Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 15 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2013, Arsenal vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       22   55  +27      89.29     5.04    48.95    83.01    98.15    99.88    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      22   48  +24      81.63     5.04    43.29    15.23    81.28    97.51    99.62    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       21   41  +24      74.16     5.47    39.82     1.67    18.14    75.27    91.93    99.51     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     22   40  +12      65.77     5.59    17.83     0.05     1.17    11.43    41.43    88.18     0.00     0.00  
Everton       22   37   +9      61.43     5.39    12.44     0.00     0.15     2.67    14.78    66.74     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       21   34  +16      65.80     5.58    29.79     0.03     1.09    12.60    46.25    89.40     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     22   33   +1      52.68     5.39    -3.31     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.75     9.81     0.04R    0.00  
Liverpool     22   31   +7      57.33     5.52    13.41     0.00     0.01     0.55     4.84    35.92     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea       22   30   +5      49.96     5.36     1.59     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.21     4.17     0.15R    0.00  
Stoke         22   29   -3      49.54     5.36    -4.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     3.38     0.23R    0.01  
West_Ham      21   26   -3      45.50     5.57    -9.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.98     2.34R    0.17  
Norwich       22   26  -10      44.06     5.29   -17.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.36     4.11R    0.27  
Fulham        22   25   -5      44.49     5.38    -9.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.52     2.92R    0.18  
Sunderland    22   25   -5      45.76     5.45    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.87     1.94R    0.07  
Southampton   21   21  -10      38.14     5.50   -21.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    25.72R    4.13  
Newcastle     22   21  -12      41.88     5.50   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     9.13R    0.91  
Wigan         22   19  -17      35.55     5.21   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.39R    9.30  
Aston_Villa   22   19  -25      34.40     5.06   -36.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.36R   14.12  
Reading       22   16  -16      31.88     5.18   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.02R   26.28  
QPR           22   14  -19      29.64     5.11   -28.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.65R   44.55  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2013, Barnsley vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          27   57  +19      89.22     6.25    28.38    71.89    88.27    99.51    91.37P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             27   49   +8      77.18     6.18    11.29     4.90    20.24    76.30    33.27P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        27   47  +25      79.97     6.21    35.42    12.74    41.64    89.75    57.78P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   47  +15      75.59     6.27    18.82     3.46    15.95    69.99    28.29P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    27   47   +9      75.87     6.26    13.17     3.78    15.98    70.28    28.90P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   43  +12      73.28     6.56    16.24     2.13     9.85    56.43    20.64P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         27   41   +4      68.47     6.25     6.06     0.22     1.92    25.74     7.36P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         26   40  +10      68.10     6.42    11.07     0.33     2.04    25.76     7.77P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    27   40   +2      65.64     6.14     1.38     0.07     0.57    13.26     3.21P    0.17R    0.00  
Burnley          27   39   +1      65.68     6.27     1.74     0.08     0.62    13.88     3.60P    0.20R    0.00  
Leeds_United     27   38   -6      62.98     6.26    -8.16     0.02     0.24     6.49     1.47P    0.79R    0.04  
Derby            27   37   +1      62.30     6.21    -0.36     0.02     0.15     5.60     1.28P    0.85R    0.04  
Blackburn        26   36   +2      67.63     6.58     8.51     0.28     1.87    23.91     8.31P    0.12R    0.01  
Charlton         27   36   -1      60.83     6.26    -2.85     0.00     0.09     3.75     0.91P    1.44R    0.08  
Blackpool        27   34   +4      64.21     6.33    10.48     0.05     0.41    10.99     3.40P    0.47R    0.02  
Bolton           27   33   -1      61.66     6.42     2.87     0.03     0.15     5.32     1.67P    1.22R    0.10  
Huddersfield     27   33  -12      55.10     6.16   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.07P   11.31R    1.28  
Wolverhampton    27   32   -6      57.63     6.32    -6.70     0.00     0.02     1.20     0.29P    4.91R    0.47  
Ipswich          27   31  -21      51.99     6.08   -29.37     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   24.72R    4.16  
Birmingham       27   30   -9      58.07     6.29    -6.01     0.00     0.01     1.38     0.37P    4.42R    0.37  
Sheff_Wed        27   28  -12      49.33     6.11   -19.70     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.22R    8.11  
Peterborough     27   25  -13      46.08     6.14   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.88R   17.47  
Barnsley         27   24  -15      43.37     5.88   -25.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.37R   33.88  
Bristol_City     26   22  -16      43.48     6.20   -26.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.84R   33.97  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2013, Carlisle vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        27   53  +20      81.57     6.18    23.78    17.28    33.99    84.97    44.60P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       27   53  +16      83.95     6.31    23.28    28.40    48.30    91.10    58.19P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       26   49  +15      80.40     6.40    20.90    13.28    27.66    79.39    39.44P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   47  +13      80.43     6.16    24.02    12.50    27.96    81.03    44.42P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         26   46  +28      81.55     6.37    39.90    19.63    37.60    86.07    53.08P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.73     6.42    21.34     5.52    13.58    61.51    27.21P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     26   43  +10      73.90     6.46    15.13     2.02     5.92    42.73    13.54P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.74     6.24     4.32     0.12     0.59    11.58     2.41P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.18     6.23    -9.16     0.03     0.10     3.17     0.48P    0.44R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      62.06     6.14    -6.22     0.01     0.06     2.14     0.34P    0.68R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.39     6.41    -0.51     0.19     0.80    13.80     3.35P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall         28   38   -5      60.93     5.92    -7.61     0.00     0.01     1.03     0.16P    1.02R    0.00  
