Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 6 January 2013 at 23:30:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Chelsea vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       21   52  +26      88.37     5.27    49.20    85.03    98.02    99.67    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      21   45  +22      79.56     5.37    40.63    13.07    75.32    92.80    97.98    99.92     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     21   39  +12      66.92     5.82    19.08     0.15     3.48    18.37    44.17    87.77     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       20   38  +20      72.21     5.75    35.12     1.48    17.35    58.35    81.18    97.77     0.00     0.00  
Everton       21   36   +9      62.40     5.61    13.31     0.01     0.54     4.82    16.39    65.61     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       20   34  +18      67.55     5.86    32.56     0.25     5.17    24.52    53.46    90.50     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     21   33   +2      54.42     5.65    -1.60     0.00     0.03     0.25     1.32    12.85     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool     21   31   +8      58.01     5.73    13.18     0.00     0.09     1.14     4.98    33.97     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       21   29   +5      49.85     5.56     0.77     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.16     3.56     0.16R    0.01  
Stoke         21   29   +1      51.10     5.59    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.32     4.86     0.11R    0.00  
West_Ham      20   26   +0      47.27     5.80    -6.05     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.07     1.55     1.16R    0.04  
Norwich       21   25  -10      44.51     5.53   -17.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.38     3.58R    0.19  
Fulham        21   24   -5      45.65     5.67    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.74     1.97R    0.09  
Sunderland    21   22   -8      43.82     5.65   -10.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.32     4.21R    0.25  
Newcastle     21   20  -12      42.23     5.79   -14.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18     7.98R    0.82  
Aston_Villa   21   19  -24      36.18     5.36   -34.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    39.54R    7.00  
Southampton   20   18  -11      36.12     5.74   -23.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.36R    7.34  
Wigan         21   18  -17      35.26     5.35   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.60R    8.57  
Reading       21   13  -17      29.97     5.38   -28.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.27R   35.06  
QPR           21   13  -19      29.33     5.31   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.05R   40.63  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          26   56  +19      90.65     6.44    30.15    74.38    89.63    99.61    92.41P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             26   49  +10      79.74     6.39    14.93     7.97    30.99    85.76    43.77P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   47  +16      77.17     6.49    20.13     4.41    20.30    76.17    32.77P    0.00R    0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   47  +10      77.74     6.48    14.96     5.13    21.88    77.84    34.78P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   44  +21      77.95     6.46    30.80     6.18    24.73    81.23    43.10P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   40  +11      71.17     6.81    14.44     0.96     5.23    42.34    13.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         26   40   +4      68.58     6.47     5.64     0.24     1.89    25.60     7.25P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   38   -4      65.07     6.48    -5.05     0.05     0.44    11.61     2.63P    0.32R    0.01  
Brighton         25   37   +9      66.55     6.59    10.14     0.16     1.13    18.59     5.22P    0.12R    0.00  
Derby            26   37   +2      63.51     6.34     0.42     0.02     0.27     7.94     1.81P    0.47R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    26   37   +1      64.47     6.35     1.15     0.04     0.35     9.88     2.32P    0.36R    0.02  
Burnley          26   36   +0      63.92     6.47     0.49     0.03     0.33     9.27     2.26P    0.49R    0.01  
Blackburn        25   35   +2      67.94     6.78     8.40     0.30     1.81    24.64     8.69P    0.14R    0.00  
Blackpool        26   34   +5      65.88     6.52    11.93     0.08     0.70    16.40     5.30P    0.22R    0.00  
Charlton         26   33   -2      58.90     6.49    -4.32     0.01     0.06     2.22     0.51P    3.14R    0.22  
Bolton           26   32   -1      62.36     6.68     3.39     0.02     0.20     6.97     2.22P    1.04R    0.05  
Huddersfield     26   32  -12      55.26     6.39   -18.71     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.11P   10.42R    1.13  
