Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 9 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Chelsea vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       21   52  +26      88.35     5.26    49.19    84.98    97.90    99.71    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      21   45  +22      79.60     5.36    40.69    12.98    75.37    92.84    97.98    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     21   39  +12      66.88     5.83    19.04     0.15     3.45    18.06    43.91    87.29     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       20   38  +20      72.32     5.75    35.32     1.65    17.76    59.03    81.67    97.92     0.00     0.00  
Everton       21   36   +9      62.42     5.64    13.29     0.02     0.56     4.80    16.27    65.55     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       20   34  +18      67.55     5.78    32.54     0.23     4.86    24.07    53.12    90.96     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     21   33   +2      54.42     5.66    -1.60     0.00     0.01     0.25     1.38    12.87     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool     21   31   +8      57.98     5.74    13.18     0.00     0.09     1.19     5.13    34.08     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea       21   29   +5      49.71     5.57     0.58     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.20     3.43     0.20R    0.00  
Stoke         21   29   +1      51.14     5.58    -0.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.27     4.85     0.13R    0.00  
West_Ham      20   26   +0      47.24     5.79    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     1.59     1.16R    0.04  
Norwich       21   25  -10      44.54     5.53   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.38     3.57R    0.19  
Fulham        21   24   -5      45.69     5.68    -8.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.69     2.01R    0.11  
Sunderland    21   22   -8      43.73     5.65   -10.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29     4.34R    0.28  
Newcastle     21   20  -12      42.18     5.79   -14.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.16     8.26R    0.77  
Aston_Villa   21   19  -24      36.16     5.33   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.46R    7.02  
Southampton   20   18  -11      36.20     5.73   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    36.94R    7.18  
Wigan         21   18  -17      35.31     5.33   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.67R    8.54  
Reading       21   13  -17      29.94     5.37   -28.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.50R   35.34  
QPR           21   13  -19      29.37     5.31   -30.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.74R   40.53  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          26   56  +19      90.78     6.42    30.43    75.47    90.10    99.66    92.71P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             26   49  +10      79.60     6.40    14.75     7.67    30.30    85.09    43.21P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   47  +16      76.98     6.45    19.84     3.98    19.38    75.51    31.84P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   47  +10      77.70     6.48    14.93     5.01    21.80    77.75    34.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   44  +21      78.05     6.43    30.93     6.19    25.88    82.07    44.31P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   40  +11      71.00     6.81    14.14     0.84     5.11    41.61    13.46P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         26   40   +4      68.54     6.44     5.62     0.22     1.81    25.64     7.26P    0.06R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   38   -4      64.99     6.42    -5.15     0.03     0.44    11.21     2.48P    0.37R    0.02  
Brighton         25   37   +9      66.50     6.57    10.09     0.16     1.15    18.31     5.22P    0.14R    0.00  
Derby            26   37   +2      63.55     6.37     0.50     0.02     0.27     8.29     1.82P    0.53R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    26   37   +1      64.49     6.39     1.17     0.04     0.39    10.11     2.49P    0.37R    0.01  
Burnley          26   36   +0      64.02     6.46     0.64     0.02     0.34     9.48     2.45P    0.50R    0.02  
Blackburn        25   35   +2      68.12     6.78     8.69     0.27     1.97    25.56     8.86P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackpool        26   34   +5      65.86     6.51    11.93     0.07     0.76    16.43     5.36P    0.21R    0.01  
Charlton         26   33   -2      59.01     6.47    -4.16     0.00     0.04     2.23     0.47P    3.11R    0.21  
Bolton           26   32   -1      62.49     6.63     3.56     0.02     0.21     7.14     2.25P    1.00R    0.05  
Huddersfield     26   32  -12      55.21     6.38   -18.84     0.00     0.01     0.47     0.09P   10.56R    1.08  
