Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 3 January 2013 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Chelsea vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       21   52  +26      88.43     5.27    49.34    85.20    98.18    99.75    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      21   45  +22      79.58     5.38    40.61    13.03    75.20    92.93    98.05    99.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     21   39  +12      66.81     5.80    18.90     0.14     3.41    17.84    43.39    87.36     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       20   38  +20      72.25     5.75    35.17     1.42    17.57    59.12    81.73    97.88     0.00     0.00  
Everton       21   36   +9      62.41     5.63    13.34     0.01     0.61     4.97    16.76    65.89     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       20   34  +18      67.47     5.81    32.49     0.20     4.94    23.99    53.09    90.55     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     21   33   +2      54.36     5.62    -1.69     0.00     0.01     0.22     1.32    12.61     0.02R    0.00  
Liverpool     21   31   +8      58.03     5.68    13.22     0.00     0.09     1.14     5.10    34.04     0.00     0.00  
Swansea       21   29   +5      49.72     5.57     0.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.20     3.50     0.21R    0.00  
Stoke         21   29   +1      51.11     5.55    -0.66     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.27     4.77     0.11R    0.00  
West_Ham      20   26   +0      47.26     5.83    -6.09     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.78     1.14R    0.05  
Norwich       21   25  -10      44.64     5.55   -17.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.44     3.38R    0.16  
Fulham        21   24   -5      45.77     5.66    -8.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.80     1.88R    0.09  
Sunderland    21   22   -8      43.81     5.66   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.29     4.24R    0.28  
Newcastle     21   20  -12      42.16     5.75   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12     8.04R    0.72  
Aston_Villa   21   19  -24      36.04     5.34   -34.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    40.30R    7.40  
Southampton   20   18  -11      36.27     5.76   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    36.53R    6.96  
Wigan         21   18  -17      35.31     5.36   -27.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.73R    8.55  
Reading       21   13  -17      29.98     5.39   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.10R   34.83  
QPR           21   13  -19      29.33     5.29   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.31R   40.95  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          26   56  +19      90.71     6.45    30.23    74.74    89.75    99.64    92.47P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             26   49  +10      79.61     6.40    14.77     7.75    30.23    85.20    43.43P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   47  +16      77.02     6.51    19.90     4.18    19.87    75.41    32.33P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   47  +10      77.75     6.51    14.99     5.36    22.12    77.65    35.04P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   44  +21      78.05     6.45    30.95     6.22    25.57    81.96    43.87P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   40  +11      70.99     6.83    14.15     0.93     5.23    41.59    13.65P    0.03R    0.00  
Millwall         26   40   +4      68.56     6.38     5.69     0.18     1.78    25.60     7.09P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   38   -4      65.06     6.49    -5.02     0.05     0.48    11.45     2.60P    0.38R    0.01  
Brighton         25   37   +9      66.51     6.61    10.12     0.13     1.07    18.75     5.17P    0.14R    0.01  
Derby            26   37   +2      63.45     6.35     0.30     0.03     0.25     7.93     1.82P    0.52R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    26   37   +1      64.41     6.40     1.01     0.04     0.37     9.97     2.31P    0.38R    0.02  
Burnley          26   36   +0      63.93     6.48     0.51     0.04     0.31     9.32     2.28P    0.56R    0.03  
Blackburn        25   35   +2      68.14     6.76     8.74     0.25     1.92    26.03     9.03P    0.12R    0.00  
Blackpool        26   34   +5      65.82     6.51    11.87     0.08     0.73    16.24     5.17P    0.22R    0.01  
Charlton         26   33   -2      58.84     6.43    -4.45     0.00     0.04     2.09     0.49P    3.18R    0.19  
Bolton           26   32   -1      62.48     6.66     3.53     0.02     0.22     7.15     2.28P    1.05R    0.06  
Huddersfield     26   32  -12      55.32     6.41   -18.60     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.09P   10.43R    1.05  
Wolverhampton    26   31   -6      58.03     6.50    -6.66     0.00     0.02     1.53     0.36P    4.34R    0.32  
