Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 19 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, Liverpool vs Norwich; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       22   55  +27      89.25     5.06    48.83    81.80    98.71    99.93    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      23   51  +26      82.25     4.89    43.60    17.42    88.49    98.47    99.78    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       22   42  +24      72.32     5.32    37.25     0.70    10.44    65.88    87.00    98.89     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     22   40  +12      65.83     5.64    17.90     0.05     1.18    14.49    42.13    86.45     0.00     0.00  
Everton       22   37   +9      61.49     5.40    12.55     0.00     0.13     3.55    15.09    63.51     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       21   34  +16      65.85     5.60    29.98     0.03     1.02    16.18    47.18    88.19     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool     23   34  +12      58.96     5.31    18.43     0.00     0.03     1.41     7.92    46.57     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     23   34   +1      51.67     5.19    -4.32     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.40     6.15     0.04R    0.00  
Swansea       23   33   +7      51.77     5.17     3.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.40     6.46     0.02R    0.00  
Stoke         23   29   -5      48.19     5.18    -7.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05     1.52     0.49R    0.01  
Sunderland    23   28   -4      47.52     5.26    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     1.41     0.66R    0.02  
West_Ham      22   27   -3      44.43     5.30   -10.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.39     3.18R    0.15  
Norwich       23   26  -15      42.63     5.08   -22.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     6.98R    0.61  
Fulham        23   25   -7      44.08     5.28    -9.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.33     3.44R    0.21  
Southampton   22   22  -10      39.08     5.40   -19.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    20.55R    3.19  
Newcastle     23   21  -13      39.61     5.29   -16.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    16.89R    2.24  
Aston_Villa   23   20  -25      34.72     4.89   -35.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.65R   14.42  
Reading       23   19  -15      34.41     5.04   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.88R   14.47  
Wigan         23   19  -18      34.15     4.98   -27.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.54R   16.07  
QPR           23   15  -19      29.72     4.91   -28.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.67R   48.61  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, Birmingham vs Brighton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          28   60  +20      91.09     6.03    29.75    79.18    93.19    99.84    94.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26      81.30     5.98    35.93    12.25    50.06    94.07    65.33P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             28   50   +8      76.59     5.97    10.95     2.66    16.06    74.90    29.87P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   28   48  +15      74.94     6.03    18.39     1.64    11.86    68.61    24.60P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.73     6.07    12.62     1.57    10.06    65.73    23.05P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          27   46  +16      75.02     6.35    20.44     2.27    13.38    68.95    26.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley          28   42   +3      67.95     6.07     4.72     0.09     1.18    23.44     6.41P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton         27   41  +10      68.01     6.26    11.44     0.13     1.59    26.10     7.56P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         28   41   +2      66.53     6.02     3.23     0.05     0.68    17.02     4.40P    0.07R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    28   41   +2      65.53     5.98     1.83     0.04     0.48    13.03     3.23P    0.12R    0.01  
Leeds_United     28   41   -5      64.23     6.01    -7.66     0.02     0.29     8.77     1.99P    0.25R    0.01  
Charlton         28   39   +0      63.30     6.07    -0.57     0.01     0.20     7.32     1.85P    0.40R    0.02  
Derby            28   38   +1      61.80     6.00    -0.52     0.01     0.08     4.53     0.94P    0.77R    0.03  
Blackburn        27   36   +1      65.38     6.33     6.17     0.06     0.65    14.51     4.80P    0.18R    0.01  
Blackpool        28   34   +3      62.39     6.12     8.75     0.01     0.13     6.52     2.04P    0.65R    0.03  
Bolton           28   34   -1      61.33     6.18     2.94     0.01     0.08     4.52     1.35P    1.01R    0.05  
Wolverhampton    28   33   -6      57.06     6.10    -6.93     0.00     0.01     0.97     0.29P    4.48R    0.33  
Huddersfield     28   33  -16      53.59     5.88   -22.49     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   14.11R    1.60  
Ipswich          28   32  -21      51.27     5.87   -29.90     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   25.48R    3.82  
Birmingham       28   31   -9      57.46     6.11    -6.42     0.00     0.03     0.98     0.31P    4.24R    0.29  
Sheff_Wed        28   29  -12      49.12     5.91   -19.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   36.07R    7.33  
Peterborough     28   26  -13      45.86     5.95   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.27R   16.78  
Barnsley         28   25  -15      43.29     5.61   -24.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.58R   30.99  
Bristol_City     27   22  -17      42.44     5.97   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.25R   38.73  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, Brentford vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        29   56  +20      81.97     5.77    23.95    16.47    34.89    88.32    45.91P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       28   56  +18      85.43     6.10    25.06    36.10    58.12    94.66    66.77P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         27   49  +30      82.72     6.17    41.27    23.50    44.47    90.49    59.14P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       27   49  +14      78.69     6.21    19.40     7.39    18.29    71.85    30.28P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       28   48  +13      79.71     5.94    23.46     9.09    22.70    79.04    40.33P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.79     6.43    21.41     5.28    13.46    62.03    27.27P    0.00     0.00  
Coventry        29   43  +11      70.67     5.92    17.51     0.30     1.50    24.37     7.51P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     27   43   +8      71.86     6.28    12.18     0.83     2.79    30.27     8.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.78     6.25     4.37     0.14     0.60    12.01     2.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall         29   41   -3      63.16     5.77    -4.78     0.01     0.05     2.15     0.37P    0.29R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.50     6.15    -8.64     0.02     0.08     3.26     0.49P    0.32R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      61.97     6.14    -6.33     0.01     0.04     2.08     0.33P    0.64R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.42     6.41    -0.41     0.21     0.82    14.05     3.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Notts_County    25   37  +10      70.13     6.65    16.52     0.65     2.18    23.72     7.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   26   35   -5      58.72     6.25   -10.36     0.00     0.01     0.70     0.13P    2.96R    0.02  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.37     6.17    -0.12     0.00     0.01     0.89     0.15P    1.83R    0.01  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.77     6.16   -20.43     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   10.72R    0.13  
