    -6.25     0.00     0.00     1.05     0.30P    4.01R    0.29  
Sheff_Wed        28   29  -12      49.18     5.85   -19.26     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   35.33R    7.11  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.80     5.93   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.80R   16.47  
Barnsley         28   25  -15      43.27     5.64   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.56R   30.93  
Bristol_City     27   22  -17      42.31     5.96   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.95R   39.14  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Brentford vs Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      81.96     5.73    23.94    16.41    35.17    87.85    45.76P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.46     6.06    25.12    37.03    58.78    94.38    67.17P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       28   50  +14      77.79     6.02    18.65     5.40    14.48    66.13    26.11P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         27   49  +30      82.66     6.18    41.22    23.55    44.72    89.61    59.07P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   48  +13      79.68     5.95    23.41     9.26    23.01    78.16    39.93P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     28   46   +9      73.09     6.09    12.64     1.06     3.87    35.79    10.26P    0.00R    0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.87     6.44    21.54     5.72    13.85    61.69    28.15P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        29   43  +11      70.68     5.90    17.52     0.30     1.46    23.88     7.58P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.84     6.25     4.45     0.16     0.67    11.65     2.44P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall         29   41   -3      63.21     5.77    -4.72     0.00     0.03     2.10     0.35P    0.21R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.32     6.17    -8.91     0.02     0.08     2.92     0.47P    0.29R    0.00  
Notts_County    26   40  +11      71.33     6.48    16.88     0.86     2.92    28.33     8.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      62.05     6.18    -6.28     0.00     0.05     2.12     0.35P    0.51R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.58     6.38    -0.21     0.20     0.89    13.89     3.48P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   27   36   -5      58.99     6.07    -9.49     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.10P    2.23R    0.01  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.28     6.22    -0.19     0.00     0.01     0.84     0.17P    1.83R    0.01  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.73     6.13   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   10.22R    0.08  
Shrewsbury      29   30   -6      50.76     5.70    -9.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.89R    0.25  
Oldham          29   27  -13      46.86     5.58   -17.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.59R    1.66  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      47.04     6.06   -25.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.19R    2.29  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.67     6.01   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.71R    4.81  
Bury            27   22  -15      43.00     6.00   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.72R    7.05  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.82     6.52   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.55R    1.64  
Hartlepool      27   13  -29      31.89     5.76   -39.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.95R   82.20  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Aldershot vs Northampton; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            27   52  +26      86.33     6.18    38.81    47.66    93.53    99.58    95.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.45     6.36    34.18    46.36    93.08    99.54    95.18P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          28   45   +9      69.37     6.01     8.08     0.41     9.55    48.90    17.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.69     6.16     8.40     1.36    21.20    68.64    33.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           27   44   +3      71.29     6.22     4.82     0.86    15.49    59.22    25.14P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.66     6.48     8.27     1.49    22.37    67.41    32.95P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   +0      64.52     6.00    -3.54     0.05     1.96    19.04     4.71P    0.11R    0.01  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.68     6.16    21.88     1.33    23.85    72.07    40.40P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.64     6.26     5.56     0.07     3.51    27.34     8.72P    0.05R    0.01  
Bradford             27   40   +5      64.96     6.13     3.44     0.05     2.68    23.34     7.01P    0.08R    0.01  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.84     6.12    10.70     0.13     4.96    35.23    14.16P    0.05R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.52     6.43     2.60     0.16     4.54    31.62    10.96P    0.06R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            29   37   +0      60.16     5.78    -0.33     0.00     0.28     6.20     1.55P    0.69R    0.16  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      62.22     6.20     1.06     0.02     0.95    12.77     4.18P    0.42R    0.11  
York                 28   36   -2      57.23     5.93    -7.16     0.00     0.06     2.42     0.51P    2.76R    0.85  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      61.04     6.09    -6.66     0.01     0.45     8.22     2.37P    0.76R    0.18  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.81     6.35     3.04     0.03     1.45    15.60     5.30P    0.28R    0.06  
Morecambe            28   33   -3      57.09     6.02    -3.93     0.00     0.08     2.50     0.68P    3.02R    0.92  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.92     5.79   -21.06     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   20.49R    8.59  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.62     5.79   -19.62     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   32.19R   15.51  
Aldershot            28   29  -14      49.78     5.71   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   24.68R   10.49  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.34     5.87   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   26.54R   12.03  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   26  -18      46.55     6.08   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.43R   30.11  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.02     6.28   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.02P   38.39R   20.95  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 22 January 2013, Grimsby vs Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            27   51  +26      85.03     6.14    38.36    30.24    93.55    48.59P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.08     5.92    42.36    47.02    96.83    65.55P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.83     6.33    18.08     4.63    62.08    13.34P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       27   45  +16      76.00     6.24    23.46     2.86    53.00    13.64P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   44  +15      74.05     5.93    23.31     1.29    40.37    10.35P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.71     6.59    24.01    11.65    77.37    31.11P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.81     6.24     3.30     0.02     4.33     0.71P    0.29R    0.02  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.99     6.64    11.41     1.81    38.01     9.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield       27   39   -1      68.40     6.41     3.97     0.15    11.44     2.46P    0.08R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      27   38   +6      65.61     6.22     8.40     0.05     5.85     1.23P    0.20R    0.02  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.84     6.81     6.74     0.27    14.81     3.48P    0.11R    0.01  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.72     6.53   -20.31     0.00     0.34     0.04P    9.27R    1.50  
Southport          27   34   -7      57.33     6.19   -12.11     0.00     0.32     0.05P    6.20R    0.95  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.10     6.09   -18.07     0.00     0.10     0.01P    9.32R    1.41  
Hyde_United        27   32   +0      56.46     6.41    -2.77     0.00     0.24     0.04P    7.90R    1.38  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.93     6.26    -8.20     0.00     0.22     0.04P    6.92R    1.00  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      56.08     6.38   -18.18     0.00     0.17     0.03P   10.46R    1.91  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.37     6.63    -2.69     0.01     0.90     0.14P    3.75R    0.52  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      53.01     6.08   -14.43     0.00     0.03     0.01P   19.03R    3.99  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.43     6.12   -15.42     0.00     0.04     0.01P   17.51R    3.56  
AFC_Telford        29   29   -6      47.89     5.57   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00P   47.32R   14.38  
Nuneaton           27   28  -13      49.52     6.29   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.65R   12.93  
Barrow             26   26  -20      47.15     6.14   -30.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.98R   23.78  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.54     6.17   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.02R   32.64