Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 8 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Chelsea vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       21   52  +26      88.33     5.25    49.13    84.84    98.00    99.72    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      21   45  +22      79.63     5.35    40.72    13.34    75.61    93.14    98.21    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     21   39  +12      66.93     5.79    19.13     0.11     3.44    18.04    44.00    87.92     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       20   38  +20      72.28     5.74    35.19     1.49    17.45    59.02    81.45    97.84     0.00     0.00  
Everton       21   36   +9      62.44     5.62    13.42     0.01     0.57     4.87    16.67    66.28     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       20   34  +18      67.49     5.81    32.45     0.21     4.83    23.81    52.89    90.63     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     21   33   +2      54.34     5.64    -1.72     0.00     0.02     0.25     1.22    12.69     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool     21   31   +8      57.93     5.73    13.11     0.00     0.09     1.09     5.00    33.27     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea       21   29   +5      49.78     5.61     0.71     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.22     3.57     0.22R    0.00  
Stoke         21   29   +1      51.08     5.56    -0.69     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.28     4.76     0.12R    0.00  
West_Ham      20   26   +0      47.21     5.77    -6.20     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     1.57     1.09R    0.04  
Norwich       21   25  -10      44.49     5.53   -17.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.37     3.72R    0.21  
Fulham        21   24   -5      45.75     5.62    -8.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.72     1.89R    0.09  
Sunderland    21   22   -8      43.79     5.63   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.28     4.34R    0.22  
Newcastle     21   20  -12      42.24     5.77   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     8.13R    0.73  
Aston_Villa   21   19  -24      36.21     5.32   -34.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.32R    6.93  
Southampton   20   18  -11      36.14     5.76   -23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.60R    7.57  
Wigan         21   18  -17      35.32     5.38   -27.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.45R    8.79  
Reading       21   13  -17      29.94     5.42   -28.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.23R   35.19  
QPR           21   13  -19      29.41     5.27   -30.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.86R   40.23  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          26   56  +19      90.70     6.45    30.23    74.63    89.66    99.57    92.37P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             26   49  +10      79.58     6.38    14.71     7.67    29.96    84.95    42.86P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   47  +16      77.16     6.47    20.06     4.34    20.02    75.87    32.37P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   47  +10      77.94     6.50    15.32     5.53    22.67    78.44    35.60P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   44  +21      78.12     6.43    31.05     6.12    25.68    82.21    44.02P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   40  +11      70.94     6.73    14.09     0.81     4.76    40.89    12.97P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         26   40   +4      68.53     6.43     5.58     0.17     1.64    25.44     6.86P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   38   -4      65.02     6.50    -5.12     0.04     0.47    11.11     2.69P    0.39R    0.01  
Brighton         25   37   +9      66.67     6.61    10.34     0.17     1.19    18.86     5.50P    0.13R    0.00  
Derby            26   37   +2      63.43     6.40     0.24     0.03     0.30     7.73     1.72P    0.59R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    26   37   +1      64.56     6.39     1.24     0.05     0.40    10.19     2.52P    0.34R    0.00  
Burnley          26   36   +0      64.03     6.49     0.64     0.03     0.34     9.63     2.49P    0.44R    0.02  
Blackburn        25   35   +2      68.23     6.78     8.85     0.29     1.89    26.00     9.16P    0.10R    0.00  
Blackpool        26   34   +5      65.87     6.51    11.93     0.08     0.68    16.14     5.15P    0.21R    0.01  
Charlton         26   33   -2      58.81     6.49    -4.49     0.01     0.05     2.03     0.47P    3.34R    0.25  
Bolton           26   32   -1      62.40     6.66     3.41     0.02     0.23     6.96     2.22P    1.00R    0.06  
Huddersfield     26   32  -12      55.08     6.35   -18.99     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.09P   10.66R    1.12  
Wolverhampton    26   31   -6      58.02     6.59    -6.71     0.00     0.02     1.58     0.42P    4.45R    0.39  
