Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 12 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2013, Aston_Villa vs Southampton; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       21   52  +26      88.33     5.27    49.06    84.16    97.45    99.72    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      21   45  +22      79.61     5.35    40.63    12.89    70.96    92.83    98.37    99.95     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       21   41  +24      74.14     5.50    39.79     2.67    24.93    71.92    90.39    99.36     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     22   40  +12      65.84     5.56    17.93     0.07     1.92    11.22    37.14    87.08     0.00     0.00  
Everton       22   37   +9      61.43     5.38    12.43     0.01     0.26     2.41    12.16    64.30     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       20   34  +18      67.54     5.84    32.53     0.21     4.39    20.93    55.80    92.19     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     22   33   +1      52.63     5.39    -3.34     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.49     8.83     0.04R    0.00  
Liverpool     21   31   +8      58.03     5.70    13.23     0.00     0.08     0.88     5.34    38.70     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea       22   30   +5      49.98     5.39     1.59     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.19     4.03     0.15R    0.00  
Stoke         22   29   -3      49.62     5.35    -4.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11     3.08     0.27R    0.00  
West_Ham      21   26   -3      45.39     5.54   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.83     2.54R    0.11  
Norwich       22   26  -10      43.93     5.28   -17.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25     4.39R    0.29  
Fulham        22   25   -5      44.66     5.45    -9.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.50     2.76R    0.17  
Sunderland    22   25   -5      45.68     5.47    -7.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.75     2.03R    0.08  
Southampton   21   21  -10      38.22     5.53   -21.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    25.63R    4.04  
Newcastle     22   21  -12      41.88     5.53   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     9.12R    0.99  
Wigan         22   19  -17      35.54     5.20   -26.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.43R    9.69  
Aston_Villa   22   19  -25      34.50     5.08   -36.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.84R   13.94  
Reading       22   16  -16      31.90     5.18   -27.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.90R   25.97  
QPR           22   14  -19      29.62     5.08   -28.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.91R   44.70  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2013, Barnsley vs Leeds_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          27   57  +19      89.37     6.23    28.55    72.57    88.75    99.50    91.89P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             27   49   +8      77.16     6.22    11.28     4.84    20.32    76.15    33.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        27   47  +25      79.97     6.21    35.40    12.16    41.38    90.01    57.75P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   27   47  +15      75.55     6.25    18.73     3.36    15.71    70.05    28.02P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    27   47   +9      75.87     6.29    13.19     3.94    16.30    70.29    28.86P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          26   43  +12      73.13     6.60    16.03     2.16     9.65    55.65    20.20P    0.01R    0.00  
Millwall         27   41   +4      68.39     6.23     5.95     0.20     1.87    25.69     7.32P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton         26   40  +10      68.07     6.38    11.05     0.31     2.02    25.45     7.48P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest    27   40   +2      65.60     6.14     1.34     0.07     0.63    13.11     3.26P    0.19R    0.01  
Burnley          27   39   +1      65.66     6.24     1.65     0.05     0.56    13.92     3.57P    0.19R    0.00  
Leeds_United     27   38   -6      63.01     6.26    -8.10     0.03     0.20     6.53     1.39P    0.78R    0.02  
Derby            27   37   +1      62.17     6.19    -0.55     0.02     0.18     5.46     1.20P    0.94R    0.04  
Blackburn        26   36   +2      67.62     6.59     8.53     0.23     1.73    24.25     8.49P    0.15R    0.01  
Charlton         27   36   -1      61.02     6.28    -2.53     0.01     0.12     3.90     0.91P    1.59R    0.08  
Blackpool        27   34   +4      64.13     6.33    10.35     0.04     0.39    11.01     3.55P    0.47R    0.03  
Bolton           27   33   -1      61.72     6.43     2.97     0.01     0.14     5.69     1.77P    1.25R    0.08  
Huddersfield     27   33  -12      55.08     6.18   -18.39     0.00     0.00     0.43     0.08P   11.48R    1.33  
