Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 2 January 2013 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Chelsea vs QPR; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       21   52  +26      88.37     5.27    49.20    85.32    98.03    99.76    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      21   45  +22      79.55     5.34    40.55    12.75    75.23    93.00    98.13    99.93     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     21   39  +12      66.89     5.81    19.04     0.16     3.34    18.07    43.91    87.54     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       20   38  +20      72.25     5.75    35.15     1.53    17.65    58.52    81.39    97.82     0.00     0.00  
Everton       21   36   +9      62.49     5.58    13.47     0.01     0.57     4.85    16.62    66.61     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       20   34  +18      67.49     5.87    32.44     0.22     5.05    24.37    53.04    90.28     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     21   33   +2      54.41     5.66    -1.63     0.00     0.02     0.21     1.33    12.75     0.01R    0.00  
Liverpool     21   31   +8      57.97     5.71    13.14     0.00     0.10     1.13     4.95    33.70     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea       21   29   +5      49.81     5.58     0.74     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.20     3.53     0.19R    0.00  
Stoke         21   29   +1      51.04     5.61    -0.72     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.32     4.68     0.10R    0.00  
West_Ham      20   26   +0      47.19     5.84    -6.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     1.59     1.22R    0.04  
Norwich       21   25  -10      44.50     5.55   -17.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.37     3.61R    0.21  
Fulham        21   24   -5      45.62     5.64    -8.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.75     2.05R    0.08  
Sunderland    21   22   -8      43.76     5.65   -10.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.26     4.33R    0.26  
Newcastle     21   20  -12      42.25     5.76   -14.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     8.00R    0.85  
Aston_Villa   21   19  -24      36.22     5.37   -34.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.55R    7.05  
Southampton   20   18  -11      36.15     5.71   -23.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    37.38R    7.25  
Wigan         21   18  -17      35.41     5.41   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    43.15R    8.47  
Reading       21   13  -17      30.00     5.39   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.20R   34.80  
QPR           21   13  -19      29.36     5.30   -30.18     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.19R   40.98  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          26   56  +19      90.74     6.47    30.30    74.90    89.57    99.63    92.28P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             26   49  +10      79.71     6.40    14.89     8.02    30.89    85.61    43.81P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   47  +16      77.08     6.47    19.96     4.17    20.13    75.71    32.29P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   47  +10      77.74     6.52    15.01     5.24    22.02    77.45    34.94P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   44  +21      78.00     6.41    30.88     6.03    25.33    81.68    43.50P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   40  +11      71.03     6.80    14.22     0.79     4.89    41.58    13.33P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         26   40   +4      68.59     6.44     5.72     0.22     1.83    25.75     7.14P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   38   -4      65.09     6.46    -4.96     0.05     0.45    11.56     2.68P    0.36R    0.02  
Brighton         25   37   +9      66.57     6.62    10.22     0.14     1.10    18.72     5.43P    0.14R    0.01  
Derby            26   37   +2      63.45     6.36     0.29     0.01     0.20     7.85     1.74P    0.53R    0.03  
Nott'm_Forest    26   37   +1      64.48     6.39     1.20     0.04     0.38    10.09     2.49P    0.38R    0.01  
Burnley          26   36   +0      63.95     6.47     0.49     0.03     0.31     9.29     2.30P    0.49R    0.02  
Blackburn        25   35   +2      68.10     6.78     8.66     0.28     1.91    25.85     9.06P    0.10R    0.01  
Blackpool        26   34   +5      65.81     6.54    11.83     0.07     0.72    16.17     5.21P    0.22R    0.01  
Charlton         26   33   -2      58.88     6.37    -4.38     0.00     0.03     1.96     0.50P    3.08R    0.21  
Bolton           26   32   -1      62.50     6.64     3.54     0.01     0.19     7.04     2.22P    1.01R    0.06  
Huddersfield     26   32  -12      55.29     6.36   -18.68     0.00     0.01     0.48     0.06P   10.30R    0.98  