Ipswich          26   30  -21      51.32     6.24   -31.40     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.67R    4.28  
Birmingham       26   29   -9      58.58     6.54    -5.85     0.00     0.05     1.81     0.51P    3.88R    0.32  
Peterborough     26   25  -12      47.18     6.33   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.34R   12.09  
Sheff_Wed        26   25  -14      46.65     6.24   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.12R   14.69  
Bristol_City     25   22  -12      45.12     6.42   -21.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.01R   20.56  
Barnsley         26   21  -17      41.23     6.02   -28.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.26R   46.17  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, Crewe vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        26   50  +18      79.82     6.36    21.63    11.46    24.62    76.46    35.44P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       26   50  +15      82.16     6.56    22.06    20.02    37.85    84.65    48.77P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +15      82.84     6.36    27.59    23.35    43.41    88.12    57.83P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   46  +13      78.74     6.59    18.81     9.22    20.11    70.09    31.32P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         25   45  +28      82.17     6.57    40.32    23.36    41.66    86.73    55.78P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         25   42  +12      78.00     6.60    22.78     8.14    18.59    67.64    33.14P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     25   42  +10      73.94     6.66    14.67     2.37     6.59    41.97    14.00P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    26   41   -1      64.72     6.47    -6.92     0.07     0.30     5.29     0.95P    0.24R    0.00  
Stevenage       25   40   -1      69.91     6.61     0.76     0.51     1.81    19.34     5.24P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          26   39   +3      64.96     6.41     0.38     0.06     0.28     5.77     1.13P    0.19R    0.00  
Crewe           26   39   +0      62.31     6.38    -6.45     0.01     0.06     2.58     0.41P    0.73R    0.00  
Coventry        26   37  +10      69.98     6.57    18.33     0.54     1.97    22.69     7.64P    0.03R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.31     6.82    16.21     0.85     2.63    24.46     7.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Walsall         27   35   -7      58.77     6.13   -10.44     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.07P    2.91R    0.01  
Preston         26   34   +3      61.34     6.41     2.83     0.01     0.06     1.98     0.42P    1.13R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   24   34   -3      60.36     6.61    -8.55     0.02     0.05     1.58     0.26P    2.11R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      27   29   -4      52.53     6.16    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   16.16R    0.26  
Carlisle        26   29  -16      52.42     6.39   -22.69     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   20.83R    0.36  
Oldham          26   27   -9      50.21     6.14   -14.96     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    28.70R    0.77  
Colchester      26   23  -18      46.46     6.25   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.32R    3.62  
Scunthorpe      26   22  -20      45.26     6.25   -26.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.99R    5.33  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.85     6.52   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.02R    2.08  
Bury            26   21  -15      42.41     6.15   -24.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.29R   10.50  
Hartlepool      25   12  -28      32.91     6.10   -39.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.30R   77.03  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2013, Morecambe vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           25   51  +23      88.29     6.60    35.95    59.78    93.91    99.64    95.63P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            26   49  +25      84.26     6.40    37.12    31.02    84.96    98.54    89.18P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   43   +7      75.61     6.67    12.76     3.44    33.33    79.00    44.32P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   42   +3      72.64     6.61     5.69     1.50    18.09    63.75    27.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               26   41   +1      70.31     6.63     3.72     0.66    10.96    50.25    20.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             26   40  +15      74.72     6.36    25.90     2.52    30.86    78.96    48.07P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       26   40   +9      68.35     6.47    10.50     0.29     6.39    40.78    14.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             26   40   +6      66.82     6.37     5.21     0.14     4.08    30.59     9.50P    0.03R    0.00  
