Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 1 January 2013 at 23:50:01 GMT

Premier League   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Man_City vs Stoke; Check up-to-date)
             -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team         Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1
Man_Utd       21   52  +26      88.33     5.25    49.21    82.79    96.68    99.58    99.94   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City      21   45  +22      79.66     5.34    40.76    12.50    65.96    91.61    98.16    99.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham     21   39  +12      66.94     5.78    19.07     0.11     2.54    13.27    42.81    90.12     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea       19   38  +21      75.40     5.85    39.39     4.41    30.67    74.62    91.40    99.43     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal       20   34  +18      67.56     5.81    32.61     0.17     3.88    18.37    52.53    92.42     0.00     0.00  
Everton       20   33   +8      60.67     5.81    12.11     0.02     0.23     1.98    10.60    58.63     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom     21   33   +2      54.28     5.61    -1.84     0.00     0.00     0.14     1.13    14.91     0.02R    0.00  
Swansea       21   29   +5      49.86     5.59     0.81     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.18     4.61     0.19R    0.00  
Stoke         21   29   +1      51.06     5.60    -0.74     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.28     6.02     0.12R    0.00  
Liverpool     20   28   +5      56.39     5.92    10.15     0.00     0.03     0.38     2.83    28.71     0.01R    0.00  
West_Ham      20   26   +0      47.16     5.82    -6.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     2.15     1.10R    0.02  
Norwich       21   25  -10      44.60     5.57   -17.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.57     3.41R    0.09  
Fulham        21   24   -5      45.68     5.63    -8.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     1.00     1.76R    0.05  
Sunderland    20   22   -5      45.11     5.83    -7.57     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.89     2.63R    0.09  
Newcastle     20   20  -11      43.64     6.00   -13.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.55     5.36R    0.30  
Aston_Villa   21   19  -24      36.22     5.36   -34.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    38.00R    4.37  
Southampton   20   18  -11      36.07     5.71   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    36.48R    4.86  
Wigan         21   18  -17      35.31     5.36   -27.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.30R    5.84  
Reading       21   13  -17      30.12     5.40   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.81R   24.69  
QPR           20   10  -20      26.18     5.39   -34.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.81R   59.69  


Championship   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Birmingham vs Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1
Cardiff          26   56  +19      90.82     6.45    30.39    75.23    90.04    99.61    92.81P    0.00     0.00  
Hull             26   49  +10      79.74     6.39    14.92     7.80    30.78    85.58    43.94P    0.00     0.00  
Crystal_Palace   26   47  +16      77.04     6.48    19.87     4.05    19.76    75.59    32.07P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough    26   47  +10      77.80     6.46    15.10     5.04    21.88    78.21    34.77P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester        26   44  +21      78.05     6.45    30.93     6.17    25.42    81.83    43.76P    0.00     0.00  
Watford          25   40  +11      71.05     6.78    14.25     0.86     5.11    41.69    13.49P    0.02R    0.00  
Millwall         26   40   +4      68.46     6.46     5.49     0.24     1.71    25.22     6.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United     26   38   -4      65.03     6.47    -5.08     0.06     0.45    11.49     2.62P    0.35R    0.02  
Brighton         25   37   +9      66.56     6.60    10.25     0.14     1.07    18.93     5.30P    0.10R    0.01  
Derby            26   37   +2      63.56     6.38     0.51     0.02     0.27     8.03     1.83P    0.47R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest    26   37   +1      64.50     6.38     1.17     0.04     0.38    10.22     2.44P    0.36R    0.02  
Burnley          26   36   +0      63.93     6.45     0.50     0.03     0.31     9.08     2.31P    0.50R    0.00  
Blackburn        25   35   +2      68.05     6.76     8.53     0.22     1.80    25.26     8.74P    0.14R    0.00  
Blackpool        26   34   +5      65.84     6.53    11.87     0.09     0.68    16.27     5.30P    0.19R    0.01  
Charlton         26   33   -2      58.86     6.46    -4.39     0.00     0.06     2.17     0.54P    3.24R    0.20  
Bolton           26   32   -1      62.37     6.61     3.43     0.01     0.20     6.81     2.11P    0.87R    0.05  
Huddersfield     26   32  -12      55.32     6.37   -18.61     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.12P   10.11R    1.06  
Wolverhampton    26   31   -6      57.97     6.55    -6.80     0.00     0.04     1.60     0.44P    4.58R    0.38  
Ipswich          26   30  -21      51.44     6.25   -31.18     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   26.36R    4.26  
Birmingham       26   29   -9      58.60     6.50    -5.83     0.00     0.03     1.80     0.50P    3.73R    0.24  
Peterborough     26   25  -12      47.16     6.31   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   49.67R   11.94  
Sheff_Wed        26   25  -14      46.62     6.20   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    53.88R   14.69  
Bristol_City     25   22  -12      45.12     6.39   -21.85     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.85R   20.53  
Barnsley         26   21  -17      41.16     6.02   -28.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.54R   46.58  