Wolverhampton    26   31   -6      57.83     6.56    -6.98     0.00     0.02     1.52     0.40P    4.73R    0.42  
Ipswich          26   30  -21      51.42     6.22   -31.27     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P   26.35R    4.21  
Birmingham       26   29   -9      58.63     6.51    -5.75     0.00     0.03     1.82     0.52P    3.83R    0.29  
Peterborough     26   25  -12      47.26     6.31   -21.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.17R   11.73  
Sheff_Wed        26   25  -14      46.64     6.26   -23.30     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.80R   15.04  
Bristol_City     25   22  -12      45.18     6.41   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.43R   20.63  
Barnsley         26   21  -17      41.20     6.02   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.71R   46.26  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, Crewe vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        26   50  +18      79.89     6.32    21.72    11.58    24.78    76.46    35.22P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       26   50  +15      82.43     6.54    22.47    20.86    39.01    85.52    50.23P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +15      82.80     6.36    27.58    23.03    42.93    88.03    57.38P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   46  +13      78.82     6.58    18.95     9.00    20.11    70.43    31.37P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         25   45  +28      82.12     6.53    40.28    22.95    41.26    86.62    55.49P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         25   42  +12      78.00     6.60    22.77     8.09    18.34    67.46    32.79P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     25   42  +10      73.88     6.71    14.59     2.42     6.54    41.62    13.76P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    26   41   -1      64.60     6.37    -7.04     0.05     0.23     4.75     0.82P    0.24R    0.00  
Stevenage       25   40   -1      69.94     6.58     0.76     0.52     1.74    19.31     5.28P    0.04R    0.00  
Yeovil          26   39   +3      65.05     6.42     0.57     0.07     0.29     5.79     1.24P    0.21R    0.00  
Crewe           26   39   +0      62.31     6.45    -6.44     0.02     0.09     2.78     0.47P    0.80R    0.00  
Coventry        26   37  +10      69.97     6.58    18.33     0.61     1.98    22.47     7.52P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.38     6.81    16.32     0.78     2.60    24.76     7.65P    0.02R    0.00  
Walsall         27   35   -7      58.68     6.17   -10.54     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.09P    2.98R    0.02  
Preston         26   34   +3      61.08     6.38     2.46     0.00     0.04     1.82     0.38P    1.14R    0.01  
Leyton_Orient   24   34   -3      60.42     6.60    -8.48     0.02     0.06     1.62     0.29P    2.00R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      27   29   -4      52.55     6.15    -7.39     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   16.02R    0.24  
Carlisle        26   29  -16      52.35     6.31   -22.81     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   20.74R    0.38  
Oldham          26   27   -9      50.11     6.16   -15.11     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.78R    0.90  
Colchester      26   23  -18      46.48     6.23   -23.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.96R    3.84  
Scunthorpe      26   22  -20      45.22     6.29   -26.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    62.20R    5.63  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.85     6.52   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.35R    2.12  
Bury            26   21  -15      42.49     6.12   -24.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.33R   10.27  
Hartlepool      25   12  -28      32.94     6.15   -39.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.18R   76.58  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2013, Morecambe vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           25   51  +23      88.31     6.53    35.99    60.11    94.01    99.71    95.88P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            26   49  +25      84.31     6.42    37.19    30.89    85.14    98.56    89.28P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   43   +7      75.46     6.65    12.57     3.31    32.73    78.55    43.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   42   +3      72.60     6.62     5.64     1.40    18.12    63.36    27.92P    0.01R    0.00  
Exeter               26   41   +1      70.29     6.64     3.64     0.72    10.74    49.97    20.51P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             26   40  +15      74.72     6.36    25.94     2.56    30.99    78.83    48.07P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       26   40   +9      68.47     6.49    10.67     0.27     6.96    41.27    14.85P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             26   40   +6      66.90     6.36     5.29     0.15     4.10    31.27     9.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          25   39  +10      67.70     6.62     9.38     0.28     6.00    37.24    12.29P    0.03R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        26   39   +0      63.84     6.41    -4.28     0.04     1.34    16.00     3.69P    0.17R    0.03  