Northampton          25   39  +10      67.65     6.58     9.30     0.30     5.91    36.54    12.18P    0.03R    0.01  
Burton_Albion        26   39   +0      63.87     6.38    -4.21     0.04     1.51    16.07     3.86P    0.11R    0.02  
Chesterfield         27   36   +3      64.98     6.32     7.43     0.06     2.29    22.71     8.17P    0.08R    0.01  
Rochdale             27   36   +0      63.76     6.45     2.32     0.04     1.48    17.17     5.74P    0.15R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   +0      64.70     6.59     1.30     0.06     2.15    21.00     6.47P    0.13R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            27   34   +0      59.71     6.21    -0.68     0.00     0.24     5.71     1.37P    0.77R    0.20  
York                 26   34   -2      57.56     6.30    -7.93     0.00     0.12     2.90     0.64P    2.09R    0.57  
Torquay              24   33   +2      64.99     6.83     4.68     0.13     3.07    23.72     8.64P    0.11R    0.02  
Morecambe            26   32   -2      59.26     6.43    -2.33     0.00     0.25     5.35     1.39P    1.18R    0.32  
Wycombe              26   32   -8      60.05     6.59    -7.29     0.01     0.40     6.71     1.91P    1.02R    0.22  
Accrington_Stanley   27   30  -13      52.58     6.07   -18.58     0.00     0.00     0.35     0.07P   10.22R    3.60  
Barnet               27   26  -14      45.83     5.90   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   42.67R   21.77  
Aldershot            25   25  -15      49.49     6.36   -21.21     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   21.58R    8.87  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   25  -18      46.65     6.26   -30.35     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   40.09R   21.28  
Plymouth             27   24  -11      47.53     6.07   -14.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.50R   13.58  
Bristol_Rovers       25   22  -21      45.00     6.40   -30.86     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    50.21R   29.45  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 8 January 2013, Alfreton_Town vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            27   50  +25      87.12     5.95    42.51    45.18    96.12    63.86P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.88     6.33    37.16    22.78    88.87    41.53P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     25   46  +14      78.61     6.77    19.77     6.35    62.77    15.36P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       25   44  +17      79.02     6.60    26.46     7.32    67.23    20.14P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              24   42  +10      81.60     6.80    24.85    14.56    77.84    33.28P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   41  +14      73.52     6.34    21.90     1.25    33.89     8.69P    0.01R    0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   38   +8      68.19     6.39    12.31     0.16    10.96     2.41P    0.05R    0.00  
Dartford           27   38   +3      62.58     6.41     0.26     0.01     1.91     0.31P    0.66R    0.03  
Macclesfield       25   36   +0      68.58     6.84     5.66     0.20    12.11     2.59P    0.10R    0.01  
Mansfield          22   35   +4      72.40     7.36    10.79     1.65    28.18     7.11P    0.03R    0.00  
Hereford           24   34   -1      70.11     7.01     8.13     0.51    17.52     4.32P    0.09R    0.00  
Southport          26   34   -6      58.76     6.39   -11.07     0.01     0.46     0.07P    3.50R    0.37  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.60     6.64    -1.22     0.00     0.43     0.08P    5.19R    0.61  
Lincoln_City       26   32   -4      58.81     6.48    -5.35     0.00     0.47     0.08P    3.53R    0.35  
Woking             25   32  -11      55.16     6.79   -21.54     0.00     0.21     0.01P   12.79R    2.27  
Alfreton_Town      25   32  -11      55.83     6.47   -19.83     0.00     0.12     0.01P    9.72R    1.55  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.47     6.66    -2.53     0.00     0.73     0.12P    3.14R    0.34  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.95     6.09   -14.53     0.00     0.03     0.01P   16.53R    2.74  
Braintree_Town     25   29  -13      54.41     6.55   -19.23     0.00     0.09     0.01P   14.37R    2.63  
Stockport          25   28   -8      52.93     6.52   -14.81     0.00     0.06     0.01P   18.13R    3.70  
AFC_Telford        26   27   -5      49.63     6.17   -12.69     0.00     0.01     0.00P   32.62R    7.74  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   24  -15      47.02     6.48   -25.96     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.21R   19.08  
Nuneaton           25   24  -15      46.23     6.60   -25.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.92R   23.00  
Barrow             25   23  -22      44.26     6.24   -35.26     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.42R   35.59