Ipswich          26   30  -21      51.48     6.25   -31.15     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.08R    4.01  
Birmingham       26   29   -9      58.71     6.52    -5.65     0.00     0.03     1.90     0.50P    3.68R    0.27  
Peterborough     26   25  -12      47.15     6.33   -21.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    49.87R   12.11  
Sheff_Wed        26   25  -14      46.65     6.23   -23.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   53.56R   14.91  
Bristol_City     25   22  -12      45.14     6.37   -21.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   61.83R   20.36  
Barnsley         26   21  -17      41.18     6.01   -28.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.61R   46.62  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Brentford vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        26   50  +18      79.94     6.38    21.83    13.31    27.50    78.29    38.09P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +15      82.88     6.35    27.67    26.18    46.57    89.21    60.29P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       25   47  +14      81.19     6.77    22.08    18.75    35.30    81.67    46.40P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   46  +13      78.76     6.63    18.82    10.30    22.23    71.42    33.64P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         24   42  +24      80.15     6.85    35.72    17.11    32.80    79.64    46.83P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         25   42  +12      78.06     6.58    22.83     9.18    20.49    69.40    35.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     25   42  +10      73.87     6.70    14.55     2.81     7.41    43.48    14.94P    0.00R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    26   41   -1      64.70     6.40    -6.94     0.07     0.27     5.53     0.95P    0.34R    0.00  
Yeovil          26   39   +3      65.09     6.46     0.61     0.08     0.33     6.80     1.31P    0.25R    0.00  
Crewe           25   39   +1      63.61     6.63    -5.54     0.07     0.25     4.69     0.85P    0.68R    0.00  
Coventry        26   37  +10      69.98     6.53    18.33     0.68     2.31    24.04     8.19P    0.04R    0.00  
Stevenage       24   37   -2      68.11     6.78    -0.46     0.37     1.25    14.65     3.91P    0.14R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.40     6.89    16.32     1.05     3.18    26.64     8.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Preston         26   34   +3      61.34     6.40     2.86     0.01     0.05     2.25     0.49P    1.29R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   24   34   -3      60.38     6.61    -8.49     0.02     0.06     1.80     0.35P    2.45R    0.02  
Walsall         26   32   -9      56.43     6.28   -13.51     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P    8.13R    0.07  
Carlisle        25   29  -12      53.81     6.56   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   17.29R    0.24  
Shrewsbury      26   28   -4      52.95     6.37    -7.43     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   17.78R    0.30  
Oldham          26   27   -9      50.26     6.14   -14.90     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.45R    0.85  
Colchester      25   23  -17      47.41     6.44   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.66R    3.29  
Portsmouth      25   21  -13      50.83     6.75   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   28.63R    1.29  
Bury            26   21  -15      42.50     6.10   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.73R   10.65  
Scunthorpe      25   21  -20      45.59     6.51   -26.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.64R    5.85  
Hartlepool      25   12  -28      32.97     6.15   -39.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.47R   77.45  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           24   48  +21      86.82     6.83    34.19    57.83    90.54    99.03    93.02P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            25   46  +21      82.47     6.60    32.80    27.97    77.15    96.74    82.88P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   43   +7      75.37     6.64    12.44     4.64    32.81    76.94    43.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   42   +3      72.55     6.68     5.59     2.17    18.90    61.21    27.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             26   40  +15      74.77     6.34    25.97     3.89    32.05    77.82    48.21P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       25   40  +11      70.10     6.67    13.06     0.93    11.70    49.57    20.39P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford             25   40   +8      69.09     6.60     8.55     0.72     8.62    42.45    15.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   39   +0      63.97     6.40    -4.06     0.10     1.59    15.44     3.78P    0.11R    0.01  