Wolverhampton    26   31   -6      57.92     6.57    -6.87     0.00     0.02     1.55     0.42P    4.45R    0.39  
Ipswich          26   30  -21      51.37     6.21   -31.34     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P   26.40R    4.31  
Birmingham       26   29   -9      58.72     6.52    -5.60     0.00     0.02     1.93     0.59P    3.64R    0.24  
Peterborough     26   25  -12      47.06     6.30   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   50.08R   12.24  
Sheff_Wed        26   25  -14      46.60     6.20   -23.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.46R   14.80  
Bristol_City     25   22  -12      45.14     6.39   -21.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.00R   20.22  
Barnsley         26   21  -17      41.20     6.05   -28.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.28R   46.45  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Brentford vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        26   50  +18      80.02     6.38    21.91    13.63    27.93    78.18    38.46P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +15      82.70     6.34    27.38    24.91    44.94    88.77    59.00P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       25   47  +14      81.11     6.75    21.89    18.30    34.61    81.20    45.48P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   46  +13      78.77     6.60    18.83    10.23    21.63    71.56    32.87P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         24   42  +24      80.39     6.83    36.08    17.94    34.20    80.54    48.36P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         25   42  +12      78.22     6.64    23.12     9.86    21.38    70.09    35.75P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     25   42  +10      73.91     6.67    14.66     2.79     7.49    43.40    15.04P    0.00     0.00  
Crawley_Town    26   41   -1      64.73     6.41    -6.85     0.07     0.28     5.64     1.03P    0.30R    0.00  
Yeovil          26   39   +3      65.08     6.44     0.59     0.08     0.35     6.48     1.32P    0.30R    0.00  
Crewe           25   39   +1      63.89     6.66    -5.11     0.05     0.25     5.11     0.94P    0.60R    0.00  
Coventry        26   37  +10      69.99     6.56    18.32     0.70     2.46    23.90     8.49P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage       24   37   -2      68.17     6.82    -0.43     0.43     1.39    15.07     4.14P    0.13R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.25     6.85    16.12     0.99     2.96    25.54     8.23P    0.05R    0.00  
Preston         26   34   +3      61.23     6.40     2.69     0.02     0.05     2.22     0.51P    1.34R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   24   34   -3      60.33     6.61    -8.59     0.01     0.05     1.79     0.28P    2.56R    0.00  
Walsall         26   32   -9      56.50     6.30   -13.42     0.00     0.01     0.26     0.06P    7.77R    0.08  
Carlisle        25   29  -12      53.79     6.57   -18.67     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   17.22R    0.28  
Shrewsbury      26   28   -4      53.00     6.40    -7.36     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   17.45R    0.32  
Oldham          26   27   -9      50.11     6.18   -15.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    31.85R    0.81  
Colchester      25   23  -17      47.29     6.46   -23.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.94R    3.35  
Portsmouth      25   21  -13      50.90     6.75   -11.41     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   28.10R    1.21  
Bury            26   21  -15      42.54     6.13   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.18R   10.40  
Scunthorpe      25   21  -20      45.45     6.50   -26.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   63.72R    5.83  
Hartlepool      25   12  -28      32.92     6.15   -39.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.45R   77.72  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           24   48  +21      86.88     6.81    34.25    58.07    90.51    99.09    93.03P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            25   46  +21      82.49     6.62    32.81    27.94    77.41    96.67    83.09P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   43   +7      75.43     6.73    12.51     4.88    33.22    76.97    43.62P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   42   +3      72.49     6.65     5.51     1.97    18.39    60.91    27.52P    0.00R    0.00  
Southend             26   40  +15      74.73     6.36    25.93     3.65    31.69    77.56    47.62P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       25   40  +11      70.13     6.68    13.10     1.01    11.74    49.76    20.58P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             25   40   +8      69.06     6.61     8.48     0.71     8.51    42.19    15.70P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   39   +0      63.88     6.36    -4.18     0.05     1.52    14.83     3.58P    0.09R    0.01  
