Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 5 January 2013 at 23:34:59 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Chelsea vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       21   52  +26      88.35     5.26    49.16    84.76    98.02    99.71    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      21   45  +22      79.65     5.34    40.77    13.34    75.51    92.98    98.15    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     21   39  +12      66.93     5.81    19.11     0.16     3.46    18.30    44.00    87.81     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       20   38  +20      72.30     5.70    35.23     1.48    17.64    59.08    81.87    98.02     0.00     0.00  
Everton       21   36   +9      62.48     5.60    13.46     0.01     0.54     4.90    16.69    66.14     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       20   34  +18      67.43     5.81    32.37     0.24     4.73    23.59    52.33    90.26     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     21   33   +2      54.27     5.64    -1.84     0.00     0.01     0.19     1.18    12.26     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool     21   31   +8      58.06     5.72    13.31     0.00     0.10     1.18     5.20    34.21     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea       21   29   +5      49.70     5.57     0.55     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.18     3.48     0.21R    0.00  
Stoke         21   29   +1      51.09     5.60    -0.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.31     4.79     0.13R    0.00  
West_Ham      20   26   +0      47.28     5.80    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.58     1.22R    0.05  
Norwich       21   25  -10      44.52     5.58   -17.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.41     3.74R    0.18  
Fulham        21   24   -5      45.75     5.67    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.74     1.94R    0.08  
Sunderland    21   22   -8      43.79     5.66   -10.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23     4.54R    0.30  
Newcastle     21   20  -12      42.12     5.74   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13     8.29R    0.78  
Aston_Villa   21   19  -24      36.20     5.33   -34.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.07R    6.94  
Southampton   20   18  -11      36.21     5.75   -23.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.00R    7.19  
Wigan         21   18  -17      35.38     5.38   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.33R    8.61  
Reading       21   13  -17      29.87     5.41   -28.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.70R   35.71  
QPR           21   13  -19      29.40     5.30   -30.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.81R   40.16  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          26   56  +19      90.68     6.41    30.20    74.89    89.50    99.63    92.26P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             26   49  +10      79.69     6.42    14.85     7.94    31.00    85.39    43.76P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   47  +16      77.13     6.45    20.04     4.21    20.04    76.05    32.63P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   47  +10      77.76     6.45    15.03     5.25    21.96    77.93    35.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester        26   44  +21      78.06     6.41    30.92     5.98    25.49    81.98    43.78P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   40  +11      70.84     6.83    13.92     0.82     4.73    40.09    12.83P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         26   40   +4      68.43     6.44     5.44     0.20     1.71    25.05     6.98P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   38   -4      65.20     6.48    -4.84     0.06     0.49    11.83     2.76P    0.32R    0.01  
Brighton         25   37   +9      66.62     6.57    10.26     0.15     1.12    18.73     5.38P    0.12R    0.00  
Derby            26   37   +2      63.47     6.39     0.32     0.02     0.25     8.04     1.78P    0.56R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    26   37   +1      64.67     6.40     1.39     0.04     0.40    10.58     2.51P    0.34R    0.01  
Burnley          26   36   +0      63.86     6.49     0.42     0.03     0.31     8.92     2.20P    0.50R    0.02  
Blackburn        25   35   +2      68.20     6.78     8.87     0.32     2.02    26.21     9.24P    0.14R    0.01  
Blackpool        26   34   +5      65.83     6.51    11.88     0.07     0.66    16.33     5.16P    0.19R    0.01  
Charlton         26   33   -2      58.90     6.44    -4.37     0.00     0.03     2.05     0.47P    3.01R    0.21  
Bolton           26   32   -1      62.52     6.65     3.64     0.02     0.24     7.23     2.23P    0.97R    0.05  
Huddersfield     26   32  -12      55.20     6.40   -18.84     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P   10.58R    1.14  
Wolverhampton    26   31   -6      57.98     6.55    -6.72     0.00     0.02     1.63     0.37P    4.44R    0.34  
