Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 13 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2013, Arsenal vs Man_City; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       22   55  +27      89.21     5.04    48.79    82.71    98.01    99.85    99.99   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      22   48  +24      81.58     5.09    43.21    15.47    80.87    97.39    99.62   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       21   41  +24      74.19     5.47    39.81     1.77    18.63    75.29    91.93    99.49     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     22   40  +12      65.75     5.64    17.79     0.03     1.19    11.20    41.31    87.76     0.00     0.00  
Everton       22   37   +9      61.48     5.36    12.48     0.00     0.13     2.55    14.51    66.99     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       21   34  +16      65.85     5.62    29.86     0.02     1.13    13.10    46.96    89.40     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     22   33   +1      52.68     5.39    -3.30     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.78     9.93     0.03R    0.00  
Liverpool     22   31   +7      57.30     5.50    13.36     0.00     0.03     0.52     4.55    35.85     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       22   30   +5      50.01     5.34     1.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15     4.42     0.12R    0.00  
Stoke         22   29   -3      49.57     5.36    -4.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.13     3.38     0.25R    0.00  
West_Ham      21   26   -3      45.44     5.56    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.87     2.53R    0.13  
Norwich       22   26  -10      44.02     5.27   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.36     4.09R    0.27  
Fulham        22   25   -5      44.61     5.41    -9.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.54     2.74R    0.15  
Sunderland    22   25   -5      45.75     5.45    -7.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.84     1.97R    0.08  
Southampton   21   21  -10      38.08     5.49   -21.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    25.94R    4.06  
Newcastle     22   21  -12      41.88     5.53   -14.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     9.01R    0.97  
Wigan         22   19  -17      35.63     5.21   -26.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.43R    9.14  
Aston_Villa   22   19  -25      34.33     5.05   -36.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.69R   14.51  
Reading       22   16  -16      31.86     5.18   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.37R   26.35  
QPR           22   14  -19      29.65     5.08   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.83R   44.34  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2013, Barnsley vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          27   57  +19      89.24     6.27    28.41    71.85    88.32    99.46    91.35P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             27   49   +8      77.14     6.16    11.23     4.98    20.02    76.22    33.15P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        27   47  +25      79.95     6.20    35.37    12.66    41.72    89.92    57.93P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   47  +15      75.62     6.26    18.82     3.54    16.17    70.26    28.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    27   47   +9      75.82     6.26    13.16     3.72    15.92    69.76    28.69P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   43  +12      73.23     6.61    16.19     2.14     9.79    56.02    20.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         27   41   +4      68.46     6.25     6.08     0.21     1.91    25.63     7.23P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         26   40  +10      68.02     6.46    10.93     0.37     2.01    25.49     7.57P    0.07R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    27   40   +2      65.70     6.18     1.48     0.06     0.58    13.40     3.24P    0.21R    0.01  
Burnley          27   39   +1      65.72     6.31     1.82     0.09     0.69    14.28     3.74P    0.22R    0.01  
Leeds_United     27   38   -6      63.03     6.25    -8.08     0.01     0.18     6.45     1.41P    0.72R    0.03  
Derby            27   37   +1      62.25     6.20    -0.49     0.02     0.17     5.55     1.30P    0.90R    0.05  
Blackburn        26   36   +2      67.77     6.52     8.78     0.29     1.82    24.52     8.65P    0.09R    0.01  
Charlton         27   36   -1      60.88     6.23    -2.76     0.01     0.11     3.68     0.88P    1.48R    0.06  
Blackpool        27   34   +4      64.09     6.35    10.29     0.03     0.38    10.74     3.52P    0.53R    0.03  
Bolton           27   33   -1      61.66     6.42     2.86     0.02     0.17     5.50     1.79P    1.37R    0.09  
Huddersfield     27   33  -12      55.18     6.13   -18.21     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.09P   10.86R    1.12  
Wolverhampton    27   32   -6      57.58     6.32    -6.78     0.00     0.02     1.20     0.34P    5.12R    0.43  
Ipswich          27   31  -21      51.93     6.13   -29.53     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   25.38R    4.08  
Birmingham       27   30   -9      58.06     6.26    -6.04     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.37P    4.42R    0.39  
Sheff_Wed        27   28  -12      49.45     6.10   -19.48     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   37.31R    7.82  
Peterborough     27   25  -13      45.97     6.14   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.42R   18.37  
Barnsley         27   24  -15      43.42     5.88   -25.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.10R   33.59  
Bristol_City     26   22  -16      43.49     6.17   -26.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.75R   33.91  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2013, Carlisle vs Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        27   53  +20      81.52     6.17    23.70    17.01    33.96    84.87    44.48P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       27   53  +16      83.99     6.29    23.33    28.72    48.69    91.43    58.65P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       26   49  +15      80.46     6.38    20.95    13.41    27.85    79.83    39.41P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   47  +13      80.28     6.14    23.76    12.11    27.27    80.37    43.84P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         26   46  +28      81.61     6.35    39.98    19.77    37.92    86.37    53.53P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.62     6.40    21.20     5.40    13.24    60.81    26.98P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     26   43  +10      73.96     6.48    15.26     2.07     5.93    43.07    13.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.88     6.25     4.51     0.17     0.67    12.20     2.45P    0.04R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.26     6.17    -9.00     0.02     0.11     3.02     0.46P    0.37R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      62.09     6.15    -6.18     0.01     0.05     2.16     0.33P    0.69R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.48     6.42    -0.34     0.25     0.91    14.09     3.51P    0.06R    0.00  
Walsall         28   38   -5      61.06     5.98    -7.46     0.00     0.01     1.21     0.22P    1.01R    0.00  
