Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 11 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Chelsea vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       21   52  +26      88.44     5.21    49.35    85.35    98.04    99.73    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      21   45  +22      79.64     5.34    40.72    12.74    75.88    93.32    98.21    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     21   39  +12      66.86     5.83    19.03     0.16     3.38    18.19    44.01    87.25     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       20   38  +20      72.29     5.74    35.21     1.51    17.35    59.13    81.94    97.93     0.00     0.00  
Everton       21   36   +9      62.46     5.57    13.43     0.01     0.54     4.81    16.44    66.47     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       20   34  +18      67.38     5.83    32.27     0.23     4.71    23.40    52.27    90.24     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     21   33   +2      54.42     5.65    -1.62     0.00     0.01     0.24     1.33    12.86     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool     21   31   +8      58.03     5.72    13.22     0.00     0.10     1.09     5.17    34.00     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       21   29   +5      49.86     5.58     0.82     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20     3.58     0.19R    0.00  
Stoke         21   29   +1      51.05     5.60    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.35     4.64     0.12R    0.00  
West_Ham      20   26   +0      47.25     5.81    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.56     1.20R    0.05  
Norwich       21   25  -10      44.48     5.51   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33     3.60R    0.19  
Fulham        21   24   -5      45.66     5.66    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.80     2.03R    0.09  
Sunderland    21   22   -8      43.78     5.67   -10.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.27     4.45R    0.32  
Newcastle     21   20  -12      42.15     5.79   -14.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     8.42R    0.87  
Aston_Villa   21   19  -24      36.18     5.34   -34.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.54R    7.08  
Southampton   20   18  -11      36.21     5.74   -23.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    36.72R    7.00  
Wigan         21   18  -17      35.34     5.36   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.35R    8.57  
Reading       21   13  -17      29.86     5.39   -28.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.90R   35.54  
QPR           21   13  -19      29.40     5.32   -30.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.47R   40.29  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 11 January 2013, Wolverhampton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          26   56  +19      90.76     6.48    30.34    75.16    90.00    99.66    92.61P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             26   49  +10      79.62     6.34    14.75     7.51    30.46    85.50    43.54P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   47  +16      77.03     6.47    19.95     4.23    19.70    75.87    32.05P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   47  +10      77.91     6.56    15.26     5.53    22.84    78.34    35.83P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   44  +21      77.95     6.43    30.80     5.94    25.08    81.82    43.36P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   40  +11      70.99     6.76    14.18     0.88     4.91    41.52    13.43P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         26   40   +4      68.54     6.50     5.62     0.19     1.83    26.08     7.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   38   -4      65.13     6.53    -4.96     0.05     0.52    11.99     2.78P    0.38R    0.01  
Brighton         25   37   +9      66.46     6.56    10.04     0.14     1.11    18.28     5.12P    0.12R    0.00  
Derby            26   37   +2      63.55     6.36     0.45     0.02     0.26     8.07     1.86P    0.54R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    26   37   +1      64.56     6.37     1.25     0.04     0.39    10.22     2.46P    0.31R    0.01  
Blackburn        26   36   +2      67.84     6.56     8.82     0.17     1.55    24.10     8.22P    0.10R    0.00  
Burnley          26   36   +0      63.85     6.46     0.34     0.04     0.30     9.08     2.21P    0.46R    0.02  
Blackpool        26   34   +5      65.79     6.55    11.80     0.07     0.73    16.41     5.45P    0.22R    0.01  
Charlton         26   33   -2      58.97     6.44    -4.26     0.00     0.03     2.02     0.44P    3.10R    0.18  
Bolton           26   32   -1      62.46     6.68     3.50     0.02     0.22     7.23     2.31P    1.04R    0.05  
Wolverhampton    27   32   -6      57.67     6.35    -6.63     0.00     0.03     1.26     0.36P    4.41R    0.36  