Ipswich          26   30  -21      51.45     6.24   -31.20     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.09R    4.21  
Birmingham       26   29   -9      58.68     6.54    -5.67     0.00     0.03     1.81     0.52P    3.69R    0.27  
Peterborough     26   25  -12      47.02     6.30   -22.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.65R   12.36  
Sheff_Wed        26   25  -14      46.60     6.22   -23.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.47R   14.87  
Bristol_City     25   22  -12      45.07     6.36   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   61.73R   20.56  
Barnsley         26   21  -17      41.25     6.01   -28.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.14R   45.93  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, Crewe vs Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        26   50  +18      79.95     6.38    21.81    11.78    25.18    76.85    35.72P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       26   50  +15      82.32     6.55    22.30    20.47    38.39    84.98    49.34P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +15      82.85     6.34    27.66    23.55    43.04    88.31    57.14P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   46  +13      78.68     6.57    18.77     8.82    19.67    69.23    30.89P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         25   45  +28      82.04     6.58    40.15    22.63    40.92    86.21    55.43P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         25   42  +12      78.13     6.57    22.93     8.30    18.98    68.09    33.16P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     25   42  +10      73.95     6.66    14.71     2.39     6.67    41.67    14.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    26   41   -1      64.72     6.41    -6.92     0.03     0.17     5.17     0.83P    0.22R    0.00  
Stevenage       25   40   -1      69.91     6.59     0.79     0.53     1.77    19.39     5.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Yeovil          26   39   +3      65.01     6.42     0.45     0.07     0.27     5.89     1.18P    0.22R    0.00  
Crewe           26   39   +0      62.27     6.40    -6.52     0.02     0.08     2.62     0.45P    0.70R    0.00  
Coventry        26   37  +10      70.19     6.59    18.67     0.58     2.18    23.68     8.11P    0.02R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.22     6.84    16.08     0.83     2.59    23.93     7.60P    0.02R    0.00  
Walsall         27   35   -7      58.62     6.14   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.07P    2.98R    0.00  
Preston         26   34   +3      61.26     6.38     2.71     0.00     0.04     1.89     0.41P    1.10R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   24   34   -3      60.35     6.60    -8.62     0.01     0.05     1.50     0.30P    2.11R    0.00  
Shrewsbury      27   29   -4      52.57     6.15    -7.41     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00    16.02R    0.28  
Carlisle        26   29  -16      52.46     6.34   -22.67     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.00P   20.17R    0.40  
Oldham          26   27   -9      50.09     6.17   -15.13     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   29.03R    0.81  
Colchester      26   23  -18      46.37     6.24   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.39R    3.80  
Scunthorpe      26   22  -20      45.07     6.27   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.77R    5.88  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.89     6.48   -14.31     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    35.86R    1.95  
Bury            26   21  -15      42.45     6.10   -24.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.13R   10.58  
Hartlepool      25   12  -28      33.03     6.09   -39.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.24R   76.29  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, Accrington_Stanley vs Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           25   51  +23      88.35     6.56    36.03    60.27    93.88    99.65    95.69P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            26   49  +25      84.27     6.39    37.14    30.72    84.88    98.48    89.06P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   43   +7      75.47     6.65    12.51     3.31    32.54    78.58    43.48P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   42   +3      72.52     6.61     5.53     1.37    17.80    62.60    27.55P    0.00R    0.00  
Exeter               26   41   +1      70.25     6.62     3.60     0.70    10.62    49.42    20.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             26   40  +15      74.76     6.33    25.97     2.46    31.13    79.11    48.09P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       26   40   +9      68.58     6.50    10.83     0.34     7.19    41.72    15.10P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             26   40   +6      66.94     6.36     5.33     0.15     4.23    31.29     9.74P    0.02R    0.00  
