Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 21 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Monday 21 January 2013, Southampton vs Everton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       23   56  +27      88.61     4.83    48.29    79.83    98.14    99.92    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      23   51  +26      82.23     4.89    43.58    18.96    86.55    98.50    99.80   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       23   45  +25      73.58     5.10    37.66     1.18    13.83    76.41    92.82    99.55     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     23   41  +12      65.78     5.40    18.42     0.01     0.85    12.05    44.51    88.04     0.00     0.00  
Everton       23   38   +9      60.67     5.14    11.88     0.00     0.08     1.98    12.20    59.64     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       22   34  +15      64.84     5.38    29.60     0.01     0.51     9.83    41.36    86.47     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     23   34  +12      58.91     5.31    18.36     0.00     0.04     1.24     8.28    48.40     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     23   34   +1      51.68     5.21    -4.25     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.47     6.66     0.02R    0.00  
Swansea       23   33   +7      51.75     5.16     3.80     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.45     7.04     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke         23   29   -5      48.24     5.19    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.70     0.45R    0.02  
Sunderland    23   28   -4      47.49     5.27    -5.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     1.48     0.65R    0.02  
West_Ham      22   27   -3      44.41     5.28   -10.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.49     3.30R    0.16  
Norwich       23   26  -15      42.61     5.08   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     7.07R    0.56  
Fulham        23   25   -7      44.00     5.29    -9.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.36     3.44R    0.28  
Southampton   23   23  -10      39.14     5.18   -18.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    19.37R    2.67  
Newcastle     23   21  -13      39.56     5.29   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    17.07R    2.43  
Aston_Villa   23   20  -25      34.77     4.90   -35.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.70R   14.37  
Reading       23   19  -15      34.36     5.01   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.44R   14.50  
Wigan         23   19  -18      34.11     4.98   -27.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.03R   16.55  
QPR           23   15  -19      29.75     4.95   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.43R   48.44  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, Birmingham vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      90.98     6.02    29.58    78.85    92.94    99.84    94.81P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26      81.19     6.01    35.76    12.14    49.53    93.77    64.78P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.58     6.01    10.94     2.80    15.77    75.09    29.80P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      74.90     6.02    18.34     1.58    11.85    68.39    24.61P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.86     6.09    12.79     1.72    10.79    66.28    24.02P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   46  +16      74.99     6.41    20.37     2.43    13.72    68.40    27.34P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          28   42   +3      68.01     6.07     4.85     0.14     1.26    23.96     6.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         27   41  +10      68.07     6.18    11.57     0.16     1.63    26.25     7.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         28   41   +2      66.35     6.02     2.95     0.04     0.72    16.03     4.06P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   41   +2      65.44     5.97     1.65     0.04     0.41    12.56     2.99P    0.11R    0.00  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.32     5.98    -7.55     0.02     0.23     8.90     1.90P    0.24R    0.00  
Charlton         28   39   +0      63.31     6.05    -0.55     0.01     0.19     7.26     1.77P    0.41R    0.01  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.82     5.97    -0.51     0.00     0.09     4.63     0.98P    0.69R    0.03  
Blackburn        27   36   +1      65.41     6.34     6.16     0.07     0.65    14.89     4.85P    0.22R    0.00  
Blackpool        28   34   +3      62.41     6.12     8.78     0.00     0.10     6.58     1.96P    0.63R    0.02  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.55     6.16     3.24     0.00     0.07     4.86     1.47P    0.85R    0.05  
Wolverhampton    28   33   -6      57.12     6.08    -6.84     0.00     0.01     0.97     0.23P    4.13R    0.33  
Huddersfield     28   33  -16      53.41     5.92   -22.77     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   14.81R    1.77  
Ipswich          28   32  -21      51.38     5.86   -29.68     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   24.68R    3.68  
Birmingham       28   31   -9      57.53     6.08    -6.27     0.00     0.01     1.10     0.32P    4.18R    0.28  
Sheff_Wed        28   29  -12      49.06     5.91   -19.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   36.52R    7.68  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.84     5.92   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.68R   16.77  
Barnsley         28   25  -15      43.35     5.66   -24.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.17R   30.64  
Bristol_City     27   22  -17      42.40     5.94   -26.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.56R   38.74  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, Brentford vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      82.03     5.76    24.04    16.17    35.13    88.45    46.39P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.36     6.11    24.99    35.68    57.42    94.66    66.36P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         27   49  +30      82.82     6.16    41.48    24.17    45.27    90.49    59.80P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       27   49  +14      78.66     6.25    19.36     7.56    18.34    71.47    30.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   48  +13      79.63     5.97    23.34     9.15    22.78    78.58    39.89P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.75     6.45    21.45     5.18    13.12    62.09    27.11P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        29   43  +11      70.78     5.89    17.67     0.35     1.50    25.23     7.93P    0.01R    0.00  
Bournemouth     27   43   +8      71.91     6.28    12.21     0.80     2.82    30.41     8.36P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.68     6.25     4.20     0.15     0.57    11.69     2.29P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall         29   41   -3      63.18     5.76    -4.74     0.01     0.04     2.10     0.37P    0.24R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.41     6.20    -8.78     0.02     0.08     3.32     0.52P    0.35R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      62.17     6.18    -6.09     0.01     0.06     2.31     0.34P    0.61R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.52     6.36    -0.28     0.20     0.85    14.21     3.38P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    25   37  +10      70.03     6.67    16.34     0.56     1.99    23.36     6.94P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   26   35   -5      58.70     6.24   -10.41     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.12P    2.91R    0.02  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.26     6.16    -0.20     0.00     0.01     0.83     0.18P    1.92R    0.00  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.72     6.16   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   10.89R    0.09  
