Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 14 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2013, Arsenal vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       22   55  +27      89.27     5.03    48.93    82.98    98.21    99.87   100.00   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      22   48  +24      81.55     5.10    43.16    15.32    80.75    97.39    99.56    99.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       21   41  +24      74.18     5.45    39.87     1.64    18.77    75.50    91.87    99.50     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     22   40  +12      65.78     5.62    17.82     0.04     1.12    11.36    41.77    87.67     0.00     0.00  
Everton       22   37   +9      61.50     5.38    12.52     0.00     0.14     2.78    15.08    66.75     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       21   34  +16      65.71     5.59    29.67     0.01     0.98    12.44    45.71    89.01     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     22   33   +1      52.60     5.36    -3.39     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.68     9.31     0.03R    0.00  
Liverpool     22   31   +7      57.49     5.52    13.63     0.00     0.03     0.57     4.91    36.91     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       22   30   +5      49.92     5.41     1.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.22     4.37     0.16R    0.00  
Stoke         22   29   -3      49.58     5.40    -4.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.15     3.62     0.28R    0.00  
West_Ham      21   26   -3      45.53     5.59    -9.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.97     2.43R    0.14  
Norwich       22   26  -10      43.97     5.22   -17.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33     4.10R    0.26  
Fulham        22   25   -5      44.59     5.42    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.55     2.83R    0.14  
Sunderland    22   25   -5      45.76     5.47    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.87     1.91R    0.10  
Southampton   21   21  -10      38.11     5.46   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    25.59R    4.09  
Newcastle     22   21  -12      41.93     5.50   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     8.84R    0.86  
Wigan         22   19  -17      35.59     5.18   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    43.56R    9.25  
Aston_Villa   22   19  -25      34.35     5.07   -36.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.91R   14.60  
Reading       22   16  -16      31.85     5.16   -27.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.55R   26.18  
QPR           22   14  -19      29.63     5.11   -29.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.82R   44.37  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2013, Barnsley vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          27   57  +19      89.26     6.29    28.37    72.13    88.45    99.46    91.46P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             27   49   +8      77.09     6.20    11.17     4.86    20.10    75.80    33.28P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        27   47  +25      79.87     6.24    35.29    12.62    41.40    89.44    57.72P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   47  +15      75.66     6.23    18.94     3.47    16.28    70.69    28.46P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    27   47   +9      75.76     6.26    13.04     3.71    15.52    69.69    27.98P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   43  +12      73.24     6.60    16.17     2.16    10.00    56.13    20.62P    0.00R    0.00  
Millwall         27   41   +4      68.44     6.21     6.06     0.20     1.89    25.88     7.37P    0.05R    0.00  
Brighton         26   40  +10      68.11     6.41    11.06     0.32     2.09    25.76     7.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    27   40   +2      65.66     6.16     1.48     0.10     0.63    13.47     3.32P    0.20R    0.00  
Burnley          27   39   +1      65.78     6.28     1.85     0.10     0.68    14.39     3.82P    0.19R    0.01  
Leeds_United     27   38   -6      63.04     6.33    -8.05     0.03     0.25     6.82     1.54P    0.74R    0.02  
Derby            27   37   +1      62.25     6.18    -0.44     0.01     0.16     5.49     1.28P    0.85R    0.03  
Blackburn        26   36   +2      67.56     6.57     8.41     0.24     1.83    23.68     8.35P    0.13R    0.01  
Charlton         27   36   -1      60.79     6.22    -2.92     0.01     0.08     3.58     0.88P    1.56R    0.10  
Blackpool        27   34   +4      64.02     6.41    10.15     0.03     0.42    10.76     3.47P    0.53R    0.01  
Bolton           27   33   -1      61.77     6.46     3.01     0.01     0.20     5.82     1.84P    1.27R    0.07  
Huddersfield     27   33  -12      55.07     6.17   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.08P   11.47R    1.32  
Wolverhampton    27   32   -6      57.78     6.29    -6.47     0.00     0.01     1.24     0.33P    4.84R    0.38  
Ipswich          27   31  -21      51.99     6.11   -29.39     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   25.14R    4.01  
Birmingham       27   30   -9      58.13     6.30    -5.95     0.00     0.01     1.33     0.36P    4.51R    0.38  
Sheff_Wed        27   28  -12      49.47     6.13   -19.47     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   37.25R    8.19  
Peterborough     27   25  -13      46.02     6.14   -22.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   60.27R   18.01  
Barnsley         27   24  -15      43.36     5.85   -25.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.45R   33.68  
Bristol_City     26   22  -16      43.52     6.16   -26.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.51R   33.78  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2013, Carlisle vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        27   53  +20      81.44     6.12    23.62    16.19    32.85    84.94    43.65P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       27   53  +16      84.10     6.32    23.52    29.27    49.70    91.42    59.53P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       26   49  +15      80.45     6.38    20.95    13.43    27.62    79.47    39.29P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   47  +13      80.18     6.21    23.62    11.95    26.85    79.62    43.44P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         26   46  +28      81.56     6.41    39.92    19.85    38.00    85.91    53.54P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.70     6.43    21.32     5.55    13.49    60.93    27.24P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     26   43  +10      73.95     6.46    15.23     2.17     6.09    42.97    13.68P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.88     6.29     4.52     0.20     0.68    12.35     2.45P    0.05R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.31     6.19    -8.92     0.03     0.10     3.12     0.48P    0.39R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      61.97     6.18    -6.37     0.01     0.06     2.22     0.32P    0.73R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.45     6.40    -0.42     0.25     0.90    13.99     3.47P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall         28   38   -5      61.01     5.95    -7.56     0.00     0.02     1.17     0.21P    0.99R    0.00  