Coventry        27   37   +9      67.85     6.31    16.11     0.15     0.63    13.78     4.20P    0.06R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.15     6.92    16.01     0.91     2.70    24.64     7.85P    0.05R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   25   35   -3      59.86     6.42    -8.73     0.00     0.04     1.18     0.18P    2.34R    0.01  
Preston         27   34   +1      59.14     6.21    -0.41     0.00     0.01     0.87     0.15P    2.25R    0.01  
Carlisle        27   32  -15      54.72     6.15   -20.53     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   11.44R    0.14  
Shrewsbury      28   30   -4      51.80     5.89    -7.93     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   18.58R    0.21  
Oldham          27   27  -11      48.78     5.94   -17.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.05R    1.24  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      47.03     6.09   -25.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.23R    2.92  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.77     6.04   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.30R    5.84  
Bury            27   22  -15      42.97     5.97   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.15R    8.67  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.78     6.52   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   36.96R    2.24  
Hartlepool      26   13  -28      32.92     5.93   -39.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.42R   78.70  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2013, AFC_Wimbledon vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            27   52  +26      86.28     6.18    38.78    46.84    93.21    99.61    95.18P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.54     6.40    34.35    46.79    92.92    99.50    94.99P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               27   44   +4      72.92     6.40     8.21     1.62    22.69    69.20    34.92P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.56     6.44     8.13     1.43    21.69    67.34    32.11P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           26   43   +3      71.75     6.44     4.91     1.14    17.62    61.73    27.47P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        27   42   +1      65.71     6.25    -2.88     0.12     3.26    25.66     6.77P    0.07R    0.02  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.79     6.15    22.04     1.36    24.01    73.09    41.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.67     6.28     5.55     0.08     3.60    27.85     8.89P    0.07R    0.02  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.14     6.19     3.70     0.07     3.00    24.48     7.41P    0.09R    0.02  
Northampton          26   39   +7      66.08     6.41     5.98     0.16     4.37    30.50     9.79P    0.10R    0.02  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.59     6.08    10.36     0.13     4.42    33.50    13.02P    0.04R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.69     6.43     2.87     0.16     4.81    32.67    11.13P    0.07R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            28   37   +1      61.42     5.99     0.48     0.01     0.62     9.92     2.48P    0.56R    0.13  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      62.05     6.22     0.87     0.01     0.94    12.59     4.11P    0.51R    0.11  
York                 27   35   -2      57.91     6.15    -6.80     0.00     0.15     3.49     0.76P    2.68R    0.81  
Torquay              25   33   +1      63.39     6.58     3.36     0.06     2.22    18.80     6.67P    0.33R    0.08  
Wycombe              27   33   -8      59.45     6.36    -7.68     0.00     0.31     5.93     1.68P    1.79R    0.48  
Morecambe            27   32   -3      57.61     6.24    -3.76     0.00     0.14     3.46     0.90P    3.05R    0.98  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.89     5.81   -21.11     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P   21.30R    8.92  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.68     5.80   -19.57     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   32.78R   15.72  
Aldershot            26   28  -13      51.59     6.17   -18.51     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P   18.00R    7.36  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.32     5.89   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   27.20R   12.59  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   26  -18      46.55     6.08   -29.93     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   50.40R   30.57  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      47.86     6.28   -25.81     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   40.97R   22.16  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 13 January 2013, Woking vs Ebbsfleet_United; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.15     5.97    42.48    44.37    96.07    63.33P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     26   49  +16      80.65     6.56    22.56     9.95    73.28    19.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.86     6.33    37.10    22.50    88.51    41.08P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       26   45  +17      78.03     6.48    25.51     5.25    60.83    17.05P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      27   44  +16      75.70     6.14    24.73     2.24    46.36    12.58P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +10      81.69     6.79    25.05    14.31    77.61    32.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   38   +8      68.28     6.39    12.43     0.16    10.63     2.37P    0.04R    0.00  
Dartford           27   38   +3      62.71     6.41     0.49     0.02     1.92     0.31P    0.60R    0.06  
Macclesfield       25   36   +0      68.52     6.85     5.57     0.20    11.34     2.62P    0.11R    0.01  
Mansfield          23   35   +2      70.46     7.19     7.91     0.76    18.69     4.41P    0.05R    0.00  
Hereford           25   35   -1      69.05     6.77     7.04     0.23    12.47     3.07P    0.08R    0.00  
Woking             26   35  -10      56.69     6.52   -20.48     0.00     0.25     0.04P    7.10R    0.84  
Southport          26   34   -6      58.67     6.44   -11.20     0.00     0.48     0.07P    3.46R    0.34  
Alfreton_Town      26   33  -11      56.38     6.30   -18.38     0.00     0.11     0.01P    7.75R    0.99  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.65     6.67    -1.17     0.00     0.43     0.07P    4.88R    0.63  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.93     6.21    -8.24     0.00     0.14     0.01P    5.24R    0.61  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      55.95     6.35   -18.38     0.00     0.13     0.01P    8.56R    1.17  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.34     6.62    -2.74     0.00     0.68     0.12P    2.84R    0.34  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.79     6.07   -14.76     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.61R    2.60  
Stockport          25   28   -8      52.93     6.54   -14.84     0.00     0.06     0.00P   17.81R    3.51  
AFC_Telford        27   27   -6      48.29     6.00   -13.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.71R   10.06  
Nuneaton           26   25  -15      46.46     6.39   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.94R   20.39  
Ebbsfleet_United   26   24  -16      45.55     6.21   -26.97     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.73R   24.58  
Barrow             25   23  -22      44.32     6.24   -35.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.48R   33.87