Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 11 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Chelsea vs QPR; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_Utd 21 52 +26 88.44 5.21 49.35 85.35 98.04 99.73 99.97 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 21 45 +22 79.64 5.34 40.72 12.74 75.88 93.32 98.21 99.93 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 39 +12 66.86 5.83 19.03 0.16 3.38 18.19 44.01 87.25 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 20 38 +20 72.29 5.74 35.21 1.51 17.35 59.13 81.94 97.93 0.00 0.00 Everton 21 36 +9 62.46 5.57 13.43 0.01 0.54 4.81 16.44 66.47 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 34 +18 67.38 5.83 32.27 0.23 4.71 23.40 52.27 90.24 0.00 0.00 West_Brom 21 33 +2 54.42 5.65 -1.62 0.00 0.01 0.24 1.33 12.86 0.02R 0.00 Liverpool 21 31 +8 58.03 5.72 13.22 0.00 0.10 1.09 5.17 34.00 0.00 0.00 Swansea 21 29 +5 49.86 5.58 0.82 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.20 3.58 0.19R 0.00 Stoke 21 29 +1 51.05 5.60 -0.74 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.35 4.64 0.12R 0.00 West_Ham 20 26 +0 47.25 5.81 -6.09 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.07 1.56 1.20R 0.05 Norwich 21 25 -10 44.48 5.51 -17.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.33 3.60R 0.19 Fulham 21 24 -5 45.66 5.66 -8.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.80 2.03R 0.09 Sunderland 21 22 -8 43.78 5.67 -10.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.27 4.45R 0.32 Newcastle 21 20 -12 42.15 5.79 -14.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 8.42R 0.87 Aston_Villa 21 19 -24 36.18 5.34 -34.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.54R 7.08 Southampton 20 18 -11 36.21 5.74 -23.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 36.72R 7.00 Wigan 21 18 -17 35.34 5.36 -27.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.35R 8.57 Reading 21 13 -17 29.86 5.39 -28.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.90R 35.54 QPR 21 13 -19 29.40 5.32 -30.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.47R 40.29Championship (Latest match accounted for: Friday 11 January 2013, Wolverhampton vs Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Cardiff 26 56 +19 90.76 6.48 30.34 75.16 90.00 99.66 92.61P 0.00 0.00 Hull 26 49 +10 79.62 6.34 14.75 7.51 30.46 85.50 43.54P 0.00 0.00 Crystal_Palace 26 47 +16 77.03 6.47 19.95 4.23 19.70 75.87 32.05P 0.00 0.00 Middlesbrough 26 47 +10 77.91 6.56 15.26 5.53 22.84 78.34 35.83P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 26 44 +21 77.95 6.43 30.80 5.94 25.08 81.82 43.36P 0.00 0.00 Watford 25 40 +11 70.99 6.76 14.18 0.88 4.91 41.52 13.43P 0.02R 0.00 Millwall 26 40 +4 68.54 6.50 5.62 0.19 1.83 26.08 7.28P 0.04R 0.00 Leeds_United 26 38 -4 65.13 6.53 -4.96 0.05 0.52 11.99 2.78P 0.38R 0.01 Brighton 25 37 +9 66.46 6.56 10.04 0.14 1.11 18.28 5.12P 0.12R 0.00 Derby 26 37 +2 63.55 6.36 0.45 0.02 0.26 8.07 1.86P 0.54R 0.02 Nott'm_Forest 26 37 +1 64.56 6.37 1.25 0.04 0.39 10.22 2.46P 0.31R 0.01 Blackburn 26 36 +2 67.84 6.56 8.82 0.17 1.55 24.10 8.22P 0.10R 0.00 Burnley 26 36 +0 63.85 6.46 0.34 0.04 0.30 9.08 2.21P 0.46R 0.02 Blackpool 26 34 +5 65.79 6.55 11.80 0.07 0.73 16.41 5.45P 0.22R 0.01 Charlton 26 33 -2 58.97 6.44 -4.26 0.00 0.03 2.02 0.44P 3.10R 0.18 Bolton 26 32 -1 62.46 6.68 3.50 0.02 0.22 7.23 2.31P 1.04R 0.05 Wolverhampton 27 32 -6 57.67 6.35 -6.63 0.00 0.03 1.26 0.36P 4.41R 0.36 Huddersfield 26 32 -12 55.23 6.34 -18.74 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.08P 10.34R 1.09 Ipswich 26 30 -21 51.29 6.22 -31.44 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 26.96R 4.30 Birmingham 26 29 -9 58.71 6.52 -5.64 0.00 0.02 1.98 0.57P 3.72R 0.28 Peterborough 26 25 -12 47.15 6.33 -21.82 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 49.67R 11.65 Sheff_Wed 26 25 -14 46.62 6.25 -23.32 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 53.46R 14.83 Bristol_City 25 22 -12 45.13 6.38 -21.84 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 61.55R 20.23 Barnsley 26 21 -17 41.10 6.05 -28.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.57R 46.96League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, Crewe vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Tranmere 26 50 +18 79.88 6.30 21.71 11.46 24.81 76.68 35.67P 0.00 0.00 Doncaster 26 50 +15 82.32 6.54 22.30 20.65 38.54 85.37 49.36P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 26 47 +15 82.94 6.34 27.76 24.03 43.93 88.72 57.93P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 25 46 +13 78.84 6.58 18.98 9.01 20.41 70.45 31.87P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 25 45 +28 81.94 6.61 39.96 22.44 40.35 86.08 55.15P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 25 42 +12 77.92 6.62 22.62 8.03 18.27 67.05 32.44P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 25 42 +10 73.87 6.67 14.62 2.38 6.64 41.39 14.00P 0.00R 0.00 Crawley_Town 26 41 -1 64.63 6.41 -7.02 0.04 0.25 5.14 0.90P 0.27R 0.00 Stevenage 25 40 -1 69.89 6.57 0.76 0.45 1.79 19.17 5.22P 0.03R 0.00 Yeovil 26 39 +3 65.06 6.41 0.56 0.07 0.27 5.81 1.05P 0.21R 0.00 Crewe 26 39 +0 62.39 6.41 -6.31 0.03 0.10 2.73 0.46P 0.72R 0.00 Coventry 26 37 +10 70.08 6.51 18.49 0.56 1.95 22.86 7.62P 0.03R 0.00 Notts_County 24 36 +10 70.26 6.91 16.15 0.81 2.60 24.49 7.55P 0.03R 0.00 Walsall 27 35 -7 58.70 6.13 -10.59 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.07P 2.88R 0.01 Preston 26 34 +3 61.16 6.36 2.59 0.01 0.05 1.85 0.39P 1.04R 0.00 Leyton_Orient 24 34 -3 60.35 6.62 -8.62 0.01 0.05 1.62 0.31P 2.18R 0.01 Shrewsbury 27 29 -4 52.62 6.13 -7.31 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 15.88R 0.30 Carlisle 26 29 -16 52.49 6.36 -22.62 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 20.46R 0.44 Oldham 26 27 -9 50.13 6.13 -15.13 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 29.00R 0.86 Colchester 26 23 -18 46.48 6.23 -24.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.89R 3.79 Scunthorpe 26 22 -20 45.19 6.32 -26.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.12R 5.86 Portsmouth 26 21 -15 48.85 6.52 -14.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.66R 2.05 Bury 26 21 -15 42.43 6.12 -24.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.50R 10.69 Hartlepool 25 12 -28 33.04 6.14 -39.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.09R 75.98League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2013, Morecambe vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Gillingham 25 51 +23 88.30 6.58 35.96 60.12 93.82 99.63 95.68P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 26 49 +25 84.16 6.41 36.94 30.46 84.38 98.59 88.82P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 25 43 +7 75.56 6.66 12.68 3.56 32.83 78.83 44.20P 0.00 0.00 Cheltenham 25 42 +3 72.64 6.67 5.72 1.53 18.45 63.39 28.26P 0.00 0.00 Exeter 26 41 +1 70.29 6.60 3.66 0.67 10.45 49.76 20.40P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 