Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 18 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 January 2013, Chelsea vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       22   55  +27      89.23     5.09    48.72    83.08    98.74    99.91   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      22   48  +24      81.56     5.08    43.16    16.02    85.82    97.69    99.62    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       22   42  +24      72.34     5.37    37.24     0.83    12.59    66.78    87.57    98.92     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     22   40  +12      65.83     5.62    17.90     0.02     1.34    14.36    43.48    87.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton       22   37   +9      61.49     5.39    12.53     0.00     0.17     3.59    15.61    67.11     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       21   34  +16      65.78     5.62    29.77     0.04     1.32    16.71    47.28    89.43     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     22   33   +1      52.60     5.42    -3.43     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.81     9.66     0.05R    0.00  
Liverpool     22   31   +7      57.43     5.52    13.56     0.00     0.01     0.81     5.13    36.42     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea       22   30   +5      50.03     5.38     1.73     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.26     4.43     0.14R    0.00  
Stoke         22   29   -3      49.52     5.38    -4.99     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.15     3.33     0.30R    0.01  
West_Ham      21   26   -3      45.40     5.56    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.94     2.73R    0.12  
Norwich       22   26  -10      43.97     5.24   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29     4.21R    0.27  
Fulham        22   25   -5      44.65     5.44    -9.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.58     3.02R    0.17  
Sunderland    22   25   -5      45.77     5.45    -6.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.84     2.01R    0.10  
Southampton   22   22  -10      39.03     5.38   -19.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    20.29R    2.61  
Newcastle     22   21  -12      41.86     5.53   -14.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12     9.60R    0.93  
Wigan         22   19  -17      35.55     5.18   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.64R    9.52  
Aston_Villa   22   19  -25      34.43     5.05   -36.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.20R   14.30  
Reading       22   16  -16      31.89     5.19   -27.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.10R   26.50  
QPR           22   14  -19      29.58     5.11   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.70R   45.46  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 January 2013, Leicester vs Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          27   57  +19      89.25     6.27    28.43    70.81    88.22    99.50    91.53P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        28   50  +26      81.18     6.00    35.76    16.07    49.49    93.42    64.17P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             27   49   +8      77.16     6.15    11.23     4.60    19.42    76.29    32.82P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   47  +15      75.64     6.24    18.88     3.26    15.21    70.78    28.19P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    28   47   +8      74.70     6.05    12.56     2.20    10.86    64.43    23.30P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   43  +12      73.16     6.59    16.07     2.05     9.20    55.87    20.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         27   41   +4      68.47     6.27     6.09     0.22     1.83    25.96     7.22P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         26   40  +10      68.04     6.41    10.99     0.28     1.85    25.76     7.56P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    27   40   +2      65.65     6.17     1.45     0.08     0.61    13.61     3.34P    0.15R    0.00  
Burnley          27   39   +1      65.82     6.26     1.91     0.07     0.61    14.56     3.75P    0.17R    0.00  
Leeds_United     27   38   -6      63.03     6.27    -8.06     0.02     0.21     6.78     1.42P    0.76R    0.04  
Derby            27   37   +1      62.19     6.23    -0.54     0.01     0.16     5.46     1.25P    1.01R    0.05  
Blackburn        26   36   +2      67.62     6.54     8.50     0.24     1.71    24.20     8.36P    0.12R    0.01  
Charlton         27   36   -1      60.89     6.19    -2.75     0.00     0.07     3.58     0.84P    1.48R    0.09  
Blackpool        27   34   +4      64.13     6.34    10.35     0.05     0.38    10.90     3.52P    0.43R    0.02  
Bolton           27   33   -1      61.70     6.40     2.90     0.02     0.14     5.62     1.77P    1.24R    0.10  
Huddersfield     27   33  -12      55.05     6.17   -18.41     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.07P   11.55R    1.40  
Wolverhampton    27   32   -6      57.62     6.34    -6.67     0.01     0.02     1.34     0.35P    5.00R    0.47  
Ipswich          27   31  -21      51.96     6.06   -29.46     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   25.27R    4.06  
Birmingham       27   30   -9      58.04     6.27    -6.07     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.37P    4.51R    0.39  
Sheff_Wed        27   28  -12      49.49     6.07   -19.46     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   37.15R    7.89  
Peterborough     27   25  -13      46.10     6.11   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.00R   17.92  
Barnsley         27   24  -15      43.51     5.87   -25.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.03R   33.05  
Bristol_City     26   22  -16      43.46     6.18   -26.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.01R   34.51  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 January 2013, Coventry vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        28   53  +19      79.97     5.98    22.46    11.76    26.13    79.33    36.88P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       27   53  +16      83.86     6.33    23.15    29.72    49.68    90.96    59.29P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       26   49  +15      80.46     6.37    20.94    14.51    29.20    79.61    40.81P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   47  +13      80.23     6.16    23.70    13.11    28.55    80.35    44.74P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         26   46  +28      81.54     6.36    39.94    20.92    39.55    86.26    54.57P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.70     6.42    21.30     5.97    14.34    61.48    27.89P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     26   43  +10      73.79     6.52    14.98     2.22     6.48    42.13    13.82P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.83     6.25     4.41     0.23     0.76    12.21     2.60P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.39     6.21    -8.76     0.02     0.11     3.25     0.58P    0.37R    0.00  