Northampton          25   39  +10      67.68     6.63     9.39     0.33     6.05    36.78    12.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   39   +0      64.00     6.40    -4.05     0.04     1.58    16.59     4.08P    0.13R    0.02  
Chesterfield         27   36   +3      64.82     6.29     7.16     0.04     2.08    21.67     7.74P    0.06R    0.01  
Rochdale             27   36   +0      63.75     6.43     2.32     0.02     1.58    16.85     5.77P    0.16R    0.03  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   +0      64.54     6.65     1.09     0.09     2.17    20.23     6.29P    0.13R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            26   34   +1      61.09     6.43     0.31     0.01     0.54     9.14     2.31P    0.54R    0.14  
York                 26   34   -2      57.57     6.36    -7.93     0.00     0.12     2.90     0.67P    2.23R    0.53  
Torquay              24   33   +2      65.14     6.83     4.91     0.12     3.08    24.39     8.92P    0.11R    0.02  
Wycombe              26   32   -8      59.95     6.60    -7.43     0.00     0.35     6.43     1.84P    1.11R    0.29  
Accrington_Stanley   27   30  -13      52.48     6.05   -18.72     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P   10.30R    3.61  
Morecambe            25   29   -3      57.64     6.65    -3.32     0.00     0.15     3.66     1.00P    2.41R    0.73  
Barnet               27   26  -14      45.84     5.92   -23.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    42.21R   22.27  
Aldershot            25   25  -15      49.46     6.34   -21.23     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   21.88R    8.98  
AFC_Wimbledon        25   25  -18      46.71     6.25   -30.22     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   39.20R   20.58  
Plymouth             27   24  -11      47.45     6.06   -14.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   29.87R   13.65  
Bristol_Rovers       25   22  -21      45.05     6.40   -30.80     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.59R   29.11  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 January 2013, AFC_Telford vs Southport; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            26   48  +24      83.94     6.30    37.23    26.10    89.60    44.20P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            26   47  +24      86.16     6.15    42.49    42.07    94.54    61.56P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     25   46  +14      78.53     6.77    19.67     7.22    63.12    15.95P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       25   44  +17      79.08     6.61    26.50     8.62    68.61    21.93P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      26   41  +14      73.64     6.30    22.10     1.50    35.65     9.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              23   39   +5      79.82     6.99    19.47    11.16    69.65    27.33P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd      26   38   +8      68.38     6.37    12.60     0.22    12.00     2.68P    0.04R    0.00  
Dartford           27   38   +3      62.63     6.38     0.31     0.01     2.11     0.30P    0.77R    0.04  
Mansfield          22   35   +4      72.37     7.34    10.81     1.91    29.03     7.65P    0.04R    0.00  
Hereford           23   33   -1      71.50     7.18     9.66     1.04    24.22     6.49P    0.07R    0.01  
Macclesfield       24   33   -3      66.34     7.08     1.69     0.13     7.91     1.72P    0.42R    0.04  
Hyde_United        26   32   +2      57.66     6.64    -1.09     0.00     0.47     0.09P    5.25R    0.71  
Lincoln_City       25   32   -2      60.48     6.66    -2.81     0.00     1.15     0.16P    2.27R    0.24  
Alfreton_Town      24   32  -10      56.43     6.61   -20.16     0.00     0.23     0.03P    9.52R    1.49  
Woking             25   32  -11      55.18     6.80   -21.43     0.00     0.23     0.03P   13.45R    2.47  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.42     6.65    -2.62     0.01     0.85     0.14P    3.27R    0.38  
Southport          25   31   -8      56.59     6.59   -13.90     0.00     0.26     0.02P    8.10R    1.24  
Tamworth           27   31   -8      52.86     6.03   -14.65     0.00     0.02     0.00P   17.62R    3.13  
Braintree_Town     24   29  -10      56.30     6.78   -15.29     0.00     0.28     0.05P    9.83R    1.79  
Stockport          25   28   -8      52.92     6.52   -14.76     0.00     0.06     0.01P   18.93R    4.00  
AFC_Telford        25   26   -5      49.18     6.35   -14.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    36.97R   10.33  
Ebbsfleet_United   25   24  -15      47.05     6.45   -25.86     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.92R   20.58  
Nuneaton           25   24  -15      46.06     6.56   -26.07     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.68R   25.89  
Barrow             24   23  -17      45.73     6.46   -29.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.84R   27.69