Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 5 January 2013 at 00:00:39 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Chelsea vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       21   52  +26      88.37     5.27    49.23    85.00    97.88    99.73    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      21   45  +22      79.59     5.38    40.66    12.98    74.84    92.75    98.05    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     21   39  +12      66.89     5.81    19.05     0.17     3.53    18.01    43.74    87.71     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       20   38  +20      72.39     5.74    35.40     1.60    18.22    59.54    82.16    98.05     0.00     0.00  
Everton       21   36   +9      62.37     5.63    13.26     0.02     0.56     4.63    16.06    65.53     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       20   34  +18      67.51     5.83    32.48     0.23     4.85    23.97    53.02    90.49     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     21   33   +2      54.33     5.64    -1.75     0.00     0.01     0.18     1.18    12.54     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool     21   31   +8      58.05     5.72    13.27     0.00     0.09     1.11     5.20    34.10     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       21   29   +5      49.86     5.60     0.82     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24     3.74     0.19R    0.00  
Stoke         21   29   +1      51.05     5.58    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.29     4.63     0.13R    0.00  
West_Ham      20   26   +0      47.29     5.82    -6.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     1.70     1.07R    0.05  
Norwich       21   25  -10      44.51     5.54   -17.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.42     3.49R    0.21  
Fulham        21   24   -5      45.69     5.64    -8.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.69     1.95R    0.08  
Sunderland    21   22   -8      43.73     5.66   -10.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.30     4.44R    0.29  
Newcastle     21   20  -12      42.17     5.78   -14.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14     8.28R    0.81  
Aston_Villa   21   19  -24      36.17     5.34   -34.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.40R    7.00  
Southampton   20   18  -11      36.18     5.72   -23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    36.89R    7.23  
Wigan         21   18  -17      35.28     5.37   -27.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.83R    8.70  
Reading       21   13  -17      29.89     5.39   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.69R   35.48  
QPR           21   13  -19      29.41     5.32   -30.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.63R   40.15  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          26   56  +19      90.74     6.41    30.28    74.91    89.86    99.62    92.54P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             26   49  +10      79.65     6.39    14.82     7.76    30.24    85.23    43.32P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   47  +16      77.19     6.48    20.16     4.36    20.49    76.27    32.97P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   47  +10      77.85     6.48    15.13     5.28    22.08    78.25    35.22P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   44  +21      78.04     6.43    30.91     6.03    25.21    81.81    43.60P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   40  +11      71.01     6.75    14.19     0.84     4.95    41.23    13.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         26   40   +4      68.63     6.44     5.75     0.20     1.87    26.03     7.27P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   38   -4      65.04     6.49    -5.06     0.03     0.37    11.55     2.46P    0.35R    0.02  
Brighton         25   37   +9      66.40     6.59     9.96     0.15     1.00    17.86     5.07P    0.13R    0.01  
Derby            26   37   +2      63.44     6.43     0.29     0.03     0.29     8.10     1.80P    0.58R    0.02  
Nott'm_Forest    26   37   +1      64.45     6.42     1.11     0.02     0.37    10.15     2.36P    0.34R    0.01  
Burnley          26   36   +0      63.97     6.50     0.54     0.03     0.33     9.21     2.29P    0.54R    0.02  
Blackburn        25   35   +2      68.10     6.79     8.70     0.25     1.91    25.52     8.93P    0.12R    0.00  
Blackpool        26   34   +5      65.80     6.54    11.83     0.08     0.71    16.09     5.16P    0.28R    0.01  
Charlton         26   33   -2      58.90     6.46    -4.34     0.00     0.05     2.06     0.48P    3.05R    0.19  
Bolton           26   32   -1      62.48     6.63     3.56     0.03     0.18     7.00     2.18P    1.01R    0.04  
Huddersfield     26   32  -12      55.19     6.34   -18.83     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.08P   10.41R    1.07  
