Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 16 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 January 2013, Chelsea vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       22   55  +27      89.22     5.07    48.72    83.04    98.57    99.88    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      22   48  +24      81.64     5.08    43.26    15.99    85.97    97.84    99.66   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       22   42  +24      72.41     5.36    37.35     0.89    12.60    67.19    87.76    99.05     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     22   40  +12      65.77     5.62    17.79     0.04     1.40    14.13    42.95    87.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton       22   37   +9      61.47     5.39    12.45     0.00     0.14     3.48    15.70    67.19     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       21   34  +16      65.82     5.62    29.80     0.04     1.30    16.47    47.68    89.59     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     22   33   +1      52.62     5.39    -3.34     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.73     9.67     0.04R    0.00  
Liverpool     22   31   +7      57.27     5.50    13.30     0.00     0.02     0.86     5.04    35.65     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea       22   30   +5      49.96     5.36     1.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.25     4.41     0.15R    0.00  
Stoke         22   29   -3      49.63     5.38    -4.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16     3.49     0.30R    0.01  
West_Ham      21   26   -3      45.51     5.57    -9.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.06     2.49R    0.15  
Norwich       22   26  -10      43.97     5.28   -17.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.39     4.48R    0.26  
Fulham        22   25   -5      44.68     5.43    -9.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.63     2.96R    0.19  
Sunderland    22   25   -5      45.67     5.49    -7.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.83     2.11R    0.11  
Southampton   22   22  -10      39.17     5.39   -18.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    19.84R    2.63  
Newcastle     22   21  -12      41.81     5.57   -14.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     9.90R    0.96  
Wigan         22   19  -17      35.55     5.19   -26.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.55R    9.55  
Aston_Villa   22   19  -25      34.38     5.08   -36.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.29R   14.44  
Reading       22   16  -16      31.84     5.19   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.55R   26.66  
QPR           22   14  -19      29.61     5.11   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.34R   45.04  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2013, Barnsley vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          27   57  +19      89.15     6.23    28.28    71.60    88.11    99.44    91.42P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             27   49   +8      77.18     6.20    11.30     5.06    20.44    76.14    33.50P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        27   47  +25      79.94     6.22    35.36    12.94    41.99    89.72    58.12P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   47  +15      75.62     6.23    18.82     3.49    16.06    70.68    28.24P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    27   47   +9      75.88     6.28    13.20     3.84    16.00    70.41    28.93P    0.00R    0.00  
Watford          26   43  +12      73.06     6.57    15.91     2.01     9.30    54.84    19.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         27   41   +4      68.40     6.21     5.96     0.22     1.89    25.30     7.10P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         26   40  +10      68.14     6.39    11.10     0.31     2.00    25.91     7.73P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    27   40   +2      65.76     6.19     1.59     0.07     0.70    13.85     3.45P    0.16R    0.01  
Burnley          27   39   +1      65.67     6.25     1.71     0.06     0.60    14.16     3.70P    0.19R    0.01  
Leeds_United     27   38   -6      63.11     6.29    -7.92     0.03     0.23     6.75     1.56P    0.77R    0.02  
Derby            27   37   +1      62.31     6.23    -0.35     0.02     0.21     5.71     1.37P    0.88R    0.06  
Blackburn        26   36   +2      67.65     6.54     8.54     0.27     1.80    23.91     8.27P    0.13R    0.00  
Charlton         27   36   -1      60.96     6.26    -2.64     0.01     0.09     3.84     0.93P    1.48R    0.05  
Blackpool        27   34   +4      64.11     6.32    10.30     0.05     0.39    10.63     3.40P    0.44R    0.03  
Bolton           27   33   -1      61.62     6.44     2.81     0.01     0.15     5.51     1.75P    1.27R    0.08  
Huddersfield     27   33  -12      55.16     6.16   -18.25     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.08P   11.06R    1.32  
Wolverhampton    27   32   -6      57.68     6.33    -6.59     0.00     0.01     1.31     0.32P    4.90R    0.42  
Ipswich          27   31  -21      52.05     6.10   -29.30     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   24.53R    4.01  
Birmingham       27   30   -9      57.91     6.36    -6.23     0.00     0.02     1.39     0.43P    4.80R    0.43  
Sheff_Wed        27   28  -12      49.38     6.14   -19.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   37.93R    8.23  
Peterborough     27   25  -13      46.03     6.14   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   60.09R   18.02  
Barnsley         27   24  -15      43.36     5.84   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.67R   33.58  
Bristol_City     26   22  -16      43.53     6.16   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.58R   33.74  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 16 January 2013, Coventry vs Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        28   53  +19      80.10     5.97    22.60    12.06    26.44    80.04    37.91P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       27   53  +16      83.94     6.33    23.29    29.90    50.14    91.01    59.34P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       26   49  +15      80.50     6.42    21.07    14.36    29.19    79.48    40.58P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   47  +13      80.26     6.15    23.73    13.07    28.40    80.33    44.47P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         26   46  +28      81.52     6.37    39.91    20.79    38.94    86.01    53.91P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.72     6.43    21.32     5.86    14.31    61.49    27.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     26   43  +10      73.92     6.48    15.20     2.25     6.55    42.64    14.30P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.81     6.27     4.42     0.19     0.71    12.07     2.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.29     6.21    -8.94     0.03     0.09     3.05     0.49P    0.37R    0.00  
