Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 17 January 2013 at 23:30:02 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 January 2013, Chelsea vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       22   55  +27      89.27     5.08    48.87    83.32    98.63    99.90    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      22   48  +24      81.55     5.08    43.18    15.90    85.70    97.80    99.60   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       22   42  +24      72.41     5.34    37.33     0.72    12.77    66.99    87.61    99.11     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     22   40  +12      65.82     5.62    17.88     0.04     1.39    14.52    43.64    87.89     0.00     0.00  
Everton       22   37   +9      61.43     5.40    12.45     0.00     0.16     3.54    15.61    66.46     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       21   34  +16      65.74     5.61    29.74     0.03     1.31    16.23    47.13    89.29     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     22   33   +1      52.65     5.38    -3.31     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.74     9.80     0.04R    0.00  
Liverpool     22   31   +7      57.39     5.53    13.54     0.00     0.03     0.89     5.18    36.42     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       22   30   +5      49.98     5.42     1.60     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25     4.74     0.15R    0.00  
Stoke         22   29   -3      49.49     5.39    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     3.32     0.33R    0.00  
West_Ham      21   26   -3      45.50     5.56    -9.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.97     2.56R    0.13  
Norwich       22   26  -10      43.96     5.26   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.39     4.38R    0.22  
Fulham        22   25   -5      44.59     5.42    -9.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.49     2.99R    0.15  
Sunderland    22   25   -5      45.68     5.48    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.92     2.11R    0.09  
Southampton   22   22  -10      39.14     5.42   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    20.15R    2.65  
Newcastle     22   21  -12      41.89     5.53   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     9.42R    0.92  
Wigan         22   19  -17      35.52     5.19   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.58R    9.72  
Aston_Villa   22   19  -25      34.42     5.11   -36.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.51R   14.69  
Reading       22   16  -16      31.93     5.19   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.09R   26.00  
QPR           22   14  -19      29.61     5.13   -29.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.69R   45.41  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2013, Barnsley vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          27   57  +19      89.26     6.24    28.44    72.37    88.57    99.44    91.76P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             27   49   +8      77.26     6.19    11.36     4.99    20.74    76.60    33.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        27   47  +25      79.84     6.19    35.21    12.31    40.79    89.43    57.07P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   47  +15      75.59     6.28    18.81     3.33    16.04    69.93    28.34P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    27   47   +9      75.83     6.29    13.13     3.80    16.23    69.64    28.70P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   43  +12      73.16     6.56    16.07     2.07     9.54    55.61    19.96P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         27   41   +4      68.50     6.24     6.16     0.25     1.93    26.11     7.27P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         26   40  +10      67.97     6.40    10.87     0.30     1.90    25.07     7.35P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    27   40   +2      65.80     6.17     1.67     0.08     0.66    13.84     3.39P    0.15R    0.00  
Burnley          27   39   +1      65.69     6.31     1.75     0.09     0.70    14.11     3.63P    0.21R    0.00  
Leeds_United     27   38   -6      62.99     6.23    -8.14     0.02     0.21     6.48     1.39P    0.77R    0.03  
Derby            27   37   +1      62.26     6.16    -0.48     0.02     0.15     5.50     1.26P    0.86R    0.05  
Blackburn        26   36   +2      67.75     6.56     8.72     0.29     1.81    24.62     8.73P    0.10R    0.00  
Charlton         27   36   -1      60.96     6.24    -2.64     0.02     0.11     3.82     0.98P    1.49R    0.08  
Blackpool        27   34   +4      64.11     6.37    10.36     0.03     0.40    10.91     3.61P    0.52R    0.03  
Bolton           27   33   -1      61.70     6.45     2.92     0.01     0.16     5.62     1.78P    1.33R    0.07  
Huddersfield     27   33  -12      55.01     6.19   -18.47     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.08P   11.51R    1.29  
Wolverhampton    27   32   -6      57.67     6.34    -6.61     0.00     0.02     1.27     0.34P    4.92R    0.38  
Ipswich          27   31  -21      51.90     6.08   -29.54     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   25.04R    3.96  
Birmingham       27   30   -9      58.27     6.30    -5.71     0.00     0.02     1.50     0.41P    4.07R    0.33  
Sheff_Wed        27   28  -12      49.39     6.11   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   37.37R    8.03  
Peterborough     27   25  -13      45.93     6.13   -22.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.23R   18.37  
Barnsley         27   24  -15      43.44     5.85   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.86R   32.82  
Bristol_City     26   22  -16      43.36     6.16   -26.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.45R   34.55  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 January 2013, Coventry vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        28   53  +19      80.21     5.96    22.77    12.39    27.10    80.36    38.16P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       27   53  +16      83.91     6.30    23.21    29.35    49.55    91.15    59.10P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       26   49  +15      80.43     6.44    20.91    14.30    28.94    79.17    40.24P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   47  +13      80.21     6.17    23.66    12.87    28.23    80.08    44.16P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         26   46  +28      81.58     6.35    39.96    20.85    39.12    86.42    54.37P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.78     6.38    21.43     6.11    14.61    61.64    28.28P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     26   43  +10      73.99     6.51    15.26     2.37     6.68    42.93    14.48P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.85     6.25     4.44     0.17     0.72    12.07     2.46P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.22     6.17    -9.08     0.01     0.09     2.94     0.48P    0.36R    0.00  