Wolverhampton    27   32   -6      57.57     6.36    -6.80     0.00     0.01     1.32     0.36P    5.04R    0.48  
Ipswich          27   31  -21      52.08     6.12   -29.26     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   24.47R    3.95  
Birmingham       27   30   -9      58.14     6.30    -5.93     0.00     0.02     1.43     0.42P    4.33R    0.39  
Sheff_Wed        27   28  -12      49.32     6.16   -19.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   38.48R    8.44  
Peterborough     27   25  -13      46.06     6.14   -22.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   59.96R   18.11  
Barnsley         27   24  -15      43.48     5.89   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   75.69R   32.90  
Bristol_City     26   22  -16      43.49     6.15   -26.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.90R   34.12  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2013, Bournemouth vs Swindon; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        27   53  +20      81.50     6.15    23.69    16.65    33.49    84.14    43.97P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       27   53  +16      83.91     6.32    23.28    28.60    48.40    90.46    58.19P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       26   49  +15      80.46     6.41    20.98    13.46    27.91    78.58    39.22P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       27   47  +13      80.15     6.16    23.59    11.93    26.51    78.94    42.81P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         26   46  +28      81.62     6.34    40.02    20.07    38.09    86.06    53.44P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         26   43  +12      76.65     6.39    21.27     5.36    13.15    60.02    26.46P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     26   43  +10      73.85     6.49    15.06     2.01     6.01    41.19    13.32P    0.00     0.00  
Yeovil          27   42   +5      67.78     6.27     4.33     0.15     0.58    11.48     2.37P    0.03R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    27   41   -3      63.36     6.17    -8.83     0.01     0.08     3.00     0.42P    0.32R    0.00  
Crewe           27   40   +0      62.06     6.14    -6.27     0.01     0.06     2.06     0.32P    0.60R    0.00  
Stevenage       26   40   -2      68.44     6.39    -0.36     0.24     0.85    13.24     3.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Coventry        26   37  +10      70.10     6.57    18.48     0.63     2.05    23.09     7.99P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.29     6.84    16.19     0.86     2.73    24.15     7.60P    0.03R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   25   35   -3      59.82     6.34    -8.78     0.00     0.03     1.02     0.17P    1.99R    0.02  
Walsall         27   35   -7      58.62     6.09   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.07P    2.63R    0.00  
Preston         26   34   +3      61.42     6.40     2.97     0.00     0.04     2.04     0.43P    0.97R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      28   30   -4      51.86     5.93    -7.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.16R    0.20  
Carlisle        26   29  -16      52.44     6.36   -22.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   19.78R    0.42  
Oldham          27   27  -11      48.77     5.96   -17.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.89R    1.26  
Scunthorpe      27   25  -19      47.10     6.07   -25.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.09R    2.93  
Colchester      27   23  -19      44.70     6.01   -25.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    64.29R    5.68  
Bury            27   22  -15      42.96     5.92   -22.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.00R    8.38  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.79     6.50   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   35.69R    2.08  
Hartlepool      26   13  -28      32.85     5.90   -39.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.46R   79.02  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2013, AFC_Wimbledon vs Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Port_Vale            27   52  +26      86.20     6.20    38.63    46.63    93.13    99.59    95.08P    0.00     0.00  
Gillingham           26   51  +22      86.49     6.33    34.27    46.96    93.01    99.49    94.92P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               27   44   +4      72.91     6.42     8.18     1.71    22.60    68.97    34.81P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            26   43   +5      72.73     6.45     8.43     1.46    22.24    68.13    33.14P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           26   43   +3      71.76     6.43     4.92     1.15    17.45    61.91    27.30P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        27   42   +1      65.81     6.21    -2.77     0.08     3.21    25.89     6.81P    0.11R    0.02  
Southend             27   40  +12      72.78     6.17    22.04     1.40    23.75    72.71    40.87P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       27   40   +6      65.56     6.27     5.43     0.10     3.43    27.25     8.67P    0.07R    0.01  