Wolverhampton    26   31   -6      58.06     6.53    -6.66     0.00     0.03     1.51     0.40P    4.31R    0.33  
Ipswich          26   30  -21      51.38     6.22   -31.29     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   26.45R    4.09  
Birmingham       26   29   -9      58.69     6.52    -5.67     0.00     0.03     1.80     0.50P    3.75R    0.29  
Peterborough     26   25  -12      47.17     6.29   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.35R   11.96  
Sheff_Wed        26   25  -14      46.57     6.26   -23.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.25R   15.06  
Bristol_City     25   22  -12      45.15     6.39   -21.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.83R   20.44  
Barnsley         26   21  -17      41.20     6.02   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.26R   46.37  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, Crewe vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        26   50  +18      79.88     6.38    21.73    11.64    25.05    76.53    35.62P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       26   50  +15      82.14     6.49    22.03    19.72    37.51    84.60    48.37P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +15      82.77     6.36    27.55    23.50    42.84    88.16    57.30P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   46  +13      78.79     6.59    18.89     9.28    20.35    70.25    31.70P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         25   45  +28      82.13     6.55    40.26    22.95    41.69    86.58    55.94P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         25   42  +12      77.96     6.61    22.73     8.15    18.39    67.27    32.52P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     25   42  +10      74.06     6.66    14.85     2.53     6.98    42.40    14.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    26   41   -1      64.74     6.42    -6.90     0.07     0.24     5.26     0.88P    0.23R    0.00  
Stevenage       25   40   -1      69.96     6.60     0.84     0.57     1.85    19.44     5.35P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          26   39   +3      65.12     6.43     0.65     0.10     0.31     6.06     1.27P    0.20R    0.00  
Crewe           26   39   +0      62.31     6.38    -6.41     0.02     0.07     2.57     0.43P    0.76R    0.00  
Coventry        26   37  +10      69.97     6.52    18.35     0.55     1.93    22.49     7.66P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.22     6.90    16.07     0.90     2.69    24.27     7.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Walsall         27   35   -7      58.60     6.11   -10.66     0.00     0.01     0.46     0.06P    2.77R    0.02  
Preston         26   34   +3      61.30     6.38     2.77     0.01     0.05     1.94     0.40P    0.99R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   24   34   -3      60.38     6.61    -8.50     0.02     0.05     1.62     0.29P    2.07R    0.01  
Shrewsbury      27   29   -4      52.56     6.19    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   16.16R    0.30  
Carlisle        26   29  -16      52.44     6.41   -22.72     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   20.47R    0.41  
Oldham          26   27   -9      50.09     6.14   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.72R    0.89  
Colchester      26   23  -18      46.52     6.23   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.74R    3.63  
Scunthorpe      26   22  -20      45.09     6.26   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.01R    5.77  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.77     6.54   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   37.00R    2.26  
Bury            26   21  -15      42.50     6.11   -24.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.78R   10.57  
Hartlepool      25   12  -28      33.06     6.14   -39.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.03R   76.13  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           25   51  +23      88.20     6.61    35.84    58.82    93.63    99.60    95.41P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            26   49  +25      84.40     6.43    37.33    31.89    85.03    98.64    89.19P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   43   +7      75.48     6.67    12.60     3.41    32.66    78.47    43.73P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   42   +3      72.75     6.64     5.85     1.57    18.61    64.19    28.69P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               26   41   +1      70.26     6.59     3.63     0.66    10.49    49.61    20.13P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             26   40  +15      74.77     6.32    25.95     2.55    30.87    79.27    48.00P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       26   40   +9      68.51     6.51    10.74     0.27     7.09    41.61    14.93P    0.02R    0.00  