Exeter               25   38   +0      68.49     6.78     2.48     0.60     7.54    38.26    15.13P    0.03R    0.01  
Northampton          24   36   +8      65.70     6.82     6.82     0.24     4.07    25.96     8.52P    0.07R    0.01  
Chesterfield         26   36   +4      66.45     6.56     8.55     0.27     4.18    29.27    11.26P    0.03R    0.00  
Rochdale             26   36   +1      66.55     6.69     5.69     0.30     4.38    29.08    11.06P    0.04R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   +0      64.27     6.60     0.74     0.12     2.09    17.95     5.70P    0.12R    0.02  
York                 25   34   -1      59.03     6.54    -6.72     0.02     0.35     4.63     1.19P    1.16R    0.24  
Torquay              24   33   +2      65.08     6.82     4.79     0.18     3.29    22.72     8.46P    0.12R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            25   31   -1      58.77     6.61    -2.72     0.00     0.29     4.73     1.26P    1.38R    0.34  
Accrington_Stanley   26   30  -11      54.40     6.27   -15.90     0.00     0.02     0.69     0.16P    5.58R    1.61  
Morecambe            25   29   -3      57.76     6.62    -3.11     0.01     0.21     3.43     0.97P    2.06R    0.49  
Wycombe              25   29   -9      58.15     6.80    -8.71     0.01     0.21     3.84     1.11P    2.15R    0.53  
Aldershot            25   25  -15      49.58     6.35   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   18.98R    7.03  
Plymouth             26   24   -7      48.98     6.27   -10.68     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   20.10R    7.60  
Barnet               26   23  -16      43.59     6.09   -26.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.99R   31.24  
Bristol_Rovers       24   22  -19      46.37     6.62   -28.87     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P   38.54R   18.84  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   22  -19      44.01     6.44   -33.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.52R   32.04  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Tamworth vs Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            25   47  +24      84.88     6.52    38.08    28.58    91.95    47.12P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            25   46  +24      86.99     6.39    43.27    45.14    95.76    64.15P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     24   45  +14      78.45     7.00    18.93     7.17    64.50    16.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Forest_Green       24   41  +16      77.35     6.87    25.38     5.40    61.09    17.66P    0.00R    0.00  
Luton              23   39   +5      79.80     7.00    19.40     9.74    71.35    27.15P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      25   38  +12      72.39     6.53    20.68     1.04    31.48     8.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           26   38   +4      64.35     6.60     1.95     0.03     4.48     0.78P    0.49R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd      25   35   +5      66.47     6.63     9.09     0.14     8.75     1.84P    0.22R    0.02  
Mansfield          22   35   +4      72.20     7.32    10.47     1.54    30.33     7.43P    0.07R    0.00  
Macclesfield       24   33   -3      66.19     7.13     1.42     0.13     8.67     1.97P    0.51R    0.03  
Hyde_United        25   32   +3      59.27     6.86     0.19     0.00     1.29     0.18P    3.84R    0.55  
Hereford           22   32   -1      71.31     7.42     8.81     1.06    26.30     6.79P    0.11R    0.02  
Woking             25   32  -11      55.19     6.80   -21.37     0.00     0.24     0.02P   14.12R    2.76  
Lincoln_City       24   31   -2      61.02     6.88    -2.59     0.01     1.90     0.31P    2.54R    0.27  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.57     6.66    -2.39     0.01     1.08     0.19P    3.34R    0.35  
Tamworth           26   31   -5      55.23     6.32    -9.98     0.00     0.13     0.01P   10.80R    1.61  
Alfreton_Town      23   29  -11      54.39     6.77   -21.75     0.00     0.16     0.02P   17.04R    3.53  
Stockport          24   28   -5      54.41     6.74   -11.52     0.00     0.18     0.03P   14.63R    3.01  
Southport          24   28  -10      54.53     6.79   -16.73     0.00     0.15     0.03P   15.34R    3.29  
AFC_Telford        24   26   -3      51.20     6.63   -10.97     0.00     0.05     0.00P   27.64R    6.73  
Braintree_Town     23   26  -13      53.75     6.99   -19.78     0.00     0.16     0.02P   19.77R    4.91  
Nuneaton           25   24  -15      46.22     6.58   -25.84     0.00     0.00     0.00    59.25R   26.47  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   23  -15      47.23     6.68   -26.29     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.32R   21.86  
Barrow             23   23  -15      46.72     6.69   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.96R   24.58