Huddersfield     26   32  -12      55.23     6.34   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P   10.34R    1.09  
Ipswich          26   30  -21      51.29     6.22   -31.44     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   26.96R    4.30  
Birmingham       26   29   -9      58.71     6.52    -5.64     0.00     0.02     1.98     0.57P    3.72R    0.28  
Peterborough     26   25  -12      47.15     6.33   -21.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.67R   11.65  
Sheff_Wed        26   25  -14      46.62     6.25   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.46R   14.83  
Bristol_City     25   22  -12      45.13     6.38   -21.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.55R   20.23  
Barnsley         26   21  -17      41.10     6.05   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.57R   46.96  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, Crewe vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        26   50  +18      79.88     6.30    21.71    11.46    24.81    76.68    35.67P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       26   50  +15      82.32     6.54    22.30    20.65    38.54    85.37    49.36P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +15      82.94     6.34    27.76    24.03    43.93    88.72    57.93P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   46  +13      78.84     6.58    18.98     9.01    20.41    70.45    31.87P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         25   45  +28      81.94     6.61    39.96    22.44    40.35    86.08    55.15P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         25   42  +12      77.92     6.62    22.62     8.03    18.27    67.05    32.44P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     25   42  +10      73.87     6.67    14.62     2.38     6.64    41.39    14.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    26   41   -1      64.63     6.41    -7.02     0.04     0.25     5.14     0.90P    0.27R    0.00  
Stevenage       25   40   -1      69.89     6.57     0.76     0.45     1.79    19.17     5.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          26   39   +3      65.06     6.41     0.56     0.07     0.27     5.81     1.05P    0.21R    0.00  
Crewe           26   39   +0      62.39     6.41    -6.31     0.03     0.10     2.73     0.46P    0.72R    0.00  
Coventry        26   37  +10      70.08     6.51    18.49     0.56     1.95    22.86     7.62P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.26     6.91    16.15     0.81     2.60    24.49     7.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Walsall         27   35   -7      58.70     6.13   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.07P    2.88R    0.01  
Preston         26   34   +3      61.16     6.36     2.59     0.01     0.05     1.85     0.39P    1.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   24   34   -3      60.35     6.62    -8.62     0.01     0.05     1.62     0.31P    2.18R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      27   29   -4      52.62     6.13    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   15.88R    0.30  
Carlisle        26   29  -16      52.49     6.36   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   20.46R    0.44  
Oldham          26   27   -9      50.13     6.13   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.00R    0.86  
Colchester      26   23  -18      46.48     6.23   -24.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.89R    3.79  
Scunthorpe      26   22  -20      45.19     6.32   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.12R    5.86  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.85     6.52   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.66R    2.05  
Bury            26   21  -15      42.43     6.12   -24.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.50R   10.69  
Hartlepool      25   12  -28      33.04     6.14   -39.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.09R   75.98  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2013, Morecambe vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           25   51  +23      88.30     6.58    35.96    60.12    93.82    99.63    95.68P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            26   49  +25      84.16     6.41    36.94    30.46    84.38    98.59    88.82P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   43   +7      75.56     6.66    12.68     3.56    32.83    78.83    44.20P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   42   +3      72.64     6.67     5.72     1.53    18.45    63.39    28.26P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               26   41   +1      70.29     6.60     3.66     0.67    10.45    49.76    20.40P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             26   40  +15      74.83     6.36    26.03     2.59    31.42    79.30    48.31P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       26   40   +9      68.59     6.53    10.85     0.32     7.18    42.07    15.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             26   40   +6      66.79     6.38     5.16     0.16     4.02    30.34     9.42P    0.01R    0.01  