Bradford             26   40   +6      66.92     6.36     5.33     0.15     4.13    31.12     9.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Northampton          25   39  +10      67.78     6.62     9.52     0.36     6.17    37.06    12.71P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   39   +0      63.71     6.35    -4.46     0.04     1.40    15.15     3.64P    0.13R    0.02  
Chesterfield         27   36   +3      64.84     6.32     7.21     0.04     2.09    21.90     7.89P    0.09R    0.02  
Rochdale             27   36   +0      63.69     6.44     2.21     0.04     1.49    16.89     5.50P    0.17R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   +0      64.46     6.62     0.99     0.06     2.09    19.98     6.09P    0.13R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red            26   34   +1      61.13     6.41     0.38     0.01     0.56     9.11     2.28P    0.56R    0.13  
York                 26   34   -2      57.47     6.30    -8.10     0.00     0.14     2.69     0.56P    2.04R    0.52  
Torquay              24   33   +2      65.07     6.82     4.78     0.11     3.01    23.90     8.53P    0.12R    0.03  
Wycombe              26   32   -8      60.11     6.56    -7.19     0.00     0.36     6.62     1.93P    0.97R    0.26  
Accrington_Stanley   27   30  -13      52.46     6.02   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P   10.11R    3.59  
Morecambe            25   29   -3      57.72     6.62    -3.15     0.00     0.16     3.70     0.90P    2.22R    0.64  
Barnet               27   26  -14      45.80     5.92   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   42.67R   22.22  
Aldershot            25   25  -15      49.43     6.33   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   22.18R    9.19  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   25  -18      46.64     6.27   -30.39     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   39.77R   21.13  
Plymouth             27   24  -11      47.57     6.08   -14.69     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.40R   13.49  
Bristol_Rovers       25   22  -21      45.13     6.40   -30.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    49.37R   28.70  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, AFC_Telford vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.97     6.33    37.34    26.28    89.66    44.51P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   47  +24      86.14     6.16    42.42    41.88    94.48    61.18P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     25   46  +14      78.58     6.72    19.76     7.16    63.62    16.06P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       25   44  +17      78.87     6.61    26.19     8.22    67.56    21.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   41  +14      73.72     6.34    22.20     1.46    36.08     9.78P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              23   39   +5      79.96     7.03    19.76    11.50    70.11    27.89P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   38   +8      68.16     6.38    12.28     0.21    11.38     2.62P    0.05R    0.00  
Dartford           27   38   +3      62.51     6.41     0.16     0.02     2.00     0.31P    0.85R    0.05  
Mansfield          22   35   +4      72.37     7.40    10.77     2.01    29.35     7.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Hereford           23   33   -1      71.47     7.27     9.64     1.08    24.66     6.64P    0.08R    0.01  
Macclesfield       24   33   -3      66.18     7.11     1.41     0.16     7.59     1.66P    0.42R    0.02  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.72     6.59    -1.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P    5.22R    0.73  
Lincoln_City       25   32   -2      60.50     6.64    -2.80     0.00     1.11     0.19P    2.27R    0.22  
Alfreton_Town      24   32  -10      56.45     6.58   -20.09     0.00     0.25     0.02P    9.33R    1.43  
Woking             25   32  -11      55.20     6.75   -21.38     0.00     0.22     0.02P   13.41R    2.49  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.52     6.61    -2.44     0.01     0.83     0.17P    3.04R    0.39  
Southport          25   31   -8      56.57     6.61   -14.01     0.00     0.31     0.04P    8.35R    1.31  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      53.04     6.10   -14.33     0.00     0.01     0.00P   17.09R    2.96  
Braintree_Town     24   29  -10      56.40     6.81   -15.16     0.00     0.27     0.05P    9.56R    1.77  
Stockport          25   28   -8      52.81     6.55   -14.98     0.00     0.05     0.00P   19.62R    3.98  
AFC_Telford        25   26   -5      49.29     6.39   -13.87     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.44R   10.11  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   24  -15      46.89     6.41   -26.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.23R   21.00  
Nuneaton           25   24  -15      46.12     6.57   -25.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.49R   25.81  
Barrow             24   23  -17      45.80     6.51   -29.71     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.52R   27.72