26 40 +15 74.83 6.36 26.03 2.59 31.42 79.30 48.31P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 26 40 +9 68.59 6.53 10.85 0.32 7.18 42.07 15.26P 0.01R 0.00 Bradford 26 40 +6 66.79 6.38 5.16 0.16 4.02 30.34 9.42P 0.01R 0.01 Northampton 25 39 +10 67.77 6.67 9.52 0.26 6.24 37.41 12.65P 0.04R 0.01 Burton_Albion 26 39 +0 63.84 6.42 -4.28 0.03 1.54 16.06 3.80P 0.13R 0.03 Chesterfield 27 36 +3 64.84 6.34 7.17 0.06 2.05 21.95 7.74P 0.08R 0.02 Rochdale 27 36 +0 63.75 6.45 2.36 0.04 1.43 16.95 5.39P 0.18R 0.03 Oxford_Utd 25 35 +0 64.45 6.63 0.98 0.07 2.08 20.10 6.10P 0.13R 0.01 Dag_&_Red 27 34 +0 59.77 6.23 -0.61 0.00 0.28 5.82 1.40P 0.76R 0.17 York 26 34 -2 57.57 6.35 -7.88 0.00 0.13 3.06 0.62P 1.99R 0.58 Torquay 24 33 +2 65.06 6.81 4.73 0.11 3.00 24.20 8.51P 0.14R 0.02 Morecambe 26 32 -2 59.23 6.46 -2.35 0.01 0.26 5.28 1.37P 1.23R 0.34 Wycombe 26 32 -8 60.06 6.63 -7.29 0.01 0.44 6.73 1.95P 1.08R 0.24 Accrington_Stanley 27 30 -13 52.42 6.03 -18.83 0.00 0.01 0.26 0.06P 10.56R 3.73 Barnet 27 26 -14 45.86 5.92 -23.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 42.58R 22.06 Aldershot 25 25 -15 49.47 6.35 -21.25 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.05P 22.17R 9.28 AFC_Wimbledon 25 25 -18 46.73 6.32 -30.19 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 39.76R 20.76 Plymouth 27 24 -11 47.61 6.08 -14.68 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 29.10R 13.30 Bristol_Rovers 25 22 -21 45.04 6.41 -30.85 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 50.03R 29.41Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2013, Alfreton_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Wrexham 27 50 +25 87.09 5.97 42.45 44.75 96.02 63.51P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 26 48 +24 83.93 6.34 37.24 23.43 89.02 42.17P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 25 46 +14 78.55 6.75 19.73 6.19 62.10 15.01P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 25 44 +17 79.03 6.62 26.45 7.39 67.32 20.07P 0.00 0.00 Luton 24 42 +10 81.65 6.80 24.93 14.42 77.90 33.12P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 26 41 +14 73.44 6.36 21.80 1.25 33.10 8.41P 0.00R 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 38 +8 68.22 6.43 12.42 0.16 11.18 2.42P 0.04R 0.00 Dartford 27 38 +3 62.65 6.37 0.38 0.01 1.89 0.31P 0.66R 0.04 Macclesfield 25 36 +0 68.63 6.90 5.75 0.28 12.41 2.79P 0.12R 0.00 Mansfield 22 35 +4 72.40 7.39 10.83 1.63 28.50 7.31P 0.05R 0.00 Hereford 24 34 -1 70.24 7.03 8.32 0.48 17.85 4.48P 0.07R 0.00 Southport 26 34 -6 58.79 6.42 -11.04 0.00 0.53 0.05P 3.50R 0.34 Hyde_United 26 32 +2 57.73 6.66 -1.01 0.00 0.45 0.07P 4.97R 0.65 Lincoln_City 26 32 -4 58.68 6.44 -5.59 0.00 0.48 0.09P 3.51R 0.37 Woking 25 32 -11 55.21 6.83 -21.40 0.00 0.24 0.03P 12.78R 2.20 Alfreton_Town 25 32 -11 55.79 6.39 -19.95 0.00 0.11 0.01P 9.83R 1.39 Gateshead 25 31 -2 59.40 6.60 -2.67 0.00 0.76 0.14P 2.94R 0.34 Tamworth 27 31 -8 52.93 6.05 -14.55 0.00 0.02 0.00P 16.32R 2.67 Braintree_Town 25 29 -13 54.44 6.52 -19.14 0.00 0.08 0.01P 14.11R 2.59 Stockport 25 28 -8 52.85 6.53 -14.98 0.00 0.05 0.01P 18.35R 3.68 AFC_Telford 26 27 -5 49.44 6.18 -12.99 0.00 0.01 0.00P 33.40R 8.18 Ebbsfleet_United 25 24 -15 46.91 6.41 -26.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.71R 19.41 Nuneaton 25 24 -15 46.40 6.59 -25.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.90R 22.41 Barrow 25 23 -22 44.21 6.24 -35.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.74R 35.73