Northampton          25   39  +10      67.77     6.67     9.52     0.26     6.24    37.41    12.65P    0.04R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        26   39   +0      63.84     6.42    -4.28     0.03     1.54    16.06     3.80P    0.13R    0.03  
Chesterfield         27   36   +3      64.84     6.34     7.17     0.06     2.05    21.95     7.74P    0.08R    0.02  
Rochdale             27   36   +0      63.75     6.45     2.36     0.04     1.43    16.95     5.39P    0.18R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   +0      64.45     6.63     0.98     0.07     2.08    20.10     6.10P    0.13R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            27   34   +0      59.77     6.23    -0.61     0.00     0.28     5.82     1.40P    0.76R    0.17  
York                 26   34   -2      57.57     6.35    -7.88     0.00     0.13     3.06     0.62P    1.99R    0.58  
Torquay              24   33   +2      65.06     6.81     4.73     0.11     3.00    24.20     8.51P    0.14R    0.02  
Morecambe            26   32   -2      59.23     6.46    -2.35     0.01     0.26     5.28     1.37P    1.23R    0.34  
Wycombe              26   32   -8      60.06     6.63    -7.29     0.01     0.44     6.73     1.95P    1.08R    0.24  
Accrington_Stanley   27   30  -13      52.42     6.03   -18.83     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P   10.56R    3.73  
Barnet               27   26  -14      45.86     5.92   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.58R   22.06  
Aldershot            25   25  -15      49.47     6.35   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.05P   22.17R    9.28  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   25  -18      46.73     6.32   -30.19     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   39.76R   20.76  
Plymouth             27   24  -11      47.61     6.08   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   29.10R   13.30  
Bristol_Rovers       25   22  -21      45.04     6.41   -30.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   50.03R   29.41  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2013, Alfreton_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.09     5.97    42.45    44.75    96.02    63.51P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.93     6.34    37.24    23.43    89.02    42.17P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     25   46  +14      78.55     6.75    19.73     6.19    62.10    15.01P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       25   44  +17      79.03     6.62    26.45     7.39    67.32    20.07P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +10      81.65     6.80    24.93    14.42    77.90    33.12P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   41  +14      73.44     6.36    21.80     1.25    33.10     8.41P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   38   +8      68.22     6.43    12.42     0.16    11.18     2.42P    0.04R    0.00  
Dartford           27   38   +3      62.65     6.37     0.38     0.01     1.89     0.31P    0.66R    0.04  
Macclesfield       25   36   +0      68.63     6.90     5.75     0.28    12.41     2.79P    0.12R    0.00  
Mansfield          22   35   +4      72.40     7.39    10.83     1.63    28.50     7.31P    0.05R    0.00  
Hereford           24   34   -1      70.24     7.03     8.32     0.48    17.85     4.48P    0.07R    0.00  
Southport          26   34   -6      58.79     6.42   -11.04     0.00     0.53     0.05P    3.50R    0.34  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.73     6.66    -1.01     0.00     0.45     0.07P    4.97R    0.65  
Lincoln_City       26   32   -4      58.68     6.44    -5.59     0.00     0.48     0.09P    3.51R    0.37  
Woking             25   32  -11      55.21     6.83   -21.40     0.00     0.24     0.03P   12.78R    2.20  
Alfreton_Town      25   32  -11      55.79     6.39   -19.95     0.00     0.11     0.01P    9.83R    1.39  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.40     6.60    -2.67     0.00     0.76     0.14P    2.94R    0.34  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.93     6.05   -14.55     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.32R    2.67  
Braintree_Town     25   29  -13      54.44     6.52   -19.14     0.00     0.08     0.01P   14.11R    2.59  
Stockport          25   28   -8      52.85     6.53   -14.98     0.00     0.05     0.01P   18.35R    3.68  
AFC_Telford        26   27   -5      49.44     6.18   -12.99     0.00     0.01     0.00P   33.40R    8.18  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   24  -15      46.91     6.41   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.71R   19.41  
Nuneaton           25   24  -15      46.40     6.59   -25.51     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.90R   22.41  
Barrow             25   23  -22      44.21     6.24   -35.30     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.74R   35.73