League 1   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Brentford vs Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1
Tranmere        26   50  +18      79.93     6.37    21.81    13.35    27.30    78.08    37.86P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       26   47  +15      82.69     6.37    27.37    25.54    45.46    88.41    58.95P    0.00     0.00  
Doncaster       25   47  +14      81.13     6.73    21.99    18.23    34.83    81.56    45.94P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       25   46  +13      78.84     6.60    18.97    10.53    22.64    71.59    33.84P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         24   42  +24      80.31     6.80    35.96    17.58    33.57    80.19    47.96P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         25   42  +12      78.05     6.60    22.81     9.43    20.43    69.23    34.67P    0.00R    0.00  
Bournemouth     25   42  +10      73.92     6.71    14.68     2.83     7.59    43.49    14.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    26   41   -1      64.77     6.41    -6.78     0.06     0.28     5.68     1.01P    0.30R    0.00  
Yeovil          26   39   +3      65.13     6.41     0.69     0.09     0.35     6.59     1.39P    0.31R    0.00  
Crewe           25   39   +1      63.68     6.63    -5.43     0.07     0.27     4.74     0.85P    0.61R    0.00  
Coventry        26   37  +10      70.07     6.61    18.43     0.73     2.43    24.53     8.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Stevenage       24   37   -2      68.23     6.83    -0.33     0.44     1.43    15.27     4.18P    0.15R    0.00  
Notts_County    24   36  +10      70.37     6.88    16.30     1.09     3.31    26.30     8.68P    0.04R    0.00  
Preston         26   34   +3      61.24     6.39     2.69     0.02     0.06     2.08     0.49P    1.32R    0.00  
Leyton_Orient   24   34   -3      60.28     6.67    -8.73     0.01     0.06     1.79     0.32P    2.68R    0.01  
Walsall         26   32   -9      56.45     6.29   -13.54     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P    7.87R    0.09  
Carlisle        25   29  -12      53.89     6.52   -18.50     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   16.90R    0.23  
Shrewsbury      26   28   -4      53.04     6.38    -7.29     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   17.21R    0.31  
Oldham          26   27   -9      50.11     6.16   -15.10     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    31.88R    0.96  
Colchester      25   23  -17      47.34     6.41   -23.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.65R    3.21  
Portsmouth      25   21  -13      50.83     6.80   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00    29.06R    1.32  
Bury            26   21  -15      42.49     6.16   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.18R   10.59  
Scunthorpe      25   21  -20      45.46     6.49   -26.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.28R    5.87  
Hartlepool      25   12  -28      32.95     6.10   -39.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.52R   77.40  