Coventry        28   40  +10      69.56     6.12    17.24     0.29     1.33    19.78     6.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      62.10     6.17    -6.18     0.01     0.07     2.33     0.37P    0.69R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.48     6.39    -0.32     0.28     1.00    13.90     3.49P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall         28   38   -5      60.99     5.96    -7.59     0.01     0.02     1.15     0.22P    0.99R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.19     6.86    16.02     0.90     2.78    24.53     7.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   25   35   -3      59.91     6.39    -8.66     0.00     0.02     1.16     0.19P    2.23R    0.00  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.32     6.24    -0.10     0.00     0.01     0.91     0.21P    2.09R    0.00  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.59     6.18   -20.71     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   11.73R    0.14  
Shrewsbury      28   30   -4      51.77     5.89    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.66R    0.25  
Oldham          27   27  -11      48.76     5.94   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.19R    1.25  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      47.11     6.05   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.52R    2.83  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.87     6.03   -25.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.86R    5.46  
Bury            27   22  -15      42.81     5.94   -23.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.03R    8.79  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.81     6.54   -14.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.92R    2.17  
Hartlepool      26   13  -28      32.83     5.94   -39.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.58R   79.11  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 January 2013, Torquay vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            27   52  +26      86.30     6.16    38.79    47.67    93.58    99.66    95.42P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.40     6.38    34.16    46.38    92.83    99.51    94.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.77     6.16     8.55     1.32    21.71    69.39    34.39P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.66     6.46     8.29     1.39    22.30    68.04    33.15P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           26   43   +3      71.57     6.46     4.68     1.08    17.17    60.93    26.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        27   42   +1      65.80     6.21    -2.76     0.09     3.30    26.16     7.05P    0.08R    0.00  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.83     6.15    22.09     1.40    24.81    73.54    42.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.55     6.30     5.37     0.09     3.61    27.62     8.98P    0.08R    0.01  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.16     6.17     3.72     0.08     2.95    24.87     7.46P    0.10R    0.02  
Northampton          26   39   +7      66.02     6.43     5.85     0.16     4.39    30.27     9.56P    0.09R    0.01  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.66     6.11    10.50     0.12     4.88    34.13    13.65P    0.04R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.70     6.45     2.86     0.15     4.80    33.23    11.31P    0.08R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            28   37   +1      61.37     5.98     0.38     0.00     0.55     9.83     2.37P    0.54R    0.12  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      61.99     6.22     0.77     0.02     0.85    12.39     3.98P    0.55R    0.14  
York                 27   35   -2      57.87     6.13    -6.85     0.00     0.14     3.31     0.71P    2.79R    0.78  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.90     6.46     3.13     0.04     1.60    16.48     5.37P    0.45R    0.08  
Wycombe              27   33   -8      59.53     6.39    -7.51     0.01     0.37     6.16     1.88P    1.80R    0.50  
Morecambe            27   32   -3      57.62     6.26    -3.78     0.00     0.16     3.79     0.95P    3.03R    0.95  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.86     5.81   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   21.45R    9.15  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.75     5.83   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   32.71R   15.77  
Aldershot            26   28  -13      51.53     6.14   -18.61     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.06P   18.47R    7.56  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.31     5.89   -13.57     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   27.64R   12.79  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   26  -18      46.58     6.06   -29.87     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   50.35R   30.71  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.02     6.23   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   39.76R   21.38  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 January 2013, AFC_Telford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.17     5.97    42.56    45.76    96.18    64.24P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     26   49  +16      80.54     6.58    22.36    10.04    73.81    20.11P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      84.04     6.29    37.39    23.69    89.57    42.43P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       26   45  +17      78.03     6.48    25.52     5.26    61.97    17.17P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      27   44  +16      75.69     6.14    24.72     2.39    47.37    13.30P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.67     6.58    23.92    11.28    74.57    29.97P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.82     6.16     3.31     0.04     3.44     0.53P    0.15R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      27   38   +6      65.55     6.23     8.33     0.04     5.02     1.06P    0.13R    0.01  
Mansfield          24   38   +4      72.36     6.89    10.40     1.21    26.40     6.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Macclesfield       26   36   -2      66.50     6.62     2.60     0.07     6.65     1.40P    0.23R    0.02  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.83     6.82     6.70     0.21    12.67     3.10P    0.10R    0.00  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.66     6.50   -20.49     0.00     0.24     0.03P    8.02R    0.99  
Southport          26   34   -6      58.68     6.39   -11.24     0.00     0.45     0.06P    3.89R    0.44  
Alfreton_Town      26   33  -11      56.32     6.31   -18.50     0.00     0.13     0.01P    8.50R    1.17  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.67     6.60    -1.08     0.00     0.37     0.07P    5.20R    0.64  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.96     6.24    -8.16     0.00     0.18     0.03P    5.78R    0.66  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      55.95     6.37   -18.36     0.00     0.12     0.00P    9.53R    1.42  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.46     6.64    -2.56     0.00     0.77     0.13P    3.18R    0.38  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      53.05     6.12   -14.37     0.00     0.03     0.00P   16.93R    2.97  
AFC_Telford        28   28   -6      48.45     5.80   -12.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.32R   10.12  
Stockport          26   28  -10      51.32     6.32   -17.21     0.00     0.03     0.00P   25.93R    5.90  
Nuneaton           27   28  -13      49.44     6.30   -20.67     0.00     0.01     0.00    37.54R   10.30  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.58     6.22   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.98R   26.55  
Barrow             25   23  -22      44.06     6.22   -35.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.58R   38.42