Shrewsbury      29   30   -6      50.74     5.77    -9.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.01R    0.33  
Oldham          28   27  -12      47.89     5.78   -17.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.03R    1.56  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      46.93     6.07   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.99R    2.89  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.75     6.04   -25.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.84R    5.79  
Bury            27   22  -15      42.95     5.96   -22.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.98R    8.75  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.93     6.52   -14.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   34.86R    2.15  
Hartlepool      26   13  -28      32.96     5.94   -39.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.28R   78.41  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, Northampton vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            27   52  +26      86.32     6.16    38.82    47.18    93.71    99.58    95.54P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.60     6.33    34.43    47.13    93.59    99.56    95.47P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.74     6.19     8.48     1.41    22.19    69.76    34.96P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           27   44   +3      71.35     6.23     4.89     0.85    15.95    61.04    25.75P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.53     6.48     8.09     1.45    22.09    67.47    32.78P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          27   42   +8      67.41     6.18     6.59     0.21     6.04    37.96    12.51P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   +0      64.47     5.96    -3.64     0.03     1.92    19.56     4.84P    0.11R    0.01  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.68     6.16    21.91     1.24    24.48    73.11    41.33P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.66     6.26     5.54     0.09     3.76    28.10     8.97P    0.07R    0.01  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.11     6.14     3.62     0.07     2.92    24.85     7.51P    0.06R    0.01  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.67     6.08    10.47     0.11     4.87    34.98    13.68P    0.03R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.76     6.40     2.95     0.19     4.95    33.84    11.55P    0.07R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            29   37   +0      60.21     5.78    -0.24     0.00     0.32     6.78     1.55P    0.76R    0.19  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      62.08     6.22     0.91     0.01     1.01    13.12     4.21P    0.54R    0.12  
York                 28   36   -2      57.13     5.89    -7.30     0.00     0.08     2.23     0.51P    3.10R    0.82  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      61.08     6.14    -6.63     0.01     0.47     8.86     2.52P    0.84R    0.20  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.80     6.37     3.00     0.03     1.57    15.96     5.58P    0.42R    0.09  
Morecambe            28   33   -3      57.06     5.99    -3.98     0.00     0.06     2.62     0.61P    3.23R    0.99  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.88     5.81   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   21.46R    9.21  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.67     5.83   -19.60     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   33.47R   16.30  
Aldershot            27   29  -13      51.27     5.93   -18.33     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.03P   18.70R    7.52  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.31     5.87   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.52R   12.68  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   26  -18      46.62     6.05   -29.84     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   50.24R   30.67  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.10     6.29   -25.41     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   39.32R   21.17  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, AFC_Telford vs Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.27     5.98    42.64    50.34    96.80    67.75P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.91     6.41    18.20     5.25    62.72    14.33P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.88     6.33    37.08    24.89    90.48    43.76P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       27   45  +16      76.18     6.24    23.76     3.16    54.77    14.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster      28   44  +15      74.16     5.92    23.48     1.40    41.15    10.89P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.70     6.59    23.92    12.52    77.31    31.51P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.85     6.21     3.35     0.02     4.51     0.70P    0.24R    0.01  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.87     6.68    11.21     1.95    37.51     9.49P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield       27   39   -1      68.29     6.43     3.80     0.17    11.55     2.48P    0.09R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      27   38   +6      65.55     6.21     8.34     0.05     5.77     1.19P    0.21R    0.01  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.82     6.82     6.66     0.24    14.88     3.41P    0.12R    0.01  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.57     6.50   -20.61     0.00     0.32     0.03P    9.49R    1.47  
Southport          27   34   -7      57.32     6.16   -12.15     0.00     0.24     0.03P    6.25R    0.83  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.12     6.10   -18.10     0.00     0.12     0.01P    9.48R    1.57  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.66     6.60    -1.11     0.00     0.57     0.10P    6.00R    0.99  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.82     6.25    -8.39     0.00     0.20     0.04P    7.13R    0.98  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      55.86     6.34   -18.52     0.00     0.17     0.02P   11.14R    2.00  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.27     6.59    -2.83     0.01     0.84     0.16P    3.83R    0.56  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.98     6.06   -14.42     0.00     0.03     0.00P   19.43R    4.11  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.36     6.14   -15.55     0.00     0.03     0.00P   18.32R    3.73  
AFC_Telford        29   29   -6      47.94     5.58   -12.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.05R   14.77  
Nuneaton           27   28  -13      49.65     6.31   -20.28     0.00     0.01     0.00    39.19R   12.61  
Barrow             26   26  -20      47.12     6.12   -30.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.34R   23.98  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.63     6.21   -26.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.67R   32.37