Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 20 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 20 January 2013, Chelsea vs Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       23   56  +27      88.54     4.85    48.29    79.32    98.14    99.91    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      23   51  +26      82.26     4.87    43.64    19.43    86.58    98.56    99.77   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       23   45  +25      73.62     5.11    37.75     1.22    13.87    76.07    92.44    99.51     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     23   41  +12      65.74     5.41    18.41     0.02     0.76    11.85    43.08    87.24     0.00     0.00  
Everton       22   37   +9      61.44     5.38    12.47     0.00     0.13     3.06    15.52    63.56     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       22   34  +15      64.77     5.41    29.42     0.01     0.48     9.32    39.85    85.59     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     23   34  +12      58.97     5.33    18.44     0.00     0.03     1.18     8.33    47.29     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     23   34   +1      51.71     5.18    -4.23     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.44     6.43     0.02R    0.00  
Swansea       23   33   +7      51.66     5.18     3.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.44     6.47     0.04R    0.00  
Stoke         23   29   -5      48.24     5.16    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.63     0.44R    0.02  
Sunderland    23   28   -4      47.53     5.25    -5.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.35     0.64R    0.02  
West_Ham      22   27   -3      44.46     5.32   -10.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.47     3.22R    0.13  
Norwich       23   26  -15      42.65     5.08   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     6.89R    0.59  
Fulham        23   25   -7      44.08     5.30    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.30     3.49R    0.26  
Southampton   22   22  -10      39.19     5.42   -19.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    20.00R    3.03  
Newcastle     23   21  -13      39.60     5.30   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    16.87R    2.35  
Aston_Villa   23   20  -25      34.70     4.88   -35.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.77R   14.56  
Reading       23   19  -15      34.34     5.01   -24.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.62R   14.60  
Wigan         23   19  -18      34.12     4.94   -27.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.73R   16.11  
QPR           23   15  -19      29.75     4.92   -28.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.26R   48.34  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, Birmingham vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      91.03     6.02    29.62    79.09    93.04    99.85    94.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26      81.28     6.00    35.92    12.28    50.10    93.87    65.09P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.50     5.94    10.84     2.53    15.62    74.88    29.58P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      75.07     5.97    18.55     1.77    12.14    69.56    25.18P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.70     6.07    12.51     1.57    10.27    65.50    23.37P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   46  +16      75.00     6.40    20.40     2.35    13.56    68.68    27.21P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          28   42   +3      67.98     6.04     4.76     0.10     1.17    23.58     6.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Brighton         27   41  +10      68.04     6.21    11.54     0.17     1.62    26.02     7.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Millwall         28   41   +2      66.37     5.98     2.99     0.03     0.64    16.14     4.15P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   41   +2      65.39     5.99     1.63     0.03     0.43    12.58     3.02P    0.09R    0.00  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.13     6.02    -7.89     0.02     0.26     8.74     1.75P    0.23R    0.00  
Charlton         28   39   +0      63.27     6.04    -0.59     0.01     0.20     7.27     1.81P    0.42R    0.01  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.81     5.97    -0.52     0.00     0.08     4.52     0.93P    0.70R    0.02  
Blackburn        27   36   +1      65.56     6.31     6.42     0.05     0.65    15.57     5.05P    0.22R    0.00  
Blackpool        28   34   +3      62.41     6.08     8.79     0.00     0.11     6.46     1.97P    0.59R    0.03  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.32     6.17     2.93     0.01     0.09     4.67     1.54P    1.02R    0.06  
Wolverhampton    28   33   -6      57.22     6.09    -6.67     0.00     0.01     0.92     0.25P    4.25R    0.38  
Huddersfield     28   33  -16      53.50     5.92   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   14.69R    1.84  
Ipswich          28   32  -21      51.43     5.88   -29.64     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P   24.56R    3.55  
Birmingham       28   31   -9      57.51     6.07    -6.31     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.30P    4.19R    0.33  
Sheff_Wed        28   29  -12      49.11     5.91   -19.33     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   36.40R    7.32  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.82     5.93   -21.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.10R   16.78  
Barnsley         28   25  -15      43.35     5.64   -24.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.12R   30.91  
Bristol_City     27   22  -17      42.43     5.96   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   78.31R   38.77  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, Brentford vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      82.08     5.77    24.08    16.74    35.39    88.70    46.25P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.34     6.10    24.92    35.38    57.31    94.57    66.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         27   49  +30      82.93     6.18    41.57    24.59    45.94    90.94    60.35P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       27   49  +14      78.69     6.20    19.39     7.25    18.14    72.05    30.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   48  +13      79.69     5.94    23.44     9.12    22.63    78.88    40.30P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.61     6.43    21.20     4.88    12.85    61.16    26.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Coventry        29   43  +11      70.73     5.87    17.60     0.34     1.50    24.77     7.85P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     27   43   +8      71.75     6.27    12.05     0.72     2.62    29.89     8.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.73     6.25     4.26     0.15     0.57    11.85     2.33P    0.03R    0.00  