Coventry        28   40  +10      69.54     6.09    17.19     0.34     1.23    19.50     6.16P    0.02R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      61.97     6.16    -6.32     0.01     0.04     2.08     0.35P    0.71R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.48     6.35    -0.35     0.27     0.90    13.75     3.40P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall         28   38   -5      60.95     5.91    -7.64     0.00     0.02     1.09     0.20P    1.05R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.21     6.85    16.09     0.96     2.73    24.66     7.72P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   25   35   -3      59.90     6.44    -8.65     0.01     0.04     1.26     0.22P    2.41R    0.01  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.29     6.17    -0.17     0.00     0.01     0.77     0.19P    2.21R    0.00  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.56     6.15   -20.76     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   11.87R    0.11  
Shrewsbury      28   30   -4      51.83     5.92    -7.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.27R    0.24  
Oldham          27   27  -11      48.73     5.97   -17.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.69R    1.43  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      47.06     6.09   -25.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.92R    2.91  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.82     6.03   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.99R    5.57  
Bury            27   22  -15      42.92     5.99   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.17R    8.96  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.86     6.53   -14.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   36.69R    2.15  
Hartlepool      26   13  -28      32.92     5.93   -38.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.50R   78.61  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 January 2013, Torquay vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            27   52  +26      86.25     6.21    38.72    46.91    93.37    99.57    95.23P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.53     6.37    34.35    47.08    93.00    99.51    95.03P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.74     6.16     8.49     1.26    21.67    69.41    34.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.51     6.45     8.07     1.33    21.68    67.24    32.16P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           26   43   +3      71.70     6.46     4.89     1.17    17.73    61.89    27.59P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        27   42   +1      65.71     6.21    -2.92     0.13     3.35    25.73     6.92P    0.05R    0.01  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.79     6.15    22.05     1.44    24.61    73.13    41.79P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.69     6.27     5.59     0.10     3.64    28.04     9.01P    0.07R    0.01  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.10     6.17     3.63     0.07     2.84    24.30     7.29P    0.10R    0.02  
Northampton          26   39   +7      66.02     6.38     5.87     0.15     4.37    30.38     9.58P    0.12R    0.03  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.71     6.09    10.50     0.12     4.80    34.79    13.60P    0.04R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.68     6.47     2.85     0.17     4.95    32.96    11.29P    0.06R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            28   37   +1      61.48     6.01     0.55     0.00     0.72    10.24     2.77P    0.52R    0.12  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      62.12     6.25     0.95     0.01     1.05    13.06     4.22P    0.53R    0.14  
York                 27   35   -2      57.81     6.15    -6.96     0.01     0.15     3.50     0.84P    2.91R    0.87  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.72     6.40     2.87     0.04     1.58    15.75     5.42P    0.43R    0.10  
Wycombe              27   33   -8      59.57     6.39    -7.47     0.00     0.36     6.36     1.79P    1.80R    0.46  
Morecambe            27   32   -3      57.60     6.21    -3.79     0.00     0.10     3.43     0.82P    3.17R    1.01  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.87     5.84   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   21.63R    9.33  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.73     5.82   -19.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   32.74R   15.85  
Aldershot            26   28  -13      51.43     6.16   -18.68     0.00     0.01     0.31     0.08P   18.70R    7.86  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.37     5.87   -13.46     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   27.23R   12.20  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   26  -18      46.53     6.09   -29.99     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   50.54R   30.75  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.04     6.26   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   39.35R   21.23  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 January 2013, AFC_Telford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.17     5.95    42.59    46.12    96.20    64.23P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     26   49  +16      80.60     6.55    22.48    10.16    74.09    20.55P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.89     6.34    37.15    23.25    89.10    42.15P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       26   45  +17      78.03     6.45    25.45     5.39    61.93    17.42P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      27   44  +16      75.76     6.13    24.85     2.41    47.90    13.28P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.54     6.62    23.70    10.97    73.83    29.07P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.87     6.20     3.41     0.03     3.62     0.57P    0.20R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      27   38   +6      65.54     6.20     8.26     0.04     4.85     0.94P    0.15R    0.00  
Mansfield          24   38   +4      72.35     6.93    10.33     1.30    26.66     6.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield       26   36   -2      66.63     6.64     2.78     0.09     6.85     1.56P    0.20R    0.02  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.82     6.80     6.69     0.22    12.65     3.13P    0.12R    0.01  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.71     6.52   -20.35     0.00     0.26     0.02P    7.89R    1.05  
Southport          26   34   -6      58.69     6.39   -11.19     0.00     0.45     0.07P    3.85R    0.46  
Alfreton_Town      26   33  -11      56.25     6.30   -18.61     0.00     0.10     0.01P    8.78R    1.28  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.65     6.62    -1.17     0.00     0.43     0.09P    5.20R    0.65  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.94     6.21    -8.19     0.00     0.17     0.03P    5.78R    0.65  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      55.99     6.36   -18.31     0.00     0.10     0.01P    9.24R    1.43  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.41     6.62    -2.59     0.00     0.77     0.14P    3.26R    0.34  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      53.01     6.08   -14.39     0.00     0.03     0.00P   17.31R    2.94  
AFC_Telford        28   28   -6      48.46     5.81   -12.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.26R   10.40  
Stockport          26   28  -10      51.18     6.32   -17.43     0.00     0.01     0.00    26.95R    6.10  
Nuneaton           27   28  -13      49.48     6.25   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.34R   10.46  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.57     6.20   -26.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.99R   26.85  
Barrow             25   23  -22      44.29     6.28   -35.19     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.45R   37.37