Wolverhampton    26   31   -6      58.09     6.56    -6.59     0.00     0.04     1.72     0.50P    4.15R    0.36  
Ipswich          26   30  -21      51.31     6.26   -31.43     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   27.05R    4.39  
Birmingham       26   29   -9      58.57     6.54    -5.86     0.00     0.03     1.76     0.54P    3.89R    0.25  
Peterborough     26   25  -12      47.19     6.30   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   49.52R   11.87  
Sheff_Wed        26   25  -14      46.65     6.19   -23.26     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   53.52R   14.71  
Bristol_City     25   22  -12      45.24     6.41   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.38R   20.25  
Barnsley         26   21  -17      41.17     6.04   -28.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.59R   46.79  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 4 January 2013, Walsall vs Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        26   50  +18      79.88     6.38    21.70    13.30    27.34    77.86    37.79P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +15      82.75     6.35    27.47    25.56    45.60    88.87    59.48P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       25   47  +14      81.24     6.81    22.08    19.04    35.65    81.86    46.77P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   46  +13      78.72     6.62    18.82    10.13    22.06    71.43    33.29P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         24   42  +24      80.33     6.81    35.99    17.86    34.11    80.37    48.34P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         25   42  +12      77.96     6.54    22.72     8.85    19.91    68.82    34.05P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     25   42  +10      73.90     6.66    14.68     2.81     7.46    43.52    15.13P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    26   41   -1      64.73     6.42    -6.90     0.05     0.28     5.58     0.94P    0.30R    0.00  
Yeovil          26   39   +3      65.11     6.44     0.67     0.10     0.40     6.66     1.44P    0.26R    0.00  
Crewe           25   39   +1      63.74     6.60    -5.29     0.07     0.23     4.87     0.90P    0.56R    0.00  
Coventry        26   37  +10      69.99     6.56    18.34     0.72     2.40    24.10     8.37P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage       24   37   -2      68.24     6.80    -0.28     0.44     1.36    15.24     4.13P    0.13R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.27     6.87    16.18     1.02     3.11    26.08     8.42P    0.03R    0.00  
Walsall         27   35   -7      58.74     6.13   -10.52     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.09P    3.31R    0.02  
Preston         26   34   +3      61.24     6.38     2.71     0.01     0.05     2.10     0.45P    1.32R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   24   34   -3      60.27     6.64    -8.71     0.01     0.07     1.85     0.36P    2.48R    0.01  
Carlisle        25   29  -12      53.87     6.54   -18.55     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P   16.31R    0.25  
Shrewsbury      26   28   -4      53.01     6.32    -7.40     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   16.52R    0.33  
Oldham          26   27   -9      50.22     6.17   -14.95     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   30.61R    0.94  
Colchester      25   23  -17      47.39     6.45   -23.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    50.32R    3.01  
Portsmouth      26   21  -15      48.77     6.49   -14.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.89R    2.21  
Bury            26   21  -15      42.43     6.14   -24.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.06R   10.99  
Scunthorpe      25   21  -20      45.54     6.48   -26.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   62.53R    5.72  
Hartlepool      25   12  -28      33.08     6.16   -39.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.32R   76.52  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           24   48  +21      86.92     6.82    34.33    58.37    90.53    99.02    93.08P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            25   46  +21      82.50     6.61    32.85    27.52    77.45    96.68    82.90P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   43   +7      75.47     6.68    12.61     4.72    33.37    77.04    43.68P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   42   +3      72.51     6.70     5.52     2.12    18.42    60.94    27.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Southend             26   40  +15      74.67     6.33    25.82     3.73    31.41    77.31    47.30P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       25   40  +11      70.07     6.75    12.99     1.04    11.70    49.58    20.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             25   40   +8      69.16     6.54     8.65     0.71     8.57    42.98    15.87P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   39   +0      63.93     6.39    -4.10     0.08     1.58    15.33     3.76P    0.09R    0.01  