Exeter               25   38   +0      68.54     6.86     2.50     0.68     8.02    38.75    15.50P    0.02R    0.00  
Northampton          24   36   +8      65.71     6.81     6.89     0.26     3.95    25.99     8.48P    0.05R    0.00  
Chesterfield         26   36   +4      66.48     6.52     8.59     0.25     4.33    29.17    11.51P    0.06R    0.00  
Rochdale             26   36   +1      66.38     6.66     5.39     0.22     4.14    28.12    10.53P    0.05R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   +0      64.40     6.56     0.87     0.09     2.19    18.51     5.98P    0.10R    0.02  
York                 25   34   -1      59.15     6.58    -6.54     0.01     0.39     4.99     1.18P    1.14R    0.26  
Torquay              24   33   +2      65.15     6.84     4.91     0.18     3.25    23.21     8.57P    0.12R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            25   31   -1      58.83     6.61    -2.62     0.02     0.22     4.88     1.23P    1.28R    0.33  
Accrington_Stanley   26   30  -11      54.46     6.26   -15.78     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.14P    5.50R    1.52  
Morecambe            25   29   -3      57.74     6.58    -3.11     0.00     0.19     3.31     0.86P    1.86R    0.47  
Wycombe              25   29   -9      58.14     6.86    -8.74     0.01     0.29     4.17     1.25P    2.16R    0.55  
Aldershot            25   25  -15      49.48     6.31   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.02P   19.36R    7.12  
Plymouth             26   24   -7      48.99     6.29   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   20.11R    7.75  
Barnet               26   23  -16      43.53     6.09   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   55.38R   31.39  
Bristol_Rovers       24   22  -19      46.34     6.65   -28.97     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   38.66R   19.06  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   22  -19      44.02     6.43   -33.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.04R   31.49  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 January 2013, Tamworth vs Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            25   47  +24      84.84     6.52    38.05    28.19    91.97    47.04P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            25   46  +24      87.01     6.43    43.29    45.18    95.53    64.20P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     24   45  +14      78.46     6.96    18.93     7.01    64.77    16.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   41  +16      77.45     6.86    25.50     5.47    61.25    17.64P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              23   39   +5      79.81     7.01    19.47     9.98    71.07    27.09P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      25   38  +12      72.48     6.55    20.83     1.02    31.81     8.33P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           26   38   +4      64.24     6.65     1.74     0.04     4.47     0.67P    0.54R    0.04  
Cambridge_Utd      25   35   +5      66.42     6.63     9.06     0.08     8.53     1.82P    0.26R    0.02  
Mansfield          22   35   +4      72.37     7.38    10.73     1.70    30.77     7.59P    0.04R    0.00  
Macclesfield       24   33   -3      66.20     7.08     1.44     0.13     8.48     1.81P    0.45R    0.04  
Hyde_United        25   32   +3      59.19     6.89     0.08     0.00     1.19     0.22P    4.16R    0.54  
Hereford           22   32   -1      71.34     7.44     8.86     1.18    26.17     7.03P    0.10R    0.01  
Woking             25   32  -11      55.26     6.78   -21.29     0.00     0.24     0.03P   13.83R    2.64  
Lincoln_City       24   31   -2      61.08     6.87    -2.51     0.01     1.90     0.26P    2.41R    0.27  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.48     6.63    -2.49     0.00     0.99     0.17P    3.39R    0.39  
Tamworth           26   31   -5      55.28     6.31    -9.95     0.00     0.11     0.01P   10.65R    1.67  
Alfreton_Town      23   29  -11      54.43     6.83   -21.66     0.00     0.14     0.02P   16.92R    3.70  
Stockport          24   28   -5      54.31     6.75   -11.66     0.00     0.21     0.03P   14.93R    3.01  
Southport          24   28  -10      54.40     6.76   -16.89     0.00     0.17     0.02P   15.68R    3.29  
AFC_Telford        24   26   -3      51.24     6.62   -10.95     0.00     0.05     0.01P   27.07R    6.79  
Braintree_Town     23   26  -13      53.67     6.96   -19.92     0.00     0.15     0.02P   20.03R    4.90  
Nuneaton           25   24  -15      46.31     6.61   -25.69     0.00     0.01     0.00P   58.61R   26.47  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   23  -15      47.29     6.63   -26.16     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.88R   21.14  
Barrow             23   23  -15      46.55     6.63   -28.80     0.00     0.01     0.00    58.04R   25.07