Chesterfield         27   36   +3      65.03     6.31     7.50     0.04     2.28    23.03     8.37P    0.06R    0.00  
Rochdale             27   36   +0      63.80     6.42     2.40     0.04     1.48    17.44     5.71P    0.15R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   +0      64.49     6.58     1.02     0.07     2.15    19.91     6.15P    0.15R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            27   34   +0      59.78     6.20    -0.60     0.01     0.24     5.57     1.30P    0.81R    0.19  
York                 26   34   -2      57.60     6.30    -7.89     0.00     0.13     2.92     0.64P    1.98R    0.58  
Torquay              24   33   +2      65.07     6.79     4.77     0.11     3.04    23.98     8.62P    0.11R    0.01  
Morecambe            26   32   -2      59.13     6.43    -2.49     0.00     0.21     5.08     1.36P    1.33R    0.35  
Wycombe              26   32   -8      60.07     6.58    -7.24     0.01     0.35     6.73     1.89P    0.99R    0.28  
Accrington_Stanley   27   30  -13      52.43     6.06   -18.78     0.00     0.01     0.32     0.07P   10.47R    3.73  
Barnet               27   26  -14      45.83     5.95   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.92R   22.27  
Aldershot            25   25  -15      49.52     6.32   -21.17     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P   21.31R    8.91  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   25  -18      46.65     6.27   -30.36     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   39.83R   20.94  
Plymouth             27   24  -11      47.58     6.07   -14.70     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   29.42R   13.27  
Bristol_Rovers       25   22  -21      45.00     6.39   -30.85     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   50.22R   29.39  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2013, Alfreton_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.20     5.98    42.61    45.47    96.20    64.07P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.99     6.34    37.34    23.34    89.08    42.17P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     25   46  +14      78.43     6.74    19.49     6.00    61.68    14.70P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       25   44  +17      78.83     6.70    26.15     7.00    66.21    19.56P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              24   42  +10      81.75     6.77    25.08    14.48    78.78    33.38P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   41  +14      73.56     6.32    21.97     1.25    34.14     8.97P    0.00R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   38   +8      68.15     6.40    12.22     0.19    10.87     2.27P    0.05R    0.00  
Dartford           27   38   +3      62.51     6.35     0.19     0.00     1.84     0.23P    0.73R    0.07  
Macclesfield       25   36   +0      68.55     6.87     5.63     0.23    12.37     2.64P    0.12R    0.00  
Mansfield          22   35   +4      72.44     7.27    10.92     1.55    28.46     7.38P    0.02R    0.00  
Hereford           24   34   -1      70.09     7.00     8.08     0.48    17.71     4.26P    0.08R    0.00  
Southport          26   34   -6      58.77     6.42   -11.09     0.00     0.55     0.05P    3.63R    0.41  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.64     6.65    -1.15     0.00     0.43     0.07P    5.06R    0.69  
Lincoln_City       26   32   -4      58.76     6.44    -5.40     0.00     0.44     0.09P    3.47R    0.38  
Woking             25   32  -11      55.24     6.78   -21.42     0.00     0.16     0.01P   12.36R    2.02  
Alfreton_Town      25   32  -11      55.84     6.43   -19.76     0.00     0.13     0.01P    9.86R    1.52  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.52     6.65    -2.46     0.00     0.78     0.12P    2.98R    0.31  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.90     6.06   -14.65     0.00     0.02     0.00P   16.86R    2.72  
Braintree_Town     25   29  -13      54.57     6.56   -18.95     0.00     0.09     0.02P   13.70R    2.51  
Stockport          25   28   -8      52.78     6.56   -15.13     0.00     0.04     0.00P   18.96R    3.98  
AFC_Telford        26   27   -5      49.51     6.18   -12.88     0.00     0.01     0.00    33.57R    8.18  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   24  -15      46.98     6.49   -26.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.53R   19.60  
Nuneaton           25   24  -15      46.34     6.56   -25.60     0.00     0.00     0.00P   56.01R   22.44  
Barrow             25   23  -22      44.32     6.24   -35.13     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.99R   35.18