Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 8 January 2013 at 02:21:56 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Chelsea vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       21   52  +26      88.28     5.28    49.12    84.89    97.98    99.69    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      21   45  +22      79.57     5.38    40.63    13.14    74.92    92.77    98.00    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     21   39  +12      66.98     5.84    19.19     0.17     3.49    18.40    44.19    87.78     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       20   38  +20      72.31     5.71    35.28     1.55    17.92    59.19    81.91    98.05     0.00     0.00  
Everton       21   36   +9      62.44     5.62    13.37     0.01     0.55     4.82    16.66    65.93     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       20   34  +18      67.47     5.82    32.43     0.25     5.05    23.77    52.61    90.56     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     21   33   +2      54.30     5.61    -1.79     0.00     0.01     0.23     1.16    12.51     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool     21   31   +8      57.99     5.68    13.17     0.00     0.08     1.06     4.89    33.77     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea       21   29   +5      49.80     5.58     0.75     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     3.44     0.20R    0.00  
Stoke         21   29   +1      51.11     5.61    -0.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.33     4.82     0.14R    0.00  
West_Ham      20   26   +0      47.26     5.80    -6.08     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.10     1.66     1.16R    0.02  
Norwich       21   25  -10      44.52     5.49   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.34     3.48R    0.23  
Fulham        21   24   -5      45.79     5.67    -8.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.78     1.91R    0.09  
Sunderland    21   22   -8      43.74     5.66   -10.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.26     4.40R    0.24  
Newcastle     21   20  -12      42.17     5.73   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14     7.98R    0.71  
Aston_Villa   21   19  -24      36.18     5.35   -34.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    39.42R    6.96  
Southampton   20   18  -11      36.21     5.71   -23.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    37.02R    6.93  
Wigan         21   18  -17      35.41     5.39   -27.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.25R    8.27  
Reading       21   13  -17      29.86     5.39   -28.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.80R   35.65  
QPR           21   13  -19      29.29     5.30   -30.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.22R   40.88  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          26   56  +19      90.77     6.39    30.31    75.16    89.91    99.61    92.65P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             26   49  +10      79.66     6.35    14.81     7.66    30.49    85.63    44.19P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   47  +16      77.20     6.49    20.14     4.27    20.28    76.45    32.65P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   47  +10      77.76     6.48    15.03     5.21    21.81    77.86    34.86P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   44  +21      78.01     6.43    30.86     5.98    25.12    81.61    43.25P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   40  +11      71.01     6.84    14.22     0.91     5.18    41.49    13.43P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         26   40   +4      68.58     6.47     5.68     0.23     1.85    25.84     7.13P    0.06R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   38   -4      65.00     6.48    -5.13     0.05     0.49    11.34     2.60P    0.42R    0.02  
Brighton         25   37   +9      66.58     6.59    10.24     0.11     1.08    18.83     5.24P    0.14R    0.00  
Derby            26   37   +2      63.48     6.37     0.34     0.02     0.26     7.85     1.75P    0.55R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    26   37   +1      64.55     6.40     1.22     0.03     0.37    10.09     2.43P    0.37R    0.01  
Burnley          26   36   +0      63.81     6.48     0.30     0.02     0.29     8.73     2.12P    0.53R    0.01  
Blackburn        25   35   +2      68.10     6.80     8.67     0.25     1.93    25.68     8.85P    0.09R    0.00  
Blackpool        26   34   +5      65.88     6.52    11.93     0.07     0.65    16.51     5.31P    0.23R    0.01  
Charlton         26   33   -2      58.83     6.41    -4.44     0.00     0.03     1.87     0.43P    3.13R    0.17  
Bolton           26   32   -1      62.43     6.61     3.46     0.02     0.20     6.76     2.10P    1.04R    0.04  
Huddersfield     26   32  -12      55.19     6.35   -18.86     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P   10.51R    1.10  