Coventry        27   37   +9      67.74     6.37    16.00     0.16     0.72    13.72     4.36P    0.07R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.34     6.85    16.28     0.84     2.68    25.51     7.98P    0.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   25   35   -3      59.95     6.42    -8.53     0.01     0.03     1.23     0.22P    2.25R    0.01  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.43     6.20     0.04     0.00     0.01     0.90     0.20P    2.01R    0.01  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.67     6.15   -20.57     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   11.67R    0.10  
Shrewsbury      28   30   -4      51.74     5.91    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.57R    0.20  
Oldham          27   27  -11      48.78     5.99   -17.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.14R    1.34  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      46.97     6.08   -25.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.48R    3.09  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.78     6.00   -25.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.03R    5.65  
Bury            27   22  -15      42.94     5.98   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.17R    9.02  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.81     6.49   -14.40     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    36.94R    2.13  
Hartlepool      26   13  -28      32.94     5.96   -39.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.40R   78.45  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 January 2013, Torquay vs Exeter; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            27   52  +26      86.20     6.19    38.65    47.14    93.44    99.57    95.27P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.43     6.31    34.15    46.98    93.33    99.49    95.36P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               28   45   +4      72.71     6.17     8.46     1.31    21.57    69.23    33.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.57     6.45     8.15     1.42    21.94    67.42    32.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           26   43   +3      71.64     6.42     4.79     1.04    17.42    61.61    27.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        27   42   +1      65.71     6.20    -2.92     0.10     3.22    25.76     6.90P    0.09R    0.02  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.70     6.17    21.94     1.34    24.21    72.61    41.17P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.59     6.28     5.42     0.10     3.59    27.71     8.89P    0.07R    0.01  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.26     6.16     3.87     0.07     3.00    25.07     7.61P    0.09R    0.01  
Northampton          26   39   +7      66.18     6.42     6.13     0.15     4.71    31.32    10.24P    0.08R    0.01  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.76     6.12    10.62     0.12     5.00    34.65    14.09P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.68     6.43     2.84     0.17     4.74    32.60    11.24P    0.07R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            28   37   +1      61.40     6.01     0.45     0.01     0.61     9.94     2.42P    0.50R    0.10  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      62.18     6.22     1.02     0.01     0.95    12.85     4.27P    0.50R    0.14  
York                 27   35   -2      57.75     6.15    -7.06     0.00     0.15     3.29     0.65P    2.86R    0.81  
Torquay              26   34   +1      62.85     6.42     3.08     0.05     1.56    16.16     5.49P    0.42R    0.06  
Wycombe              27   33   -8      59.50     6.41    -7.58     0.00     0.41     6.23     1.76P    1.85R    0.50  
Morecambe            27   32   -3      57.77     6.25    -3.51     0.00     0.14     3.87     0.96P    2.90R    0.85  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.90     5.79   -21.15     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.04P   21.17R    8.85  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.70     5.80   -19.54     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   32.72R   15.63  
Aldershot            26   28  -13      51.42     6.16   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   18.99R    7.80  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.33     5.92   -13.52     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   27.51R   12.65  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   26  -18      46.52     6.07   -29.95     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   50.57R   30.93  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.01     6.28   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   39.55R   21.60  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 15 January 2013, AFC_Telford vs Luton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.21     5.96    42.59    46.19    96.10    64.34P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     26   49  +16      80.69     6.54    22.58    10.11    74.28    20.43P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.87     6.35    37.16    22.94    88.86    41.42P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       26   45  +17      78.09     6.39    25.59     5.37    61.91    17.58P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      27   44  +16      75.85     6.12    25.02     2.53    48.25    13.70P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              25   43  +10      80.78     6.59    24.09    11.32    74.81    29.91P    0.00     0.00  
Dartford           28   41   +5      64.76     6.21     3.21     0.03     3.36     0.54P    0.25R    0.01  
Cambridge_Utd      27   38   +6      65.52     6.16     8.26     0.03     4.80     1.06P    0.15R    0.00  
Mansfield          24   38   +4      72.34     6.90    10.36     1.15    26.14     6.29P    0.02R    0.00  
Macclesfield       26   36   -2      66.56     6.63     2.64     0.08     6.69     1.46P    0.22R    0.01  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.85     6.84     6.76     0.24    12.59     2.95P    0.09R    0.00  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.72     6.49   -20.37     0.00     0.21     0.01P    7.87R    0.98  
Southport          26   34   -6      58.65     6.43   -11.29     0.00     0.45     0.07P    4.01R    0.46  
Alfreton_Town      26   33  -11      56.38     6.27   -18.35     0.00     0.14     0.01P    8.42R    1.21  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.52     6.61    -1.41     0.00     0.36     0.05P    5.51R    0.79  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.95     6.20    -8.17     0.00     0.14     0.04P    5.73R    0.74  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      55.86     6.37   -18.60     0.00     0.13     0.02P    9.61R    1.47  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.34     6.63    -2.70     0.00     0.71     0.13P    3.30R    0.35  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.97     6.08   -14.47     0.00     0.02     0.01P   17.32R    3.12  
AFC_Telford        28   28   -6      48.55     5.78   -12.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.73R    9.87  
Stockport          26   28  -10      51.16     6.32   -17.44     0.00     0.04     0.00    26.86R    6.32  
Nuneaton           27   28  -13      49.52     6.26   -20.56     0.00     0.00     0.00P   37.13R   10.15  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.59     6.17   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00P   62.25R   26.56  
Barrow             25   23  -22      44.19     6.28   -35.38     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.55R   37.95