Coventry        27   37   +9      67.91     6.34    16.24     0.19     0.83    14.18     4.36P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.35     6.88    16.21     0.89     2.75    25.53     7.93P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   25   35   -3      59.96     6.40    -8.59     0.01     0.04     1.20     0.22P    2.24R    0.02  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.25     6.21    -0.20     0.00     0.01     0.86     0.19P    2.14R    0.01  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.57     6.17   -20.77     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.01P   11.95R    0.10  
Shrewsbury      28   30   -4      51.82     5.93    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   18.34R    0.20  
Oldham          27   27  -11      48.74     5.93   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.17R    1.14  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      47.05     6.11   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.24R    2.96  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.72     6.01   -25.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.49R    5.70  
Bury            27   22  -15      42.97     5.99   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.14R    8.67  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.84     6.51   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   36.47R    2.21  
Hartlepool      26   13  -28      32.83     5.91   -39.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.55R   79.01  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2013, AFC_Wimbledon vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            27   52  +26      86.34     6.20    38.85    47.71    93.52    99.50    95.40P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.49     6.38    34.29    46.08    92.85    99.49    94.83P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               27   44   +4      72.90     6.41     8.16     1.60    22.87    69.45    34.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.59     6.43     8.20     1.37    21.73    67.60    32.25P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           26   43   +3      71.62     6.41     4.77     1.05    17.11    61.11    26.79P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        27   42   +1      65.75     6.14    -2.89     0.12     3.15    25.62     6.82P    0.07R    0.01  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.74     6.17    21.93     1.33    24.17    72.84    41.25P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.53     6.27     5.38     0.08     3.49    27.41     8.65P    0.06R    0.01  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.15     6.14     3.75     0.07     2.87    24.45     7.39P    0.08R    0.02  
Northampton          26   39   +7      65.98     6.41     5.80     0.14     4.31    29.95     9.69P    0.11R    0.03  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.74     6.13    10.57     0.16     4.82    34.76    13.89P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.65     6.42     2.78     0.19     4.75    32.29    11.18P    0.08R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            28   37   +1      61.43     6.02     0.46     0.01     0.63    10.15     2.61P    0.55R    0.13  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      62.14     6.22     0.99     0.02     0.99    12.88     4.21P    0.55R    0.16  
York                 27   35   -2      57.81     6.15    -6.99     0.00     0.18     3.36     0.75P    2.94R    0.88  
Torquay              25   33   +1      63.29     6.59     3.21     0.06     2.00    18.47     6.41P    0.42R    0.11  
Wycombe              27   33   -8      59.56     6.39    -7.47     0.01     0.36     6.46     1.86P    1.82R    0.44  
Morecambe            27   32   -3      57.70     6.22    -3.62     0.00     0.18     3.54     0.97P    2.95R    0.86  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.88     5.83   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   21.58R    9.19  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.67     5.81   -19.55     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.53R   16.08  
Aldershot            26   28  -13      51.47     6.13   -18.70     0.00     0.01     0.34     0.06P   18.81R    7.75  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.30     5.83   -13.53     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   27.31R   12.52  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   26  -18      46.61     6.06   -29.85     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   50.02R   30.55  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.11     6.28   -25.43     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   39.08R   21.24  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2013, Woking vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.14     5.97    42.48    44.47    95.89    63.37P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     26   49  +16      80.67     6.54    22.58     9.83    73.40    19.85P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.87     6.26    37.14    22.24    88.63    41.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       26   45  +17      78.12     6.48    25.64     5.49    61.18    17.73P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      27   44  +16      75.72     6.18    24.79     2.43    46.32    12.92P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +10      81.64     6.77    24.95    14.15    77.80    32.51P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   38   +8      68.23     6.38    12.34     0.20    10.51     2.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Dartford           27   38   +3      62.69     6.40     0.42     0.00     1.96     0.28P    0.68R    0.03  
Macclesfield       25   36   +0      68.57     6.88     5.64     0.27    11.43     2.60P    0.09R    0.00  
Mansfield          23   35   +2      70.34     7.15     7.73     0.68    18.23     4.20P    0.06R    0.00  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.94     6.80     6.87     0.22    12.57     2.88P    0.08R    0.00  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.71     6.48   -20.45     0.00     0.22     0.03P    7.30R    0.85  
Southport          26   34   -6      58.74     6.40   -11.10     0.00     0.42     0.07P    3.44R    0.34  
Alfreton_Town      26   33  -11      56.45     6.27   -18.28     0.00     0.10     0.01P    7.50R    0.88  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.68     6.60    -1.11     0.00     0.34     0.06P    4.70R    0.62  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.97     6.23    -8.18     0.00     0.14     0.02P    5.33R    0.55  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      56.01     6.36   -18.25     0.00     0.12     0.01P    8.60R    1.23  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.36     6.67    -2.71     0.00     0.69     0.09P    2.99R    0.31  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.88     6.06   -14.63     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.25R    2.61  
Stockport          25   28   -8      53.00     6.55   -14.72     0.00     0.05     0.00P   17.32R    3.46  
AFC_Telford        27   27   -6      48.20     5.99   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.17R   10.05  
Nuneaton           26   25  -15      46.30     6.43   -25.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.78R   21.01  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.62     6.21   -26.93     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.88R   23.87  
Barrow             25   23  -22      44.24     6.26   -35.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.77R   34.18