Exeter               25   38   +0      68.36     6.79     2.18     0.61     7.45    37.39    14.68P    0.01R    0.00  
Northampton          24   36   +8      65.76     6.83     6.90     0.27     4.15    26.30     8.80P    0.12R    0.02  
Chesterfield         26   36   +4      66.47     6.52     8.58     0.26     4.29    28.96    11.41P    0.03R    0.00  
Rochdale             26   36   +1      66.58     6.69     5.72     0.27     4.40    29.12    11.27P    0.06R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   +0      64.45     6.63     1.00     0.11     2.26    18.53     6.02P    0.13R    0.02  
York                 25   34   -1      59.12     6.56    -6.59     0.01     0.34     4.90     1.19P    1.13R    0.27  
Torquay              24   33   +2      65.12     6.86     4.87     0.17     3.37    23.06     8.54P    0.11R    0.02  
Dag_&_Red            25   31   -1      58.80     6.60    -2.67     0.01     0.27     4.73     1.23P    1.34R    0.33  
Accrington_Stanley   26   30  -11      54.36     6.26   -15.90     0.00     0.02     0.70     0.17P    5.56R    1.61  
Morecambe            25   29   -3      57.82     6.64    -3.02     0.01     0.21     3.49     0.97P    1.82R    0.47  
Wycombe              25   29   -9      58.03     6.76    -8.89     0.01     0.23     3.70     1.13P    2.12R    0.59  
Aldershot            25   25  -15      49.44     6.35   -21.28     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   19.44R    7.31  
Plymouth             26   24   -7      48.91     6.23   -10.74     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P   19.99R    7.82  
Barnet               26   23  -16      43.52     6.07   -26.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.87R   31.35  
Bristol_Rovers       24   22  -19      46.46     6.64   -28.77     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   37.90R   18.34  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   22  -19      43.96     6.47   -33.37     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.25R   31.83  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Friday 4 January 2013, Newport_County vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Wrexham            26   47  +24      86.33     6.14    42.76    41.54    95.40    62.15P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby            25   47  +24      84.82     6.56    38.04    31.07    91.72    48.17P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     25   46  +14      78.49     6.78    19.56     6.90    65.29    16.30P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   41  +16      77.36     6.82    25.42     5.85    60.95    17.86P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              23   39   +5      79.79     6.97    19.41    10.33    71.41    27.59P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      25   38  +12      72.45     6.56    20.78     1.09    31.97     8.21P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           26   38   +4      64.27     6.65     1.79     0.05     4.55     0.72P    0.55R    0.05  
Cambridge_Utd      25   35   +5      66.53     6.63     9.22     0.13     8.80     1.92P    0.17R    0.02  
Mansfield          22   35   +4      72.22     7.39    10.52     1.76    30.60     7.76P    0.07R    0.01  
Macclesfield       24   33   -3      66.11     7.14     1.33     0.14     8.47     1.80P    0.44R    0.03  
Hyde_United        25   32   +3      59.15     6.85     0.02     0.00     1.19     0.17P    4.02R    0.57  
Hereford           22   32   -1      71.18     7.39     8.60     1.12    25.63     6.76P    0.09R    0.01  
Woking             25   32  -11      55.09     6.78   -21.60     0.00     0.27     0.03P   14.57R    2.88  
Lincoln_City       24   31   -2      61.13     6.90    -2.42     0.01     2.08     0.28P    2.48R    0.29  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.49     6.59    -2.53     0.00     0.84     0.15P    3.35R    0.43  
Tamworth           26   31   -5      55.19     6.29   -10.06     0.00     0.12     0.01P   10.88R    1.66  
Alfreton_Town      23   29  -11      54.61     6.82   -21.35     0.00     0.19     0.03P   16.19R    3.36  
Stockport          24   28   -5      54.54     6.71   -11.29     0.00     0.20     0.05P   13.94R    2.70  
Southport          24   28  -10      54.40     6.76   -16.87     0.00     0.14     0.02P   15.99R    3.30  
AFC_Telford        24   26   -3      51.23     6.62   -10.89     0.00     0.04     0.01P   27.52R    6.88  
Braintree_Town     23   26  -13      53.64     6.93   -19.98     0.00     0.11     0.02P   20.22R    4.97  
Nuneaton           25   24  -15      46.30     6.59   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.98R   26.28  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   23  -15      47.24     6.69   -26.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.13R   21.92  
Barrow             23   23  -15      46.73     6.68   -28.48     0.00     0.01     0.00P   57.39R   24.66