Coventry        28   40  +10      69.55     6.15    17.24     0.35     1.35    19.81     6.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      62.18     6.18    -6.04     0.01     0.05     2.36     0.37P    0.68R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.48     6.40    -0.34     0.25     0.97    14.21     3.58P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall         28   38   -5      61.00     5.97    -7.58     0.00     0.01     1.15     0.17P    1.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.15     6.86    15.97     0.91     2.77    24.78     7.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   25   35   -3      59.93     6.37    -8.58     0.01     0.03     1.13     0.20P    2.31R    0.00  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.16     6.20    -0.37     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.17P    2.21R    0.01  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.76     6.18   -20.47     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   11.46R    0.13  
Shrewsbury      28   30   -4      51.80     5.93    -7.91     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.61R    0.31  
Oldham          27   27  -11      48.92     5.96   -16.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.14R    1.23  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      47.00     6.07   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.66R    2.99  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.74     5.96   -25.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.83R    5.87  
Bury            27   22  -15      43.00     5.96   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.16R    8.56  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.85     6.56   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   36.89R    2.17  
Hartlepool      26   13  -28      32.88     5.98   -39.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.51R   78.72  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 18 January 2013, Morecambe vs Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            27   52  +26      86.36     6.19    38.92    47.60    93.72    99.57    95.51P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.56     6.39    34.37    46.65    93.27    99.50    95.25P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.62     6.16     8.27     1.30    21.19    68.83    33.91P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           27   44   +3      71.33     6.20     4.86     0.84    15.63    60.27    25.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.68     6.47     8.33     1.38    22.66    67.99    33.35P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        27   42   +1      65.75     6.25    -2.86     0.10     3.41    26.46     7.17P    0.08R    0.02  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.80     6.16    22.05     1.43    25.02    73.20    41.88P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.60     6.26     5.50     0.10     3.66    28.14     9.02P    0.06R    0.01  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.18     6.16     3.79     0.07     2.98    24.91     7.56P    0.08R    0.01  
Northampton          26   39   +7      66.19     6.42     6.12     0.17     4.82    31.45    10.30P    0.09R    0.02  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.63     6.09    10.42     0.09     4.78    34.16    13.45P    0.05R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.72     6.45     2.86     0.19     5.13    33.20    11.44P    0.09R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            28   37   +1      61.37     6.01     0.40     0.00     0.61    10.31     2.57P    0.55R    0.12  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      62.15     6.22     0.97     0.02     1.08    13.02     4.34P    0.53R    0.11  
York                 27   35   -2      57.64     6.13    -7.17     0.00     0.12     3.22     0.67P    3.08R    0.88  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.84     6.39     3.07     0.04     1.47    16.13     5.33P    0.38R    0.10  
Morecambe            28   33   -3      57.16     6.00    -3.84     0.00     0.10     2.53     0.61P    3.00R    0.90  
Wycombe              27   33   -8      59.55     6.37    -7.53     0.01     0.32     6.47     1.85P    1.66R    0.42  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.96     5.79   -21.03     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.02P   20.92R    8.65  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.68     5.88   -19.51     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   33.35R   15.95  
Aldershot            26   28  -13      51.32     6.14   -18.90     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   19.10R    8.03  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.40     5.84   -13.39     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   26.57R   11.86  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   26  -18      46.48     6.09   -30.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   50.89R   31.19  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.00     6.26   -25.59     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   39.52R   21.72  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 January 2013, AFC_Telford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.16     5.97    42.49    46.22    96.17    64.19P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     26   49  +16      80.73     6.53    22.64    10.30    74.55    20.47P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.87     6.28    37.07    23.05    89.25    41.88P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       26   45  +17      78.15     6.45    25.70     5.57    62.75    18.37P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      27   44  +16      75.62     6.10    24.61     2.21    46.55    12.73P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.63     6.62    23.86    11.07    73.94    29.45P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.80     6.19     3.28     0.03     3.58     0.47P    0.20R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      27   38   +6      65.62     6.21     8.38     0.04     5.00     1.10P    0.12R    0.00  
Mansfield          24   38   +4      72.30     6.91    10.34     1.20    26.44     6.57P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield       26   36   -2      66.50     6.60     2.60     0.07     6.40     1.28P    0.23R    0.02  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.98     6.83     6.90     0.24    13.08     3.15P    0.09R    0.01  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.74     6.53   -20.34     0.00     0.30     0.05P    7.76R    0.97  
Southport          26   34   -6      58.72     6.41   -11.13     0.00     0.50     0.09P    3.76R    0.42  
Alfreton_Town      26   33  -11      56.37     6.28   -18.38     0.00     0.13     0.01P    8.67R    1.20  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.53     6.62    -1.32     0.00     0.38     0.05P    5.67R    0.73  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.86     6.25    -8.29     0.00     0.14     0.01P    6.10R    0.75  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      55.95     6.38   -18.38     0.00     0.14     0.02P    9.38R    1.44  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.28     6.65    -2.82     0.00     0.68     0.12P    3.47R    0.41  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.92     6.06   -14.59     0.00     0.02     0.00P   17.24R    3.04  
AFC_Telford        28   28   -6      48.50     5.82   -12.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.00R   10.15  
Stockport          26   28  -10      51.22     6.30   -17.37     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.51R    6.01  
Nuneaton           27   28  -13      49.61     6.28   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.60R   10.11  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.59     6.19   -26.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.49R   26.56  
Barrow             25   23  -22      44.21     6.25   -35.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.70R   38.17