Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 10 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Chelsea vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       21   52  +26      88.29     5.27    49.12    84.57    97.90    99.65    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      21   45  +22      79.76     5.33    40.88    13.52    76.47    93.14    98.19    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     21   39  +12      66.88     5.80    19.02     0.16     3.21    17.79    43.72    87.46     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       20   38  +20      72.22     5.73    35.07     1.47    16.92    58.75    81.46    97.90     0.00     0.00  
Everton       21   36   +9      62.49     5.61    13.47     0.01     0.55     4.87    16.71    66.20     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       20   34  +18      67.48     5.84    32.50     0.27     4.87    24.45    52.86    90.28     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     21   33   +2      54.30     5.64    -1.82     0.00     0.01     0.21     1.20    12.43     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool     21   31   +8      58.09     5.69    13.32     0.00     0.07     1.07     5.25    34.36     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       21   29   +5      49.80     5.58     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     3.52     0.21R    0.00  
Stoke         21   29   +1      51.11     5.59    -0.62     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.32     4.83     0.14R    0.00  
West_Ham      20   26   +0      47.20     5.82    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.09     1.59     1.19R    0.04  
Norwich       21   25  -10      44.51     5.51   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.35     3.60R    0.17  
Fulham        21   24   -5      45.69     5.63    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.69     1.93R    0.11  
Sunderland    21   22   -8      43.81     5.68   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32     4.30R    0.28  
Newcastle     21   20  -12      42.17     5.76   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     8.13R    0.73  
Aston_Villa   21   19  -24      36.17     5.34   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.37R    6.89  
Southampton   20   18  -11      36.24     5.70   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    36.49R    7.02  
Wigan         21   18  -17      35.29     5.37   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    44.02R    8.69  
Reading       21   13  -17      29.79     5.38   -28.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.03R   36.21  
QPR           21   13  -19      29.42     5.33   -30.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.56R   39.87  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          26   56  +19      90.83     6.41    30.45    75.34    90.00    99.60    92.71P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             26   49  +10      79.75     6.39    14.92     7.70    30.39    85.53    43.40P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   47  +16      77.15     6.49    20.12     4.14    20.06    76.08    32.40P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   47  +10      77.83     6.47    15.12     5.12    21.92    78.36    35.00P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   44  +21      78.07     6.45    30.95     5.99    25.36    81.94    43.76P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   40  +11      70.92     6.81    14.09     0.91     5.02    40.80    13.37P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         26   40   +4      68.42     6.43     5.46     0.18     1.69    24.86     6.75P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   38   -4      65.22     6.49    -4.83     0.08     0.52    11.93     2.83P    0.30R    0.01  
Brighton         25   37   +9      66.45     6.64    10.02     0.13     1.02    18.38     5.07P    0.12R    0.00  
Derby            26   37   +2      63.49     6.37     0.35     0.02     0.26     7.94     1.81P    0.58R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    26   37   +1      64.57     6.35     1.24     0.04     0.38    10.26     2.50P    0.31R    0.01  
Burnley          26   36   +0      63.88     6.47     0.43     0.03     0.35     8.99     2.26P    0.50R    0.02  
Blackburn        25   35   +2      68.22     6.76     8.87     0.24     2.01    26.06     9.32P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackpool        26   34   +5      65.86     6.54    11.92     0.05     0.70    16.41     5.26P    0.21R    0.01  
Charlton         26   33   -2      58.92     6.42    -4.32     0.00     0.04     2.22     0.51P    2.93R    0.26  
Bolton           26   32   -1      62.45     6.62     3.51     0.02     0.21     6.82     2.11P    0.99R    0.06  
Huddersfield     26   32  -12      55.20     6.37   -18.80     0.00     0.00     0.50     0.08P   10.50R    1.07  
Wolverhampton    26   31   -6      57.98     6.55    -6.76     0.00     0.03     1.53     0.38P    4.28R    0.38  