Wolverhampton    26   31   -6      58.04     6.51    -6.63     0.00     0.03     1.53     0.41P    4.21R    0.37  
Ipswich          26   30  -21      51.39     6.23   -31.25     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   26.49R    4.26  
Birmingham       26   29   -9      58.58     6.50    -5.84     0.00     0.03     1.77     0.51P    3.85R    0.25  
Peterborough     26   25  -12      47.20     6.36   -21.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.76R   12.07  
Sheff_Wed        26   25  -14      46.65     6.27   -23.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.64R   14.99  
Bristol_City     25   22  -12      45.19     6.38   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.52R   20.17  
Barnsley         26   21  -17      41.20     6.08   -28.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.43R   46.49  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, Crewe vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        26   50  +18      79.97     6.35    21.81    11.71    25.44    76.93    35.99P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       26   50  +15      82.36     6.53    22.34    20.93    38.49    85.27    49.53P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +15      82.81     6.36    27.59    23.07    42.91    88.06    57.09P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   46  +13      78.74     6.59    18.81     8.90    19.94    69.59    31.02P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         25   45  +28      82.12     6.60    40.28    22.96    41.28    86.34    55.68P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         25   42  +12      78.02     6.59    22.77     7.90    18.12    67.62    32.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     25   42  +10      74.00     6.67    14.81     2.36     6.69    42.20    14.08P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    26   41   -1      64.65     6.40    -7.01     0.07     0.24     5.11     0.89P    0.21R    0.00  
Stevenage       25   40   -1      69.93     6.64     0.80     0.58     1.90    19.58     5.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Yeovil          26   39   +3      65.03     6.39     0.52     0.07     0.28     5.88     1.18P    0.23R    0.00  
Crewe           26   39   +0      62.28     6.35    -6.54     0.01     0.07     2.46     0.42P    0.69R    0.00  
Coventry        26   37  +10      70.12     6.54    18.55     0.58     2.00    22.88     7.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.24     6.85    16.10     0.84     2.55    24.12     7.46P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall         27   35   -7      58.65     6.12   -10.61     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.09P    3.02R    0.02  
Preston         26   34   +3      61.22     6.38     2.66     0.01     0.05     1.91     0.45P    1.04R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   24   34   -3      60.40     6.58    -8.49     0.01     0.04     1.50     0.27P    2.07R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      27   29   -4      52.60     6.16    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   16.02R    0.26  
Carlisle        26   29  -16      52.47     6.35   -22.63     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   20.10R    0.38  
Oldham          26   27   -9      50.20     6.16   -14.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   28.29R    0.79  
Colchester      26   23  -18      46.30     6.21   -24.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.03R    3.77  
Scunthorpe      26   22  -20      45.19     6.26   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.47R    5.41  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.79     6.50   -14.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.21R    2.18  
Bury            26   21  -15      42.41     6.13   -24.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.33R   10.61  
Hartlepool      25   12  -28      32.90     6.12   -39.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.23R   76.56  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           25   51  +23      88.45     6.57    36.12    60.85    94.09    99.71    95.85P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            26   49  +25      84.18     6.44    36.99    30.19    84.60    98.51    88.96P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   43   +7      75.42     6.65    12.48     3.29    32.45    78.30    43.45P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   42   +3      72.67     6.60     5.77     1.40    18.37    63.30    28.18P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               26   41   +1      70.29     6.65     3.68     0.59    10.86    50.16    20.55P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             26   40  +15      74.79     6.33    25.98     2.58    31.16    79.41    48.54P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       26   40   +9      68.44     6.52    10.61     0.29     6.94    41.22    14.75P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             26   40   +6      66.96     6.34     5.42     0.18     4.14    31.16     9.57P    0.03R    0.01  