League 2   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, Accrington_Stanley vs Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1
Gillingham           24   48  +21      86.83     6.78    34.24    58.22    90.47    99.10    93.02P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale            25   46  +21      82.39     6.64    32.67    27.60    76.66    96.49    82.19P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham            25   43   +7      75.43     6.66    12.55     4.67    33.15    76.91    43.77P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           25   42   +3      72.58     6.59     5.58     2.07    18.49    61.31    27.66P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             26   40  +15      74.77     6.35    26.00     3.99    32.07    77.51    48.21P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       25   40  +11      70.19     6.77    13.18     1.09    12.12    50.02    20.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford             25   40   +8      69.08     6.55     8.48     0.65     8.68    42.16    15.66P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        26   39   +0      63.92     6.39    -4.16     0.07     1.56    15.21     3.80P    0.10R    0.02  
Exeter               25   38   +0      68.50     6.83     2.39     0.62     7.86    38.25    15.47P    0.02R    0.00  
Northampton          24   36   +8      65.79     6.78     6.96     0.26     3.95    26.27     8.39P    0.08R    0.01  
Chesterfield         26   36   +4      66.51     6.56     8.63     0.25     4.37    29.15    11.60P    0.05R    0.01  
Rochdale             26   36   +1      66.48     6.64     5.56     0.21     4.19    28.61    10.74P    0.04R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           25   35   +0      64.49     6.59     1.03     0.11     2.23    18.81     6.09P    0.12R    0.01  
York                 25   34   -1      59.22     6.55    -6.49     0.01     0.36     4.93     1.12P    1.15R    0.25  
Torquay              24   33   +2      65.03     6.77     4.76     0.17     3.12    22.25     8.08P    0.09R    0.01  
Dag_&_Red            25   31   -1      58.70     6.57    -2.80     0.01     0.25     4.48     1.12P    1.39R    0.32  
Accrington_Stanley   26   30  -11      54.36     6.28   -15.94     0.00     0.02     0.74     0.12P    5.51R    1.56  
Morecambe            25   29   -3      57.68     6.61    -3.25     0.00     0.16     3.32     0.85P    2.06R    0.56  
Wycombe              25   29   -9      58.31     6.82    -8.40     0.00     0.27     4.26     1.25P    1.92R    0.45  
Aldershot            25   25  -15      49.41     6.33   -21.25     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   19.58R    7.15  
Plymouth             26   24   -7      48.93     6.26   -10.71     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.03P   19.89R    7.79  
Barnet               26   23  -16      43.46     6.09   -26.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.46R   31.58  
Bristol_Rovers       24   22  -19      46.39     6.62   -28.88     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   38.18R   18.68  
AFC_Wimbledon        24   22  -19      43.95     6.38   -33.38     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   54.33R   31.58  


Conference   (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 January 2013, AFC_Telford vs Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
                  -- Current --     ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team              Pld  Pts   GD     Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1
Grimsby            25   47  +24      84.86     6.54    38.05    28.45    91.73    47.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham            25   46  +24      87.10     6.35    43.43    45.70    95.82    64.57P    0.00     0.00  
Newport_County     24   45  +14      78.54     6.98    19.04     7.19    65.02    16.26P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green       24   41  +16      77.36     6.83    25.38     5.16    60.80    17.39P    0.00     0.00  
Luton              23   39   +5      79.77     6.98    19.39     9.53    71.25    26.71P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster      25   38  +12      72.52     6.57    20.86     1.07    32.03     8.37P    0.01R    0.00  
Dartford           26   38   +4      64.31     6.60     1.91     0.05     4.53     0.66P    0.52R    0.03  
Cambridge_Utd      25   35   +5      66.39     6.60     9.04     0.10     8.47     1.81P    0.25R    0.02  
Mansfield          22   35   +4      72.24     7.32    10.53     1.55    30.41     7.60P    0.05R    0.01  
Macclesfield       24   33   -3      66.22     7.12     1.46     0.13     8.76     1.94P    0.54R    0.06  
Hyde_United        25   32   +3      59.02     6.89    -0.17     0.01     1.16     0.16P    4.42R    0.61  
Hereford           22   32   -1      71.39     7.39     8.99     1.05    26.10     6.88P    0.07R    0.01  
Woking             25   32  -11      55.34     6.79   -21.18     0.00     0.22     0.03P   13.88R    2.77  
Lincoln_City       24   31   -2      61.05     6.91    -2.62     0.01     1.98     0.29P    2.50R    0.32  
Gateshead          25   31   -2      59.40     6.59    -2.63     0.00     0.93     0.19P    3.51R    0.47  
Alfreton_Town      23   29  -11      54.27     6.80   -21.90     0.00     0.16     0.01P   17.48R    3.96  
Stockport          24   28   -5      54.44     6.74   -11.46     0.00     0.20     0.03P   14.55R    3.03  
Tamworth           25   28   -6      53.72     6.54   -10.86     0.00     0.09     0.02P   16.96R    3.52  
Southport          24   28  -10      54.47     6.78   -16.81     0.00     0.14     0.01P   15.64R    3.52  
AFC_Telford        24   26   -3      51.40     6.61   -10.64     0.00     0.05     0.00P   26.55R    6.71  
Braintree_Town     23   26  -13      53.60     6.94   -20.07     0.00     0.12     0.02P   20.47R    5.08  
Nuneaton           24   24  -14      47.57     6.85   -24.81     0.00     0.01     0.00P   51.25R   21.44  
Ebbsfleet_United   24   23  -15      47.23     6.70   -26.27     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.37R   22.53  
Barrow             23   23  -15      46.61     6.67   -28.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    57.99R   25.92