Ipswich          26   30  -21      51.34     6.26   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   26.59R    4.35  
Birmingham       26   29   -9      58.64     6.50    -5.74     0.00     0.03     1.74     0.48P    3.66R    0.27  
Peterborough     26   25  -12      47.10     6.31   -21.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.83R   11.91  
Sheff_Wed        26   25  -14      46.54     6.20   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.83R   14.98  
Bristol_City     25   22  -12      45.07     6.36   -21.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   62.00R   20.42  
Barnsley         26   21  -17      41.17     6.07   -28.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.23R   46.22  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, Crewe vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        26   50  +18      80.12     6.36    22.02    12.38    26.07    77.65    36.76P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       26   50  +15      82.24     6.52    22.18    20.17    37.83    84.85    48.93P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +15      82.90     6.33    27.74    23.83    43.56    88.56    57.79P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   46  +13      78.68     6.61    18.74     8.82    19.74    69.27    30.90P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         25   45  +28      82.00     6.56    40.11    22.13    40.49    86.12    54.90P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         25   42  +12      78.02     6.60    22.77     8.19    18.56    67.42    32.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     25   42  +10      73.76     6.65    14.46     2.29     6.33    41.08    13.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    26   41   -1      64.62     6.42    -7.01     0.05     0.22     5.09     0.89P    0.25R    0.00  
Stevenage       25   40   -1      69.97     6.61     0.81     0.56     1.95    19.65     5.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          26   39   +3      64.99     6.43     0.45     0.07     0.26     5.74     1.14P    0.28R    0.00  
Crewe           26   39   +0      62.35     6.36    -6.42     0.02     0.08     2.55     0.43P    0.71R    0.00  
Coventry        26   37  +10      70.14     6.59    18.56     0.62     2.10    23.41     8.05P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.33     6.86    16.24     0.84     2.69    24.71     7.78P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall         27   35   -7      58.62     6.13   -10.67     0.00     0.02     0.49     0.08P    2.90R    0.01  
Preston         26   34   +3      61.21     6.37     2.63     0.01     0.06     1.83     0.42P    1.13R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   24   34   -3      60.33     6.60    -8.63     0.01     0.05     1.47     0.26P    2.12R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      27   29   -4      52.57     6.12    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   15.98R    0.26  
Carlisle        26   29  -16      52.38     6.41   -22.75     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   20.86R    0.38  
Oldham          26   27   -9      50.07     6.10   -15.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   28.92R    0.88  
Colchester      26   23  -18      46.43     6.24   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   54.24R    3.76  
Scunthorpe      26   22  -20      45.27     6.26   -26.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.15R    5.56  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.91     6.50   -14.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.88R    2.06  
Bury            26   21  -15      42.50     6.09   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.20R   10.28  
Hartlepool      25   12  -28      33.02     6.08   -39.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.27R   76.79  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2013, Morecambe vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           25   51  +23      88.41     6.56    36.12    60.82    94.30    99.65    95.98P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            26   49  +25      84.17     6.39    36.96    30.27    84.59    98.57    88.81P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   43   +7      75.40     6.61    12.47     3.17    32.10    78.40    43.38P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   42   +3      72.52     6.68     5.48     1.39    17.75    62.68    27.33P    0.00     0.00  
Exeter               26   41   +1      70.19     6.66     3.53     0.65    10.78    49.32    20.29P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             26   40  +15      74.85     6.34    26.08     2.57    31.61    79.51    48.80P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       26   40   +9      68.50     6.54    10.74     0.32     7.20    41.69    15.03P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford             26   40   +6      66.95     6.38     5.37     0.18     4.11    31.42     9.76P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          25   39  +10      67.80     6.64     9.53     0.31     6.18    37.90    12.77P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   39   +0      63.83     6.39    -4.27     0.03     1.43    16.10     3.78P    0.14R    0.02  