Northampton          25   39  +10      67.78     6.56     9.51     0.32     6.11    37.33    12.55P    0.02R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   39   +0      63.80     6.39    -4.34     0.04     1.45    15.67     3.67P    0.12R    0.01  
Chesterfield         27   36   +3      64.81     6.31     7.17     0.07     2.17    21.79     7.83P    0.07R    0.02  
Rochdale             27   36   +0      63.68     6.42     2.24     0.02     1.42    16.80     5.54P    0.18R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   +0      64.57     6.61     1.14     0.06     2.09    20.34     6.23P    0.12R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            26   34   +1      61.07     6.43     0.33     0.01     0.52     9.01     2.23P    0.60R    0.12  
York                 26   34   -2      57.52     6.37    -8.03     0.00     0.13     2.85     0.60P    2.16R    0.57  
Torquay              24   33   +2      65.05     6.81     4.75     0.11     2.96    23.94     8.54P    0.13R    0.01  
Wycombe              26   32   -8      60.03     6.58    -7.30     0.00     0.39     6.52     1.85P    1.10R    0.27  
Accrington_Stanley   27   30  -13      52.52     6.01   -18.70     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   10.03R    3.50  
Morecambe            25   29   -3      57.62     6.62    -3.33     0.00     0.15     3.54     1.01P    2.42R    0.74  
Barnet               27   26  -14      45.96     5.96   -23.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    41.53R   21.35  
Aldershot            25   25  -15      49.36     6.34   -21.41     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.03P   22.46R    9.53  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   25  -18      46.71     6.29   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   39.62R   21.05  
Plymouth             27   24  -11      47.61     6.05   -14.67     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   29.42R   13.21  
Bristol_Rovers       25   22  -21      44.99     6.36   -30.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.97R   29.55  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, AFC_Telford vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.96     6.33    37.24    25.98    89.47    44.42P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   47  +24      86.21     6.16    42.57    42.68    94.49    61.89P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     25   46  +14      78.54     6.78    19.67     7.16    63.27    15.83P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       25   44  +17      78.87     6.64    26.19     7.98    67.68    20.93P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   41  +14      73.72     6.38    22.24     1.68    36.00     9.89P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              23   39   +5      80.00     6.98    19.75    11.14    70.13    27.69P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   38   +8      68.21     6.40    12.36     0.21    11.56     2.61P    0.05R    0.00  
Dartford           27   38   +3      62.62     6.45     0.30     0.01     2.23     0.31P    0.79R    0.05  
Mansfield          22   35   +4      72.36     7.34    10.77     1.87    29.11     7.60P    0.05R    0.00  
Hereford           23   33   -1      71.56     7.19     9.77     1.08    24.59     6.42P    0.05R    0.01  
Macclesfield       24   33   -3      66.13     7.14     1.38     0.20     7.68     1.82P    0.48R    0.05  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.63     6.61    -1.21     0.00     0.47     0.08P    5.40R    0.75  
Lincoln_City       25   32   -2      60.46     6.66    -2.88     0.00     1.25     0.20P    2.34R    0.23  
Alfreton_Town      24   32  -10      56.44     6.60   -20.11     0.00     0.24     0.02P    9.40R    1.43  
Woking             25   32  -11      55.18     6.82   -21.45     0.00     0.19     0.01P   13.35R    2.59  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.51     6.65    -2.43     0.00     0.90     0.15P    3.16R    0.40  
Southport          25   31   -8      56.64     6.60   -13.87     0.00     0.30     0.04P    7.87R    1.20  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.97     6.07   -14.45     0.00     0.01     0.00    17.31R    2.97  
Braintree_Town     24   29  -10      56.34     6.86   -15.22     0.00     0.33     0.06P    9.94R    1.88  
Stockport          25   28   -8      52.88     6.55   -14.85     0.00     0.06     0.01P   19.23R    4.06  
AFC_Telford        25   26   -5      49.19     6.40   -14.02     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.85R   10.44  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   24  -15      46.99     6.46   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.40R   20.95  
Nuneaton           25   24  -15      46.19     6.54   -25.85     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.30R   24.99  
Barrow             24   23  -17      45.70     6.45   -29.92     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.02R   28.00