Bradford             27   40   +5      65.08     6.14     3.58     0.07     2.72    24.00     7.10P    0.08R    0.01  
Northampton          26   39   +7      66.00     6.40     5.83     0.12     4.32    29.99     9.53P    0.10R    0.01  
Chesterfield         28   39   +6      66.76     6.09    10.61     0.09     4.85    34.67    13.65P    0.03R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           26   38   +1      66.69     6.44     2.84     0.15     4.78    32.74    11.28P    0.07R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            28   37   +1      61.41     6.01     0.43     0.01     0.64     9.88     2.57P    0.60R    0.14  
Rochdale             28   36   -1      62.19     6.23     1.03     0.01     1.02    12.82     4.13P    0.57R    0.12  
York                 27   35   -2      57.79     6.15    -6.99     0.01     0.16     3.30     0.78P    2.89R    0.81  
Torquay              25   33   +1      63.38     6.61     3.30     0.05     2.23    18.63     6.65P    0.39R    0.09  
Wycombe              27   33   -8      59.47     6.38    -7.59     0.00     0.30     6.02     1.73P    1.84R    0.47  
Morecambe            27   32   -3      57.54     6.24    -3.87     0.00     0.15     3.40     0.87P    3.21R    0.96  
Accrington_Stanley   28   30  -15      50.94     5.82   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   20.89R    9.00  
Barnet               28   29  -12      48.70     5.80   -19.52     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.09R   15.81  
Aldershot            26   28  -13      51.41     6.12   -18.73     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.05P   18.92R    7.77  
Plymouth             28   27  -10      49.27     5.83   -13.62     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   27.39R   12.43  
AFC_Wimbledon        26   26  -18      46.56     6.11   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   50.19R   30.86  
Bristol_Rovers       26   25  -18      48.03     6.29   -25.53     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.02P   39.54R   21.46  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 12 January 2013, Braintree_Town vs AFC_Telford; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.13     5.93    42.49    44.29    96.14    63.32P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     26   49  +16      80.64     6.54    22.54    10.00    73.44    20.04P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.97     6.36    37.31    22.96    88.79    41.65P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       26   45  +17      77.96     6.48    25.39     5.01    60.34    16.84P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      27   44  +16      75.71     6.09    24.78     2.24    46.25    12.59P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +10      81.66     6.78    24.97    14.23    77.44    32.63P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   38   +8      68.15     6.39    12.24     0.16    10.26     2.24P    0.04R    0.00  
Dartford           27   38   +3      62.58     6.41     0.28     0.01     1.81     0.27P    0.70R    0.05  
Macclesfield       25   36   +0      68.63     6.90     5.76     0.25    11.78     2.81P    0.10R    0.01  
Mansfield          23   35   +2      70.61     7.17     8.12     0.66    19.37     4.43P    0.06R    0.00  
Hereford           25   35   -1      68.80     6.84     6.67     0.19    12.20     2.86P    0.11R    0.01  
Southport          26   34   -6      58.73     6.41   -11.16     0.00     0.42     0.05P    3.52R    0.39  
Alfreton_Town      26   33  -11      56.25     6.32   -18.61     0.00     0.10     0.02P    8.28R    1.21  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.74     6.65    -1.04     0.00     0.38     0.05P    4.85R    0.66  
Lincoln_City       27   32   -6      56.91     6.20    -8.21     0.00     0.10     0.01P    5.44R    0.63  
Woking             25   32  -11      55.19     6.77   -21.45     0.00     0.15     0.01P   12.41R    2.24  
Braintree_Town     26   32  -12      56.08     6.37   -18.16     0.00     0.13     0.03P    8.58R    1.24  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.55     6.70    -2.42     0.00     0.81     0.15P    2.93R    0.31  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      53.02     6.06   -14.49     0.00     0.02     0.00P   15.96R    2.70  
Stockport          25   28   -8      52.80     6.52   -15.01     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.46R    3.68  
AFC_Telford        27   27   -6      48.24     6.01   -13.85     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.77R   10.97  
Nuneaton           26   25  -15      46.35     6.42   -25.01     0.00     0.01     0.00P   55.76R   21.64  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   24  -15      47.03     6.47   -25.96     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.86R   19.05  
Barrow             25   23  -22      44.28     6.26   -35.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.17R   35.22