Chesterfield         27   36   +3      64.97     6.30     7.35     0.05     2.25    22.62     8.24P    0.08R    0.02  
Rochdale             27   36   +0      63.81     6.44     2.41     0.04     1.52    17.52     5.83P    0.13R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   +0      64.42     6.63     0.93     0.07     2.18    20.05     6.11P    0.14R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            27   34   +0      59.73     6.22    -0.68     0.00     0.27     5.84     1.40P    0.81R    0.17  
York                 26   34   -2      57.57     6.31    -7.89     0.00     0.13     2.95     0.65P    2.07R    0.52  
Torquay              24   33   +2      64.99     6.82     4.71     0.11     2.96    23.67     8.52P    0.12R    0.03  
Morecambe            26   32   -2      59.17     6.39    -2.46     0.01     0.26     4.97     1.29P    1.17R    0.32  
Wycombe              26   32   -8      60.04     6.57    -7.30     0.01     0.39     6.59     1.93P    1.04R    0.24  
Accrington_Stanley   27   30  -13      52.47     6.01   -18.74     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.07P   10.22R    3.47  
Barnet               27   26  -14      45.84     5.90   -23.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.83R   22.34  
Aldershot            25   25  -15      49.52     6.32   -21.16     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   21.71R    9.04  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   25  -18      46.66     6.27   -30.32     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   40.29R   21.34  
Plymouth             27   24  -11      47.53     6.05   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   30.04R   13.86  
Bristol_Rovers       25   22  -21      45.20     6.44   -30.54     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   49.16R   28.58  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2013, Alfreton_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.07     5.97    42.40    45.25    96.01    63.81P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.85     6.31    37.09    22.84    89.07    41.71P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     25   46  +14      78.62     6.74    19.77     6.38    62.75    15.45P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       25   44  +17      78.99     6.63    26.43     7.46    67.19    20.25P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +10      81.57     6.74    24.79    14.30    78.10    32.70P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   41  +14      73.46     6.30    21.80     1.19    33.38     8.54P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   38   +8      68.08     6.39    12.19     0.17    10.65     2.31P    0.04R    0.00  
Dartford           27   38   +3      62.70     6.43     0.45     0.01     2.00     0.30P    0.74R    0.03  
Macclesfield       25   36   +0      68.53     6.86     5.62     0.25    11.87     2.72P    0.15R    0.01  
Mansfield          22   35   +4      72.42     7.38    10.90     1.70    28.36     7.33P    0.04R    0.00  
Hereford           24   34   -1      70.15     7.01     8.20     0.44    17.93     4.50P    0.06R    0.00  
Southport          26   34   -6      58.72     6.41   -11.17     0.00     0.49     0.07P    3.48R    0.36  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.79     6.61    -0.92     0.00     0.43     0.05P    4.87R    0.64  
Lincoln_City       26   32   -4      58.75     6.41    -5.49     0.00     0.51     0.07P    3.37R    0.35  
Woking             25   32  -11      55.16     6.78   -21.52     0.00     0.17     0.02P   12.75R    2.25  
Alfreton_Town      25   32  -11      55.89     6.48   -19.74     0.00     0.18     0.02P    9.96R    1.50  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.59     6.63    -2.36     0.00     0.79     0.13P    2.78R    0.29  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.79     6.09   -14.77     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.33R    2.86  
Braintree_Town     25   29  -13      54.43     6.54   -19.14     0.00     0.07     0.01P   14.09R    2.66  
Stockport          25   28   -8      52.83     6.53   -14.99     0.00     0.04     0.00P   18.51R    3.79  
AFC_Telford        26   27   -5      49.65     6.20   -12.64     0.00     0.01     0.00    32.75R    7.68  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   24  -15      47.15     6.45   -25.77     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.29R   18.71  
Nuneaton           25   24  -15      46.22     6.60   -25.86     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.39R   23.31  
Barrow             25   23  -22      44.25     6.26   -35.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.43R   35.56