Shrewsbury      29   30   -6      50.69     5.69    -9.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   22.14R    0.28  
Oldham          28   27  -12      47.92     5.77   -17.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.92R    1.58  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      47.05     6.05   -25.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.70R    2.86  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.69     6.03   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.50R    5.82  
Bury            27   22  -15      43.07     5.96   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.24R    8.33  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.85     6.52   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.24R    2.18  
Hartlepool      26   13  -28      32.85     5.90   -39.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.40R   78.78  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, Northampton vs Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            27   52  +26      86.25     6.18    38.70    47.23    93.65    99.63    95.46P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.50     6.37    34.27    46.96    93.36    99.54    95.26P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.64     6.15     8.34     1.37    21.57    69.26    34.12P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           27   44   +3      71.38     6.16     4.92     0.82    15.79    60.96    25.70P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.67     6.50     8.32     1.47    22.98    68.25    33.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Northampton          27   42   +8      67.33     6.15     6.42     0.19     5.91    37.21    12.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        28   42   +0      64.57     5.95    -3.48     0.06     1.92    20.04     4.81P    0.10R    0.02  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.75     6.17    21.96     1.47    24.87    73.27    41.65P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.63     6.26     5.57     0.08     3.71    28.39     9.23P    0.07R    0.02  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.06     6.11     3.65     0.07     2.84    24.53     7.39P    0.07R    0.02  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.73     6.11    10.57     0.11     5.07    35.28    14.13P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.69     6.39     2.84     0.14     4.86    33.19    11.59P    0.10R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            29   37   +0      60.16     5.77    -0.34     0.00     0.27     6.55     1.59P    0.86R    0.23  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      62.02     6.24     0.79     0.01     0.93    13.10     4.13P    0.54R    0.12  
York                 28   36   -2      57.17     5.89    -7.27     0.00     0.07     2.40     0.52P    3.07R    0.87  
Wycombe              28   36   -7      61.05     6.11    -6.67     0.00     0.57     8.63     2.51P    0.86R    0.19  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.82     6.41     3.05     0.02     1.53    16.48     5.49P    0.37R    0.08  
Morecambe            28   33   -3      57.22     6.00    -3.72     0.00     0.10     2.75     0.68P    3.05R    0.90  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.86     5.79   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   21.63R    9.23  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.68     5.81   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.03R   16.07  
Aldershot            27   29  -13      51.28     5.93   -18.39     0.00     0.01     0.21     0.05P   18.84R    7.49  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.47     5.85   -13.31     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   26.47R   11.98  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   26  -18      46.49     6.03   -30.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    51.00R   31.22  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.03     6.30   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   39.87R   21.54  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 19 January 2013, AFC_Telford vs Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      86.99     5.98    42.21    49.19    96.74    66.72P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     27   49  +14      77.74     6.36    17.95     5.07    61.76    13.78P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.79     6.36    37.00    25.68    90.24    44.29P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       27   45  +16      76.13     6.25    23.67     3.44    54.47    14.37P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      28   44  +15      74.21     5.93    23.52     1.45    41.80    11.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.59     6.60    23.83    12.59    77.15    31.73P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.88     6.20     3.41     0.03     4.45     0.65P    0.25R    0.01  
Mansfield          25   41   +5      73.90     6.68    11.23     2.00    37.65     9.24P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield       27   39   -1      68.45     6.40     4.06     0.21    11.90     2.69P    0.09R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      27   38   +6      65.69     6.20     8.48     0.05     6.26     1.26P    0.17R    0.01  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.83     6.77     6.68     0.28    14.76     3.55P    0.15R    0.01  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.72     6.55   -20.36     0.00     0.40     0.03P    9.15R    1.44  
Southport          27   34   -7      57.34     6.19   -12.12     0.00     0.25     0.04P    6.01R    0.86  
Alfreton_Town      27   34  -11      56.13     6.12   -18.06     0.00     0.14     0.02P    9.48R    1.52  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.50     6.61    -1.33     0.00     0.51     0.05P    6.41R    1.09  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.96     6.19    -8.14     0.00     0.21     0.03P    6.54R    0.91  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      55.93     6.39   -18.40     0.00     0.19     0.03P   10.91R    1.95  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.52     6.64    -2.45     0.01     1.03     0.16P    3.58R    0.50  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.96     6.07   -14.46     0.00     0.02     0.00P   19.33R    4.12  
Stockport          27   31   -9      53.44     6.12   -15.40     0.00     0.05     0.01P   17.60R    3.49  
AFC_Telford        29   29   -6      47.85     5.58   -12.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.14R   14.78  
Nuneaton           27   28  -13      49.48     6.30   -20.58     0.00     0.01     0.00    40.17R   13.05  
Barrow             26   26  -20      47.05     6.14   -31.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.80R   24.31  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.66     6.22   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.22R   31.93