Walsall         29   41   -3      63.09     5.77    -4.93     0.01     0.03     2.16     0.37P    0.30R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.41     6.19    -8.81     0.01     0.07     3.21     0.48P    0.37R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      62.07     6.15    -6.22     0.01     0.06     2.21     0.33P    0.54R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.52     6.40    -0.31     0.22     0.84    14.31     3.44P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County    25   37  +10      70.01     6.67    16.32     0.57     2.04    23.65     7.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   26   35   -5      58.72     6.22   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.09P    2.86R    0.01  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.33     6.15    -0.11     0.01     0.02     0.87     0.20P    1.74R    0.01  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.80     6.18   -20.38     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   10.59R    0.11  
Shrewsbury      29   30   -6      50.91     5.76    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.27R    0.29  
Oldham          28   27  -12      47.89     5.83   -17.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.08R    1.72  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      47.02     6.04   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.89R    2.81  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.69     6.03   -25.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.59R    5.78  
Bury            27   22  -15      42.98     5.94   -22.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.09R    8.63  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.91     6.53   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   35.26R    2.07  
Hartlepool      26   13  -28      32.92     5.93   -39.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.33R   78.56  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, Northampton vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            27   52  +26      86.27     6.17    38.68    47.56    93.61    99.60    95.36P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.44     6.43    34.19    46.59    92.85    99.44    94.94P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.66     6.19     8.36     1.35    21.81    69.41    34.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           27   44   +3      71.36     6.21     4.94     0.90    16.08    60.90    26.01P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.56     6.48     8.14     1.43    22.25    67.85    33.01P    0.00     0.00  
Northampton          27   42   +8      67.39     6.21     6.55     0.23     6.21    37.67    12.66P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   +0      64.45     6.00    -3.61     0.04     2.09    19.65     4.89P    0.11R    0.02  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.76     6.13    21.98     1.34    24.73    73.62    41.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.65     6.26     5.55     0.09     3.89    28.28     9.05P    0.09R    0.02  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.08     6.17     3.62     0.08     3.00    24.90     7.47P    0.09R    0.02  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.73     6.06    10.59     0.14     5.02    35.22    14.05P    0.05R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.60     6.45     2.70     0.20     5.01    32.89    11.43P    0.12R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red            29   37   +0      60.26     5.79    -0.17     0.00     0.31     6.97     1.67P    0.78R    0.19  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      62.03     6.21     0.77     0.02     0.98    12.81     4.15P    0.56R    0.13  
York                 28   36   -2      57.17     5.93    -7.29     0.00     0.07     2.42     0.51P    3.01R    0.87  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      61.02     6.14    -6.70     0.01     0.50     8.86     2.53P    0.86R    0.20  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.79     6.38     3.00     0.02     1.51    16.35     5.46P    0.46R    0.09  
Morecambe            28   33   -3      57.12     5.97    -3.85     0.00     0.07     2.51     0.63P    3.11R    0.94  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      51.00     5.83   -20.97     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   21.35R    9.03  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.68     5.82   -19.56     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   33.56R   16.20  
Aldershot            27   29  -13      51.27     5.94   -18.36     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.07P   19.00R    7.63  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.37     5.84   -13.43     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.50R   12.56  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   26  -18      46.58     6.05   -29.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   50.60R   30.84  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.18     6.30   -25.28     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   38.73R   21.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, AFC_Telford vs Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.08     5.96    42.39    49.45    96.84    67.17P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.86     6.33    18.18     5.17    62.86    14.01P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.92     6.32    37.18    25.50    90.60    44.29P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       27   45  +16      76.13     6.27    23.70     3.36    54.39    14.50P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   44  +15      74.21     5.95    23.54     1.43    41.71    10.86P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.64     6.61    23.84    12.36    77.17    31.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.83     6.23     3.32     0.04     4.63     0.75P    0.29R    0.02  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.86     6.72    11.14     2.14    37.23     9.24P    0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield       27   39   -1      68.42     6.36     3.99     0.17    11.34     2.53P    0.07R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      27   38   +6      65.53     6.19     8.27     0.04     5.72     1.25P    0.21R    0.01  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.76     6.86     6.60     0.32    14.79     3.54P    0.13R    0.01  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.64     6.52   -20.49     0.00     0.34     0.03P    9.28R    1.39  
Southport          27   34   -7      57.36     6.20   -12.16     0.00     0.25     0.03P    6.21R    0.99  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.12     6.11   -18.08     0.00     0.13     0.02P    9.45R    1.42  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.60     6.65    -1.22     0.00     0.57     0.08P    6.19R    1.08  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.88     6.24    -8.26     0.00     0.18     0.02P    7.08R    1.11  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      55.86     6.40   -18.52     0.00     0.18     0.02P   11.08R    2.08  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.43     6.60    -2.56     0.01     0.98     0.15P    3.62R    0.49  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.87     6.06   -14.60     0.00     0.03     0.00P   19.76R    4.20  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.46     6.12   -15.37     0.00     0.06     0.01P   17.39R    3.55  
AFC_Telford        29   29   -6      47.96     5.54   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.08R   14.17  
Nuneaton           27   28  -13      49.48     6.31   -20.57     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.32R   13.44  
Barrow             26   26  -20      47.15     6.14   -30.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.40R   23.94  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.65     6.23   -26.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.43R   32.09